科学技術政策研究所 調 査 研 究 資 料 調査資料-18 日本の超伝導産業における 研究開発コンソーシアムと共同関係 Research and Development Consortia and Cooperative Relationships inJapan’s SuperconductivityIndustry ジェラルド・バネ 米国ハーバード大学科学技術政策部 Gerald Hane Science,Technology and Public Policy Harvard University,U.S.A. 1991年12月 December,1991 科 学 技 術 庁 科学技術政策研究所 第1研究グループ First Theory-Oriented Research Group NationalInstitute of Science and Technology Policy Science and Technology Agency ]1 ◇ 本資料はG erald H ane 氏が1989 年7 月より199 1年9 月までの間、当研究所客員及び特 別研究員として研究した成果の概要を取りまとめたものである。 TABLE OF CONTENTS I.  NTRODUCTION II.  WHATISTIIETECHNOLOGY? ThePotentialImpactofHTS-MarketStudies III. THEDEVモLOPMENTOFASUPERCONDUCTIVITYINDUSTRY INJAPAN TheDevelopmentofaSuperconductivityScienceandTechnologyBase 〟βg乃erO毎dr(フめ朋肺cgnerg)7Co乃Ver∫ion Grdd〟dJG′.OWが扉がeJ〟机上桓〟殖Cfo乃reC〃0bgy n d即乃 上i/ledγ〟010rC。r ∫岬erCO/血C血ggkc汁の秒Ge乃er(わr ∫JfperCO〃d〃C加ggJec的〝ldg乃eficPro押柄のⅧ毎 がig/7g乃ど′苫yPd而C存AccどkrdOr 凡fCJedrFJf∫元明 ・\ごゼミブ、・′りご血rhピCノ出′∵〃〃!∴′亡バブ・′∴一・一ドUJ′二∴、∴一・・、バ、上’・ノ、・=昔りご 〟1〃gIfpeブCO〝甲〃JeブPrのピCトJo∫ど〆2∫0′l九月C血/1∫ 脇t’eJ∫〟perCOれ血中叫塑加鱒一〟∫′血り)鉗別厄のの Ffr∫r∫ェ‘perCO〃血C加gI)eVicどカブ。〟のOrCo椚〝ほrCd〟。ブ如J, 肋g/ほバC月ど∫0月dJICeみ11。g川官 ∫〟pgrC(〃}血C加g〟dg′1dcg′ほrg再Or。ge 力ICγed∫肺g5毎どrCO′ld〃C加g〟βgJ融G御地肋肺 FimlC(〃ICe/けダの0円,わの山地G興研のの ぶ〟椚椚αワ LinearMotorCase r/1erec/1乃kd Adv亡的Ce r/zePoJiJfcのかどCi∫のけ 紬′飢1∫〆力1′}0聖無 ハバドJ:J一4円の\、\心 £vidどれCe可Cooperの0/1 1頑“聖ど〆gefr聖‘ 〟d′βgれgCo椚peのJO乃i′18e-′どわ〆/1g∫岬erCO月血Cわれg 〟〝g/ほ待 如〃肺′‡川gC/2871ど′lgど∫ Summary IV. WHATWASTHEINDUSTRYSTATUSATTf江TIMEOFHTS V. TheLTSMarkets NatureoftheIndustry FわⅥ1月eJのわれ∫ Rg∫gd・C/zAcパV砂 ∫〟〝間αワ THERESPONSETOTHEDISCOVERYOFHIGHTEMPERATURE SUPERCONDUCTrvITY 1 2 7 9 250ノO lつJ44′07700 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 つJ5 ′LU 15/h) Qノ 3 33333344 445 5′0 7 5 5 5 0ノ 2 578   1 5‘U∠U′D/D   7 TheGoverrmentResponse TheIndustrialResponse PJrピ∫パ′〝〃肺/ゼJJパパ AnalyzingtheGovemmentResponse -11J′ごハtr/丁可とJ肌・(高…: me∫cJe乃Ced乃drec短0わgyAgenC)′ ル1171 .・l〃プハ.\.け〃ド捏・亘〟ド㍉′、附加〃バくJ′ご′トIJ〃ご血、一昔.J!?く(∴・仕れド∴、 T/Jピ九五m、てりバ「n′こく-′:ドド TheFundingProcess Coordination Conclusions VI. TIIEORGANIZATIONOFHTSRESEARCHCONSORTIAAND TIIEIRCONTRIBUTIONTOmOVATION TheOrganizationofISTECandMulti-Core l∫7’gC 〟lfJかCorePrのecJ r/ほ れCeJ山ve∫ ∫均伊乃g 上)mlバ)(1ピb Aの血加融前職融元物一山短溢血肺吼由柄物 Jn血∫r血JCればrer招g βi∫汁iわ山の′l毎Acd血液璃蛸壷物 〟のど∫qf(わど用の′1 TheImpactonInnovation Comタブのど′血ビー1ピJJ〆花Cか工icdCovgmgg Adv(乃C間の/ばCore∫C肺tCe-Co呼鉗肺の重用 PoJiricdJ∫加柁gy Corgg月触れCg〃ほ/ZJv∫.助相可毎のの Com〆刑仇加ゆ 叫声は五状 計の〃机g ConcludingPoints mgC/7°/e君gど〆CO/ZJの肌日毎弾融 VfI. SYSTEMSANI)DEVICEAPPROACIIES BriefIntroductionofthePrograms J0明血制J〟/ヱCJ肺I Gor0-eJfd舶聞FJHJPβ相椚ど細れ 月7了-glecけ0′1上)evfce∫ ∫岬erCO/血C血g£kcけic秒GどれerdOr ∫〃perCOれ血C血g∫e乃∫Or DimensionsofComparison llソ∫れ11′パパ血・Jパピ1′′中バJ Jo∫e画∫0乃九円Cr肺1 ∫岬grCO乃血C血g飢融涼めGg乃erdror ∫〟perCO乃血C血g5.どれ∫0ブ 〟7了一gJgCr/u′IかeVfce∫ Goro-elJdJけ〟〃lFJIJズPdrβ〃l紬・0/l F0mのoJバー〝一別αワ 72 75 79 79 83 84 2 つJ   5 00∩)8qノ00  0 〔る0ノ∩フ0ノl l l l ?.ュ l l l l l l l l l l⊥ 050509日1416171923262828 31344346495256 58 5959626364676969707273757678 rJ/!バJさ∵′車力ピハ亘五バJJ/ハー〟既出▲高・りご/一バ!ト lU刷や′-J可⊥‘恒ヾプ/バ ノ′=“・!-/∴、潮力〃バ仙′! ∫1伊erCO乃血C血ggJgcrrkわGe′ばrdOr ・\旬、く㍑・・′′Jk、〃片∵5.日∴、’〟 が73-gJecけ0乃かどVice∫ Gcけ0-9〃dJぴ〃〃1FJJはPdr(7椚efro/l rec/面相ぼ叫押成冊胱叩 0′官のZのの団声/7gPrの牢 Jo∫叩/7∫0′l九/工C細れ G(フわーeJJβ乃加11FのJP。rd71ぼけ0れ 月73-gJeCけ0/1∂eVfce∫ .\十、J潮/JJ亘C小 ∫1甲erCOJtd〟C血ggJeCけね秒Gg′ler(lfor ∫JlpgrCO′ld〃C加g5’ど/1∫Or O′官の1如Jio′ldJ∫lJ〃7〃1〟りフ 179 180 181 185 188 188 189 189 190 193 195 197 197 200 205 〟gd∫〟re∫(ゾPr(癖CJ加pdCトJカビ月どれ所′∫rOfカビデの1用舶用磁貼り 206 高砂肛日用待ぼ石川=帆グm/.ge柁dreC/乃0bgy 上eve母Ac面年月ど加ルビ.fol乃-/7のバど月&ガ ムeVeJqOgc/机0bg)成β。′Ve0万1rernの0〃〟バブの融。r(1 1′J:ハドJ′り日!h!/血川二、 〟drたピタ聯C打 か柳バ0月芭舵Cは C日日十C仕ジ′:∴〃二、.・い、・亘一°ピし・!、- AJJのlCe聯cr∫ ∫igれdJf乃g聯cr∫ 軸i/Hが聯cr∫ Cβ〃フグのllvg聯cJ∫ VIII.EVIDENCEOFGENERALCOOPERATIONINTIiEINDUSTRY Diversincation IndustrialStnlCture CooperationwithUniversities NationalPrqjectSpin-Off Summary IX. CONCLUSIONS APPENI)ICIES APPENDIXA APPENDIXB APPENDIXC APPENDIXD 207 207 210 216 216 218 219 220 221 222 7   00 3 7 11 1   5 2  23344  4 2   2 2 2 2 2   2 SuperconductingMagnetsUsedattheNational LaboratoryfbrHigh-EnergyPhysics EquipmentandFacilitiesAdvertisedfbrCooperative ResearchUseattheMulti-CoreProgramResearch Cores ProgramandPerfbrmanceInfbrmationRegardiIlgthe SuperconductingElectricityGenerator PatentApplicationCollaboratorswithMajorSystemsandCableand WireFirmsinSuperconductivity I.  INTRODUCTION WhenKoichiKitazawaandPaulChuindependentlyannouncedconfimlationofthe hightemperaturesuperconductivityphenomenaattheMaterialsResearchSociety ConfbrenceonDecember4,1986,theyigmitedtheintemationaldevelopmentofanew neld・ItwaSanunanticipatedandamqjorbreakthroughwhichoffbredanarrayof POSSibilitiesandquestionstobeanswered.Howhighwouldthetemperaturego?Could thesematerialsbeprocessedintousefuldevices?Whatwasthecauseorthephenomena? Forscience,thediscoveryposedachallengetowellestablishedtheoriesofthe mechanismsofsuperconductivity.Acceptedtheoriesdidnotpredictthisphenomenaand didnotprovideaguideofhowtoproceed.Fortheindustry,andfbrconsumers,the discoveryoffbrednewhopefbrthepossibilitythatsuperconductorsmightyetcomeinto widespreadcommonuse,affbctingawideraflgeOfactivitiesmnging丘omvehicle transportation,tOenergyCOnVerSionandstorage,tOinfbrmationprocessing,tOmedicaland materialdiagnostics. Thesuddenemergenceofhightemperaturesuperconductivityprovidesan OPPOrtunitytoexaminetheresponseofpublicandprivateinstitutionstoam亘iorunexpected breakthroughwhichatleastfbrabrieftimecapturedtheattentionofscientists, industrialists,andpolicymakers.Itprovidesachancetoseehowpoliciestakeshapeas Variousamsofthebureaucracyviefbraroleinitsdevelopment,andasvariousnrmsand laboratoriesmovetopositionthemselvesintheindustry.Anditprovidesachancetoview theuseofcooperativeR&DaSinstitutionsmovetostrengthenthemselvesquicklyinthis area. Hightemperaturesuperconductivitydidnot,however,OCCurinatechnological VaCuumaStheredidexistanestablishedsuperconductivityindustryinJapanwhichhad developedovertheprevious20years.Itwasanindustrywhichwasrearedoverahistory Orlargeengineeringprqjects,andisahistorywhichisitselfrevealingof-theusesof COnSOrtiafbrtechnologydevelopment. InthischapterIwi11beexaminingtheroleofgovemmentpolicyinsupportof innovationandtheroIeof-R&Dalliancesthroughresearchanddevelopmentprqjectsin bothhightemperatureandtraditionallowtemperaturesuperconductivity.Throughoutthis SeCtionthehistory,analysisoftheindustry,andcasestudiesareaallconductedwithan intenttoexaminehowtheseprQjectsarecreated,howtheyareorganizedandexecuted,and WhatimpacttheactivitieshaveonthetechnologyoriIldustry. ー1- Dividingtheseprqjectsbetweenthehightemperatureandlowtemperaturecases allowsacontra5tOftheuseofconsortiatosupportprqjectswhichareprimari1ya technologiCalorengineeringchal1enge,thoseinvolvinglowtemperaturesuperconductivity (LTS),andprQjectswhichareascientincchallenge,thoseinvoIvinghightemperature superconductivity(frrS).Examiningthelowtemperaturecasesalsoallowsfbran opportunitytoviewtheinnuenceofdifTbringtechnologiCalcharacteristicssuchasscaleand COmPlexityontheoperationofconsortia・ Thisreportisdividedintoninesections・Followingthisintroduction,thesecond sectionprovidesabriefintroductiontothetechnology,itsapplicationsandpotential applications,andtheproblemsfhcedirlitsdevelopment・Thethirdsectionpresentsa discussionofthehistoryofthesuperconductivityindustryinJapanupto1986・This sectionwi11illustratetheearlyroleofgovernmentprogramsandconsortiainpursuing superconductivity,relationshipsestablished,andthedevelopmentofthem句Orlaboratories andtechnologies.Thefburthsectioncontainsareviewofthestatusoftheindustryandof industrialrelationshipsatthetimeofthediscoveryofHTS・Thisisfbllowedinthen食h sectionbyanexaminationofthetimingandmagnitudeoftheresponseof-theindustryand OfthegovemmenttotheHTSdiscovery,aSkirlghowwellthelatterseemstosupportthe former.Anerthisreviewthediscussionwi11movetoananalysisofspecinccaSeSin collaborativeR&DinSectionsSixandSeven.ThetwocaSeSinHTScollaboration fbcussedonherearetheIntemationalSuperconductivityTechnologyCenter(ISTEC)and theMulti-CoreProgram.TheseventhsectionisananalysisofcasesfromLTSR&D・ Thesecasesprovidetheopportunityfbrexamininginmoredetai1theissuesoffbrmation, Organization,andimpactinalessfbveredenvironment・IntheeighthsectionItouchonthe issueofcollaborationinR&Dgenerallyinsuperconductivitytoexaminemorebroadlyhow COllaborationhasbeenusedtopromoteinnovation,andconcludewithageneralsummary inSectionNine. II.  WHATIS TITE TECHNOLOGY Tounderstandthetechnicalsideofwhyscienceandtechnologypoliciesare irnplemented,WhateffbcttheyhaveontechnologiCalprogress,andinparticularto understandwhatincentivesthetechnologiesposefbrcollaboration,anunderstandingofthe Substanceofthescienceandtechnologyisessential.InthissectionIwillprovideabrief descriptionofsuperconductivityandsuperconductingtechnologiestogiveteclmical perspectivefbrtheanalyseswhichfbllow.Iwillalsointroducetherangeofusesofthis teclm010gyandtheirpromiseshoulduseofhightempeIaturematerialsbecomerealized. ー2- Superconductivityisthecompleteabsenceofresistancetothe且owof-anelectrical Current.WhenelectricitypassesthroughconventionalmaterialS,theflowofthecurrent meetswithresistanceandsomeoftheenergyinthecurrentisdissipatedasheat.Thebetter theconductivepropertiesofthematerial,thelesstheresistzulCe.However,allconventional materialsposesomeresistance.InsuperCOnductingmaterialS,theresistanceiszeroand electricityisabletomovewithperfbctefnciency.Torealizethesebenents,however,the materialshavetobedroppedtoveryloWtemperatures.Thiscompletelossofresistanceis extremelyappealingasitmeansthatnoenergyislostinthematerial,thattheheatgenerated byconventionalconductorscanbecompletelyeliminated,andthatverystrongmagnetic neldscanbegeneratedbymuchsmallermagnets. ThisphenomenawaSfirstrecordedbyHeikeKamerlillghOnnesin1911whilehe WaSCOnductingexpedmentsonthebehaviorormetalsatverylowtemperatures.Atthe time,hewasnot”searching”fbrsuperconductivity,aSthephenomenahadnotbeen hypothesized,butwascompetingwithfdlowscientiststoachieveexperimentsatlowerand lowertemperaturesthroughtheliquifhctionofrareearthgases.Thusitwasnotthe breakthroughofdiscoveringsuperconductivitywhichKamerlinghOnneswaspursuing, butthebreakthroughofbeingthefirsttoliquifyhelium,Whichheaccomplishedirl1908at theUniversityofI.eiden.Theliquifhctionofhydrogenallowedhimtoconductmaterials experimentsattemperatureSlowerthanhadeverbeenconductedbefbre,anditwasinthe midstoftheseexperimentsthathediscoveredstrangechangesinthepropertiesofmercury, Whichhelaterverinedandtermed”superCOnductivity.” Ponderingtheimplicationsofthispossibilityinhiseadywritings,Kamerling Onnescommentedthat”theminiaturecoil…mayPrOVetObetheprototypeofmagnetic COils...bywhichinthefuturemuchstrongerand...moreextensiveneldsmayberealized thanareatpresentreachedintheinterfbrrumofthestrongestelectromagnets・MI HighneldmagnetshaveinfhctturnedouttobetheprincipaluseOf SuperCOnductors.Applicationsbeingdevelopedincludethoseinenergy(experimental fusionmagnets,electricitygeneration,andenergystoragesystems),highenergyphysics experiments(accele王atOrS),tranSPOrtation(magnetictrainlevitation,electromagneticship PrOPulsion),andmedicine(MRIandNMR).Inadditiontotheseapplications,thezero resistancepropertyofthesuperconductorshasattractedattentionfbrcomputerapplications andsignalprocessing,andaphenomenauniquetosuperconductorsknownasthe JosephsoneftbcthasmadeitattractivefbrverysensitivesensormeasuremerltS. 1DavidLarbalestier,et.al.,.’High-FieldSuperconductivity,”聖地麺迫March1986,PP.24- 33. -3胃 Whydoessuperconductivityrequiresuchlowtemperatures?Statedsimply,itis becauseonlyatthesetemperaturesaretheatomsinacrystallinelatticequietenoughnotto distufbthenowofthesuperconductingelectrons.Astemperatureincreases,theatoms beginbouncingaroundmore,andtherebyinterftrewiththepathofelectronnow. Until1986,SuperCOnductivitywasonlydbservedwhenmaterialswerecooled downtoextremelylowtemperatures.Theelementalsuperconductorswouldonlyexhibit thispropertyattemperaturesbelowlOK,andthevariouscompounds synthesizedoverthe Subsequentdecadeswouldnotclimbmuchhigher.Niobiumnitridewasfbundto SuPerCOnductupto16Kin1941andinthefbrtynveyearsthatfbllowed,thecritical temperaturehadonlyrisento23Kwiththesynthesisofniobium-germaniumbyJolm Gavalerin1971. ThechallengeinincreasingtheuseofsuperconductingmaterialS,however,isnot justraisingthetemperaturebutfbrmlngthematerialsintowires,nlmS,Orballs,thatmust becapableofcarryingusefu1currentsandoperating,Often,inmagneticfieIds.Formagnet applications,CurrentStyPicallydernandedareontheorderoflO,000to20,000A元m2 underneldsrangirlgbetweenlto8telsa(ltelsa(T)isequaltolO,000Gauss,Withthe typicalstrengthofarefhgeratormagnetbeinglesSthanonegauss.) Ifasuperconductorisfbdtoohighacurrentorexposedtotoohighamagneticfield itwillceasetobesuperconducting.Tounderstandwhy,itishelpfhltounderstandthata SuPerCOnductorrespondstothepresenceofamagneticneld.Acharacteristicuniqueto SuperCOnductorsistheirhbilitytocompletelyexcludemagneticneldsthatexistinthe COnductor.Thisefftct,discoveredbyWaltherMeissnerin1933,andhencenamedthe MeissnerEffbct,meanSthatthemagneticneldgeneratedbythesuperconductorresides entirelyoutSideoftheconductor.ThiswasasignincantstepinunderstarldingthebehavioT OfthematerialS,aSitpointedoutthatsuperconductivitylnVOIvednotjustachangein electriCalbehavior,butachangeofthermodynamicstates.However,eXCludingthe magneticneldrequlreSenergy,anditiswhenthisrequiredenergybecomestoogreatthat theabilitytosuperconductdisappears. Traditionalsuperconductorsfhllintooneoftwoclassesbasedontheirbehavior. TheareeitherTypeIorTypeIIsuperconductors.Tbeearlyelementalsuperconductors WereTypeIsuperCOnductors.Inthesematerials,thereexistsperfbctdiamagnetismuntila Criticalmagneticneldisreached.Beyondthisvalue,thematerialreturnstoitsnormalstate. TypeIIsuperconductorscomprisemanyofthecompoundssynthesizedoverthepastfbur decades,SuChastheniobiumcompounds,Whichtendtoreachhighertemperaturesthanthe elementalmaterialS.Inthesernaterialsmagneticneldscanpenetratethematerialinan Orderlyarraythroughthefbrmationofvorticies. -4- ThusinaTypeImaterial,thecurrentonlynowsatthesurfhceofthewire.Any currentthatwouldnowinthewirewouldcreateamagneticneldandwouldthusbe expelled.Thisexpulsion,however,requiresabitofenergyinthefbrmofmagnetic SCreeningcurrents.Thegreatertheneld,thegreaterthescreeningenergy.Thuswhentoo greataneldisapplied,theenergylevelinthesuperCOnductorexceedsthatinitsnormal State,SOthematerialconvertstothelowerenergylevelandlosesitssuperconductivity. InaTypeⅡsuperconductorthepresenceofamagneticfieldcancausethe SuPerCOnductortoenterwhatisknownasamixedstate・Predictedanddemonstratedby SovietphysicistAlexeiAbrikosovinl957,thepresenceof-themixedstateallowsthe materialstomaintainitssuperconductivityinhighermagneticneldsbyreducirlgtheamount OfenergyneededtoenablethesuperCOnductortoexpelthemagneticfield. ThemagneticneldpenetratesthesuperconductorthroughcylindriCalcoreswhich areknownasvortices,witheachsuchvortexcarryingonequantumnux.Eachvortex CreateSalittlemagneticneldandinteractswiththeneld5generatedbyothervortices.The greaterthemagneticfieldthatneedstobecounteracted,thelargerthenumberofvorticies. Whenthematerialcannolongeraccommodatenewvorticies,itretumstoitsnormalstate andsuperconductivitydisappears. Themechanismdenningcriticalcurrentisalsoslightlydiffbrentintheca5eOfa TypeIIsuperconductor.Themovementof-thecurrentinthewire,Wherethereisalsoa magneticneld,CreateSaLorentzfbrcewhichcausesthevorticiestomoveatrightanglesto thenowofthecurrent.Thismotioncausesalossofenergyinthefbrmofheat,Whichis effbctivelyaresistancetothecurrent,andwhichcausesthematerialtoloseits SuPerCOnductivity.Togetaroundthisphenomena,knowas”nuxcreep,”researchershave developedteclmiquestomakeitimmobile,tO”pin”thenux,andthusallowsubstantial currentstopasswithoutalossofsuperconductivity.Commontechniquesaretoadd impuritiesorstressthematerial,Creatinggrainboundarieswhichacttopinthevorticies・ Aninterestingimplicationofthisisthatasuperconductingmaterialthatisperftct,without impuritiesorgrainboundarieswouldT10tbeabletopassacurreIltwithoutlosingits SuPerCOnductivity.nisphenomenaoffluxcreep,ittumsout,alsobecomesakeyissuein thedevelopmentofpracticalhightemperaturesuperconductors・ Theprincipallimitationtowideruseof-superconductorshaLS,however,been temperature.Whereascriticalcurrentandcriticalmagneticneldstrengthscanbeimproved throughprocessingtechniques,temPeratureisapropertyofthematerial.Withthehighest temperaturematerialonlyreaching23K,thebulkyandcostlyrefhgeIationrequirements PrOVeam可Orhandicaptodiffusion. -5- Reducingoreliminatingthishandicaphasbeenthequestofsuperconductivity researcherssinceitsdiscovery.Thesuddenpossibilitythatthismightbeachievedthrough anentirelydi拝もrentclassormaterialswaswhytherewassomuchexcitementsurrounding theBednoIZandMuellerdiscovery. Thediscoveryofsuperconductivityinapervoskitematerialwasexcitingfbra numberofreasons.Itrevivedthehopeofnndingamaterialthatmightsuperconductat roomtemperatures・Secondly,itrevealedaphenomenathatwasnewtoanentireclassof materials,andwasachievedintheのsenceofanacceptedtheoryofwhythismightbe occurring・Itthusopenedthepossibilitythatanentirelynewphenomenahadbeen discovered.Andthirdly,itinvoIvedaclassofmaterialinwhichmosttIaditional superCOnductingmanufhcturerswerenotinvoIved,Whichrequiredlittlecapitalinvestment toenter,andwhichthusprovidedanattractiveopportunityfbrnrmswantingtodiversify・ Amaterialthatcansuperconductatroomtemperatureshasbeenahopeof industrialistssincethephenomerlOn’sdiscovery.Itwouldmeantheeliminationofbulky andcostlyrefhgerationrequirementsandthewidespreaduseofthesuperconductivityto dramaticallyreduceelectricityconversionandtransmissionlosses,tOPrOVidepowerfu1, COmpaCtmagnetSandenergystoragesystemsfbrstationaryandmobileuses,tOenablethe widespreaduseofultra-SenSitivesensingtechnologies,tOenhancesignalandinfbrmation PrOCeSSing,aSWellastonndapplicationinusesyettobeconceived. Intherealmoftheory,perVOSkitesuperconductivityappearedtobeanexceptionto thewellestablishedtheoryofthesuperconductivitymechanismproposedbyJohnBardeen, LeonCooperandRobertSchrieffbrinl957.Theessenceof-thistheoryisthatthe SuPerCOnductivitycomesaboutwhenelectronsfbrmpairstopassthroughamaterial. Normally,electronswouldrepeleachotherastheycarryacommonnegativecharge.Inthe CaSeOfmetallicsuperconductors,however,theelectronsarefbundtofbrmpairs.These PairsarefbrmedastheresultofaninteIaCtionbetween丘eeelectronsandvibrationsinthe latticeofthemateria1,aPhenomenonknownaselectron-Phononinteraction.Herethe interactionoftheelectronandthelatticeresultsinaslightdistortioninthelatticewhichtugs OnneighboringlOnS.Thetugontheionscausesaslightpolarization,andtheresultant COnCentrationofpositivechargesattIaCtSaneWelectron.Whenthesetwoelectronsbind together,theyhavealowerenergylevelthaniftheyremainindependent,andthusrepresent athermodynamicallymorestableconditiOn.Thelowestenergylevelisachievedwhenall Ofthepairsbehaveinthesameway,Whentheyhavethesamewavefunction.Anditis Whentheareallinlockstepthatsuperconductivityarises.Whetherthisisthemechanism OCCumnginthenewhightemperaturesuperconductorsisunclear. -6- Thirdly,thenewsuperconductorswereceramicsandthetraditionalnmsinthe industryhadlittleexperiencewiththismaterial・Additionally,thecostsofsynthesizingand experimentingwiththematerialwerelow,SOnrmSOutSideofthetraditionalindustryhad lowbarrierstoentry・Thenewmaterialprovidedanattractiveopportunityfbr diversincation. ThePotentialImpactofHTS-MarketStudies Theexcitementovertheunexpecteddiscoveryofhighertemperature SuperCOnductingmaterialsalsoledtoarushinspeculationaboutthesizeoftheimpactof thisnewtechnology.Wasitpossibletomeasurethepotentialsizeoftheimpact? Onedimensionwhichcanbeestimatedwithanumber,andinwhichnrmsaremost interested,isthemarketpotentialof.applicationsofhighertemperaturematerialS.Am互ior question,Ofcourse,WaShowhighoneexpectedthecriticaltemperatureofthematerialto rise・IfiswasassumedtemperatureSWOuldplateauirltherangeofliquidnitrogen,then mostprQjectionswerefbrsomeincrementalexpansionofthemarket.If,however,the materialswereusableatrealroomtemperatures,thentherangeofnewandexpanded applicationscouldbedramatic. TheearliestestimatesofmarketpotentialwerereleasedbytheNomuraResearch IIIStituteandbySumitomoElectricCorporatioIl.Innuencebytheearlyexcitement SurrOundingthediscoveries,andhearingrumorthatroomtemperaturesuperconducting materialshadbeendiscovered,Nomuraprqjectedthatatrulyroomtemperature SuPerCOnductingmaterialwouldbeapplicableinafbwyears.Thustheyestimatedthatthe marketfbrsuperconductingmaterialswouldgrowto6tri11ionyenbytheyear2000and17 tri11ionyenbytheyear2010.2ThisprqjectionisshowninFigurel. Thisprqjectiondrewagreatdealorexcitementatthetimeasitamplinedthesense thathightemperaturesuperconductivitywasboundfbram毎Orimpactonsociety.The estimatewasnot,however,basedonaspecincbreakdownofthemarkets. SumitomoElectricsoonfbllowedwithaprqjectionwhichmoreexplicitlyidentined thetechnologieslikelytobemostefftctedarlddividedmarketsintothoseafftctedby materialswhichwouldbecooledbyliquidnitrogen(77K)andmaterialswhichcould OperateatrOOmtemPerature.TheirestimatesweremoremodestthantheNomura PrQjections,WithamarketofO.5tri11ionyenfbrmaterialsat77K,and5tri11ionyenfbr roomtemperaturematerials. 2〝ChodendoGijutsunoGenjotoDoko,〃旦蜘担,No.125,July13,1987,P.17. -7- NucleaT fusioll,etc. Figurel. PrqjectedGrowthoftheSuperCOnductivityMarketAftertheDiscoveryof HTS(Materialbasedon埋地,No.125,July13,1987,P.17) Aftertheexcitementhadsettleddown,mOrethoroughandtechnicallythoughtful analyseswereconductedbyanumberofotherfimsincludingtheNikkeiResearch Institute,theIntemationalSuperconductivityTechnologyCenter(ISTEC),andMitsubishi ResearchInstitute. Inthesestudieseachofthetechnologiestowhichhightemperaturematerialswere likelytobeappliedwereidentinedandperfbrmanceimprovementsestimated.Uses identinedbytheNikkeiResearchInstituteareshowninTablel. AsummaryoftheestimatesffomthenrsttwostudiesarepresentedinTable2.The MitsubishiResearchInstitutestudyisproprietarysothengurescannotbepublishedhere, butingeneralorderofmagnitudetheyareinagreementwiththesepublicstudies. ThelargestjumpintheNikkeistudyisprqjectedtooccurinthetransportation SeCtOr,a9.5fbldincrease.Thisisprimarilyduetoaveryoptimistictigureassignedtothe -8- developmentofallelectricvehicleschargedwithsuperconductingenergystoragerings・ Thisusealone,theyprqject,wi11jumpl,910billionyenwiththeapplicationofmaterials OPeratingat77Kto29,910billionyenwithroomtemperaturesuperconductors,a15.7 fbldincrease・AIsoweighingheavilyinthisprqjectedincreasearetheelectromagnetic thrustship,increasingh‘Om2,365billionyento4,865billionyen,andthemagnetictrain levitation,increasingfiom80billionyen,tO2,645billionyen. Theelectronicssectorexhibitsthenextlargestpotentialexpansion,increasing5.7 timesfiom442billionyento2,537billionyen.Thelargestcontributioninthissector COmeSfiomtheexpandeduseofzero-reSistancesubstratecomponents,Prqiectedto increasefrom196billionyenat77Kto4,940billionyenwithroomtemperature SuPerCOnductors.AIsorankinghighintheincreasewerezero-reSistanceLSIcircuitry, rising丘om205billionyento3,710billionyen,an18fbldexpansion,and SuPerCOnductirlgLSI,grOWing29fold,丘om76billionyento2,223billionyen,and SuPerCOnductingsupercomputers,increaslnginapplicationh・OmZerOtOl,265billionyen peryear・3 Theaboveareapplicationswhichareprimari1yextensionsofexistingtechnology. However,aSTheCommitteetoAdvisethePresidentonHighTemperature Superconductivityhaspointedout,thisisanewmaterialsphenomenaanditmaywellbe thatthemostsignificantapplicatiorlS”cannotbeidentinedtoday.”4 III. THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SUPERCONDUCTIVITYINDUSTRY ____上迫JA里Å旦 Tomorefullyappreciatetheriseofhightemperaturesuperconductivityresearchin Japan,itishelpfu1tohavesomeunderstandingofhowthelowtemperatureindustry developed.Howimportantweregovemmentpoliciesandprogramstothedevelopmentof thisindustry?ThroughwhatpathdidtheprincIPalresearchcentersevoIve?Whatwerethe relationshipsdevelopedbetweenthenrmsandthegovemmentoramongthenrms themselves?WhowerethemotivatorsoftheprQjectsandthepolicies?Howwellpoised 3chodendoGijutsugaSangyoShakainiAtaerulnpakutoniKansuruKenkyuHokokusho, 辿吐血j旦口皿位迷由蛙辿喧坦:Tokyo,June1988,P.41. 4TheCommitteetoAdvisethePresidentonHighTemperatureSuperconductivity,地止 工生型匹旦担坦旦旦堅星空嘘旦虚血麺型堅塁匹生型適j迦迎堅墾辿り担』旦旦旦垣_泣 虫⊇竺匹旦墜垣逗呈出追,Washington,D.C:WhiteHouseScienceCouncil,1988,P.7. ~9- Tablel.  PotentialApplicationsofHigherTemperatureSuperconductingMaterials ElectricPower Transportation/hdustrialMachinery ElectricityPowerGeneration TransmissionWire TranSbnner I.arge-ScaleElectricPower Stomge SMESfbrLoadLevelling hlHD Electronics MagneticallyLevitatedTrain MagneticPropulsionShip ElectricallyPoweredShip ElectricCar Motor MagneticSe関rationSystems ElectromagneticDischargeEquip FreeElectronI.aser Mdid IRSensor ZeroResistanceSubstrate Zero-ResistanceLSICircuitry SuperconductingLSI SuperconductingSupercomputer MagneticShielding Small-ScaleSOR LowLossCommunicationCable TelecommunicationsSignal Processor ResearchEquipment NMR-CT Small-ScaleCyclotron S(〕Um Oscilloscope VoltageStandardEquipment ElectronMicroscope I.argeScaleParticleAccelerator SputteringTargetMaterial -10- Table2.  PrQjectedMarketsfbrHTSMaterialApplications(billionyen)5 CategoryofUse LiquidNitrogen Room Relative Temperature Temperature Increase ElectricPower Transportation/ PlantMachinery Medical Electronics ResearchandOther Total 282.1(18.2%) 769.4(49.7%) 50.6(3.3%) 442.0(28.5%) 5.1(0.3%) 1,549.2 637.5(6.0%) 7,340.3(69.0%) 85.9(0.8%) 2,536.9(0.3%) 34.0(0.3%) 10,633.6 WaStheindustrytoexploitthenewhightemperaturematerialS?Toprovideinsightinto thesequestions,abriefhistoryleadingtothediscoveryofHTSispresentedbelow. Inthishistorywewillseethatthegovemmentwascriticaltothefbrmationand nurturingoftheindustrythroughbothitstechnologypromotionprogramsandits PrOCurementS.Thiswasaidedbytheserendipitoustimingofimportantdevelopments OVerSeaS,bythemultipleusesofthistechnology,andbythefhctthattheprincipaluses COnSideredwereallapplicationsinwhichthegovernmentwasamaincustomer. WewillseethattheprincipalnrmstodayiIlwiredevelopmentandinsystems developmentarethosethathavebeenselectedfbrparticipationingovemmentprQjectsin SuperCOrlductivitysincetheoutsetofitsdevelopmentinJapan,25yearsago.Andwewi11 Seethatsingleactorswereneverallowedtodominatethegovernmentprqjects.Instead, threekeyactorsofsimilarcommercialcapabilitieswerecommonlychosenthroughoutthe historyofthetechnology. Regardinginter-nrmrelations,Wewillseethatcollaborationcanoccurwhenthere isatechnicalneedandgovemmentimperative,butthatthenrmsarenurturedasa COmPetitivesetmorethanacooperativeone.Teclm010gytransfbrfiomoutside OrganizationswillbeseentobeimportantinthebirthofthisneldintheprlVateSeCtOr,but thetransfbrisfiomthepublicsector.Evidenceofcompetitivenrmscollaboratingrather thancompetingwillbemoretheexceptionthantherule. Regardingimportantmotivatorsofpolicy,WeWillseethatuniversityproftssors Werekeyingainingsaliencefbrthisneldanditsteclm010gies,andinestablishingtheinitial 5..chodendoGijutsugaSangyoShakainiAtaerulnpakutoniKansuruKenkyuHokokusho, Ⅱ魅旦L宝麺旦!址地垣迫:Tokyo,June1988,P.50. -11- infbrmationnetwork.Wewillalsoseethatalthoughtheprincipalnegotiationsoccurred betweenthebureaucracies,nrmS,andadvisorycommittees,theroleofthepoliticianscan becriticalfbrlargeprqjects.LargetechnologyprQjects,likelargeinfhstructureprQjects, CanbeareassusceptibletoporkbarTelinginJapanasinanycountry. Andalthoughtheindu5tryWaSSmall,WeWillseethatthesenrmswereatthe intemationalstate-Oflthe-artinlowtemperaturesuperconductivitytechnologiesatthetime of’thediscoveryoftheoxidephenomena. TheDevelopmentofaSuperconductivityScieneeandTechnology Base CryogenicsresearchinJapanistypicallytracedbacktotheworkofProfbssor HantaroNagaokaattheUniversityinTokyo.6Eadyin1902,Prof.Nagaokapurchasedan airliquinerfiomtheLindeCompanyofGermanyandwasthenrsttodemonstrateair liquifhctioninJapan.Atthistime,theJapanesegovemmentwasplacingahighpriorityon leamingflomthewest,Particularlyinindustryandteclm0logy,andprofbssorswere SuPpOrtedtoactasthevehiclesofinfbrmationtransfbr.Asaresult,in1910,Prof. Nagaokawa5abletoattendaconftrenceoftheIrltemationalAssociationofRe丘igeration (fbundedatKamerlinghOnnes’initiative)inVienna,andimpressedbytheadvancedlevel Ofthetechnologiesoverseas,retumedtoJapanasaprincipalpromotingthedevelopmentor adomesticcryogenicindustry. In1912,Prof.Nagaokasentoneofhisstudents,MasaoKinoshitatoEurope Where,fbr15years,heconductedresearchincryogenicsandsuperconductivity.When retumingtoJapan,tOtheInstituteofPhysicalandChemicalResearch(knowntodayas RIKEN),however,hefbundthathewasnotabletoobtainahydrogenliquinerfbrhis experiments.HydrogencompressortechnologydidnotexistinJapanandimportationwas beyondhisbudget,SOhewasonlyabletolectureaboutthediscoveryofthisnew Phenomenaabroad.Itwasnotuntilthe1930’sthatthenrsthydrogenliquinerbecame availableinJapan,aunitpurchasedfromGermanyandinstalledattheResearchInstitute fbrIron,Steel&OtherMetalsatTohokuUniversity.Thusinitial1eadersin SuPerCOnductivitycamefiomthislaboratoryinnorthernJapan,andincludedDr.Shinichi Aoyama(whohadbeensenttoLeideninthelate-1920’S),EizoKanda,andTadao Fukuroi. 6K.0shimaandY.Aiyama,‘‘TheDevelopmentofCryogenicsinJapan:Chapter14in蜘 Bn吐9【止血幽旦吐追ed.,R.G.ScurIock(SouthamptonUniversity),tObepublished. -12一 Throughoutthel940’sand1950’S,reSearChinsuperconductivityremainedan academicinterest,PurSuedatalowlevelof-activity,largelybecauseofthedifncultyof accumulatingthefbreignexchangeneededtobuyliquifhctionequipment丘omEurope.In Julyof’1952,thefirstheliumliquinerinJapanwasinstalledatTohokuUniversity.Itwas aCollinsliquiner(nameda丘eritsdiscovererS.C.CollinsofM.I.T.)manufhcturedby ArthurD.Little,Inc.,andwaspurchasedwithfundsfiomtheMinistryofEducationwith theapprovalof-GHQOccupationForces.However,theMinistrywasnotwillingtorelease fhndsfbrthepurchaseofmorethanonemaehinesothislaboratoryalsohadtoserveasa nationalliquifhctionusercenter. In1958ateamatthetheInstituteofScienceandTeclm010gyoftheUniverSityof Tokyo,undertheleadershipof-proflKei-ichiOshima,SuCCeSSfhllydemonstratedthenrst domestica11yproducedheliumliquifhctiondevice.Itusedacascadedesignandwas developedinclosecollaborationwithamajorcryogenicsmanufhcturer,NipponSanso.In thesameyear,thegovemmentpurchaseditssecondheliumliquiherfromArthurl).Little, Inc.fbrinstallationattheElectrotechnicalIpAboratory(ETL)of’theMinistryofIntemational TradeandIndustry,andin1959athirdwasunitwaspurchaSedbytheR&DCenterof’ ToshibaCorporation. Bythelatel950’scompaniesalsobegantonirtwithsuperconductivity,withflms SuChasMitsubishiElectricandSumitomoElectricinitiatingdevelopmentwofkintoa Collins-tyPeliquiner.InDecemberof1959Mr.0ginoof-MitsubishiElectricsucceededin developlnganeXPanSioncyclesystem,andby1963thishadbeendevelopedintoa COmmerCialdevice.Withanowrateof81ite融10uritwaslargeenoughfbrsmal1scale laboratoryexperiments.ThenrstdomesticsalewastotheUniversityofTokyo,witha SeCOndgoingtotheElectrotechnicalL血oTatOry.nOWeVer,nOtOnlywerethesemachines Stillquiteexpensive,theywereexpensivetooperate.Allof-theheliumhadtobeimported, andatthistimeheliumwasbothdimculttoacquireandveryexpensive,COStinglO,000 yervliter. DuringthisperiodortechnologydevelopmentinJapan,Whichcontinuedintothe mid-1960’S,thetestingof”extremeenvironments”becameapopularthemeamong researchlaboratories.Thiswasrenectedbythesloganpopularizedatthistime:′′C/10/le710 Cjl0Se〝,′’(ChallengetheExtremes.)Underthisbanner,1aboratoriesexploredphenomena associatedwithextremesoftemperature,PreSSure,materialstrength,materialpurity,etc・7 7K.Furuto,一.FurukawaDenko,Chodendokenkyukaihatsugurupu,∵担如迅運膣辿Vol.23,N0. 4,1988,PP.225-228. 胃13胃 Notuntiltheearly-1960’S,however,WereSuPerCOnductorsfbrmedwhichcould carrythecurrentnecessarytobeusedinpracticaldevices.In1961,EugeneKunzler’s researchteamattheBellI.aboratoriessucceededincreatingaNbSn3magnetWhich producedafieldof88,000gauss(8.8telsa)withnoresistancetodirectcurrentinthe windings.Bellresearchersalsosynthesizedaniobiumzirconiumalloywhichappeared easiertoprocessintowires.Thenin1962,TedBerlincourtatAtomicsInternationalfbund thatniobium-titaniumhadevenbetterductilityfbrwirefbrmingandwasverydurablein strongmagneticnelds.Thiswastobecomeaprincipalchoicefbrtheapplicationsthatwere todeveloplater. Importantadvanceswerebeingmadesuccessivelynowoverseas,butinfbrmation diffhsedslowlythroughJapanasthemechanismsfbrdisseminationwhichprolifbrate today,theassociationsandfrequentsymPOSia,WerenOtaVailablethen.OnJune30,1961, urldertheleadershipofProfbssorsKanda,Oyama,Oshima,Hatoyama,andKadona,45 individualswereaSSembledtoinitiateaCryogenicEngineersClub(TeionKogakLi Danwakai),tOShareinfbrmationaboutthedevelopmentsoverseas.8Thegroupwasnrst administeredoutofProf二Oshima’somceintheNuclearEngineeringDepartmentofthe UniversityofTokyo. ItwasalsointhisperiodthatK.MendelssohnwrotetoProf.Oshimaproposing thatJapansponsorthefirstmq50rintemationa?iasonbetweenenglneerSandscientistsin theneld:thattheysponsoranIntemationalCryogenicEngineeringConfbrence.To Organizesuchanactivityandtorecruittheneededfunding,thegrouprealizedthatthe OmCialbackingofthegovemmentwouldbenecessaryandsodecidedtocreateafbrmal Organization.InMarch1966,theCryogenicEngineeringAssociationwasfbrmedwiththe approvalof-MITIandtheScienceandTechnologyAgencyandhadaninitialmembership Of150members.Pror.Oyamawasitsnrstchairman.InApri11967,theFirst IntemationalCryogenicEngineeringConftrence(ICEC-I)washeldinKyoto,Japan. Severalresearchersinterviewednotedthatitwasnotuntilthisconfbrencethatnewsof’the COmmerCialadvancesinsuperconductivitybecamegenerallyknowninthecountry. Intheseearlyyears,thetrarlSftrofpersonnelandideasffomavarietyofsources WaSkeytothedevelopmentoftheindustry.Universities,nationallaboratories,and fbreignsourcesplayedanimportantroleinintroducingthisneldintocorporate laboratories.In1958,Dr.K.NakamuraatNihonUniversitylefttoinitiate 8GoheiKanara,〝TeionKogakuKyokaiSetsuritsu,tOOshimaSensei:塑且地,VoJ.24, N0.1,1989,P.4,andK.0shimaandY.Aiyama,OP.Cit. 胃14- SuPerCOnductivityresearchatNEC.9Intheearly-1960’S,Dr.T.DoiofHokkaido UniversityhelpedHitachidevelopwiresoutofsuperconductingmaterialsandDr.S. MaedamovedtoHitachifromTohokuUniversitytocontinuehisworkin SuperCOnductivityandmagnetics.AIsointheearly-1960’S,Dr.T.Komatacameto MitsubishiElectrich・OmOsakaUniversitytoinitiateresearchonsuperconductingmaterials andDr.M.Iwamotornovedover丘omTokyoUniversitytoinitiatetheresearChinto magnets・AtFurukawa,areSearCherwassenttoNRJMtoleamaboutsuperconductivityin 1962andretumedayearlatertostartthenrm’sprograminthisarea.AtKobeSteel,Dr. Asada,thethenDirectoroftheresearchlaboratory,initiatedaprograminsuperconductivity a負ertakingatourofresearchfhcilitiesintheUnitedStatesin1964.Thereheleamedabout PrOgreSSmadewithNiobium-basedsuperconductingmaterialsanduponretumlngtOKobe gavehisstaffsampleshehadcollected,instructingthemtoduplicateanddevelopit. Itwasalsoinl964thatETLdevelopedthenrstsuperconductingmagnetinJapan, OneCOnStruCtedofaNbTiTamaterial. 〟dgneOhdroめれα肺C互.柁ergyCo肌er肺11 Theseactivitiesbegantocoalescein1964,Whenthegovemmentinitiated discussionsoverlaunchinganational1yfhndedprqiecttodevelopanewfbrmofenergy COnVerSiontechnology:magnetOhydrodynamics(MIID).Priortothis,bothMITand ParsonsinGreatBritainhadestablishedMHDR&Dfhcilities,CreatingasenseinJapanthat thistechnologywasoneofsignincantpromiseandonewhichmightbeanimportantsource Ofelectricityfbrthisnationwhichimportsmostofitsenergy・ MHDoffbrsthepotentialofveryhighenergyconversionemcienciesbecauseofthe extremelyhighsourcetemperature.Verybrieny,inthisprocess,COalisnrstpulverized intopowderandthenheatedtoaround3,000Katwhichtemperatureitbecomesaplasma. Thispla5mamOVeSthroughaverylargemagnetthroughwhichenergyisimparted, acceleratingthenowoftheplasma.Thefhstflowingplasmathenpassesthroughelectrical COilsandinducesacurrentinthesecoils,prOducingelectricity.Theexhaustgasisstillata Veryhightemperature,betweenl,100Kandl,800K,andsomeofthisenergyremaining inthegascanbecapturedinagasturbine.ExperimentsabroadbyAVCOintheearly- 1960’s showedthepossibilityofefncienciesof50-56%withtheoreticalemcienciesbeing 9TheNECprograminsuperconductivityendedin1964,butwasrestartedin1979whena researcherwasdispatchedtoU・C・Berkeleywherehedidworkinlead-basedsuperconductivity. ー15- ashighaS60-70%・TheMHDsystemthusofftredthepossibilityofdoublingthe30% emcienciesbeingachievedwithcoalpowerplantsatthetime. Toemcientlycapturethepowerintheplasma,however,amagnetCaPableof PrOducingaveryhighneldwasrequired.Magnetsfbrausefu1MHDsystemwouldhave togenerateneldsontheorderof5to7telsa(T).Conventionalmagnetswerenotsumcient fbrthispurposebutsuperCOnductingmagnetsheldsuchapromise.Butthiswasstilla newteclm0logyrequiringasignincantinvestmentbynrmswhichhadverylittleexperience inthefield.Itwaspreciselyfbrthistypeoftechnology,however,thatMITIwasaboutto introduceanewprogramfbrtechnologypromotion. Recal1thatin1961,theI三ngineeringResearchAssociationsystemhadbeen establishedbyMITItoassistinthedi乱sionorinfbrmationandthepoolingornrm resourcesfbrthedevelopmentorcommercialtechnologies.Lookingastepfurther,MITI bureaucratsrealizedthatsomepotentiallysignincanttechnologieswouldentailariskor investmentthatwastoogreatfbrsinglenrmsintheindustry.Toaddressthisproblem,the Large-ScaleTechno】ogyPrQject(OgataKogyoG〟tSlJKenkyLlkaiJlatSliSeido)waS initiatedin1966,withMHDelectricitygenerationbeingchosenasoneofthenrstthemes, alongwiththeSuper-HighPerfbrmanceElecfronicComputerandtheDesulphuri2ntion Process.Allthreeofth占seprq1cctSWereinitiallyscheduledfbrnveyears・ Althoughtheprqjectwasplannedfbrnveyears,itsschedulewa5twiCeleTlgthened, nrsttosevenyearsarldthefltOtenyearStOallowfbrtestirlgthesuperconductingmagnets inalargeMHDprototypesystem.SevennrmswereinvoIvedintheprojectandthetotal budgetfbrthe1966-1975perk)doftheprogramwas6・5billionyen・10 Japaneseindustrywas,however,Stillfhrbehindthestate-Of二the-teChnology OVerSeaS.Giventheverylimitedexperiencethatnrmshadwithsuperconductingmagnets uptothistime,PrOducing5to7telsamagnetswasasignincantleapbeyondtheir CaPabilitiesinl966.Technology-baseresearchwouldstillhavetobeconductedon Stabilizationmethodsfbrsuperconductorsandcoils,materialtestingatlowtemperatures, turbo-eXpandercharacteristicsfbrheliumrefhgerators,etc. Aggressivelystudyingdevelopmentsoverseas,however,Signincantlyaccelerated PrOgreSSinJapanastimelyprogresswasbeingmade.In1965,Dr.Z・J・Steklyandhis teamatAVCOintheUnitedStateshadsuccessfullydemonstratedtheoperationofahigh neldsuperconductingmagnet・IncooperationwiththeArgonneNationalI_Jaboratory,Dr. Steklyhadshownthatcoppercladdingwasaneffbctivestabilizerfbrthemanufhctureof 10 K.0shimaandY.Aiyama?OP.Cit.,P.18;T.Ueda,′′OgataKogyoGijutsuKenkyukaihatsuSeido nituite,”二短垣適地VoL5,No・2,1970,P.2;andltaruTodorokiandKozoFushimi,’Ogata PurojekutoTeionBumonKeikakuGaiyo,〝工!裏狙地Vol.5,N0.2,1970,PP.3-4. -16一 SuPerCOnductingwiresfbrhighneldmagnets・Itbecameclearerwiththisannouncement thattheprocessingofsuperconductingmaterialsmightbecomealegitimateactivityfbrthe nation,scableandwiremanufhcturers・Anditwasaverytimelydevelopmentfbrthestart OftheJapanesegovernment’snrstnationalresearchanddevelopmentprQjectrelatedto SuperCOnductivity.Basedonthiswork,Dr.Aiyamanotedthat”R&DworkfbrtheSCM (superCOnductingmagnet)intheJapaneseMHDprqjectwasfhirlystraightfbrward.”11 Theyprincipal1yhadtofbllowthepathoftheAVCOsuccess. Despitethefhctthatallof’themanufhcturerswerewellbehindthestate-0手the-artat theoutsetoftheprogramandthatfhndamentalquestionsofdevelopmentneededtobe resoIved,eXaminationoftheorganizationortheprogramshowslittledirectcoopeIation. TheoverallactivitywastobemanagedbytheElectrotechnicailaboratory(ETL), withDr.FusaoMoriofETLappointedthenrstDirectorandDr.KozoFushimaofETLthe SeCOndDirector・ETLwaSreSPOnSiblefbrdevelopingalkWMHDprototype(whichused anAVCOmagnet),COnductingdesignworkonal,000kWMIIDsystem,andeventually testingtheoperationofa1,000kWMHDprototype・Theothertasksinhighneldmagnet developmentandheliumrefdgerationsystemswereassignedtotheparlicipatingnrms. MitsubishiElectricwa5reSPOnSiblefbra7.0Tpancakecoil,andMitsubishiElectricand Hitachi,Ltd・SeParatelydeveloped4・5Tsaddle-Shapedcoils・ToshibawaSgivenasmaller taskofdeveloplngaSImagnet・WorkontheheliumrefhgerationsystemwasthepnncIPal responsibilityofNipponSansoandToyodaMachine.ThepnmarynrTnSandtheirtaskS areshownirlFigure2. Again,theorganizationalpointhereisthatinspiteofconditionSWhichmighthave fhvoredcollaborationindevelopment,theR&Dwasconductedindependentlybythe Participants.Theworkwascontractedseparately,perfbrmedinseparatefhcilities,and generatedseparatepatents・Severalyearslater,MITItriedtoaddressthiSissuedbyplacing theLarge-ScaleTechnologyPrqjectsunderthemanagementofcollectivebodies,Of EngineeringResearchAssociations,butwewillseeintheremaindero自hischapterthat thishasonlymetwithlimitedsuccess. Between1972and1975,theETL’sMarkVMHDprototypewa5teStedusinga race-traCkshapedmagnetwithastoredenergyof60millionjoules,thelargestintheworld atthetime・Althoughthesystemgenerated500kWitconsumed24MWofthermalenergy inthecombustor:theenergyflowwaSStillhighlynegative.ExperimentsatETLcontinued between1976and1983bringingthetotalbudgetoftheMHDactivitvtDll.4billionyen. 11Y・Aiyama・・・ResearchonsuperconductingmagnetsystemforMHDpr〇二ectinJapan:・Fifth CryogenicEngineeringConference,Surrey,England‥lPCScienceandTeChnologyPress, 1974. ー17- Fiscdyeor 196 6 1967 19 6 8 1969 1970 !97 ! 1ら72 1973 1974 1????…? 】 Expe「im M ork V e[†W =h e[e「G10「 BOSic 「eSeO「Ch for lorgelm Ognel l  l  l Soddlelm 8gne-Ifor M ork Ⅳ*1 1   1 l l llll 4 ・5 T slq d  d l e  m Olgne-*2 1    l 7 T POl n C O k e  m logner Roce fr□Ck*3 m og〔et fo「 l 匝MOrkV ReSeO「Ch o〔lPOW erSUP画 l    I    l Deve,olpm e〔†ofHeTrefrigerOTor* I   I   l 4 M ofe「iolS lels 血   棋   申 lOW reT Per0当S l Superconducling mogneT Acling PGrlners w柚ETL 一日血chi Ud. -Mils〕bishiElec柄c Co「p. 一旬shibo Corp. -Toyo†o MochineWorkS.Lfd. -柚押OnSo〔SO K.K. -KobeSlee上Ltd. -Sumitomo EJecTric InduSfries,いd. *=ES=0.35MJ,Wこ=†0〔;*2)Es=4.5MJ,Wニ76柏∩ *引Esニ60MJ,W=48加;*41LHe2501/hr. Figure2. DistributionandTimeScheduleofR&DContractsintheMHDProgIam MoreimportantlyfbrtheworldofsuperconductivityinJapan,theprqjectallowed manufhcturerstocatchuptotheintemationalstate-Oflthe-artinhighneldmagnets・For superconductingmagnetmakers,thiswastheonlysignincantmarketatthetime・The programhadsuccessfullynurturednrmswhichwould,tOtOday,COntinuetodominatethe SuperCOnductingmagnetindustryinJapan.Italsonurturedtheirsuppliers,aSHitachi Cable’snrstsuperconductingwires,fbrexample,developedoutofworkfbrthisprqject andtookshapeinthe4.5Tmagnet.InthewordsofDr.Aiyama,”Itisnoexaggerationto Saythatalmostallgroupsnow(in1991)activein1arge-SCalesuperCOnductorapplications originatedffomandgrewupwiththisprQject.”12 Theprogramalsosuccessfu11yencouIagedother,nOn-Participatingnrmstoinvest inthetechnology.FujiElectricandFujikurabothindicatedthattheybecameinvoIvedin SuPerCOnductivityasaresultoftheMHDprqiectandToshibainvestedheavilyinitsown developmentofahighfieldmagnet.HitachiandKobeSteelbeganin-houseactivityin 12K・OshimaandY・Aiyama”OP・Cit・,P.19. ー18- heliumliquifhctionmachines,WhichnlledagapleftbyToyodaMachinewhenthenml discontinueditsdevelopmentaftertheprQject’scompletion. Withmagnetdevelopmentprogressingsuccessfu11ythroughtheMIiI)program, individualsinthe窺eldbegancallingfbramorebroadbasedpromotionofthetechnology’s use.In1970,Dr.FusaOMorinotedthattheeffbrtinJapanhadfbcussedtooexclusively OnMHDasanapplication.Hepointedoutthatthereweremanyotherapplications receivinglittleattentionsuchasaccelerators,fusionenergy,andelectricitygeneration,and thatonIythroughamorebroadbasedstrategycouldJapancouldrealizethehopeof surpassingothercountriesinthisneld・13Hisessaywasprescientofdevelopmentsto COme. Gm話′(バC′川の!母相仙南i⊥極所Iド症川プ汀/川/バりギ中′1./‘JIM′l Theincreaseddomesticcapabilityincryogenictechnologiesledtothegradual displacementoffbreigntechnologieswiththosethatweredomesticallydeveloped.For example,OVerthe1960’Sthedomesticcryogenicsindustrydevelopedacompetitive CaPabilityandgraduaHyincreaseditsmarketshare.Mitsubishieventuallysold290f-its unitswithsizesranging丘omlto201iter扉110urbetween1963and1970.Howeveras activityinsuperCOrlductivitypickedupthroughthe1960’S,largermachinesweredesired andweredevelopedbymanufhcturerssuchasHitachi,NipponSanso,DaidoSansoand Teisan.RichardBmndtoftheOmceof-NavalRescarchnotedthatbetween1963and 1967,domesticallyproducedliquinersgradual1ydisplacedimportsintheJapaneSemafket, andaRerl967themarketwasprincipallycomposedofdomesticunits.14 By1970,itwasestimatedthat90groupshadactivesuperconductivityprogramsin Japan,withabouthalfofthesebeinginuniversitiesarldhalfintheprivatesectorand govemmentlaboratories.Approximately490fthesegroupshadtheirownhelium re丘igerators.15 13FusaoMori,〃ChodendoGijutsutoOgataPuro]ekuto,一玉垣地辿,VoJ.5,No.2,1970,P.1. 14RichardBrandt,旦埋旦[!迎旦!担吐血ユ墜虹9拉!旺_虹麺逆担,ONR-28,Arlington,VA:Ofnceof NavalResearch,June1971,P.1. 15RichardBrandt,OP・Cit・,P・2;andK・OshimaandY・Aiyama,OP.C汁・P・14. 一19肩 上のedr九bわrCdr AtaboutthesametimethattheMfDprqjectwasgettingunderway,Japanasa nationwascelebratingitsnrstpost-WarOPPOrtunitytoretumtotheglobalspotlightby hostingthe196401ymPicgames.Ithadbeentwentyyearssincethedestructionofthewar andthenationwantedtoshowthatithadrebuiltitselfandwasreadytordOinthecircleofadvancednations. ExternallyJapanwasmakingoverturestotheintemationalcommunity topromoteitsrevivedstatus,With,fbrexample,thegovernmentgivingupitsspecialtrade statusanditscurrencycontroIstojointheOrganizationfbrEconomicCooperationand Development(OECD).Intemally,thegovernmentwasmakingmajorinvestmentsin infhstruCture,uPgradinggeneralfhcilitiesanditsservices.Animportantsymbolofthe nation’sadvanCeatthistimewasembodiedintheShinkansen,Orbullettrain,Which OpenedjustintimefbrthestartoftheOlymPics. WiththebullettrainrealizedaSthecumulationofadecadeof-development, engineersattheJapanNationalRailway(JNR)werefhcedwiththequestioI10fwhattodo next.In1962,aSthebullettrainprqjectwasnearingcompletion,aSmallgroupof engineersgatheredtoinvestigatealternativeteclm010giesfbrhturevehicularpropulsion. Onesuchalternativewasamagnetical1ybased,linearmotorpropulsionsystem.Although theearlyexperimentswereconductedonaverysmallscalewithcoflVentionalmagfletS,it WaSrealizedthatconventionalmagnetswouldnotprovidethefbrceneededtotransporta Carfu110fpassengersorh・eightathighspeeds,andbythelate1960’S,thedecisionwas madetocontinuewiththeprototypedevelopmentofasuperconductinglinearmotorcar・ ThisprqjectalsoinvoIvedaconsortiaoforganiZntionsintheprivatesector, SOmetimesconductingworkindirectcontractwiththeNationalRailway,andsometimes COOperativelywithothernrms.Threenrmswereselectedastheprincipaldevelopersofthe neededsuperconductingmagnets-Toshiba,Hitachi,andMitsubishiElectriC-thesame magnetdevelopersfbrtheMHDprqject;andthree爪rmswereselectedastheprincipal developersofthewiresandcables-Furukawa,HitachiChble,andSumitomoElectriC. Workonaprototypesuperconductinglinearmotorcarbeganin1970withagoal Ofdemonstratingthetechnologyintwoyearssothatitcouldbeincludedaspartofthe CelebrationfbrthelOOthAnniversaryofJapanNationalRailwayin1972.InMarchof l972successhltestswereconductedwitha2.0tontestvehicle,theLSM-200,Which reachedaspeedof50km41rOnthe220mtesttracksetupintheJNRResearchfhcility. Engineerswereexcitedoverthesuccessofthistechnologybutwerestillastep away丘omapublicdemonstrationastheLSM-200wasjustasteelblockonwheels, lookingmorelikeasteellunchboxthanahafbingerofanadvancedfbrmoftransportation. -20- Withthelinearpropulsionsystemproven,engineersconvertedthelunchboxintoasleeklooking4- SeatCabwhichfloatedoveracentralrailtrack.InOctoberofl972,theML-100 WaSunVeiledatapublicceremonymarkingJNR’slOOthanniversary(MLstandsfbr magneticlevitationandthelOOsigninedthelOOthAmiversaryoftherailway.) Theevolutionoftheteclm0logywillbedescribedinmoredetailinoneofthe fbllowingsectionanalyzingthepoliticsandorganizationoftheprogram.Butbrieny,the PrqjectcontinuedtoevoIveandwashighlightedbytheperfbrmanceoftheML-500 PrOtOtype,WhichonDecember21,1979reachedawoddrecordspeedof517km血ratthe Miyazakitestsite.Thelinearmotorcarprogramcontinuestodaywiththetestingof-a44 PaSSengerPrOtOtyPe,theMLU-002,andtheconstructioIlOfa50kn1teSttraCkin YamanashiPreftcture.Optimisticplanslookfbrtheinitiationofcommercialservice betweenTokyoandOsakabytheyear2000. ∫伊erCO乃血C血ggkcdcウGどれどmOr Thenextmajorpr亘iectthatarosewhichinvoIvedtheuseofsuperconducting elementswasanelectricitygenerationprQjectwithsuperconductingmaterialsusedinthe generator.In1974MITIprovidedaconditionalloan(hqiokingrant)to2nrms,Mitsubishi ElectricandFujiElectriC,tOdevelopa6MVAprototypegenerator.1n1977,thiswas fbllowedbyanve-yearPrOgramfundedthroughasimi1arconditionalloantodevelopa30 MVAgenerator,Withthesametwonrmsastheprincipaldevelopers.Theseprqjects markedtheonlyoccasionstodateinsuperCOnductivityinwhichcompetingsystems rnanufhcturersphysicallycooperatedinthehardwaredevelopmentofasuperCOnducting technology. Onthesetwoelectricitygeneratorprqiects,thesetwo爪rmsmanagedto OperationallycooperateintheconstructionorcommorlPrOtOtyPeS.Inthe6MVAprqject, MitsubishiElectriccontributedthesuperconductingcoilandthestator,andFujiElectric madethenon-SuPerCOnductingrotor.Thebudgetwassplitroughlyevenlybetweenthe twonrms,WithMITIproviding120millionyenandthecompaniescontributing410 mi11ionyen,bringingthetotalsystembudgeH0530mi11ioTlyeIl. Inthe30MVAprqiect,MitsubishiElectricdevelopedthesuperconductingcoil,the StatOrandhalfofthestatorcoils,andtheheliumrefhgerationequipment.F可iElectric againmadethenon-SuperCOnductingrotorandhalfofthestatorcoils.ForthisprQject, rough1yallofthecontributionsdoubledwithMITIproviding250millionyen,andthe nrms820million,bringingtheprqiecttotaltol.07billionyen.ThebudgetswereagaiTI SPlitrough1yinhalfbetweenthetwonrms. ー21- Germany,KWU 藩 串 USSR Japan ミ缶Hitachi 妄缶 GEミロ≒q‥USSR Japan Westinghouse恭 啓  車 MIT USSR 串 USSR 幕 France 1970   1975 1980   1985   1990   1995 Year Figure3. ProgressofSuperCOnductorGeneIatOrDevelopmentinVariousCountries InbothprqjectstheunitswereassembledattheMitsubishiElectricplant. ParticipantscommentedthatitiswasanunuSualinstanceofcompetitorsactual1y COOPeratingwithoutsignincantconflict.Participantsnotedthatam可OrreaSOnfbrthelack Ofconflictwastheimmaturestateoftheteclm01ogyinthewodd,particularlyinJapan. Befbretheprqject,FujiElectrichadexperimentedwiththedevelopmentofa30KVA model,Toshibawasdevelopingasinglepole3MWmodel,andHitachihadjustbegun Withbasicstudiesofthetechnology.Therewerenoleadersintheneldinthecountry, applicationwascleadyfhrinthefuture,andsaleswouldbetoalimited,gOVernment regulatedmafket.MitsubishiElectricandFttiiElectricwereselectedbecausethesetwo nrmswerewi11irlgtObearthegreaterthan75%costsharingrequestedbythegovemment. TheseprQjectskeptJapaninpacewithintemationaldevelopmentsandeventual1y ledtothecreationoftheSUPERGMprQject.Initiatedinl988,theSuperGMPrqjecthas thegoalsofdeveloping70MVAprototypefhstreactionandslowreactiongeneratorsin PreParationfbrscaleuptoa200MVAprototypewhosedevelopmentwouldbeginin1996. Them毎OrdevelopersofthesuperconductingcomponentswereagainMitsubishi,Toshiba, andHitachi,withmostofthem可OrCablemanufhcturersalsoinvoIved. ー22- Thegeneralprogressofsuperconductinggeneratordevelopmentworldwideis SketchedinFigure3. ∫〟perCOn血C血g£JeC細れdgJleJfcP叩〟血の乃∫力わ Anotherprqjecttobeginsignincantdevelopmentintheearly-1970’sisthe electromagneticpropulsion(EMP)ship・Unlikeconventionalpropellorpropulsion,this designtakesadvantageofastationaryelectromagrleticthnlStSyStem.hthissystem,a Currentisinducedinseawaterviaelectrodes,withtheseawaterthenpassingthrougha POWerfu1magnet.Theinteractionofthecurrentandthemagneticneldresultsin momentumbeingimpartedtothewater,Whichappearsasthrusttopropeltheship.One majoradvantageofthisdesignisanincreaseinspeed・Whereaspropellordrivenships haveaspeedlimitofaround40knots,theEMPshiphasatoptheoreticalspeedoflOO bots. Aswasthecasewitheachoftheprevioustechnologiesdiscussedhere,theideafbr thispropulsiondesignwasbomabroad・ThenrstpatentwasnledintheUnitedStatesby W・A・Ricein1961・By1966,S・WayatWestinghousedemonstratedasmallmodelship Whichusednormalconductingmagnetsfbrpracticalapplications.However,their Calculationsrevealedthatextremelyhighmagneticneldswouldbeneeded,andthesecould Onlybedeliveredbysuperconductingmagnets. TheniTltheearly-1970’S,areSearChteamcombinirlguniversityandindustrial laboratoriesinitiatedexperimentsinJapan.KawasakiHeavyIndustries,OsakaUniversity andKobeUniversitybeganthenrstprototypeaCtivityinJapan.Thiswotkwaslargely fhndedbytheMinistryofEducation’sSpecialPrqjectResearchGrants. Theirworkledin1976tothenrstdemonstrationofasuperconductingEMPship, theSMED-1・Thistestprototypeusedasmal1superconductingcoilandwasprincipally COnStruCtedasaprooforconceptmodel.Theprototypewasimprovedtoamoretruetolifb Shipdesign,andinAugustl979theST-500wastestrunintheopenwater.TheST-500 WaS3・6meterslong,Weighed700kg,uSeda2.0telsasuperconductingmagnetmadeby KawasakiHeavyIndustries,andhadaspeedofl.75knots. DevelopmentinJapanoftheEMPshipacceleratedinJuneof1985whentheJapan FoundationfbrShipbuildingAdvancementinitiatedamoreambitiousprototype developmentprogram・UndertheirSuperconductingElectromagneticPropulsionShip StudyCommitteeandwithnnancirlg丘omtheJapanShipbuildingIndustryFoundation, theybegandevelopmentoftheYamatoIexperimentalship・TheYamatoIisdesignedto CarrylOpassengersandis30meterslong,Weight150tons,andwilltravelat8knots 胃23- usingtwosuperconductingmagnetswithastrengthof4telsa・ThesuperCOnductingcoils wereprovidedbyToshibaandMitsubi血iHeavyIndustries,withMitsubishiHeavy Industriesalsoinchargeofoveral1shipconstruction.Theoveral1costofconstructingthe shipisestimatedat3billionyen,16andseatestingoftheprototypeisscheduledtobeginin earlyl992. 戌g九g乃ど堵yPd而cJeAccele用わr ThelargestofthesewasthenationalprqiectinvoIvingtheuseofsuperCOnductin materialsfbrtheresearchofparticlephysicsattheNationalIAboratoryfbrHigh-Energy Physics(Ko-E′lerugiButsurigakuKenkyLdo,KEK)inTsukuba・Heresuperconducting magnetsprovideboththehighneldsnecessaryfbracceleration,aSWellasfbrparticle detection・A12GeVsynchrotronwascompletedin1976withthedeliveryofthenrst superconductingmagnet,aMuonChannelMagnetmanufhcturedbyFurukawaElectricin 1980.Betweenl981and1985,fburothersuperconductingmagnetswereadded,One manufhcturedbyMitsubishiElectriC,OnebyHitachi,andtheothertwobyFurukawa ElectriC,andin1986theTRISTANfhcility,anelectron-POSitroncollidingaccelerator,WaS completed・By1991thefhcilityhadincorporated17superconductingmagnetsanda superconductingcavityfbrarangeofphysicsexperiments・MitsubishiElectricand Toshibaeachsuppliedatotaloffburmagnets,Hitachithree,FurukawaElectricthree, Ishikawqjima-Harimaone,andKEKitselfmanufhcturedtwo.Alistofthemagnetsis PrOVidedinAppendixA. 凡JCねαrF〟∫0乃 Thelargestpotentialmarketfbrsuperconductingmaterialsingeneralmaybeitsuse innuclearfusion,iftheprocessiseverrealized.MainstreamresearchinthisareainvoIves thefusionofdeutriumatomsordeutriumandtritiumatomsatextremelyhightemperatures. lnthisprocesstheatomsareheatedtoextremelyhightemperaturesuntiltheelectronsare Strippedo札creatingaplasmaof丘eeelectronsandatomicnuclei・Undernormal conditionsthesenucleiwouldrepeleachotherbecauseoftheircommonpositivecharge・ Howeverthehightemperaturesinthereactorexcitethesenuclei,impellingthemtosmash intoeachotherathighspeedsandfusingintoonenuclei.Thisfusionreleasesalarge amountofkineticenergyintheneutronscreated,andthisenergycanbecapturedand 16”SekaihatsunoChodendoSen,”YomiuriShimbun,June12,1991. 胃24- COnVertedintoheatandelectricity・Toadlievethefusionreaction,however,temperatureS OntheorderofalmndredofmilliondegreesKelvinarerequired. Thetemperaturesaresohighthattheprocesscannotbecontainedbysolidsurfhces, asthesesurfhceswouldmelt.Tocontainthefusionreaction,then,SCientistshavetumedto theuseofhighmagneticnelds. BecauseneldsgreaterthanlOtelsaarerequired,nOrmalmagnetsareinadequatefbr fusioncontainment.Instead,SuPerCOnductingmagnetsmustbeusedtoachievethe COnditionsneeded.Evenwiththeneldintensitiesmadeavailablethroughsuperconducting magnets,theoverallmagneticsystemisanticipatedtobeverylarge,greaterthanl0,000 tons,WhichisonehalfthetotaldesignweightofJapan’splannedFusionExperimental Reactor(FER).Withaconventionalmagnet,jouleheatinginthemagnetwouldleadtoa SyStemrequiring2,000MWofpower,Whichwouldbenvetimesthethermaloutputofthe reactor.Withasuperconductingsystem,theelectricpowerneededfbrthehelium refhgerationsystemwouldbearound30MW.17 PlansfbranuclearfbsionprograminJapanbegantoacceleratesoonaftertheoil Shockoftheearly1970’S.AnAdvisoryCommitteeonNuclearFusionhadbeen establishedin1958withintheAtomicPowerCommission,andin1968aBasicProgram fbrResearchandDevelopmentofNuclearFusionwasissuedbythethenrenamedAtomic EnergyCommission・However,itwasnotuntilthemid-1980’sthattheactivityrosetothe pri0rityofasignincantnationalprqject. Intheautumnofl974theIntemationalEnergyAgency(IEA)wasestablishedinthe OrganizationfbrEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(OECD),andwithintheIEAa FusionPowerCoordinatingCommitteewascreated.Themandateofthecommitteewasto COmeuPWithaproposalfbrinteractioncoopeIationinR&I).Duringthesameperiod,a FusionCouncilwasestablishedintheJapanAtomicEnergyCommissionanddiscussions WereinitiatedoverafhsionR&Dstrategy.18Thenin1975,theNuclearPowerAdvisory CommitteetotheJapanAtomicEnergyResearchInstitute(JAERI)recommendedthe initiationofanationaleffbrttopursuefusionasanenergysourcefbrthenation’Sfuture. InMarchofl975theIEAcameupwithR&Dproposalswhichincludedahrge CoilTask(LCT),aPrOgramintendedtotestatoroidalarrangementoflarge SuperCOnductingcoils.JapanjoinedtheUnitedStates,Euratom,andSwitzerlandandthe 17S・Shimamoto,・・DeveJopmentofSuperconductingMagnetforFusionPower,dPresentedat FirstlnternationalConferenceonHighTemperatureSuperconductiv吋,August28-31,1988, Nagoya,Japan,PP.4349. 18K・OshimaandY・Aiyama”OP・Cit・,P・22-24・ 一25- LCTprogramWaSStartedin1977・Prof二Yasukochi,ProftssoratNihonUniversityand ChairmanOftheSuperCOnductingMaterialsSubcommitteeintheFusionCouncil,tOOkthe leadinplanningJapan’sparticipation,withtheadmimistrationfbrmal1yshiftingtoanew SuperconductingMaterialsSectionintheFusionDivisionoftheJapanAtomicEnergy ResearchInstitute.Dr.S.Shimamotowasitsnrsthead. WithJAERIinchargeofthetoroidalneldsystemandHitachi,Ltd・reSpOnSiblefbr manufhcturingtheNbSn3magnet,theLCTcoilwasdeliveredtothetestsiteattheOak RidgeNationalIJaboratoryintheUntiedStatesinNovemberl982.Itwastestedalong Withfivemagnetsfiomothercountriesandthecoilproduceda12telsaneldat6・5kA・ WhilethetoroidalcoilsystemwasbeingdevelopedbyJAERI,ETLtooktheinitial leadinpoloidalcoildevelopment.A4MJcoilwasdevelopedintheearly1980’S,after WhichtimethetechnologywastransfbrredtotheJAERIDemonstrationPoloidalCoil Program.ThecoilwasmanufhcturedbyMitsubishiElectricandwasdesignedtohavea StOredenergyof40MJandapulsedneldrateof7telsa在econd. ln1986,theTriamfhsionreactor,Japan’sTokamakmachine,begaT10Perationat KyushuUniversity.Thereactorisdesignedwithastoredenergyof76MJanda maximumneldoflltelsa.TheToroidalmagnetismadeofNbSn3,manufhcturedby Hitachi,andhaSaCurrentCaPaCityof6,000A.Inearlytestsitgeneratedaplasmacurrent orO.5MA. InthisperiodtheMinistryofEducationalsojoinedinpromotingtheneld,initiating al0-yearFusionResearchProgramthroughtheSpeCialResearchPrqjectFundin1980. 0verthelOyearterm,7.145billionyeninresearchgrantsweredistributedthroughthis progmm・19 J〟pgrCO乃血cf肺e〟d乃山間gJeCけ0乃ic∫-〟i肺Jり可g血CのOn In1979,thenrstgovemmentprqjectdirectedtowardelectronicsapplicationsof SuperCOnductivitywasinitiatedbytheMinistryofEducation.Thiswasaspecialresearch PrOgramOn”SuperconductiveQuantumElectronics”andwasfundedat681millionyen OVerthreeyears.Eachyeartherewereanaverageof25themeswitheachthemeinvoIving aboutfiveresearchers,andwiththem互iorityoftheresearchfbcussingonthefhbricationof Josephsonjunctions.Theresearchersexperimentedwithavarietyofleadandniobium 19”KakuyogoTokubetsuSogoSokatsuhanJigyoHokoku迷姐地建迦血痕址遇弛由建適軋 Tokyo:Monbusho,1980-1989. 一26- alloysandjunctiontypes,SuChastunneljunctionsandtunnelandcoplanarbridge junctions. Oneofthemoreimportanteffbctsofthisprogramwasthatitprovidedabaseof domesticexperiencewiththisteclm0logy,andasourceofdata丘omwhichsubsequent Prqjectscoulddraw・KoHara,Prqjectleader,nOtedthat”Asaresultofthespecialresearch Pr亘iect,thelaboratoriesofNTT,MITIandindustryhavenowbeguntheirownresearch PrOgramS・Wehaveagoodexpansionoftheresearchworksincetheprqjectbegan.,,20 〟月T∫呼erCO〝撃〟柁rPrのeCトJo∫甲九0乃九乃CfO乃∫ MITI’snrstprogramaddressingsuperconductingeiectronicdevicesbegantOtake fbrmin1980asitwasinvestigatirlgneWOPtionstoincreasethepoweroflarge-SCale COmPuterS・Bythemid-1970’sIBMhaddevelopedaratherlarge-SCaleeffbrttodevelop Josephsonjunctiontechnologyasameansofattainingfhsterswitchingspeedsintheir COmPuterS・ByusingJosephsonjunctionsratherthansemiconductors,theswitchingspeed Cantheoretical1ybereducedby100-fbld,therebyvastlyimprovingthecomputingpowerof acomputer・ TheJapanesegovemmentandthem毎OrCOmPuternmShadspenttheprevioustwo decadesusingIBMasatargetandinspirationfbrtheirpolicies,21andthistechnologywas anotherintheline.In1981,MITIinitiatedalOyearlongSupercomputerPrqiectunderits Large-ScaleR&DPrQjectsystemtohelpJapanesenrms’’catchup’’withIBM.Aspartof thisprQject,theresearchersinvestigatedthreetypesofswitchingdevices,Ofwhichthe Josephsonjunctionwasone.TheworkonthisJosephsorljunctiontechnologywillbe exploredinmoredetaillater. 〃oveJ∫岬grCO乃血C血g肋JeridJ∫-〟i′のり〆どのCの0乃 In1981,Prof.K.YasukochiconvincedtheMinistryofEducationtosponsortwo WOrkshopstodiscussthepossibilityofabroaderprogramtosearchfbrsuperconductivity innewmaterialS.Prof.Yasukochihadaninterestinthelargenumberofnon-rePrOducible reportsofhighertemperaturesuperconductivityandfbltthatasystematicprogramto investigatealtemativematerialswouldbeveryusefulinsortingouttheirpromise.Thenrst 20KoHara、Proceedin sofS m osiumonSu erconductiveQuantumEtectronics Con†erence heldatthelnternationalHouseofJapan,August30-31,1982.Tokyo:MinistryofEducation. 21MarieAnchordoguy,工b旦_S強迫j坦旦エ垣上垣蛙堕通塾虚埴_旦址己短さ堕[吐出狙建主星9皿凶垣[ 辿也Ph.D.Dissertation,1986. 胃27胃 WOrkshopwastitledNovelTypesofSuperconductivityandwasfbllowedin1982bya SeCOndworkshoptitledNewSuperconductingMaterialS・Duringthenrstworkshop researchonsuperCOnductivityathomeandabroadwasreviewedtoclarifythestateof researchinthisneld.Researchersconcludedthatintheasesofvirtuallyallnovel materials,SudlaStemaryCOmPOunds,inorgamics,Organics,andamorphousnlms,there WereSignificantshortcomingsinthetheoriesofmaterialbehavior.Thusanyfurtherwork intheneldneededtocouplethetheoreticalandexperimentalwork.Atthesecond WOfkshop,reSearCheISPreSentedplanstoexpandresearchinthisneld,withafbrmal PrOpOSalbeingsubmittedtotheMOEin1983.22 In1984theMOElaunchedathreeyearprogramtOSuPPOrtthesearchfbrnew SuPerCOnductingmaterialS.Thiswasthenrstm毎OrgOVemmentPrOgramWhichhadasone OfitsexplicitgoalsthediscoveryofmaterialsthatsupercoIlductathightemperatures,with theeventualhopeof丘ldingamaterialthatsuperconductsatroomtemperature.Itwas underfunding丘omthisprogramthatProf.Tanakaconductedhisexperimentswhich COnnrmedtheIBM-Zurichdiscovery. Atthispointthetechnologywasgaininggreaterrecognitionasonethatcouldbe realisticallyappliedtoavarietyofsystemsanddevices,withthema正etsfbr SuPerCOnductingcablesandwirescontinuingtogrow. ダir∫fg呼erC(用血C血g上)eVice♪rd瑚OrCom〝1どγC血相ね止れ 〟dgndc尺e∫0乃α乃Ce血αgJ〝g In1984,thenrstJapanesenrmenteredtheMagneticResonancelmaging(MRl) market,aCOmmerCialtechnologywhoseperfbrmancecanbesubstantial1yupgradedwith theuseofasuperconductingmagnet.Inthisyear,FurukawaElectricteamedwithOxfbrd TechnologiesandbeganmanufhcturingandmarketingMRIdevicesinJapan.Soonafter, SeVeralotherJapanesenrmsintroducedtheirownversions,andinthelate-1980’ssales grewrapidly. MRIworksbytakingadvantageoflargeneldmagnetstoproduceimagesof tissuesiTlthehumanbody.23ITlthistechnique,amagneticneldisnrstappliedtothe 22SakaoNakajima,“HistoricalSurvey:塾琶幽地山垣短軸垣」去蛤巳_S如堅ユS.Nakajima andH.Fukuyamaeds.,Tokyo:JapaneseJournalofAppliedPhysics,1988,PP.lJl.-V. 23ThisdescriptionwasaidedbyverycJearandmoredetaileddescriptionsprovidedin PublicationsincludingthefollOWlng:RandySimonandAndrewSmith,塾迫旦[匹[唾些!旦!旦New York:PlenumPress,1988,PP.203-210;andChirtT.Moonen,et.ar.,FunctionaLMagnetic ResonancelmaglnginMedicineandPhysiology:旦⊆垣口旦蔓,Vol.250,October5,1990,p.p.53- -28- regionofthebodytobeimaged・Thiscausesatomsinthebody,mOStnObblythe hydrogenatoms,tOalignwiththeneld・Thenabriefburstofenergyisappliedtoscramble theatomicalignments・Whenthepulseofenergyceases,theatomsretumtoalignment Withthemagneticneld,andwhenthishappens,aSmallamountofenergylSreleased.The 丘equencyoftheenergydependsonthetypeofatomemittingtheenergy.Inaddition,the SPeedatwhichthesemoleculesretumtotheiralignmentsishigh1yinnuencedbythelocal Chemicalenvironmentandthemobilityofthemolecules.Thusbymeasuringthe Characteristicsofatomicrealignmentthecompositionofthetissuecanbeimaged. MRIcomplementstheuseofX-Rayanalysisandprovidesamoredetailedmapof tissuethanavailablewithultrasound.X-Raysarestilltheprefbrredteclmiquefbr examinationoffhcturesandskeletalのnormalities,buttissueislargelytransparenttothis technique.AndunlikeMRI,X-Raystendtodamagecellsinthebodywhenapplied. UltrasoundisatissueimagingteclmiquelikeMRIandisalsononinvasive,butdoesnot OtTbrspatialresolutionthatisashigh.Ultra50und,fbrexample,hasdimcultyinimaglng deepandsmallvessels,Particularlythosenearthebone. TheapplicationofMRIrequiresthatrelativelyhighmagneticneldsbeavailableto Obtainthedesiredatomicmovementsdescribedal)OVe.Thesehighneldmagnetsdonot havetobesuperconducting,andinfhct,thenrstcommercialMRIunitsusedconventional magnets.However,themagneticneldmustnotonlybestrongandunifbrm,butmustbe Stable,Withvariationsoflessthanonepartinami11ionfbrperiodsthatcanbelongerthan anhour.ThepersistentcurrerltSinsuperconductingmagnetsprovidesuchanabilityto keepneldsconstant.Inaddition,SuPerCOnductingmagnetsaremorecompactand lightweightthanconventionalmagnets,Whichmakesthemaccessibleandeasiertoinstallin existinghospitalspaces.CurrentneldstrengthsusedinMRIdevicesrangefromO.5telsa to2.Otelsa,WithJapanesemanufhcturersparticularlystronginthemanufhcturerofthe smallermachines. Animportantpointinthedevelopmentofthistechnologyisthatinthismarket, Whichwouldsoonbecomethelargestmafketfbranapplicationofsuperconductivity,the govemmenthadnodirectpromotionalpolicies:thismarketwa5nOtaidedbygovemment fbresight.However,themanufhcturersofthesuperCOnductingmagnetsandtheleading MRImanufhcturersarethesamenrmsthathavebeenraisedonpastsuperconductivity PrOgramS.Bymaintainingasetofcompetitivenrmsinthisgenerictechnology,the governmentindirectlyaidedtheirtimelyandsuccessfu1entryintothisneld. 61;andJuriMatisoo∵TheSuperconductingComputer,”塾迫吐鍵血塊担lMay1980,PP.38- 53. ー29胃 ∫〟PerCOn血C血g肋g乃dcどれeW∫rordge Intheearly-1980’S,againspurredbyactivityoversefLS,utilitiesandnrmSbeganto takeamoreseri0usinterestintheuseofsuperconductorsfbrenergystorage. SuperconductingMagnetEnergyStorage(SMES),PrOVidesaveryemcientaltemativeto thestorageofenergywhichisparticularlyattractivetopowerutilities・Duringthecourseof theday,thedemandfbrelectricitycanvarygreatly,beinghighonamid-Summer aftemoon,fbrexample,Whenairconditioninguseishigh,andlowinthemiddleofthe night,Whenmostofthecountryisasleep.Toaccommodatethesechanges,plantsmustbe operatedatlessthanCapaCityormustemploysupplementarypowerequipment,Whichis lessemcientthantheprimarygenerationequipment.Anotheroptionistoruntheplantsat fullcapacityaroundtheclock,andtostoretheenergywhenthedemandislowsothatitcan beusedlaterwhendemandpeaks,aPrOCeSSknownas”peakleveling.” Pumpedwaterstorageiscommonlyusedfbrsuchapurpose.Inthisschemewhere waterispumpedfromalowerreservOirtoanelevatedreservoirduringperiodsoflow electricitydemandandreleasedtorunbackdownthroughhydroturbineswhendemandis high.However,Whereastheemciencyofapumpedhydrosystemistypicallyontheorder Of65-75%,theemciencyofaSMESsystemcanbehigherthan90%・ In1986,35nrmsandutilitiesjoinedtofbrmthe”ChodendoEnerugiChozo Kenkyukai,”(ResearchAssociationofSuperconductingMagneticEnergyStorage (RASMES)).ThepurposeoftheAssociatioIIWaStOdifnLSeiflfbrmationaboutthe technology,lobbyfbrsupportofthisteclm0logy丘omthegovemment,andtoproposea Strategyfbrthenatiorlaldevelopmentofthetechnology. Theinitialmembersoftheassociationincludedsixutilityorganizations,tWelve manufhcturers,eightconstructionnrms andfburconsultingcompanies.Studiesthathave beenconductedbytheassociationhaveincludedtheplanningofa50MJtestplant,a20 MWhprototypeplant,anda5GWhcommercialplantwithapplicationofSMEStothe powersystem・ Inanattempttoprodthegovernmentintoaction,theassociationpresenteda10- yearSMESdevelopmentplaninJuneofl989whichcalledfbrtheprototypedevelopment Of-completel00-1,000kWandl,000-10,000kWSMESsystems.Thebudgetproposed WaS40-50billionyen.24 24’’DenryokuChozosochilOnendeJitsuyoka:金運虹地,June22,1989,P.1. - 30 - Inthelate-1980’S,nrmSandutilitiesbegantocooperativelyinvestinhardwareto beginsmallscaleprototypetestingtodemonstratethefiasibilityofthetechnology.h 1988,ChubuElectricUtilityjoinedwithHitachitodevelopalMJSMESconstructedwith apulsedsuperconductingmagnet・In1991,theElectricPowerDevelopmentCompany joinedToshibatodevelopal6kJdevice,andalsoinl991MitsubishiElectriCin COOPerationwithKansaiElectricPowerbeganexperimentswithalOkJprototype.25 (〇皇U的已c】S訟しぎ田U叫;UぎΣ Figure4. ProgressofSuperCOnductingMagneticFieldStrength (Adapted丘omShimpeiMatsuda,et.al.,”HitachiSeisakushono ChodendoGijutsunoTenbo,”坦圭主型垣上知型辺,Vol.71,July1989,P.4) 25HidekiFujita,〃PowerSystemControlExperimentUsinglMJSMES,Proceedingsofthe2nd lnternationalSymposiumonSuperconductiv吋(]SS’89),November14-17,1989,PP.1041- 1046;〝Denhatsu-ToshibagaShikin-ChodendoEnerugiChozosochi:Ⅱ蛙旦L塁麺皿迎旦旦吐血塾凪 February4,1991,P.17;anCドChodendoChikudenwoJishaJikken,’地鎚但旦b止血担, June12,1991,P.19. -31- A魚erasubsequentyearofnegotiation,aCOreSetOftwentynrmswerefbrmedinto aResearchAssociationwithcommitmentextracted丘omMITIfora10-yearSMES researchanddevelopmentprQjectundertheMoonlightProgram.26Again,theprincipal SupPliersofsuperconductingtechnologywillbeHitachi,Toshiba,HitachiCable, Furukawa,andSumitomoElectriC.Thegoaloftheprqiectistodevelopal00kW-hr prototype.Theoverallprqjectfundingisestimatedtobe25billionyen. 血creαのgg坤erCO乃血C血g〟d即融C岬の倣肺 Throughthecombinationoftechnologypromotionprogramsandtechnology purchasing一throughacombinationoftechnologypushanddemandpull-theperfbrmance OflargesuperconductingmagnetsinJapansteadilyincreasedoverthepasttwodecades. Throughcontinuoussupportof’thesamesetofのbleandwiremanufhcturersandsameset Ofsystemsdevelopers,andthroughcontinuinginnovationinthesenrms,theindustryin JapanisnowproduciElgafgLLablythebesttechno】ogyintheworld.Theprogressof magneticstrengthandenergylevelovertimeissummarizedinFigure4. ThelevelsofperfbrmanCeCanbeexpectedtocontinuetoincreaseasdemanding usessuchasNuclearFusionandMagneticEnergyStoragecontinuetoadvance.Nuclear Fusion,fbrexampleisinthemidstofam可Ordevelopmentandtestingprogram.Forthe nextstageoffusionexperiments,JAERIisinthemiddleof-itsJT-60program.ThisTable invoIvesdevelopinga12Tlargediameter(10-15m)DCtoroidalcoil,a7Tlargediameter (5-20m)pulsepoloidalcoil,anda12-13Tlargediameter(3-4m)pulsesolonoidcoil.27 ThisprQjectwillalsobringadvancesintheaccompanyingcryogenictechnologyas300 Mlr,1,200Wheliumrefhgeratordevelopedin1981willhavetobescaleduptoa3,000 ∽lr,10kwunitfbrexperimentsplannedintheearly-1990’S,andeventuallytoa9,000Vhr, 30kWunitanerl996fbrtheFusionExperimentalReactor.28 FimCo几Ce融rのon,わ〟は如JeCooperの0乃 Inourdiscussionofthehistoryofsuperconductivity,WenOtedthatanumberof R&DprogramshavebeensupportedbythegovernmentwhichinvoIvedthedevelopment OfLTS.Table3summarizedtheprincipalparticipantsingovemmentprogramsinvoIving 26TheresponsefromMmisthattheprqjectisptannedintwodistinctphases,WithonJythefirst fiveyearphasereceivingMmcommitmentattheoutset. 27Gens屈γ0血侮∩ゆ叫0,.伯方岬叩0侮∩吋U伯伽bUnOGe′舟.June1990. 28Gens柄γ0仙Ken吋母0,.侮kUy岬OKen吋UKの/価SUnOGe/ガ0198ダ,P.90. ー32- Table3. PrimaryFirmsinGovemmentProgramsThatInvoIvedtheDevelopmentor UseofSuperconductingMaterials Prqject Firms MagnetohydrodynamicGenerator LinearMotorCar 6MVAGenerator 30MVAGenerator Supercomputer- JosephsonJunctions ElectromagneticPropulsionShip SuperGM(70MVAGenerators) SuperconductingMagneticEnergy Storage HitachiLtd.,MitsubishiElectric HitachiLtd.,MitsubishiElectriC, Toshiba FujiElectriC,MitsubishiElectric FujiElectriC,MitsubishiElectric HitachiLtd.,Fttjitsu,NEC Toshiba,MitsubishiHeavyInd. HitachiLtd.,MitsubishiElectric Toshib Many thedevelopmentofLTSwhichwereinitiatedbefbre1986. Inallcases,COOrdinationprimari1ytookthefbrmofdividingtheresponsibilitiesfbr tasksbetweentheprincipalperfbrmers.Thisbriefreviewofhistoryshowthatasageneral ru1ecooperationdidnotinvoIveworkatacommonfhcilitynordiditinvoIvedependencies betweennrmswithcompetitivemarketinterests.competitorsconductedtheirR&D SeParately.Inthecasestudiesthatfbllowinlatersectionsofthisreport,Iwillexamine evidenceofcollaborationbetweencompetitorsinmoredetai1. Sul11111こ廷ゝ ThisdiscussionofthehistoryoftheLTSindustryinJapan,hasattemptedto providesomesenseoftherangeofprqjectsandpoliciesthathavecontributingtobuilding uptheindustryoftoday.Wedonotseeanoverarchingcentralpolicytodevelopthis material,butanumberofdiffbrentprqiectssponsoredbyanumberofdiffbrent Organizationstoexploittheadvantagesofthismaterial’sperfbrmancefbrspecincuses. ー33胃 Weseethatthesamepnncipalorganizationsaren・equentlyinvoIvedinsupplying thesuperCOnductingsystemsacrossthevarioustechnologies,andthatthereareusually severalnrmsinvoIved,nOtjustone.Itwouldbeamistakehowever,tOCOnCludethat continuedparticipationisguafanteedbythegovemment・F可iElectricwasoneofthenrst oftheJapanesenrmstowofkwithMITIonearlyprototypeSOfthesuperconducting generatorintheeady-1970’S,butitgraduallylostitsfbotingascompetingnrmsinvested moreinthistechnologyandwasmostrecentlyexcluded丘omtheSuperGMProgram・ Althoughparticipationinthegovernmentprogramprovidessomebarriertoentry fbrtheparticipants,thisisnotnecessarilysofbrsystemsdevelopersinnewmarkets・The MRImarkethasdevelopedwithalmostnodirectaid丘omthegovemment・Although1ed bynrmstraditionallystronginsuperconductivitysuchasHitachiarldToshiba,neWCOmerS suchasShimadzuare丘ndingthistobeaprontablemarket,andoldtimerssuchasFuji Electricarenndingthatinspiteoftheirexperience,aShortlagintryingtoenterthismad(et hasmadepenetrationverydimcult. Bytheendof1986,then,aVarietyofpubliclysupportedprqjectshadthecombined effbctsofestablishingasmallbutintemational1ycompetitivesuperconductivityindustry COmPOSedofthenation’smajorcableandwiremakersandsystemsmanufhcturers・Rather thanprimarilythroughateclmologypushofthematerial’sdevelopment,however,the industryalsogrewthroughprocurementsingovemmentprqjects.AsRichardBrandt notedinhisreporttotheOfnceofNavalResearchin1971,fbrexample,theMHDprqject PrOVidedamarketthatenabledparticipationinsuperconductivitybyanumberof-nrms, whichwouldnothavebeenpossiblewiththeotherwiselimitedmarket・29Thepullof govemmentprocurementhashadacontinuingroleinthedevelopmentofsuperconductivity throughthe1970’sand1980’sandhas,aSWeWillsee,beenboostedintothe1990’sby thedevelopmentofIITS. Finally,aSbackgroundtothenationalprqjectsofthe1980’sand1990’S,this historyshowsthatcollaborationinresearcharlddevelopmentwasnotthenorm.Withthe Principalactorssmal1innumber,theriskhigh,andthetechnologiestypicallyataprimitive StateOfdevelopment,Wemighthaveexpectedtoseemorecollaborationoccurring.Some Verticalrelationshipsdeveloped,butthenrms丘omthesamesectorspreftrredtoact independentlywhentheycould,COmpetingmorethancooperating. 29RichardBrandt,OP・Cit・,P・2・ -34胃 LirLearMotor Car InthissectionIwi11reviewthelinearmotorcarprograminmoredetailasit PrOVidesanillustrationofboththeuseofcoll血rationandcompetitiontopromote technologydevelopmentandtheinterplaywithpoliticswhichhasprovenessentialtothe COntinuedsupportoftheprqject.Inthisprqject,teClm010gicalcooperationwillbeseento belimited,grOuPed,andintemal1yrational一themeswhichwi11continuallyr翰Ppearinthe lateranalysisofprqjectsin1980’sand1990’S. AsintroducedinthehistoriCalreview,theresearchprogramintothistechnology beganin1962astheShinkansen(bullettrain)prograJnWaSnearingcommercialoperation andasengineersintheJRResearchhboratorybeganexploringalternativesfbrthenext evolutioningroundtransportationtechnology.TheShinkansenwasdesignedtobeableto travelatspeedsnear200klTVhrwhichatthetimewasconsideredaphenomenalleapover the50-60kmAlrSPeedsofconventionaltrains.However,designingatraintotravelmuch fhsterposedproblemsfbrdesigners.Higherspeedbringshigherlevelsof丘ictionand WeartOthewheelsaswellashighlevelsofnoiseandvibration.Higherspeedsalsopose PrOblemsintransftrringcurrenttothetraintopropelthevehicle.Thegeneralsenseof-the engineersatthelaboratorywasaspeedofjustover300kIMlrWOuldbethemaximum achievablewithaconventionaltraindesign.30,31 Amagrleticpropulsionsystemhadtheadvantagesofeliminatingtheserestrictions OnSpeedasthevehiclewouldnoatabovetheguidewayandtheenergycouldbeprovided fromthetrack.Thusin1962engineeringattheJRResearchLゐoratoryengineersbegan benchlevelexperimentswithalinearmotorsystem.Thetechnologyitselfhadbeenknown SirlCethediscoveryoftherotarymotorbuthadlargelyremainedunexploited.h1945a linearpropulsionsystemhadbeenproposedfbrthelaunchingofrocketsandmissles.But itwasnotuntil1966thattwoAmericansattheBrookhavenNationalIaboratory,J.R.Paul andG.R.Danby,Publi血edanoverviewofamagneticallylevitatedtrainusing SuPerCOnductirlgmagnetS.Thisaddedmomentumtoargumentsfbrthedevelopmentofthis teclm0logyinJapan. Throughthe1960’S,eXperimentsonthelinearmotordesignprogressedvery Slowly.Thebenchscaledevicewasscaleduptoabackyardscaletestfhcility,butwork WaSeXeCutedatarelativelylowlevelofpri0rity. 30TetsudoSogoGijutsuKenkyuujo,Bini胼.Tokyo:Seibunsha,1988. 31TheFrenchTGVconventionalhighspeedtrainsystemoperatesat270km伽ondedicated trackbuthaspIansinplacetoincreasespeedsto350km爪rbytheendofthecentury.Theyalso COnSideranoperatingspeedof400km伽tobepossible.(BarryJones,TheNewGenerationof High-SpeedTrains:通蜃I逆生9上堕1上垣ヱ旦迫エ辿旦D蔓,October31,1990.) 胃35 - ThencZLmetheWorld’sFhirinOsakainl968,withmillionsofnationaland intemationalguestsmakingthevoyagedown丘omTokyotoviewtheintemational exposition.Thelargevolumeofpassengersservicesnotonlyresultedinanincreased awarenessgenerallyoftheconvemienceofthishighspeedservice,butovedoadedthe Shinkansensystem,increasingawarenessthatcapacitywasnnite・By1969voiceswere cal1ingagainfbranexpandedandfhsterfbrmofservicetoeventuallysucceedthe Shinkansen.ThenextgoalwastravelbetweenTokyoandOSakainonehour,butthis WOuldrequiremaximumspeedsofaround500・550km41r・ TheTechnicalAdvance AttheJRResearchhboratory,YoshiyasuKyotani,headengineerinthesurvey group,1edastudyteamwhichconcludedthattoprovidethisservicethelinearmotorcar wouldbethebestoption,arldthattheperfbrmancedesiredcouldonlybeprovidedthTOugh theuseofsuperCOnductivity.Conventionalmagnets,fbrexample,COuldonlyprovide enoughneldstrengthtolinthecarlcmのovetheguideway.Inthislandoffrequent earthquakes,thiswouldnotprovideenoughclearancefbrsafboperationshouldthetracks Shift.Instead,aClearanceoflOcmwasdesired,andthiscouldonlybeachievedbyusing superconductingmagnets・32,33 32Thedecisiontoemploysuperconductingmagnetsmayhavebeentheappropriateoneg-Ven thescaleofthetransportationsystemandconcernsaboutearthquakes.landmovementand SnOWalongthepathofthelinearmotorcar,butRalsoIeavesspacefortheprograrn’scompetitors toexploitmarketsfortheiralternativesintheinterim.Japan’sothe用nearmotorcar,theHSST,has beenunderdeveropmentsince1974byaconsortiumofcompaniesknownastheHSST Corporation.ltwastrave”edtheInternationalExpositionCirc血overthepast5yearsglVlngrides tothousandsofcuriousfairgoers.haddition,theGermanygovernmenthasbeensupportinga COnSOrtiumoffirmsknownas”MagnetbahnTransrapid”forthedevelopmentofalinearmotorcar knownastheTransrapid,alsosince1974.BoththeHSSTandtheTransrapidaremuchcl0SertO COmmerCiaIapplicationthanJR’slinearmotorcar.Bothuseconventionalmagnets,WhichIimits thelifttoIcm,incontrasttothelOcmofthelinearmotorcar,andconsequentlyreducesthe marginforerrorandthespeed.Howeverforshortdistancesandstableterrainsthismaybemore thanadequate.. TheHSSThasachievedaspeedof307knVhrandtheTransrapidhasreportedaspeed Of412km/hr.(ThetopspeedwithpassengersfortheHSSTisstiHllOkm/hr,Whereasthe412 knVhrTransrapidtestwaswithpassengers.) lnJapan,HSSThasachievedagreementtoconstructalOkrntrackinAichiPrefecture thatwouJdbedesignedforinnerc吋use.Anotherpotentialapplicationwouldbearoutethat WOUld臨kNar托aandHanedalnternationatAirportsnearTokyowiththeCity’scenter.HSSThas hadmoresuccess,however,OutSideofJapan.In1989itinitiatednegotiationswiththecityofLas Vegas,Nevadafora7kmtrackconnectingthecQltOitsairport,andinJuJy1990.theHSST Corporationannouncedthatithadobtainedac°ntraCttOteStthefeasibiLityofa21kmlinewhich WOuldconnectMoscowwkhitsSheremetyevoJnternationalAirport.aJIowingthecommutetobe madein15minutes.(”JapantoBuildaMagneticTrainforMoscow,-I地生し上垣越旦ユ地迎旦 July12,1990;NMosukuwaniNihonSeiRinia,’工墟旦助虹(yukan),July11,1990.)The PrOlectisscheduledtostartin1991andtobereadyforserviceby1996atacostof90bi川onyen. -36肩 In1970thedecisionwasmadetoproceedwithasuperCOnductingmagnetic levitationtransportsystem・Whilemuchofthedeviceworkandsystemsintegrationwere PerfbrmedbyengineersattheJRlaboratory,thecomponentswerecontractedtoprivate developers.Forthemagneticguidancesystem,H血chi,MitsubishiElectricandToshiba WereSelected.Itwasagreedthattheleadonthesuperconductingmagnetwouldaltemate witheachsucceedinggenerationoftheteclm0logy,butthatallwouldcontribute. 1972markedthelOOthAndversaryoftheJapanNationalRailway,andas mentionedearlier,tOhigh1ightthecelebrationtheorganizationwantedtobedbleto demonstrateaprototypeofthisnewtechnology.Thenrstsuccessfu1prototype,theLSM- 200,WaSSuCCeSSfu11yoperatedinMarchofthatyearbutwasintendedmorefbrlaboratory PrOOfof-conceptthanfbrpublicdisplay.LSMisanacronymfbrlinearsynchronousmotor and200representsthe220meterlengthofthetesttrack.Apictureofthisprototypeis ShowninFigure5.TheLSM-200wasa2tonvehicle,Whichwaslevitatedandpropelled bythemagnetsmountedinthecarandrailway.Conventionalmagnetswerelinedupinthe middleofthetrackandthesuperconductingmagnetswereplacedonthebottomofthecar. Guidance,however,WaSPrOVidedbywheelsandnotthemagnetsthemselves.Thevehicle reachedamaximumspeedof-40km血r. Sevenmonthslater,inOctoberof’1972,amuChsleekerprototypewasunveiledto thepubliconthelaboratorygrounds-intimetohelpmafktheAnniversary.Thisvehicle, theML-100,WaSdesignedtoseatfburpassengersandranoveracentralI-beamguideway, asisshowninFigure6.Thiswasa3.5tonvehiclethatcouldreachamaximumspeed Of50km4lr.Theuseofalinearsynchronousmotordesignwas,however,COnSideredtoo Prematurefbrthisimportantapublicexhibition,SOamOrePrOVenlinearinductionsystem WaSuSedfbrpropulsion.Itwastheonlytimealinearinductionmotorwasused.In addition,aSlideshoewasemployedfbrguidancetobetterassurethattheeventdidnot WithinGermany,theTransrapidisscheduledtooperatealongthe150kmroutebetween HannoverandHamburgbytheendofthe1990’S.0utsideofGermany,theorganization announcedanagreementwiththeCityofPittsburginJanua一y1990toadoptTransrapid technoIogytoconnectthe28kmbetweenRsinternationaIaJrPOrtandthecitycenter.Although justin托sinitiaJfeasibiltiystudyphase,theprojectisestimatedtocometo餌00millionwhen COmPleted.(”BeinoKosokuRiniaDounyuKeikaku,”蔓星口蜃j_辿(yukan),January25, 1990.) Thelong-termCOmPetitionwiththeseaIternativetechnologleSisthusabattlethatw= awaitJR’sHnearmotorcarastheytrytopromoteitinthenextcentury. 33TheuseofsuperconductivityaJsomeanstheuseofarepulsivemagneticratherthanan attractivemagneticdesign.Attractivesystemsareunstabteunlessthecurrentinthemagnetcan bevariedwide.yandrapidly,WhichispossibJewithnormalmagnetsbutnotwithsuperconductors. Withoutthiscontrol,thegapbetweenthecarandrailcancontinuetonarrowunti=tcIoses. Superconductors,however,muStOPerateWithaconstantcurrent,andthuscannotbeoperated tomaintainaconstantgapinanattractivedesign.(RichardThornton,WhytheU.S.Needsa MagJevSystem,’丑迫独幽血垣旦Apri11991,PP.31-42.) 一37- Figure5.  TheLSM-200 Figure6. ncML-100 (FromYoshihiroKyotani,”ChodendoJikiFujoResshanoGenjotoKorekara,’丁重堅L茎由盛運,Vol・10, No.3,1975.pp.SL82) Suf旋rfiomuntimelycollisionswiththeguideway.Althoughtechnical1ymuchdiffbrent fbmtheeventualopeIationalLMCdesign,theexhibitiongavepublicofthepotentialfbr SuPerCOnductingtransportation. Foractualoperation,however,itwasdesiredthatguidanceofthevehiclealsobe achievedinanon-COntaCtbshion.Thiswasachievedthrougha”nullnux”magneticcircuit Whichhadtheadditionaladvantageofavoidinglossesfiomcurrentsthatcouldbeinduced inthegroundcoilsfromthemotionofthevehicle-runflirlgreSistancelosses.Withthis guidancesystem,nOmagneticneldisinducedandnolossoccurswhilethetrainisrunning inthemiddleofthetrack.Whenthevehicledeviates丘omthecenter,aCurrentisinduced inthecoilwhichcounteractstheshiftandacorrectingfbrceiscreatedwhichisproportional tothedeviation.Thisguidancesystemwasunveiledinl975withthedemonstrationofthe ML-100A. UntilthistimeallofthetestirlghadbeenconductedattheTokyo,Kurlitachi laboratory.However,furtherscalingupofthevehicleandhigherspeedtestirlgrequireda longertesttrack,andin1977a7kmtesttrackwasinauguratedatMiyazakiinKyushu. Thelengthof7knwascalculatedtobetheminimumneededfbrsaftoperationofavehicle ー38- uptoaspeedof500bl血r,Whichitwashoped,WOuldbetheeventualdesignspeedofa COmmerCiallinearmotorcar.Thetracktooktheshapeofaninverted-T,withthe SuperCOnductirlgCOilsusedfbrpropulsion,1evitation,andguidance,andthegroundcoils usedfbrpropulsionandguidance・Forvehiclecontrol,aVariable-VOltage,Variable- 丘equencycyclotronconverterwasemployed,andaregenerativebrakingsystemwasused tocaptureenergythatwouldotherwisebelostinbringingthetraintoahalt.Itwouldbeon thistrackthatthetestofthevehicle’spotentialspeedweretobeconducted. WithabasicdesignmodelledontheML-100A,theML-500wasconstructedto Challengethe500km血rgoaltargetedfbrthelinearmotorcar.Through1ate-1977,1978 and1979,SpeedsweregraduallyincreasedbeyondlO0,200,300b融IrtOCOnfirmthe controlandstabilityofthevehicle・34Finally,inDecember,theML-500achievedaspeed Of517km41rWhichstillstandsasaworldrecordfbrtrainprototypes.TheJNRengineers hadsuccessfu11ydemonstratedthefba5ibilityofrunningalinearmotorcarataspeedof morethantwicethatoftheShinkansen. Asaresultofthesuccessfulofthe517km几rdemonstration,SuPPOrtfbrthelinear motorprQjectwashighinthepress,thepublicandamongpoliticians.Thiswasthepeak Oftheprqiect’snationalsaliencetothisdate,andsince. ThenextstepwastodemonstratethatthevehiclecouldoperateSafblywith PaSSengerS.Atthistime,theshapeoftheguidewaywasrevisedfromtheinverted-Tshape thathadbeenuseduntilthentoaU-Shape.Asaresult,thepassengersectionofthecar WOuldnolongerhavetorideentirelyoverthetrackbutcouldtosomedegreebenestled withinit,prOVidingfbramorestablerideandmakingtheoveralldesignmorecompact. Themorestreamlinedthedesign,thelesstheaerodynamicdrag,WhichisasigninCant eneTgylossatthehighspeedsatwhichthevehicletravels.Thecompactnessofthedesign isalsoimportantinreducingtuTlnelingcostsfbrtheeventualrailway.Itisestimatedthat 60-80%ofthelinearmotorcar’sroutebetweenTokyoandOsakawillinvoIvetravel throughtunneis・35 Between1980and1982theU-dlaPedtIaCkwasdevelopedalongwiththeMLU- 001(theadditionoftheUrefbrstotheU-Shapeddesign).Inadditiontotestingthenew designshape,theMLU-001wasalsodesignedtotestoperationwithmultiplecarsandto testtheperfbrmanceofanewlydeveloped,COmPaCtandpowerfu1700kAmagnet.This 34TetsudoSogoGijutsuKenkyujo,′‘FujoshikiTetsudo:Tokyo:TetsudoSogoGijutsu Kenkyujo,Circa1978. 35EstimatebasedonconversationswithrepresentativesinLandPJanningAgencyandthe MinistryofTransportationand’’EigyoUntenMezashiKensetsuGO!,”工9也旦旦ヒ地軸迎(Yukan), November28,1990. ー39- magnethad55%greatermagnetomotivefbrcethanitspredecessorusedintheML-500,and allowedthesinglesuperconductingcoiltoprovideal1threefunctionsofpropulsion, levitation,andguidance・Itwasinitial1yestimatedthatthisdesignwouldrequireone-fburth theenergytoliftthevehicle・36TheMLU-001wasalsodesignedtocarryafbw PaSSengerS,SOthatthecomfbrtoftheridecouldbemeasuredinaqualitativemanner,and SOthatvisitingdignitariescouldexperiencefirsthandthisnewfbrmoftransportation.And thislaterprovedimportzntinhelpingtopreservethefutureofthisprqject・ AsthedesignofthecarevoIvedcIoserarldcIosertothatofaneventualcommercial designtheengineersattheJNRresearchlaboratoryfbundthemselvesincreasinglyina dilemma.Althoughelatedatthesuccessofitsprqject,theR&Dstafrbecameincreasingly PreSSedaboutwhattodonext.Linearmotorcartechnologycould,brexample,deliver evenhigherspeeds,butthetrackatMiyazakiwastooshorttogomuchbeyondthe500 km血rtafgef,a10ngertmckwouldbeneeded.FurtheTdeve】opmentofthevehiclewould invoIveincrementaldesignandtestingimprovementswhichwouldadvanceittoward COmmerCialization,butdemonstrationfbrcommercializationwouldincreasinglylirlkthe PrqjecttothedesirebythegovernmenttObuildthelinearmotorcarsystem.Andthis COmmitmentwasnotclear. Throughthenextnveyears,developmentalworkcontinuedonthelinearmotorcar, butatareducedpace・37Manyofthetestsconductedduringthistimeweredesignedto improvetheoperationalcharacteristicsofthevehicleandincludedtestsoftheabilityto COntrOlthemulti-CarVehicles,Oftheemergencybrakingsystemintheinstanceofpartialor COmPletequenchingofthesuperconductingcoils,andoftheabilityofthevehicletotolerate nonunifbrmities,StaggerSandberldsintheguideway-nOnunifbrmitieswhichwouldderail COnVentionalrailcars. In1987,thenextincrementalstepwascompletedwiththeunveilirlgOf’theMLU- 002.Thedesignofthisprototypewasintendedtobeclosetothatoftheanticipated COmmerCialmodel.Thecarwas22minlength,abouttwiceaslongasanyoftheprevious models,andhad44seatsinstalledfbrpassengers・38Thenumberofmagnetswerereduced andplacedawayffomthepassengerareaatthefiontandbackendsofthecar.Although thesemagnetswouldalsobemagneticallyshielded丘omtheinteriorofthevehicles,they WerelocatedawayfromthepasserlgerareaStOfurtherreduceconcemsthatunexpected 36‘一8jiKoiruSayo,L.旦坦望艮塑型辿旦旦地頭辿凪January10,1991,P.5. 37Budgetsforovera?deveIopmentattheJRTechnicaI-nstituteandforsupportbythe governmentbothshowasteadydecreasethroughthemid-1980’S,Withsupporttoaboutathird OfthepeakvaIuesattheendofthe1970’S. 38Thecommercia-vehic.eisexpectedtohaveaseatingcapacityof96,butinthecaseofthe MLU-802,abouthalfofthefloorareawasreservedfortestingequJPment. ー40- intrusionofamagneticneldmightadverselyafTbctpacemakers,OrOtherelectronic PrOductsthatpasserlgerSmightbringaboard.Thebodyhasalsobeenstreamlinedto furtherreduceaerodynamicdragandnoise,withwindowrecesseseliminatedandthe exteriorparlelsweldedtothebodyratherthanriveted. However,OVerthedecade,enthusiasmovertheprqiectgraduallywanedandas timeworeonwithoutdecisiontoproceedwiththenextstepindevelopment,Cloudsof PeSSimismbegantofbrmoverthefutureofthelinearmotorcar. TheevolutioninlinearmotorcarprototypesuptothispointissummarizedinTable 4. ThePoliticalDecisions Wesawearlierthattheprqjectwasgivenitsinitialboostinsupportnot丘oma technicalbreakthroughbutfiomthedesireofJNRtousetheprototypeasanattractionin SuPPOrtingitslOOthArmiversarycelebration.Itssuccessledtothecommitmentof’funds fbrtheMiyazakitestfhcility,Whichallowedengineerstosuccessfu11yshowthata PrOtOtyPeCOuldachievea500kn∽lrSPeedgoal.ThenextmaJOrSteptOWard COmmerCializationwouldrequiretheconstructionofalongertrackfbrfullvehicletesting. Itwasestimatedthatatrackapproximately50kmWouldbeneeded.Thiswouldbe expensive・Thiswouldrequireworkonthescaleofapublicworksprqject,andforsucha Prqiectpoliticalsupportprovedcritical. Thegeneralmoodofthegovemmentinthemid-1980’swasoneof-budgetcutting notbudgetgrowth.Inaddition,inAprilof1987,thenationalrailwaywasprivatizedand dividedinto6regionalprivateorganizations,BythistimetheJNRhadaccumulatedadebt inexcessor37.ltri11ionyen($256billiorl),39andinthemidstofthecostcuttinganddebt fbrgivingthatattendedprivatization,therewa5nOtahighlevelofenthusiasmfbr embarkingonanewandverycostlyprQject. Duringthisperiod,thereweremanywhopredictedthatthelinearmotorcarprqject WOuldbeshelvedfbranirldenniteperiod.Fundsdevelopedatthelaboratoryandthose COmmitteddirectlybythegovemmentwereattheirlowestlevels.I)uringthisperiod, bureaucratsintheMinistryofTransportationwereapparentlylukewarmintheirsupportor thelinearmotorcarhavingjustemerged丘omthechoreofdistributingthelong-termdebt OfthenationalrailwayaspartoftheprivatiZation・ 39unyusho,捷辿適地喧迫Tokyo:Unyusho,1987,P.147.Thed01larconversionwasmadeat the1987lMFrateof144.6yen/doltar. -41胃 Tdble4.CharacteristicsoftheLinearMotorCarPrototypeS40 Prototype System Length Mass CoilPower Speed Year (m)(toIIS)andNumber   (knmr) LSM200 MLlOO MLlOOA ML500 ML500R MLUOOI MLUOO2 MG温NFMNfMNfM刑 票豊豊uM 4.0  2.0  320kAx2 7.0  3.5  250kAx4 5.0  3.5 160kAx4, 13.5 10.0 250kAx8, 12.6 12.7 250kAx8, 10.0 10.0 700kAx8 22.0 17.0 700kAx8 50 1972 60 1972 450kAx4 60 1975 450kAx8 517 1977 450kAx8 204 1979 405 1980-82 420* 1987 LSM LinearSynchronousMotor NFM Nul1-fluxmagneticguidance IJM LinearInductionMotor   *  Planned(attimeof’therefbrenced MG MechanicalGuidance article) Realizingthedangertotheprqjectandtothepublicwork5fundsthatwouldattend theprqject,aVarietyofgroupsactivatedtokeepthenrealive.Academics,bureaucrats, andstaffofthenewlyprivatizedRailwayTeclmicalResearchInstitute(RTRI)arguedthat thetechnologyhadbynowbeenlargelyproven,thenation’Sfuturetransportationneeds WOuldgreatlybenent丘omitscompletion,andthatitwaSaChancetodisplaytotheworld theadvaIICedstateofJapan’stechnology. Fortheprefbcturesinwhichthesitewouldbelocated,thiswouldmeanm可Or Publicworksprqjects,bringinginnewmoney,Creatingjobs,andraisingthelevelof Salienceoftheregionnationallyandintemational1y. Regionalgroupswereesthblishedtoconductfhsibilitystudiesfbrlocatingthetest Siteandinitial1y17proposalSwerereceived.By1989,threesitesemergedasthemost likelycandidates:Miyazaki,Niigata,andSapporo・Onegrouparguedthattheeasiest altemativewouldbetoextendtheexisting7kmtrackatMiyazaki.Thetestingfhcilitiesthat hadbeenusedoverthepastdecadewerealreadysitedatMiyaLZakisoitwouldavoidthe logisticproblemsthatwouldbeassociatedwithmoving.Someacademicsalsoarguedthat bykeepingthefhcilityinMiyaLZaki,Whereitwouldprincipallydesignedasatestfhcility, therewouldbefbwerpressurestoinitiatecommercialserviceprematurely.This,itwa5 argued,WaSaPOtentialproblemwiththeothertwooptions. 40日isashiTanaka,・・AppllCationofSuperconductivitytoTransportation:MagneticallyLevitated Train,’’p・61,FirstlnternationaIConferenceonSuperconductivity,Nagoya,Japan,August28-31, 1988. -42- AsecondgrouppressedfbrcitingthetesttrackbetweentheChitoseAirport(also knownasSapporoIntemationalAirport)inHokkaidoandthecityofSapporo.Thiswas abouttheappropriatelengthfbrthetestingdesiredanditwouldallowtheliIlearmOtOrCar tobequicklyconvertedintocommercialoperation. Thethirdgrouparguedthatsincetheprincipalroutetowardwhichthelinearmotor CarWOuldbetargetedisToky0-Osaka,thenthetesttrackshouldbeplacedinthis COrridor,againtospeedtheeventualcommercialiZationofthetechnology.Asthe ShinkansenwasalreadyservingthecoastalareaSbetweenTokyoandOsaka,itwasargued thattherouteshouldbeplannedthfOughtheinlandregions,anargumerlt,Whichwillbe explainedlater,mayhaveworkedwellindevelopingkeypoliticalsupportfbrthisprqject. TheTokyo-Osakagroupcouldmakethegreatestargumentofpressingneed.me Shinkansensystem,fbrexample,WOuldhavetourldergorepairsofitsinhstructure,its bridgesandelevatedtrackbytheendofthecentury,fbrcingitscIosurefbrdaysatatime. Furthermore,theShinkansenwasalreadynearcapacity・Initsopeningyearitaveraged ll,000passengersperday,andby1990thedailypassengerloadhadincreasedto27,000. The’’Hikari”(superexpress)betweenTokyoandOsakanowrunsat85%capacityon average,butrisestollO-120%duringrushhourand160%onFddaynights・41 Whileallof-theseargumentsmayberationallypersua5iveandtrue,thedecisiorltO SuPplythefundsnecessaryfbrthenextphasewaSaPOliticaldecision.Moreimportantly, POliticianswererealizingthatthecancellationortheprqjectwouldmeanthelost OPpOrtunityfbrbringingpublicworksfundstoone’sdistrict.TheMitsubishiResearch InstitutehasestimatedthattheconstruCtionofthecentrallinearShinkansenbetweenTokyo andOsakawouldrequireaninvestmentof3to4trillionyen,Withotherestimatesgoingas highaSl0tdllionyen・42 Thefinancialgaintoone’sdistrictandtolocalindustryliesnotjustinthevalueor theconstructionprqject,OrCOurSe,butalsoinspinofreffbctssuchasrisinglandvalues, increasedtourism,andworkcreatedbytheinvestmentofthedistricttoattracttheprqject. ItwasreportedthatsomeagriculturallandinYamanaShiwhichhadbeensellingfbr20,000 to30,000yenper3・3squaremetersbefbretheprqjectseemedlikely,hadskyrocketedin Oneyeart0300,000to400,000yen・43Theaveragevalueoflandnearthestations increasedanaverageof40-70%aftertheannouncement・44Inaddition,tOurismgenerated fiomattractingguests丘omaroundthewoddtothetestsiteisexpectedtogenerateanother 41〝Jisoku500kironoYumeNoseChakuChaku,・皇蔓旦bI_地lMarch21,1989,P.14. 42”HiyouFutanniKaramuOmowaku:一虫塗址旦址嘘辿皿August8,1989,P.4. 43‘′YuchiMikoshiTochiTouki,d金地i地ApriIg.1989. 44conversationwithrepresentativefromtheLandPlanningAgency・ ー43胃 onetri11ionyen.45Andfurther,tOattraCttheprqiect,Yamanashiprefbcturepromisedthe commitmentof5billionyentotheimprovementofroadsandpublicfhcilities. Itisnocoincidence,inlightofthis,thatonJulyl7,adaybefbreaclosely COnteStedlowerhouseelectionbetweenanLDPandoppositionpartycandidatein YamanaShi,theMinisterofTransport,Yamamura,Pre-emPtedtheomcialannouncementor hisownMinistrybyannouncingthattheywouldberequestingfundstoinitiatethenext phaseofthelinearmotorcarinthefbllowingyear・46 0nAngust3,1989,theMinistryofTransportationannOunCedthattheyhad approvedaplanandbudgetfbrtheconstructioTlandoperationofthetestsitevaluedat350 billionyen.260billionyenisdirectedtothetrackconstructionwhichisexpectedtotake5 years,and90billiontotestinganddevelopmentwhichisscheduledfbr3years・47Itwas notedthattheexpectedsitewouldbeinYamanashi,butthefbrmaldennitionofthesitewas tofbllowfburdays】aterthroughtheAugust7annouTICementOftheadvisorycommittee, Thetimingofthesetwoannouncementsmayseemstrangeatnrst,Withthebudget announcementprecedingthefbrmalrecommendationoftheadvisorycommittee.Butthis revealsacommonlypracticedteclmiquewhenapotentiallycontroversialdecisionisabout tobemade.Onthedafeofthebudge[aflT10unCCme融,boththeTTarl5POrtMinisterandthe Ministry’sheadofthelinearmotorcarprqjectwereawayfromTokyo.Ifstrong, unexpectedoppositionwasvoicedtothechoiceofYamanaShi,theyandtheadvisory COmmitteehadroomtoclaimthatthebudgetannouncementwaSanunauthorizedactbya lowerbureaucrat.They wouldhavetimetoretractthedecisionandapologizefbrthe misunderstanding.Sinceunanticipatedobjectionsdidnotarise,however,thedecisionof theadvisorycommitteecameasplanned:thecoursewouldtrave143kilometersbetween AkiyamaandSakaigawavillagesinYamanashiprefbcture. Whoseargumentwasmostinnuentialisunclear,but twopoliticianshavebeen Visibleinclaimingcredit,ShintaroIshiharaandShinKanemaru.Ishihara,theMinisterof Transportationinl987,hasarguedthatthecontinuationof-thelinearmotorcarprqject resultedlargelyfromhispersonalguidancetotheministry.AsMinister,Ishiharavisitedthe MiyazakitestfhcilityandarodeontheMLU-001.HewasenamoredbythetechI1010gy andmoreimportantlybytheclaimthatJapan’slinearmotorcartechnologywascurrently leadingtheworld,aleadthatwoulddisappearshouldfundingfbrtheprqjectceaLSe. 45〝Riniade,Kasegu,,Waka,Yamanashi,㌦蜃運虹旦地頭型AOctober31,1989,P.3. 46’’HiyouFutanniKaramuOmowaku:p.4. 47〟RiniaJikkenYamagatade:怨如剋幽August4,1989,P.3.0fthisfigure.the govemmentwi”provide30bHionyen.JRTokaiwi”provide150bimonyen,andtheremainderwH beprovidedbytheregionalraiJways.(ConversationwithLandPJanningAgency officialsin Decemberof1990reveaJsthatthegovernmentburdenhasincreasedto49b川ionyen.) -44肩 Ishihamthenbecameanadvocatefbrthetechnology,withthehopethatitwouldbring PreStigetothecountryandcouldbetransfbrredtoothernationscommerciallyandthrough intemationalcontribution・BothheandbureaucratsinterviewedintheMinistryof TransportationclaimthathadhenotgiventheMinistryofTrmsportationthesignaltopush fbrthisprqject,itwouldhavedied.48 Moreimportant,however,aPPearStObethepushprovidedbyShinKanemaru. ShinKanemanl,aVerySeniormemberofthepowerfulTakeshitafhctionintheLDP, representsaconstituencyinYamanashi.AndithappenSthattheproposedtestsiteruns throughhisdistrict,Withaniceviewofthetestsite丘omthegolfcourseabove,Of-which KanemaruistheChairmarl.KanemanlhaSbeenquotedassayirlgthatinretumfbrhis SuPPOrtOrtheprqjecthereceivedaverbalpromiseffomboththePrimeMinisterandthe MinistryofTransportationthatthenexttestfhcilitywouldbesitedinhisdistrict.49As mentionedearlier,afteritwasclearthatYamanashiwouldbethesite,1andvaluesalongthe COurSeincreaseddramatical1y. lnterestingly,fbrJRtheultimatebenentstonetincomearelessclear.Simple CalculationsbytheMitsubishiResearchInstituteshowthatalthough7tri11ionyeninincome Canbeanticipatedfiomtheoperationofthelinearmotorcar,thisincomemaybemorethan Ofhetbytheinterestadjusted4.3tri11ionyenestimatedfbrconstructionandlossesin ridershiptotheexistlngShinkansen.Mitsubishiestimatesthatanetlossofl.ltrillionyen willoccurwhenthetwosystemsareconsideredtogether・50Nonetheless,thepolitical decisionhasbeenmadetoproceed,andbecausethelinearmotorcarhasbecomemorean issueorpoliticalsupportandintenlationalstandingthaneconomics,theabovefbrecasthas notslowedprogress. PatternSOfInnovation Uptonow,Ihavebeendescribingthisactivityasthehistoricevolutionofasingle entity,theoverallprQject.Butitisonetowhichmanynrmshavecontributed.Inthis SeCtiorlIwillexaminepatternsofinnovationwhichgiveinsightintohowtheprlnCipal nrmsareorganizedandhowcollaborationoccurs.HowwastheR&Dmanaged?What roledidcollaborationplayindevelopment?Isthereapatterninthecollaborations?Wecan 48Thisc,aimisgeneraflyconfirmedbyanumberofindependentsourcesintheMinistryof Transpo代誠on. 49MakikoOgihara,・BossusesoId-timepo.iticsinmag-evtussTe:JapanEconomicJournaI,March 25,1989,P.40. 50HChuoRiniaEkusupuresuJisoku500KironoYumeNoseChakuChaku,〃AsahiShimbun, March21,1989,P.4. ー45- getsomeanswertothesequestionsbylookingattheoverallpattemofpatentsubmissions byyear. Firstabriefintroductiontowhatourpatentswi11beanalyzing.Thelinearmotorcar SyStemeSSential1yconsistsofacar,aguideway,aPrOpulsionmechanism,andthecontroI SyStem.Throughtheseriesofprototypedesigns,thedesignofthelinearmotortestvehicle CameCloserandclosertoapproximatingthecommercialprototype,withimprovementsin aerodynamicdesign,Weight,andequipmenthousing.Thesuperconductingmagnetsand itsassociatedcoolingsystemaremountedonthecars. Therailstructureprovidestheguidewayfbrthevehicleandhousestheconventional magnetswhicharemanipulatedfbrcontrolandlevitation.Asdescribedeadier,throughthe ML-500,thecaroperatedbystraddlingasingleI-b組ITIShapedguideway・However,with thisarrangement,thecross-SeCtionalareaofthecar-railsystemwouldbeontheorderof 25%greaterthanonedesignedintoaU-Shapedtrack.SobeginningwiththeMLU-001,a U-Shapedtrackdesignwasselected. PropulsionfbrthistrainisprovidedbyalinearsynchroIIOuSmOtOr,Whichcanbe Visualizedasanunfbldedrotarysynchronousmotor.Again,thesuperconductingmagnets areplacedinthevehicle,andconventionalmagnets,aSSembledasthree-phasepropulsion COils,arePlacedonthetrack.Acurrentispassedthroughthesepropulsioncoilswhich CreateSamagneticfield,andthefbrcethatactsbetweenthepropulsionaIldsuperconductirlg COilspropelsthevehicle.AschematicisshowninFigure7. Thespeedofthevehicleiscontrolledbyvaryingthefiequency(phase)ofthethree- Phasepropulsioncoils.Thisisaccomplishedthroughavariablefi・equenCyCOntrOlloop Whichismanipulatedbyacyclotronconverter.ffoweverathighcurrentsandvoltages, teclm010giestoallowthiscontrolbecomeincrea51ngiyunavailable.Thelinearmotorcaris expectedtorequirethreetimestheelectricsupplyoftheShinkansenwhichmeansthatthe Oldercontroltechnologiesarenotdirectlytransfbrable.AttheMiyazakitesttrackanl8 MVAcycloconverterwasconstIuCted,butfbrthecommercialvehicle,a40MVAsystemis desired,anditsdevelopmentremainsasachallengefbrtheprQject’sengineers. PCfe/lJAJld如J∫ Toexaminethecontributionofcoopemtivedevelopmenttothisprqject,allofthe PatentaPPlicationsthathavebeensubmittedbytheRailwayTechnicalResearchInstitute, alorleOrjointlywithotherorganizations,willbeanalyzed.These432applicationswere dividedamongseventechnicalcategories:l)superconductingtechnologies,2) -46胃 Figure7. SchematicoftheLinearPropulsionSystem (FromabrochureoftheRailwayTechnicalResearchInstitute.) COnVentionalmagnets,3)thecoolingsystem,4)theelectricalandcontroIsystem,5)the Car,6)therailandguideway,and7)miscelianeoustestequipment. Figure8showsthepeaksandtroughsinthelevelofpatentapplicationsrelatedto thelinearmotorcarsince1971.Theoverallpattemofapplicationsrenectsthestagesofthe linearmotorcar’sdevelopment.Afterthedecisionwasmadetodevelopahighspeed PrOtOtypein1970,patentaPplicationsdisplayedarapidrise,peakingbetween1972and 1975.Thisactivitysubsidedsomewhatin1976and1977whileengineerswaitedfbrthe COmPletionoftheMiyukitestfhcility.Activitypeakedtwicesoonafter,OnCein1978as engineerspreparedfbrthetestingoftheMIJ-500andML-500R,andagaininl980asthe MLU-001anditsmodinedguidewayweredeveloped.Throughthel980’swecanalso Seeagradualdecreaseinpatentapplicationsasnom可OrneWPrQjectswereinitiated. Thengurealsoshowsthatthroughouttheprogramthebulkofthepatent applicationshaveaddressedinnovationsinthecontrolandelectronicsystem,witha Particulardominancebetween1971and1976,Overal1,thiscategoryaccountsfbrabout 47%oftheapplicationswiththoseaddressingthethevehiclenextat19%andthose addressingthegTLidewayatl3%.Patentsdirectlyaddressingsuperconductingmagnets accountedfbrjustover6%ofthetotal. Mostofthepatentsapplicationsweresubmittedbynrmsffomtwoindustrial SeCtOrS,CableandWireandHeavyElectricalMachinery.Firms丘ombothsectorsexhibit aslgnificantcontributiontopatentsaddressingtheelectricalandcontroIsystem,Withthe CableandWiresectortheprincipalcorltributorindeveloprnentsfbrtheguideway.Firms intheHeavyElectricsectorholdvirtuallyallofthepatentsaddressingthecoolingsystem andallpatentsapplyingtothesuperconductingmagnets. 胃47- PalcJltApplicationsbyCntcgoryorInnovalion ー 皐∞・- 5     0     5     0 4     4     っJ     つJ N u m b e r O r A p nr l・l C a t i O n S 0      5      0 1 86  87  88 mTest玩uipnlenl EIuレGuidcwny Lコド..r 臼EIcclricnlSysle1-1 日cooli∫一g □coNVM咽net nscMaCnel コ望re∞・ PalenlApp-icaliOnSRe】巴edtOtheLinBrMOtOr〔Fr Thesesectorshavenot・however,madeequalcontributionsovertime・Intheearly yearsoftheprqject,alotofbasicinhstructuralworkneededtobecompletedtogetthe testingcomplexintooperation・Duringthisperiodthemagneticguidewayandthebasic COntrOIsystemhadtobedeveloped,andfbrthistheCd31eandWirenrmsprovidedthe greatestcontribution.Afterthebasicsystemwasestablished,furtherimprovements invoIveddevelopmentofimprovedversionsofequipmentusingthesefhcilities,SuChasthe SuCCeSSiveversionsofthevehicles,andthiswastheresponsibilityofnrms丘omtheheavy electricalequipmentsector.ThisisseeninFigure9. gvfde柁Ce〆Co呼erのon Isthereevidenceofsignificantcooperationbetweenthesenrmsinverticalor horizontalrelationships?Dividingthepatentapplicationsbythenumberofdiffbrerlt Organizationalassignees,FigurelOshowsthatapplicationsbetweenRTRlandasingle COOPeratOrWaSthemostcommonmodeovertheprQjectShistory.However,intheearlier years,betweenl973and1976,therelativecontributionofpatentsfiomtwoormore a5Signeeswasasignincantportionof’thetotal. Whattypeofcooperationwasoccurring?Therearethreepointswhichemerge 丘omtheanalysisofcooperation・First,allolthethree-nrmCOOperativepatentapplications aresubmittedbythesamethreenmswhichareal1丘omthesameindustrialsector-they arenormallycommercialcompetitors.Second,allofthetwo-nrmCOOPerativepatent applicationsinvolvingnrmsindiffbrentsectorsoccurwiththekeiretsuofthelargefirm, andthird,teChr1010gyleadershipbythemainequipmentnrmsonthedevelopmentorthe SuperCOnductingmagnetswasalternatedandwasnottakenjointly. AmongtheapplicationsinvoIvingthreeassignees,al1weresubmittedbythesame SetOfthreeCableandWirenrms:Furukawa,HitachiCable,andSumitomoElectriC.The reasonsfbrthispattemofcooperationbetweenpotentialcompetitorsappearstostemfbrm theneedsofthetechnology,thelevelofinexperienceofeachofthenrms,andthethreatof exclusionfiomtheprq)eCtShouldtheyengageincompetitivebehaviordetrimentaltothe goalsoftheprQject・Thesethreenrmsprimarilycooperatedonthedevelopmentofhigh POWerSWitchingneededtocontrolthevehicle.Thiswasasinglecomponentorthe infrastructureofthesystem.Toaccomplishthis,engineers丘omeachofthenrmswere dispatchedtothesiteandtotheTokyolaboratorytoassistinthesystem,sdevelopment, andtheengineersworkedinacommonteamfbrthetechnicaldevelopment.Asadiscreet COmPOnentintendedprincipallyfbrthetestcontroIsystem,incentivestoappropriate -49- PntCIlH\押目CalioIlAssingCeSbyIll(hSlriハISCCtOr 0       5 っJ       2 m L、U e r -1∽011 5        0        5 人ハ S S l g n e e S ′ JJl t l l l 1 巳 ll 1 t 寸 十 ′′ ヽ ・.東 望旁 惑繭 撫前川- l l 上′ - 退瀬.1 ま 1 1   1   1 1   1   1 l   l   l   l l   l   I I l 85  8(i  87  88 □C。rlS血。li。rl 図1nduStrialMac1-il-ery 田C。?川川ni。i、ti。n 肌Ilolli一一gStock 日Ir。.川、JSICCl □C。.、S、…,。rEICClr。.-ics 田M。l。rVellicle UTC裏目es □仕mvyEICClric mG.u。mldlVi.℃ Fi的已aP Pa肯芝App】首詳3SRe】巴edS罫e巳bBrM0-01〔FrPrO的ロヨbyFdu訟計】 SeCtOr FigTlrelO・ PatentApplicationsRelatedtotheLinearMotorCarProgrambyNumber OfAssignees レつ∽ 1._ L_ C ) ○ ○ q C C L_ L . q U くノ 喜 U 喜 U 8 U 」′ヽノ  ぐ.「ぐヾ′ヽ.′ 【∃ [∃ [コロ J一…宗一二CS】〇…○づ三〇UJOJU(l≡t一ZぶS〓〇三薫l(こく三上責 岳霊 一 一′ メ. ヽ   1 I ケ ヽ_ ・・胃 こ肩 ゴー. き.1 _ ? さ盛 l i l l l , l l l iとう手一 ‘至芸lR  、 ーゝ、 デヨミ芦≡i≡三 ?、7 . 董三三墓室7 1 一 芸 璃つデー ヨ芦Ejこiiミ三  、jr _▼iiEE≡ヲ!≡ _ ≡芸≡妄妄 ド、1うー - ?__ユニこごこき= ー工芸? 、イ三三三二莞 ?=… 三≡≡ 琵;ラ ? 笠蒜ラー ;L 去 l l l 1 1      -      1     1 l′1      C⊃      >1      C⊃     l′1     ⊂)    l′1     ⊂>      U「      く⊃ マ      rつ      rーl rヾ      ぐヾ     ・・.一     ・・・・一 Z コ ≡・工⊃ u L O L一   く ⊂L CL ←・・車 U e 一・一 〇 ⊂ ∽ ー51- advancesfbrfuturecommercialdevelopmenthadlessmeaningasthisprqjectwasthemain market. Secondly,inthebeginning,allnrmswereequal1yinexperiencedinthisteclm010gy andthusnonrmwasinapositiontoclaimadominantrole・Thenrmscouldtherefbregain moreequally丘omtheirexperienceintheprqjectandthedisincentivesassociatedwitha strongnrmgivingupmorethanaweakernmlWerenOtimportant・Thirdly,themarketfbr theirwofkwouldalsobe,fbrthelong-term,thisoneprqject.Competitivemaneuveringfbr theirindividualinterestwhichwouldnegativelyinnuencetheoperationoftheprogram, wouldmorelikelyresultinexclusionfiomratherthanexclusiveoccupationwithinthe prQject.OtherCableandWirenrmswerenotallowedtoparticipate,butcouldshouldone oftheselectedthreefhiltoperfbrm.Theprivilegeof-participationalsomeantthepromise Ofcooperation. Examiningthepatentapplicationsproducedcooperativelybythesethreefirms PrOVidesevidencethatthedegreeofcoopeIationwasdeterminedbythecompaniesbased OnteChnologyneedratherthanon”cooperativebehavior’’oronorderstocooperatebythe sponsoringorganization・UsingtherationalchoicemodelofKodamaandKobayashi,51 WeSeeaPattemOfcooperationwhichrenectsthepredictedbehaviorofcompetitivefirms COOPeratingonatechnologyprQject.Usingaprobabilitydensityfunctionbasedonarl assurnptionofindependentdecisionstocooperatebyeachofthenrms,theirmodelwould Predictthegreatestnumberof-cooperativecasestooccurwithsinglenrmsandRTRI, fbllowedinnumberbyallthreenrms,withtwonrmscooperatingbeirlgtheleastiikely CaSe.Figurellshowsthatthisisthepatternobservedhere,makingitpossibletoargue thatthedecisiontocooperatewasatechnologicailydeterminedoneratherthanacoerced One.52Insulationwasprovided丘omotheroutside,Withdiscretiontocooperateasneeded PrOVidedinside. ThisisconnrmedbyengineersatRTRIwhopointtothecommonalityoftheirtaSks andthecollectivebutflexiblemanagementofnrmparticipation.AsthebasicinhstnlCture requlnngCOOPerationwasdeveloped,COOperationbetweenthesenrmscanbeseento decrease,SOthatthroughthel980’stherewerenosuchcasesrecorded. 51FumioKodama,・′RivaJs・ParticipatinginCo?ectiveResearch:ltsEconomicandTechn0log-Cal Rationale:’presentedatthelnternationalConferenceonScienceandTechn0logy,WhatShould beDone?WhatCanbeDone?February2-4,1990,Shimoda,Japan. 52TheintuitivesolutionwouIdbethatasthenumberoffirmsincreasedthenumberofjointed developedpatentswoulddecrease,aCOnStantIydeclinlngCurVe,buttheKodama-Kobayashi Modelshowsthatrationalselectiongivesacounterintuitiveresult.Thep01iticalsolutionwouldbe fora?firmstosharethepatentstomaximizediffusion,aJargelybimodalcurve,butthisisalsonot Whatisseen. ー52 - NumkrorC。OFつIL叩FbmバVL血相止はCb[tudW、ftktcrSUOn仙ngP]加[ApplChtm Figurell. CollabomtionsAmongCompetitors 坤7Jfg′lCe(ガ約肺J∫〃 CooperationisalsoseentooccurbetweentwonrmsandRTRIoutsideoftheabove triangleofCableandWirenrms.Dothesecasesseemtorepresenta丘eerfbrmof participation?Alloftheseothertwonmcollaborationsalsooccurintheearlyyearsofthe prqjectandinvoIvenrmscooperatingacrossdiffbrentindustrialsectors,implyinga COmPlemeIltaryOf-skills.However,Figure12showsthatthesetwo-nrmCOllaborationsdo fbllowadistinctpattemwhichwouldcontradictargumentsthatcollaborationwasoccurring 丘eely. ThethreeCableandWiremanufhcturersareagaincentralastheyrepresentthree diffbrentkeif・etSIL.Thetwo-nrmCOllaborationsalloccurwithinoneofthesekeiretsu groupings.Therearenoexamplesornrmscollaboratingacrossthesegroupingsexceptfor theCableandWirenrms. Thuscooperationbetweentwoorrnorefirmsisseentobeconcentratedintheearly PhaseofthisprQject,withcollaborationbetweennrmsinthesamesectoradominant COOPerativemodefbrthree-nrmaCtivities.Acrosssectors,nrmSareSeerltOreaChfbr COmPlementaryassetsthroughtwo-nrmCOOPeration,butalwaystumtotheirkeif・etSu amliatesratherthantoavariedassortmentofsuppliers. -53- Figure12 Inter-firmColhborationsinPatentApplicationsRelatedtotheLinear MotorCarProgram C00PerativePatentsStemmmgfromtheLinearMotorCarProject ー54- 〃αnαgエバgCor坤の肺ninかeve叩mg兢eS岬erCO乃血C血g〃dg乃ど砧 Finally,Whataboutthedevelopmentofthesuperconductingmagnetitself?As mentionedearlier,PatentaPPlicationsthatapplytothesuperCOnductingmagnetsamountto Only6%ofallofthepatentsintheRTRIdataset・Doesthedatatellusanythinginteresting aboutthemanagementofcollaboration? Althoughthedataaresparse,itdoesshowthatthreenrmswereinvoIvedinthe developmentofthesuperCOnductorsandthatHitachiandToshibaweremoreactivein Submittingapplicationsearlyintheprogrzm,WithMitsubishiElectriCthemostactivelater intheprogram・Interestingly,althoughtherewerethreecablemanufhcturerscapableof SuPPlyingthesuperconductingwireandmorethanthreedevicemanufhcturerscapableor PrOducingthemagnets,therewerenocooperativepatentssubmitted,indicatingthatthe basicmanufhcturingtechnologywasbasedonlargelyestablishedtechnology・ ConversationswithengineersatRTRIrevealthatthishintofinfbmlationis revealingoftheirmanagemerltStrategyindevelopingthistechnology.Theyselectedthe threemostcapableprivatesectorsuperconductingmagnetmanufhcturersbutthenrmsdid notworkinacommonfhcilityasl)therewasnotateclm010gicalneedtodoso,and2) theypreftrrednottoworktogether.ThusRTRIhadthefirmsalternativelytaketheleadin beingthemaindeveloperofeachofthesuperconductingprototypes.FortheLSM-200, Toshibawastheprincipaldeveloper.FortheMLlOOHitachiwaSthemaindeveloper. TheleadthenchangedtoMitSubishifbrtheML-500,tOToshibafbrtheMLU-001andto allthreenrmsfbrtheMLU-002.TheplanonthepartofRTRIwastohaveseveralnrms Capableofsupplyingthistechnologysothatl)theywouldpresseachotherinincreasing thelevelofthetechnology,2)theywouldnotbeoverlydependentonasinglesource,and 3)theywouldgainfromtheworkoftheothersthroughanalternationofthetechnicallead, andthusatransfbrofinfbrmation,inacontinuouslydevelopingtechnology.By employingseveralcompetingnrmsworkonthesameteclm0logyarea,nrmSCanSPeed developmentthrougharatchetingupef丘ct.Byaltematingthetechnological1ead, infbrmationisdiffused丘omonenrmtothenext,PrOvidingfbrcollectiveleaminginan insulatedstructure.Bycontractingwithseveralnrms,alsoRTRIbetterassuredthatthere WOuldbeadiffusionofthetechnologytoeachnrm,ssubcontractorsandsuppliersandthus awidertechnologybaseuporlWhichitcouldrely. WhentheleadshiftedtoMitsubishi,Hitachidecidedthatthemarketfbrthis OPpOrtunitywasgoingtobetoosmallfbrtoolonganddecidedtoswitchitsfbcustoother applications,Primarilyfusiontestmagnets,droppingout,fbrthetimebeing丘omthe SuPerCOnductingmagnetportionoftheprqject・Thisisevidencedinthepatentapplications. -55胃 Table5showsthatsteadyprogresswasmadetomakethemagnetsmorepowernll andmorecompact.ThewallmagnetsfbrtheMLU-001andOO2arestrongenoughto provideal1threefhnctionsoflevitation,PrOPulsion,andguidance,andthenumberofmagnetshavebeengradual1yreducedsothattheycanbepositionedattheendsofthecars, awayffomthepassengers.However,nOOrmagnetShavestillbeenusedinthecarsandon theguidewayfbraddedstability.Forthenextprototype,thesenoormagnetswillbe eliminated,leavlngOnlythewal1magnetstoprovidefbroperation・Thisisexpectedto reducetheelectricityconsumptionbylO%・53Forthistask,a11threemanufhcturershave beenactivatedandrequestedtoconductdevelopmentalworkindependently・Thusfbr developmentinthis爪nalphase,RTRIishopingtoexploitcompetitiveincentivesamong PrqjectparticipantstoachievehigherprogramperfbmlanCe. 凡鯛1の”lgC/ldJJe′1gど∫ Befbretheprqiectiscompleted,however,muChremainstobetestedirlthe demonstrationphaseandnewopportunitiesfbrimprovedperfbrmanceloomtobe explored.Thereliabilityorthemagnets,fbrexample,ha5tObeconnrmedinanactual Table5.  FeaturesofSupercorlductingMagnetsUsedirltheLinearMotorCar Prototypes54 LSM* ML-100*  ML-500  MLU-001 MLU-002 (1972)(1972) (1977) (1980) (1987) WeightofWire MagnetomotiveForce NumberofCoilTurns ElectriccurrentDensity(jVmm2) StoredEner幻7 MaximumMagneticField CopperRatio NumberofCoreWires Maglevforce/OneMagnet Maglevforce/ MagnetWeight 73kg 66kg  116kg lOOkg  77kg 320kA 250kA   450kA   700kA   700kA 230   355     560    1000    1167 112  121     89     183     210 77U 48U    196U   522kJ    550kJ 2.1  1.9      2.9T    4.7T    5.1T 6.7:0  8.5:0    7:0     2:0     1:0 230   355     253     2257    2689 400kg 950kg  2,500kg  2,500kg  4,250kg 0.32  0.95    1.8     3.9     4.5 *   Recallthatthesearemuchsmallervehiclesthanthelaterprototypes. 53.,SokuhekiFujoushikiRiniaSaiyo,ShouhiDenryoku10%Gen,〝址地吐塾担幽通塾狙 August8,1990,P.1. 54M・YamaJ.andH・Nakashima,”SuperconductingMagnetforMagneticaHyLevitatedVehicJe, FirstInternationalSymposiumonSuperconductivity,Nagoya,Japan,August28-31,1988,PP・ 71-76;and”FuloshikiTetsudonoChodendoKyokuteionGijutsu∴担血豆塾迫也,VoL16,No.5, 1981,P.274. -56肩 OPeratingenvironment・Inoperation,thevibrationofthetraintendstoheatthemagnets, WhichcouldcaseaquenchingofthesuperCOnductingphenomenaandhenceasuddenloss Ofpower.Thiswouldresultinasuddenlossofpowerthatwouldcausethetraintoveer intothewallofthetrack,aShappenedduringatestrunattheendofMayl990.55 Theperfbrmanceofthevehicleenteringandtravellingthroughtunnelswillalsobe arlimportanttestgiventhehighspeedsofthetrainandestimatesthat60-80%ofitspath betweenTokyoandOsakawillbethroughtunnels.Andpefhapsmostimportantly, travellerswillhavetofbelcomfbrtablethatthestrongmagneticneldsgeneratedbythe magnetswi11notbeadangertotheirhealth. Thediscoveryofhightemperaturesuperconductivityalsopresentsnew OPpOrtunitiesastheuseofHTSmagnetsinthelinearmotorcarwouldintheoryreduce energyconsumptionthroughalO-15%reductioninvehicleweightanda5-10%reduction inonboardvehicleneeds・56However,thispossibilityhashadlittleeffbctontheprogram designtodate.ItisgenerallyftltthattheavailabilityofhighneldHTSmagnetsisstilla largenumberoryearsintheomng,SOtheprogramisfbcussingoncontinueddevelopment OfLTSmagnetdesigns. WhereHTSmaterialsmayplayaroleisinmagneticshielding.Thistechnology,it isbelieved,wi11beavailablebythemid-1990’S,anditsusewouldallowsomereductionin refhgerationcostsandweight. $呵叩こ1上土 InlargepublictechnologyprQjects,POliticswillcometoplayanimportantrolein Japanasinanyothercountry.Inthecaseofthelinearmotorcar,theincentivesand decisionsofpoliticiansappeartohavebeeninstrumentalinkeepingtheprogramin existenceandindeterminingthepaceofdevelopment.LikeanypublicworksprQject,it meansincreasedemploymentandincreasedlandvalue.Butthereachofpolitical interventionisnotdeep・Asatechnologyprqject,RTRIanditscontractingnrmswere allowedtofbcusprimari1yoneachprototypegoal,Organizingthenrmstoexploit COmPetitiveandcooperativeincentivesindevelopment. Inmanagingthedevelopmentofthelinearmotorcar,aSalient丘aturewhichis Observedthroughtheprogramistheuseofmultiplecontractorsfbrthemaintechnology 55’’RiniaJikkenshagaJiko,′′Ygn3igLLabiQ3塾軋(yukan),August28,1990,P.18;WithmoredetaHs in’’MasatsunetsudeJiryokuUshinau:!型建立旦吐出塾凪September3,1990. 56DonaldRoteandLarryJohnson,・・Potentia=∋enefitsofSuperconductivityTransportationin theUnitedStates,‘‘FirstInternationalConferenceinHighTemperatureSuperconductivity, August28-30,1988,Nagoya,Japan,PP.66-70(67). 胃57- developmenttasks・Ataminimum,multiplesourcesactasafbrmofinsurance,incaseone ofthenmlSCOuldnotperfbmasexpected,Orincaseoneofthenrmsbecomes disinterestedinsomepartorthedevelopmentactivity・Thelatter,fbrexample,WaSSeentO bethecasewithHitachi,aSitdroppedoutofthesuperCOnductormagnetdevelopmentafter theML-100prototype.Multiplesourcingwasalsoawayofinstillingcompetitionin development,PrOVidingadisincentivetoshoddyorletha塔icwork,Zmdameansof leveraglngthecapabilitiesofseveralnrmsbydi乱singinfbrmationthroughjointtasksor altematingprqjectleadership. Howevertheuseofmultiplenrmsdoesnotalwaysmeanthattheprogramwas expectingorfbrcingcooperation.Cooperationorcompetitionareusedinaccordancewith theappealofthetechnicalandcompetitiveirlCentives andrenectedexistingindustrial relationships.Cooperationevidencedinjointpatentapplicationsoccurredwherethe teclm010gytargetedwasoneof-commonin丘astructureandthelevelofexperienceequal andlowenoughthateachnrmhadlittletoloseandcontinuedparticipationtogainfromthe COllaboration.Thiswasseeninjointpatentapplicationsbythethreeparticipatingcableand WiremanufhcturersinthedevelopmentofpowercontroIsearlyintheprQject.Afterthis, theneedwasfilled,thecooperationdissoIvedanddidnotreemergefbrtherestofthe prOgmm. CooperationbetweennrmsindifTirentsectorswaSalsoseeninthepatent applicatiorldata,butallca5eSOCCurredbetweennmlSinthesametraditioIlaliIldustrial grouplng,Orkeiretsu.Hereeachofthecableandwiremanufhctureswereseentobe COOPeratinginitsownsetofsubcontractors.A丘eeassociationoftwo-Way,inter-SeCtOr COOPerationwasnotobserved. Whenthedevelopmentof-thesuperconductingmagnetsareexamined,however,We Seetha=hethreem可OrSyStemSnrmSWeremanagedfbrcompetitionratherthan COOperation.Eachnrmwascapableonitsownofproducingtheneededsuperconducting magnets,andsoeachnrmwasallowedtodoso,altematively.Theprogressiveadvanceof theprototypesrequiredcontinuedadvancesof’thesemagnetsasdescribedearlier,andthis keptthefirmsinsearchofimprovementS. ThusiIlthislinearmotorcarprogmm,COOPerationwasseentobel垣1iId,g嘘 and出生由地1.ItislimitedtoaselectedsetofCableandWiremanufhcturersand HeavyElectricalEquipmentnrms,theprimecontractors.Itisgroupedamongthekeif・etSIl Ofthemqjorparticipantstotakeadvantageorestablishednormsofcross-SeCtOrCOOPeration toenharlCethecorltributionofeachprimecontractor.Arlditisinternaliyrationalinthe SenSethatprqjectselectionfbrcooperationwithinthesegroupednrmsappearsbased -58一 Primari1yontechnicalmotivationswithintheconstraintstoappropriationpresentbecause theclientisnationalasingular,nOtCOmmerCialandmultiple. Finally,eVenthough丘omthebeginningthisprqjectwasandstillishai1edasa Prqiectthatcentersaroundanadvancedtechnology,SuPerCOnductivity,nOneW developmentsinsuperconductingmagnetswereneededfbrthenrsttwoprototypes・The PrQjectexploitedexistiIlgteClm0logy.Itwasnotunti11978andtheML-500thatthenrst patentapplicationsinsuperconductivityweresubmitted,andaswehaveseenh・Omthedata Ofimprovedmagnetperfbrmance,theseadvanceshavebeenincrementalonesinimproving thepowertoweightratioofthedevices. IVL____二陛fIA旦_」ⅣAS THEINDUSTRY STATUS AT THE TIME OF HTS Asdescribedintheearliersection,therewaSahistoryofteclm010gydevelopment activitieswhichcontributedtothecreationandsustainabilityofaLTSindustryandwhich PrOVidedfbranHTSresearchcapabilityatthetirneofitsdiscovery.Thepurposeofthis SeCtionistoreviewthestatusoftheindustryatthetimeofthediscovery,tOPrOVidesome SenSeOfthecapabilitiesthatcouldbedrawnupon,Oftheindustrialstructureand relationshipswhichexisted,Zmdtoshedlightontheopportunitiesorneedsfbrgovemment POlicyandcooperativeR&D. The LTS Markets Asdescribedinthediscussionofthehistoryofthistechnology,duringtheperiod betweenl970andthemid-1980’smuchofthemarketwasdirectedtowardprovidingwires toaccelerators,fusionandmagneticneldexperimentaldevices.Magnetsforthelinear motorcarexperimentsanduniversitylaboratorieswerealsobeingdelivered,butthemarket Sizewasfhrmoreminor・Duringthisperiod,thesuperconductingwiremarketinJapan avefagedonehundredmi11ionyen($1-2million)peryear. Inthemid-1980’S,JapanesemakersenteredthecommercialmarketfbrMagnetic ResonancelmagirlgSyStemS,Whichprovideda boosttotheindustry.InOctoberl985, therewere48MRIunitsoperatinginJapan,withmorethantwo-thirdsortheseusing COnVentionalmagnets・BySeptemberof1988,thenumberofinstalledunitedhadgrownto 351,With1essthanaquarteruslngCOnVentionalmagnetsand60%usingsuperconducting magnets・Atthistimethesuperconductingsystemswerepricedat2-5hundredmillionyen PerSet・ByNovemberof1989,therewere643MRImachinesopeTatinginJapan,Of ー59- MRIUnLlSlrIUsclnJapan,byYc3JaJldTypc AU O O       ハU n-      .U PU O O O O O 7       ′0       5       4        1J       つ‘ 0ニト35       N。Y-S5      JaバーSS S叩-3S SCP-39 亡コSCNagT贈.ン15T ロSC工,tag。時1.5T nscMagnet,10T 回scトtag。暗く05T □pcnm加。n待tユダ融 車convc。HOnanhgnct Figure13. GrowthintheMRIMarketinJapan (From”MRISochiSettchiByoinIchiran,”fiz9鉗,Rinjizokango,Vol・21, No.24,1989,p.214.) Whichabouttw0-thirdsnowusedsuperconductingmagnets-eXaCtlythereverseofthe ratiofburyearsbefbrewhenthemarketwasjustopening.Figure13showsthisgrowthin theMRImarketandtheuseofsuperCOnductingmagnets・57Thengufealsoshowsthat muchofthegrowthhasoccurredintwosubmarkets:Smaller,lowneldmachinesratedat lessthanO.6T,andl.5Thighneldmagnets.Intermediatesizedmagnetsandverylarge magnetsoccupyamuchsmallershare.WiththeincreaSeinvolumeandexperience,the COStOftheseMRIunitshavebeenbroughtdowrltOl-2hurldredmi11ionyenperset. IncontrastwithU.S,manufhcturerswhohavetargetedthehigherstrength machines,theJapanesehaveastrongercapabilityinthesmal1ersizedmachines.Formany applications,SuChasorthopedics,thesmallermachinesareconsideredmorethanadequate andhavetheaddedattractivenessofbeinglessexpensive,eaSiertoinstall,andtakeupless SPaCe.Thismakesthesmal1ermachinesmoreattractivefbrthenumeroussmallhospitals aroundthecountry. 57’’MRISochiSettchiByolnlchiran,Nfiz9」亜生地辿.Rinjizokango,VoL21,No.24,1989,P. 214. -60- ToshibaandHitachileadJapanesemanufhcturers,Havingsoldl58unitseach. Theyarefo110wedbyShimadzuatlO5units,Yokogawa-GEMedicalat93units,and Siemens一Asahiat79units.58Theselattertwocompaniesarejointventuresinitiatedby nrmsoverseastopenetratethemarketinJapan.YokogawaElectricteamedwithGE Medicalin1987andSiemenstiedupwithAsahiChemicalin1989. AlthoughJapanesecompaniesarestrongathome,theyarenotasstrongabroad・ JapanesenrmshaveaverysmallshareortheU.S.MRImarket,1essthanlO%,andan evensmallershareoftheEuropeanmafket.TheiroverseascompetitorssuchaSGeneral ElectriC,BTi,OxfbrdTechnology,andSiemens,aremOreteChologiCal1yadvanCedthan theJapanesenrms. Outsideof-Japan,SOmeOfthesemanufhcturershavealliedwithnrmsoverseasto helppenetrateMRIandrelatedmedicalmarkets.In1989,ToshibapurchasedtheMRI divisionofDiaS0nicsInc.of-sanFranciscotohelpfurthermarketitsmachines.Hitachi Ltd.andPhilipsalsotiedupinthesameyearinajointventureinConcord,Massachusetts tobeginmanufhcturingCTscanners.WhileHitachi’spresenceissmallintheU.S.MRl market,Philipshada7%shareinl990andToshibaa8%share.Althoughthisisstillfhr behindtheU.S.leader,GEMedical,itssharehasfhllenslightly丘om47%in1986to44% in1990.WithGEMedical,Seimens(22%)andPickerIntemational(11%)combiningfbr 77%oftheU・S・market,Japaneseflrmsseeroomfbrdisplacement・59 Thecostofthesuperconductingwireisgenerallyestimatedat5-10%thecostorthe MRIsystem,Whichyieldsanestimateofl.5billionyenfbrthewireusedinMRIdevices inJapan.Thetotalsuperconductingcableandwiremarketisestimatedtobe2.0billion yeninJapaninl989.60Thisrepresentsabout25%oftheworldwidemarket・ Thus anerdecadesofdevelopmentalworkontechniquestoprocessthematerials intousefulwiresandcablesorfilms,andthentofhbricatethewiresandcablesornlmsinto usefuldevices,theLTSmarkethasslowlyexpandedtopenetrateanumberof’commercial markets.Consideringthecommercialmarketasawhole,OneeStimateisthatinl990,the WOrldwideconsumptlOnOffhbrimtedproductswhichincorporatesuperconductive materialswillbeabout$54.8billion.Thebulkof-thismarket,$45.lbillion(82%),isin instrumentationandmedicaldeviceswithothermarketsincludingapplicationsinelectronic, 58Kazufumi.toh了′MRlmagIng:,Lg地March1990,PP,30-31. 59AmalKumarNa5...GEAimstoCutMedicaJlmaglngCosts:工垣A麺吐些軋塾堅む塾些血 September10,1990. 60Estimatebasedonconversationswithmanufacturers.AJsoreferencedwasthepaperby, HirohisaShioda,”R&DonSuperconductivityinJapan,’FurukawaElectricCompany,March1989, andStrategicAnalysISInc.,’’StrategicOpportunitiesinSuperconductors:AGlobalAnalysis1990- 2005,〝JuJy10.1990,Reading,PA. ー61- industrial,aerOSPaCeanddefbnse,POWergeIleration,andtrarlSPOrtation.Theseare summarizedinTable6. Intheearly1990’S,themafketwillcontinuetogrowwiththeadvanceofthe nation’Sfusionandparticleacceleratorfhcilitiesaswellasthroughgrowingmarketsin miniatureSynchrontronOrbitalRadiation(SOR)fhcilitiesfbrICproduction,CyClotronsfbr medicalprocess,andSQUIDsfbrmagneticneldmeaSurementS・AmarketinexcessoflO billionyenperyearinJapanisanticipatedduringthisperiod. NatureoftheIndustry Formostofitshistory,themajormarketsfbrsuperconductingmaterialshavebeen inspeCialityordermarketsmuchmorethancommercialmarkets.Magnetsfbraccelerators, fusionexperimentaldevices,MHDexperimentaldevices,etc・,havebeentheprimaryuses ofthetechnology.Themarketoperatedlargelythroughcontractsratherthanthrough generallyspecinedandcommerciallymarketeddevices.Themainexceptiontothis,again, hasbeentheMRImarketwhichdescribedearlier. Theresultofthistypeofmarketisthatentrycanbedimcultascapabilityoften Weighsheavilyincontractevaluation,withexperiencebeingvitaltocapability.First entrantsthushaveamarketadvantage.Oncetheirpresenceisestablished,theyareina Table6.  EstimateoftheWorldwideConsumptionorFabricated Superconducting Materials_199061 EndUseIndustry Value (MillionS) PercentofTotal InstrumentationandMedical Electronics hdustrial AerospaceandDefbnse PowerGeneration Transportation 61strategicAnalysISlnc・,OP・Cit・ -62- 1.1 7 0 7 7 ′b 45 2 2 1 1 1 2 00 5 4 3 3 3 POSitiontoperpetuatethisadvantagebyleveragingtheirexperienceandrecordinfuture Prqjectproposals・Withaslowgrowingandirregularmarket,thechancesfbrentryare furtherreduced. Theconsequenceof-thisfbrmofmarkethasbeenthatthemajorplayersinthe industryhavebeenlimitedoverthe30yearcommercialhistoryinJapan.Ahandfulof nmlShavecomprisedthebackborleOfthelowtemperatureSuPerCOnductivityindustryin JapaIl. ThenrmsactiveindevelopingLTScanbegenerallydividedbetweenthosethatare SuPpliersoftheprimaryprocessedmaterialsandthosethatincorporatethesematerialsinto SyStemSanddevices,andthosethatareverticallyintegratedtodoboth.Asallofthemajor COmmerCialapplicationstodatehaveinvoIvedfbrmingthesuperCOnductingmaterialsinto Wires,tOCOnStruCtmagrletS,thefirmsthathavebeenthelocusofmaterialsdevelopment andprocessinghavebeenintheCableandWireindustrialsector・Thesuperconducting materialsdevelopedbycompaniesinthissectorarethenintegratedintodevices,agaln, Principallymagnets,bynmsthathavetraditionallycome丘omtheHeavyElectrical Equipmentsector.Intheelectronicsarea,SuperCOnductivitycontinuestobealmostentirel)▼ aresearchactivity,withtheexceptionofaverysmallmarketinSQUIDdevices. ThereareeightnrmsintheCableandWiresectorthatarelistedinthenrstsection OftheTokyoStockExchangeandwhichdominatemostof-thecableandwiremarket.The mostactivenrmsinthedevelopmentofsuperconductingproductsareFurukawaElectriC, HitachiChble,SumitomoElectriC,ShowaCable,andFujikura.Althoughnoonenrm dominatestheJapanesemarket,Furukawa王三1ectricisthelargestwithclosetoa35%share. Thisisfbllowedby HitachiCableat25%,andSumitomoElectricandShowaCd)le,eaCh With15%ofthemarket.ThesesharesaresummarizedinTable7. Becausesalesinthismarketareprimari1ythroughcontractstolargeprQjects,the CyClesthatanrmmustgothroughcanberatherlarge.Onecableandwiremanufhcturer notedthatcyclesbetweenprq7eCtSCanmeafltha?wiceaSmarlyWOrkersneedtobe reassignedtootherprqjectswhiletheyarebetweenorders.Thusakeytoncontinulngin thisindustryhasbeentohavetheabilitytorespondtoallofthemarketpossibilitieswithin thisfield. Ofthesemajorcableandwirenrms,however,OnlyFurukawaElectric,andtoa lesserextentSumitomo王三1ectdc,aretOtallyintegrated:OnlythesetwonrmsareiIIVOIvedin thefullspanofdevelopmentactivitiesfiommaterialsdevelopmenttosystemsproduction. Theotherfirmsfbcusonthematerialsandcableproductionprocessesandworkwith SpeCincmanufhcturerstoproducesystemsanddevices. -63- Table7. ApproximateSharesofSuperconductingCableandWireMarketby M毎OrManufhcturers-198962 Fim ApproximateShare FunlbwaElectのc HitachiCable SumitomoElectric ShowaCable KobeSteel 35% 25% 15% 15% 5% Others(F可ibnCAble,  5% etc.) AL汀OMOBlLE NONFERROUS GL\SSand CER′\MlCS CONSLIⅥERELECTRONICS CHEMlCAlj UnLmES SHpBUUDmG IRONandmEL COMMUNICパnON トHCELELECrRICMACH. CA月LEandlⅥRE HEAVYELECTRエC AVERAGENL:ヽ用EROFYEへR50FR⊥DINSUPERCONDUCTIVJTY BYSECTOR :車 計 0          5 10       15        20        25       〕O YeユrS Figure14・ AverageNumberofYearsinSuperconductivity,byIndustrialSector 62Estimatesbasedonconversationswithmanufacturers. ー 64- TheprincipaldeviceandsystemsmanufhcturersincludeMitsubishiElectriC,Hitachi Ltd.andToshiba.Figure14showstheaveragenumberofyearsthatactivenrmsfiom varioussectorshavebeeninvoIvedinsuperconductivity・63Thengureshowsthatthe activenrmsintheCableandWiresectorhadbeeninvoIvedfbranaverageof22・5years, WithSumitomoElectricclaimingthelongestinvoIvementof30years.FirmsintheHeavy ElectricalEquipmentsectorhavebeenengagedfbranaverageof27.4years,withthe Principalactors,Hitachi,ToshibaandMitsubishiElectriC,allenteringbetweenl958and 1961.Thengurealsoshowsthatoutsideofthesefbwnrmsandsectors,entryintothe fieldhasbeenmuchmorerecent. Fr〝尺どαがβ乃∫ InthecasesofHitachi,ToshibaandMitsubishiElectricresearchbeganatthe SyStemSanddeviceorganizations.Atthebeginning,SuPerCOnductingmaterialsweremost Strikingfbrtheirnovelity,andasthesecompanieshadestablishedcentralresearch laboratoriesatthissametime,theyhadmoreofacapabilitytodevotesomeresearchtimeto exploringtheproperties.Asthepossibilityofmanufhcturingusefu1magnetsoutofthese materialswaSrealized,theworkwastransfbrredtothecableandwireamliatesor arrangementsweremadewithcableandwiremanufhcturerssothatexistingexpertisein manufhcturingcouldbeexploitedtoenterthismarket. Becauseofthesehistoricalrelationships,itisnotgenerallythecasethatthevadous Cablenrmsfieelynegotiatewithvarioussystemsmanufhcturersfbrprqjectsthatarise. InsteadmanyofthecablemanufhcturersselltospeCincsystemsmanufhcturerswithwhich theyworkinarrangementsthatplaceahigherpri0rityonpurchasing丘omthepartnerthan 丘omotherfirms.InsomecasesthesepalnngSgenerallyfbllowtraditionalkeiretsLL relationships,andinotherstheyarenon-keiretsubutstablerelationshipswhichhave developedovertime. AstheFigure15shows,HitachiCablesuppliesvirtuallyallof-itscabletoHitachi Ltd.,andShowaCablesendsitsproductsalmostentirelytoToshiba.Bothoftheselinks fhllwithinthenrms’keiretsu.althoughSumitomohassomecapabilitytoproducedevices, itisalsothepnmarysupplierfbrMitsubishiElectriC,inalong-termrelationshipthatisnot COntainedinonekeiretsu.Simi1arly,FurukawaElectriCalsosuppliesMitSubishiElectricin 63Thedataarefromasurveyof60fim唱COnductingresearchinsuperconductivity.These Organizationaccountforoverg0%ofthepatentapplicationssubmittedinsupeTCOnductivityby firmsbetweenJanuary1987andthesummerof1988. 胃65- Cable Makcrs Systems Developers Ltd. Hitachi Showa Fujikura Sumitomo Furukawa Cable Cable Cの1e Electric ElectriC 1        1 1       1 1       1 1       1 1       1 1       1 1       1 1        1 1       1 1        1 1        1 1       1 Hitachi Toshiba ETL Mitsubishi王ilectriC Figure15. Keiretsuandlong-termrelationshipsbetweenCの1esuppliersandsystems developeIS anon-keiretsurelationship,howeverorallofthenrms,FurukawaElectricisthemostfu11y integrated. Forsmallercableandwirenrmsthathavenotestablishedthesevertical relationships,breakingintotheLTSmarkethasbeendimcult.Contractswithdevice manufhcturersarehardtoobtainandthecyclesbetweenprqjectscanbesevere.Asa result,OneSuChmanufhcturer,Fttjikura,hasreliedprincipal1yonitsrelationshipwiththe govemmPnt’sElectrotechnicalIAboratory(ETL)fbrmostofitsmagnetsales. Althoughtherearenofbrmalestimatesof’thesizeofthekeiretsuvs.non-keiretsIL markets,aneStimatebasedontheaboverelationshipsisthat40%ofsuperconducting Cablesandwiresexchangehandsinkeiretsu,30-35%areprocessedentirelyinintegrated nrms,and15%aresoldinnon-keiretsubutlongtermrelationships,andl0-15%aresold Ontheopenmarket. Fortheindustry,thekeiretsu andlong-termrelationshipshavekeptanumberof COmpetitorsaliveinasmallmarket,PreVentingdominancebyasinglenrm.The COmpetitionfbrcontractshasmaintainedsomelevelofincentivesfbrinnovation. However,aSthemarketexpands,fbreignmanufhcturersofsuperconductorswillnnd,1ike F可ikura,thatbreakingintothisnetworkisdimcult.Sofbreignnrmswouldbeexpected tocomeinwithdevicestosellandthroughjointventureswithJapanesenrmswhichhave theserelationshipsestablished.Thisappearstobethecaseinintemationaljointventuresto PrOduceMRIdevicesasdescribedearlier.Ifthewiremarketitselfbecomessigninmnt,Or ifthecontractedmarketsuddenlyexpandsfbmagrowthinfusionoraccelerator -66胃 teclm0logy,however,Wemaynndthatsuperconductivitymayfbllowinthepathorother highteclmologymarketstotheintemationaltradetable. 尺ハピ(爪・/いlピJバ小、 Inadditiontotheirworkinmagnets,thesepnncipalsystemsdevelopersarealso amongthemoreprominentinresearchinthinnlmsandelectronicapplicationsofthe material.Thisconcentrationofdevelopmentactivityisrenectedintheresearchbudgets reportedbythenrmsrespondingtothequestionnaire.TheHeavyElectricEquipment SeCtOrrepOrtedthegreatestlevelofspendingin1986,PriortotheHTSdiscovery,Of-2.25 billionyen,withtheCableandWiresectornextatl,07billionyen.Togetherthesesectors represent62%oftheprivatesectorresearchinvestmentinLTS.Twenty-Sixnrmshaving activeLTSR&Dprogramsinl986reportedspendingatotalof5・33billionyen・64Figure 16showsthissectoralconcentIationorR&Dinvestment.Intermsofpersonnelthis tIanSlatestoareportedll2researchersintheHeavyElectricSectorand51researchersin theCableandWireSector. Whenthenrmsintheironandsteel,Shipbuilding,andmorepurelyelectronicsand COmmunicationsindustryareadded,96.5%oftheLTSresearchin1986reportedbynrms SurVeyediscovered. InadditiontotheresearchatthemainlaboIatOriesfbrthenrmsintheHeavy EquipmentSector,isalsoasubstantiallevelofdevelopmentactivityattheproduction divisions.Firmsreportedalevelofdevelopmentstaffatthedivisionsthatoftenequalled theresearchstaffatthecentral1dboratories.Theseindividualsareoftencountedamongthe productionstaffandconsequentlyabsentffommosttalliesofR&Dactivity,andtheirtime mayonenbespentonsmallengineeringmatters.Howeverrecognizingtheirpresence PrOVidesamorecompletepictureofthescaleofteclmicalactivityinthecommercialization Of-thistechnology.ThusiftheR&Dstaff.andtheenglneeringstafraretogetherconsidered thetechnicalstaff,thetotalwouldnearlydoublethesectoralvaluesfbrR&Dstaff. Thisconcentrationofinnovationinthesesectorsisalsorenectedinthepatent applicationdata,Figure17.Dataofpatentapplicationsannouncedbetween1971and 1987fbrthetop20patentingnrmsshowthattheHeavyElectricsectorisdominantwith theCableandWirenrrnsandtheElectronicsnrmscomposingthebulkoftheremainder. 64An”activefirm・・isdefinedasonereporting20rmOrereSearChersworkingInreSearChonLTS. - 67- /′バ.fr椚/〃J/丁 ThusatthetimeofthediscoveryofHTS,theirldustrywascomposedofanumber Of-1arge,PrimarymaterialsprocessorsandsystemsanddevicedeveloperSWhichrepresent SOmeOfJapan’slargestandmostsuccessfulcompanies.Althoughthemarketsweresmall, Participationbynrmswasstableoverthefirsttwodecades.Shouldmaterialsshow PrOmiseofcommercialuse,thenetwo正sfbrproducinganddifrhsingtheinnovationare alreadyinplace・Atthesametime,HTSoffbredtheopportunityofprovidingacrackinthe insulatedsuperconductorindustry. -68一 Figure16. SectoralDistributionofInvestmentinLTSResearch INVESTMENT rN LTS R&D BY SECTOR-1986 SH】PBULmING ー69- HEAVYELECTRIC N u m b e r ー 」○ - NumberorPatentApplicationsinSupcrconductivitybyMajorFirmsinVal’iousInck1Strial Scctors,byYcarAnnouncccl 0      0      0 0      0      0 5       dH rJ P a -1  e n ・1 八 nr+nr・-・・1 C a t・I O n S 71 72  7〕 74  75  76  77  78  79  80  S1 82  8〕 84  85  86  87 Yc:lr∧11110川1cc(l(1.5Yer汀Sバtcrllmnnr)l)llC;tlion) m other 回1ヨcctr。l-ics&C。間?一. []C油1日目。=Vir。 竃IIe値yI三l∝lric コ望re-」・ SeclO邑UistきutiOnOrActiくity5.LTSRe綜arChRe詳C-edinPatent AppliPtiO己 1旦址二RF.ゝPrlヽSETOTl?三rHS(10VFR’OFt?GH TEMPERベ11」ilニ SUPERCONDUCTIVITY Ⅴ. Uponthediscoveryofhightemperaturesuperconductivity,theJapanese govemmentmOVed”atthespeedoflight.”Ordidthey?InthissectionIwillreviewthe responseoftheprivatesectorandthegovernmenttothediscoveryofHTSinanattemptto Showhowpolicyunfbldedandwhateffbctthegovernment”lead”hadintheoverall responseinR&Dtothisnewopportunity. BednorzandMeullerpublishedtheirdiscoveryofhighertemperature SuperCOnductivityintheSeptembereditionoftheGermanjoumal言な垣dl立札垣迦速. Whattheyobservedwaswhatappearedtobesuperconductivityoccurringatatransition temperatureof-30K,Whichwas7Khigherthantheexistingrecordof23Kachieved throughNiGe・However,thedatadepictingthetransitiontemperaturewerenotentirely CleanandtheyhadnotyetdemonstratedtheMeissnerEfftct.65 Thediscoverythusawaitedconnrmationandmonthspassedwithoutnoticeable nurryinthescientinccommunity.ThenewsmadeitswaytoProf二ShQjiTanaka’s laboratoryattheUniversityofTokyoseveralmonthsiater,inAugust,thankstothecareful eyeof-Prof.KazukoSekizawaatNihonUniversity.66Shehadbeenconductingresearch intothepossibilityofsuperconductivityoccurringinjustsuchaperovskitematerial,and realizingthepotentialsignincanceoftheIBMwork,quicklypassedthenewsontoher COlleaguesbyphone.ShecalledProf.Kitazawa,alsooftheUniversityorTokyo,Who quicklysharedtheinfbrmationwithPror.Tanaka.TheKitazawaandTanakalaboratories thengearedupandfbcussedtheworkoftheirresearchteamsonthetaskofconnrmingthe highertemperaturesuperconductivity. OnNovember28,Prof.Tanakaannouncedhisconfirmationofhighertemperature SuPerCOnductivityinaceramicmaterialinanarticleintheAsahiShimbun(Newspaper).67 InthearticlehenotedthattheyhadverinedtheMeissnerEfftctwiththeLanthium-Barium, 65AwidelycirculatedviewthathasdevelopedsincethenwasthatBednorzandMeuller PurPOSeZypublishedinalesscircu.atedGermanjOurnalratherthananinternationalpubZicationso thattheycouldbothlayaclaimonthediscoveryaswelIasbuythemselvestimetoconfirmwhat theythinkthattheyhavefound・Scienceheredoesnotseemtobefreeofcompetition・ 66Rumorshavecircutatedthattheinformationcame†roma†oTtuitousvisitofaJapanese researcherto旧M.butthisisdisputedinJapan.InOctober,Prof.MasakeTakashigefromthe UniversityofTokyowasvisitingthe旧MZurichIaboratoryandthereJearneddirectlyaboutthe experiments.Whilethisprovidedcon桁mationoftheworkunderway,itappearsnottohavebeen ”theevent’’whichsparkedIabsinJapan. 67・・ChodendonoShinZairyowoHakken-・Koon・demojubunnaugoki,・・虫避止塾也塾担, November28.1986,P.3. ー71- Copper-OxidematerialdescribedbytheIBMreseardlerS・Howeverinreality,thedata WereStilllessthanperfbct,andProf・Tanakaandhisstudentswereworkinglonghoursto PrOduceacleangraph. ThencametheannualwintermeetingoftheMaterialsResearchSocietyinBostonin eadyDecember.OnWednesday,December3,Pro[Tanab’slaboratory丘lallyproduced cleandatawhichverinedtheoccurrenceoftheMeissnerEffbctwiththisnewmaterial,and theresultswerefhxedtoProf二KitazawainBoston.OnThursday,December4,duringa sessionwhichincludedpapersonsomeolderoxidematerials,PaulChugaveapresentation attheendofwhichheannouncedtheconnrmationoftheIBMnndings.Prof.Kitazawa thenpresentedtheresultsthathehadjustreceived,andthehightemperature superconductivityboomhadbegun. Howdidthegovemmentandtheprivatesectorrespondtotheconnrmationofthis discovery?Inbrier,theprivatesectorreactedveryquickly,andthegovemment, particularlyMITIandtheSTA,VerySlowlyincreatingprogramstosupportresearchin HTS.Examinationof-thisresponseshowsthatevenaSthepdmarypromotersofscience andtechnologyinthegovemment,thesebureaucraciesarestillboundbytheproceduresof thebudgetaryprocess,andtheseproceduresarenotdesignedtoaccommodatethequick SuPPOrtOfnewdiscoveriesinscience.Inthisinstance,COntrarytOPOPularimage,MITI WaSnOtthefhstestbutthesIowestorganizatiorltOreaCt,lagglngtheinitiativesofSTAand MOE,andlaggingtheresponseoftheindustrywhichitisonenenvisionedasleading・The timingoftheseactionsandtheprocessthroughwhichfbrmalgovemmentpoliciescameto fbrmwillbedescribedbelow. TheGovernmentResponse Contrarytoitsirnageasoneofthegovemment’sslowestandmostbureaucratic Organizations,theMinistryofEducationwasthenrsttoprovidefundsfbrHTSresearchas aresultofProf.Tanaka’sconnrmation.Withinacoupleofweeks,Prof.Tanaka,aSWell asseveralotheroftheprofbssorsinvoIvedinoxidematerialsresearch,fbundthatthe Ministryhadtransftrredseveralmillionyentotheirkoza,mOneyintendedtoallowthe PurChasenewequipmentfbrHTSexperiments. TheMinistry’Sthreeyearsuperconductivityresearchprogramwasscheduledto COnCludeattheendofMarch1987,buttheMinistryrespondedtotheHTSdiscoverywith SurPrisingdecisiveness,COntinulngitssupportbyextendingtheprqjectfbranotheryear, 169millionyenwasallocatedthroughtheGrant-in-Aidprogramwithfineenindividuals Selectedandthethemesnarrowedtoone,OXidesuperconductors. -72- TheScienceandTechnologyAgencywasthenexttocreateaprogram,fbrmingthe NewSuperconductingMaterialsForumunderthewingofoneofitsassociations,The SocietyofNon-traditionalTeclm0logy.Thepurposeofthefbrumwastoserveasan infbrmationclearinghousefbrnewdevelopmentS,domesticallyandintemationally,inthis neld.ThenrstmeetirlgWaSheldonFebruary26,1987,justtendaysafterPaulChuhad announcedatapressconfbrenceofamaterialwhichappearedtosuperconductat temperatureSabovethatofliquidnitrogen.Formanyinattendance,thiswasthenrst OCCaSiontohearaboutthebreakthrough,givingthefbrumaverypositivestart.Withina monthmembershiphadgrownto60nrms. DuringtheJanuarytoFebruaryperiod,Plansfbrprogramstosupportresearchin HTSmaterialsbegantofloatupthroughtheranksofSTAandMITl,buttheseplanswould takemoretimetounfbld. ThenextmovemadeinpolicycircleswasbypoliticiansintheNationalDiet.In February,Smal1studygroup,al’kondallkai,′rwasfbrmedintheLiberalDemocraticParty, 1edbyTakashiTawara,aCivilengineeringgraduateofKyushuUniversityandaperson WhowasatthetimetheDirectorof’theLowerHouseCommitteeorlCommerceand Industry”ShugiinJoinIinkai,l’andwhohadbeentheparliamentaryViceMinisterto MITI. OnApri116,1987,nineteenmembersoftheLiberalDemocraticPartyannounced thefbmationoranaSSOCiatiorlfbrmedtosupportgovernmentinvoIvementin SuPerCOnductivity,the’’ChodendoSangyoGiinRenmei.〝 TheRenmeiwaschairedby SeiryokuKajiyama,aSeniormemberofttheTakeshitafhction,WhowaSChairmanofthe LowerIlouseCommitteeonCommerceandlndustryandwaslatertobecomeHome MinisterandDeputy-SecretaryGeneraloftheParty. ThestatedgoalsoftheRenmeiwerethefbllowing. AssuringtheallocationoffhndsfbrthepromotionoftheR&Danddevelopmentof industrialapplicationsofsuperconductivity. Acquiringexperimentalequipmentafldresearchfhcilitiesneededfbrthe developmentofindustrialsuperconductirlgteChnologies. Promotingpoliciesfbrtheeducationofpersonnelneededfbrthedevelopmentof industrialsuperconductingteclm010gies.68 TheeffbctoftheRenmeiinpolicy-makingwi11bediscussedinthefbllowing SeCtion. 68chodendoSangyoGiinRenmei.・・Shuisho,NAprH・6,1987・ 一73- TheSTAfbrmallyannounceditsplanstosupportaR&Dprogramin SuPerCOnductivity,OnSeptember21,1987,WhentheResearchandDevelopmentI)ivision OftheScienceandTechnologyAgencyreleaseditsreport,’ChodendoZのiryOKe′lkyu KaihatsunoAratanaTenkai,”(ANewStageintheResearchandDevelopmentof SuperconductingMaterialS).69HereSTAdescribeditsplantodevelopa”Multi-Core Program,’’whichcenteredaroundasetofSTAlaboratoryfhcilities,eaChresponsiblefbra difTbrentpri0rityresearchtheme.Thestrategywasthusdrawn,buttherewasnofhnding tomovequicklyintoaction.ThestartoftheMulti-CoreProgramwouldhavetowaitfbr thebeginningofthefbllowingnscalyear,inAprilof1988・ ThenrstoverallstatementofpolicytowardHTS丘omthegovernmentwasnot announceduntilNovemberofl987.TheCouncilfbrScienceandTechnologythroughits PolicyAdvisoryCommitteeapprovedthereleaseofastatementdrawnupbyaspecial COmmitteesetuptoconsiderpolicytowardHTS,the’’ChodendoNiKans〃・uKondaTlkai′′ (SuperconductivityDiscussionGroup),intheirreport’lChodendoKeflkyuKaihatsuno KihontekiSuikhinHosakuniTiLite,〝(ABasicPolicyfbrthePromotioT10fResearchand DevelopmentinSuperCOnductivity),70theynotedthepotentialfbrthecontinuingrapid advanceofthisneldandtheimportanceof-thusmovingexpeditiously.Thereportmade generalstatementsfbrtheincreasedsupportofresearchfunding,reSearChertraining,basic researchfhcilities,andtheexchangeofinfbrmation. Final1y,inDecember,MITI,throughthereportofitsowndiscussiongroup,the ’’ChodendoSangyoGtiutsuKaihatsuKondankai,’’announcedthatitwouldestablishajoint researchcenterfbrtheexplorationofHTS,withfundingtobeprovidedbyboththe governmentandtheprivatesectorparticipants. OnJanuaryl4,1988,theIntemationalSuperconductivityTechnologyConsortia (ISTEC)helditsinauguralceremonyattheImperialHotelinTokyoandaweeklater,On January21,WaSfbrmallyregisteredasanon-PrOntOrganizationwiththegovernment.The OmCefbritsadministmtivesectionwa50penedintheShimbashisectionofTokyo. Laboratorywork,however,WaSnOttOStartuntilJulywhentheNagoyalaboratory, Whichfbcussedonresearchinhighcurrentproperties,beganoperation.Themainresearch Center,inShiTlanOmaChiontheoutskirtsof-TokyofbrmallybeganoperationonOctober25, 1988. 69KagakuGijutsuchoKenkyuKaihatsuKyoku,”ChodendoZairyoKenkyuKaihatsunoAratana Tenkaド‘KagakuGijutsuchoKenkyuKaihatsuKyoku:Tokyo,September21,1987. 70KagakuGijutsuKaigi,dChoudendoKenkyuKaihatsunoKihontekiSuishinHosakuniTuite:・ KagakuGijutsuKaigi:Tokyo,November1987. ー74一 Withthebeginningofthenew缶scalyearinAprilof1988,theMinistryof Educationbegananewthree-yearPrOgraminsuperconductivity,thistimefbcusslngOn OXidematerials・TheprograminvoIved19principalresearchtasksunderthreethemes, fundamentalstructuralanalysis,neWelectronics,andoxidesandchemicalcomposition. TheScienceandTeclm0logyAgencyalsobeganitsoperationoftheMulti-Core programbybeginningthedistributionorfundstoeachofits”core”researchfhcilities. TheIndustrialResponse WiththegovernmentrespondinginfbrmingpolicyandR&DprogramsaS describedabove,OneWOuldthena5khowthiscompareswiththeresponseintheprivate SeCtOr.Doesgovernmentpolicyseemtoleadorlagtheactivitiesof-theprivatesector? AllofthefirmsengagedinsuperCOnductivityresearchatthetimeofthediscovery reportedthattheyinitiatedresearchintooxidesuperconductorswithindays,andinsome CaSeSbefbretheDecemberannouncement.TheattemptsbytheTanakaandKitazawa laboratoriestoconnrmtheIBMdiscoverywasknownbymanyofthesenrms,andthe moreadventurous,nOtablyHitachiandSumitomoI三lectriC,begansimilarresearchintheir ownlaboratoriesonasmallscaleinthefhllof1986. 0rleOftheappealingcharacteristicsofthisnewmaterialwasthatlittlenewcapital investmentwasneededtogetstarteditsresearch.ThusnrmSnOtyetinvoIvedin SuPerCOnductivitydidnotfhcemqjorinvestmentbarriersinenteringthisnewfleld,and manynrmsinrelatedmaterialsindustriessuchasglaSS,Ceramics,Steel,andmetalalloys begana5Signingresearcherstomonitorthedevelopmentsandbeginexploratoryresearch. Themqjororganizatiorlalmoves,however,OCCurredintheestablishednrms. InFebruary,Matsushitacreatedasimilarinter-1aboratorypIQjectteamtoexplore SuperCOnductingmaterialsanddevices.Withanumberofresearchfhcilitiesandamliated researchfhcilitiesspreadaroundtheOsakaarea,andwithresearchteamsexpertin COmmunicationdeviceslocatedinYokohama,thefunctionoftheprQjectwastoprovide administrativeandnnancialsupporttoallowthelaboratoriestoshareexpertiseand infbmationd)OutneWdevelopments. Oneofthenrstm句OrOrganizationalcommitmentwasmadebyHitachi,inMarch, Whenitfbmedafbrmalthree-yearinter-1aboratoryprqjectinsuperconductivity.Known asa′′tokken”prqject,itinvoIvednewfundsfbrequipmentpurchaseandmoreimportantly thesharingofexpertiseamong60researchers丘om12diffbrentlaboratoriesandthree PrOductiondivisions.HitachilaboratoriesparticipatingincludedtheCentralResearch Laboratory,HitachiResearch,HitachiCable,HitachiChemical,theMechanical -75- EngineeringLBboratory,theEnergyhboratory,theProductEngineeringhboratory,and theAdvancedResearchI.aboratory.Inaddition,reSearChersfiomtheRinkaiBranch,Naka Branch,andMainBranchofHitachi,Ltd.,alsoparticipated. AIsoinMarch,a30researchersatNEChadfbrmedaniTlfbrmalprqjectteam CuttingacrossdeparhentstoinvestigateHTSmaterials.FormedundertheirPF-II (PrqjectFundamentalII)system,itallowedresearderstoorganizeforindependent researchwithoutspecialreportingrequirementstooraid丘omthecompany・AtSumitomo ElectriC,aSuperconductivityR&DGroupwasfbrmed,andinAprilToshibainitiateda speCialprqjecttoinHTSandIshikawqiima-Harima(Ⅱ玉)fbrmedaHTSprQjectteam・ Bythemiddleoftheyear,alargenumberofcompanieshasfbrmedgroupsto pursueresearchinHTS.InJune,FujiElectricfbrmedaHTSresearchteamatitsBa5ic Researchhboratory,drawingonresearchersfiomanumberofdifftrentdepartments,and inthesamemonthatFttjitsu,SuPerCOnductivityresearchattheirCentralResearch LaboratorywasreorganizedintothreenewgroupsallofwhichincludedHTS:1)Materials R&D,2)SemiconductorCrystalGrowth(ThinFilms),and3)JosephsonJunctionsand ElectronicDevices.OthernrmsfbrmingsuperconductivityR&DteamsincludeMitsubishi ElectriC,KawasakiSteel,MitsubishiMetalS,andShowaCable. InSeptember,FurukawaElectricfbrmedanewSuperconductivityDepartmentatits YokohamaR&DLゐoratoryinaneffbrttocollectinonelaboratorythediversityof expertisetheyfbundnecessaryfbrthepursuitofHTS.Ceramicists,Chemists,OPticalnber SPeCialistswereplacedtogetherwithresearchersinmetallicsuperconductingmaterials・At thesametime,theotherdepartmentscontinuedtheirHTSresearch,Withtheceramics department,fbrexample,havingtumedtheirattentionalmostentirelytosuperconducting materials.InOctober,SanyoannouncedithadfbrmedfbrmalHTSresearchteams・ Thefbllowingyearsawacontinuationofthistrendtowardreorganizingfirm researchtoallowamixingofexpertiseinHTS.InJanuaryl988,SumitomoElectric establishedaSupercorlductivityDepartmentinitsOsakaLaboratory,Whichtookthelead fbrcoordinatingnrm-WideHTSresearchwiththewotkalsounderwayattheBasic TechnologiesLAboratory,theInfbrmationandElectronicTechnologyI.aboratory,theItami Laboratory,andtheYokohamaLaboratory.InMarch,thePF-IIactivityatNEChadbeen upgradedtoaPF-Iprqject,Whichmeantthatitwouldberecognizedasafbrmalpri0rity PrQjectofthenrmandgivenspecialnnancialsupport.Inadditionaltothefhnds,thisalso meantthattherewouldbeagreaterlevelofstabilityinthed)ilityofresearcherstopursue thiswork.And,inApri1,ToshibaestablishedaBasicResearchhboratorywithhalf-ofthe lab’S84researchersassignedtomaterialsdevelopmentanddeviceapplicationsofHTS・ ー76- Table8.  TimingofPolicyandPrivateSectorResponsestothe DiscoveryofHighTemperatureSuperconductivity Date PohcvEvent 1986 November 28 HTSEvent Tanaka Announcement in Asah Shimbun Announcement atMRS Mee血g Chu Announcement OfHTSabove77K American Physical Society Meeting, ’1Wood5tOCk of PhysICS” December4 1987 Februaryl6 Mbrch April July August September October NoYember December First Superconductivity Forum(STA) MOEExknd5 SuperCOnductlvity R&DPTOgram LDP DlSCUSSlOrlGroup ProjectTeam Group Superconductivity BudgetPropoSd5 Subm拇dto MOF MultトCore Program Plan Announced Coundl for Science andTechnology AnnouncesPolicy in SuperCOnductivity MITI Announces Fomation orISTEC ー77- Private Sector Event NEC-PF-IITeam Mat5u5hita・・Special PrctiectGroup Hitachi-Tokken”Project Sumitomo ElectriCPrc づectGroup Toshiba・ProjectGroup IHl-PTQjectTeam MitSUbiShl Electdc- Fujit5u-3ProjectGroups FujiElectnc-ProjectTeam MitsubiShi Meta15-Project Team KawasakiSteel-Project Team Showa Cable-Project Furukawa-SCDepartment Sanyo-SCGroup Date PolicYEveIlt 1988 January February HTSEvent NRIM Announcement OfBismuthAlloyHTS atllO K Univ.of ArkanSaS Announcementof ThaliumAuoyHTS at125K hlarch April hlay June July August September OCtOber November DeCember l989 January February MbrCh ISTEChaugural Pa吋 ISTECOffice Open5 MOEBegin53・Year ProgrむnhOxide Sui光rCOnductors Mlj1ti-Core Program Begin5 ISTECNagoyaLaboratory Opens ISTECMain Latx)ratOry Opens 肩78肩 Private Sector Event Sumitomo Elecbic-SC Depanment Toshiba- BasIC ReseaTCh bb Fujikura-SCDepartment Hの急Chi Research・SC Center Continuingintol989,inJanuaryFujikuraChblecreatedaSuperconductivity TechnoIogyDepartmentinrecognitionofintemalgrowthinstafrthathadoccurredoverthe PaSttWOyearS,andinMarch,HitachiResearchreorganizeditssuperconductivityR&D underoneroofandannouncedthefbmationofanewSuperconductivityResearchCenter. TheseeventsaresummarizedinTable8. eJJe肺の間のγβか仇旭 FrommyquestionnairedataonecanseethatthesewaSSubstantialdiversification intosuperconductivitya丘ertheHTSdiscovery.Figure18comparestheinvestmentin SuperCOnductivityR&Din1986withthatin1989bythenrmssurveyedinvarioussectors. WhereasthenumberofprincipalsectorswerefbwandtheHeavyElectricandCableand Wiresectorsweredominantin1986,thesituationwa5quitedifTbrentin1989withmany moresectorssignincantlyinvoIved.SeparatingtheLTSandHTSactivitiesasseenin Figure19confirmsthatthediversincationisoccurringinHTSTeSearCh,withthetraditional industriescontinuingtobestronginLTS. Throughthisdataandadditionalinfbrmationaboutindustrialactivityoveralltaken 丘ompatentapplications,thesizeoftheindustrialinvestmentinsuperconductivityin1989 WaSeStimatedat19.4billionyen.Ofthisamount,34%wasgolngtOLTSand66%going toHTS.Thisoverallamountis60%higherthanthel2.06billionyenestimatedfbrl988 bytheU.S.OmceofTechnologyAssessment.71TheseestimatesareshowninFigure20. Analyzlng the GovernmentReSPOnSe Onepointwhichbecomesclear丘omthedescriptionofpublicandprivatesector responsestoHTSwasthattheprivatesectorwasmuchquickertorespondinsupporting researchthanwerethebureaucracies.NeitherdidMITImoveatthe”speedoflight”72nor diditevenleadtheprivatesectorintheyearfbllowingthisdiscovery:73MITIlagged.The nmlSmOVedquicklyandontheirown.MITI,infhct,WaStheslowestofthethree 710fficeofTechn0logyAssessment.BighbOTAE- 440,Apri11990,P.93. 72MichaelCrow,・・Techno,ogydeve,opmentinJapanandtheUnitedStates=Jessonsfromthe high-temPeratureSuPerCOnductivityrace〝塾垣匹と旦喧_塾地,VoI.16,No.6,December 1989. 730urJTECPanefwasmuchimpressedbytheimportantro.ethattheJapanesegovernment PlayedinsettingtheoverallpolicyandprioritiesfortheJapaneseR&Dprogram,andinguiding andmonitoringtheimplementationoftheR&Dprogramsubsequently.”JapanTechn0logy 胃79- Washi⊃gtOコ‥Z↓一S-NO<eヨber一∽呂も.ふ. E<aFat5.コCeコ{er. LTEC Pa⊃e一Re ・-∞ロ ー ○ユ○⊃〓i h↓eヨe「atureSu ercOコductぞi ∧UTOMOI】1LE NONFEllIl0US GLへSSTuldCER^MICS MJCEL.ELECTRICM^CIZ. CliEMICALS UTHJTIES CONSUMER.ELECTRONICS COMMUNlC^TエON Il10NandSTEEL C人口LEandlVIRE SI引PDUuDユNG HEAVYELI:Cl、RIC ^VElt^GESUPERCONDUCTIVITYR&DljUDGETSOFSUltVEYEDHRMSliYSECrOR DZ86BUDGET ロ89BUDGET 0     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8 100日1illiollyell コ望re-∽  Inve?1menIB.SupercOndGCti妄yin-竺麗こらd-冨冨ySectOr・ AmOn的Su「くeyed句iヨ一S PROPORTION OFIJS VS.HTS R&DIN SURVEYED FIRMS-1989 1-∞-- SHTPllULIDING UTILITll三S llEAVYELECTRTC C^nLEnndWIRE MICEL.ELECTRICM^CH. COMMUNrC^TION IRONandSTEEL CONSUMERELECTRONICS 人UTOMOI3ILE CIIEMICALS GL^SSnndCER^MICS NONFERll0US 0    川    20    30    40    50   (10    70 且pcr川G?T ロpcTLOWT 句i望re-u  旨くeStmentinPTSくS.HTSiロー£アトヨOn的Sulくeyedロ【ヨS ConlParisoll0rSurvcyRcsultSrOrSupcrcon(hlCtivityll&Di-1叩nn m川ICU・S・ - ∞N - R&Dl〕uClgCHor SupCrCOnduclivily US-88(0T∧) J人l)∧N胃88(OTA) JAl一八N-89(ll;川C) Fi望reg COmpa計OnOr詳timatesOrFdCStユa】句Gndin的OrS喜erCOnductiま卑R紆D bureaucraciestomove・Howthiscameaboutandhowpolicywassettledgeneral1ywillbe describedlaterinthischapter. ThebreakthfOughinHTCdidnotoccuratanopportunetimeinthegovemment,s budgetingprocess.TheendofDecembermarksthedeadlinefbrde丘ningallbudgetsthat wi11besubmittedtotheDietfbrthefbllowingnscalyearbegiminginApri1.ThfOughout December,Sta汀intheMinistryofFinanceworkfienetic,nearlyaroundtheclockhoursto Settlealloftheaccountingdetails,andthelastthingthattheywanttOhearisthatministries needmoremoneytoexploreanewscientificphenomenon.ThustheR&Dsupporting ministriesandagencieswereconfiontedwithseveralchallenges:1)toquicklynndawayto advancethisnewphenomenon,2)todosoinawaythatwoulddistinguishtheirresearch 丘omcompetingministriesandagencies,and3)todosoinawaythatcouldcircumventthe lackof’newnear-termfunding丘omtheMinistryofFinance. ・lJJ′二∫・、J′一、可と’血ド(高′状 Asmentionedeadier,theMinistryofEducationwasthenrstofthebureaucraciesto respondinresearchsupport.Howdidthishappen?ThekeytotheMOEresponseare Organizationalandliesinl)thepowergiventoProfbssorswhoadvise,aCtual1ycontrol,the researchprograms,and2)thenexibilityandshorterdecisiontimesneededintheirsystem Ofdistributingresearchfunds. InlateNovember,theMinistryofEducationwasnearingtheendofathree-year researchprograminsearchofnewsuperconductors,andhadlittleprogresstoshow.They WerethushighlypleasedthatPro[TanakahadsavedtheMinistryffomhavingtoreport thatithadnonewdiscoveries,andeagertocapitalizeonitsroleinsupportingthe COnnrmationofHTS,theMinistrywaswillingtobemovedquickly. BecausetheheadquartersstaffoftheMinistryofEducationisnotstaffbdwith individualswhohavescientincorengineeringbackgrounds,theyhavecometorelyheavily OnanetWOrkofadvisorycommitteesofProfbssorswhofbrmulatetheactualresearch POlicy.TheMinistrywieldsitspowerthroughitsgatekeeperfunctionovertheresearch budgetanditsnodoftheheadtothecommitteemembers’decisions. TheChairmanoftheadvisorycommitteetothesuperconductivityprqiect,Profl Nakqjima,quicklymovedtoallocatetheremainingequipment丘ndsintheprqjecttothe lal)OratOriesconductingresearchininorganicsuperconductingmaterialS.Asaresult,Pro〔 Tanakaandothersinthisarea,reCeivedthetimelybonustotheir”koza.’’ Addingtothenexibilityinthedecision一makingprocessistheshorterleadtime requiredfbrapplyingfbrandthencreatingnewprogramsintheMOE.IntheGrant-in-Aid ー83- fbrScientincResearchProgram,thereisaspeCialfundkn0wnaSthe〃TokubetsuKenkyLL Sokushinhi,”(SpecialResearchPromotionFund)whichhasbeensetuptorespondtothis typeofunexpecteddevelopmentinscience,aSWellasunexpeCtedpoliticaldemandS0f SCience.Theresearcherswerethusabletoscratchtogetheraquickproposalfbraoneyear exlensionthatwouldallowcontinuedworkinthesenewoxidematerialS.Thisallowedfbr apreservationofsomeresearchmomentumwhileaplanfbralarger,mOreCOmPrehensive researchprogramcouldworkitswaythroughthenormalfundingsystem. Onemustalsorecognizeacertainamountofserendipityinthetimingofthescience andtheresearchprogram.Hadtherenotbeenanexistingprogram,mObilizinganetwork Ofresearcherswouldnothavebeenasreadilyaccomplished.Researcherscouldshare infbrmationaboutworldwidedevelopmentsinthisnewneldattheiralreadyplannedthird annualsymPOSiumofthesuperconductivityprqjectheldonJanuaryl9,1987. 乃エビ∫cig′工Ced′ldrec加0わgyAge′lCy IntheScienceandTechnologyAgency,bureaucratsgatheredininfbrmalgroups SOOnafterTanaka’sannouncementtodiscussprogIamOPtions.UnliketheMOE,theSTA headquartersstafriscomposedofindividualSwithsciencebackgroundswhothemselves COntinua11yconsidernewresearchprogramstocrcate.Therefbrethesebureaucratsand theircounterpartsinSTA’snational1aboratoriestooktheleadindevelopingaresearchrole fbrtheAgency.Keytotheirstrategywasfindingawayofcreatingaprogr;mquicklyto PrOteCttheirclaimedroleinthesupportofadvancedresearch丘omusurpationbyMITI. Duringtheautumnof1986,discussionswerealreadyunderwaywithinSTAabout CreatingafbrumthatwouldpromotecommercialinterestinsomeoftherecentLTSworkor OneOfitslaboratories.NRIMhaddevelopedanumberofnovelmethodsofprocessing metal1icsuperconductorsandseveralbureaucratsinSTAfdtthataneffbctivemeansof diffusingthisknowledgewouldbethroughthecreationofanorganizationtodisseminate theresults,mOdeledafterthesuccessfu1experienceoftheNewDiamondForum. TheNewDiamondForum,eStablishedinJulyofl985,WaSCreatedtopromote diamondmaterialsandprocessingtechniquesdevelopedattheNationalResearchInstitute fbrInorganicMetalS(NIRIM)aswellastobeageneralclearinghouseofinfbrmationabout WOddwidedevelopmentsindiamondprocesslngteChniques.74NIRIMhaddeveloped diamondprocessingequipmentthatwascapableofcompressingrawmaterialssucha5SiC, 74Forasummaryofthetechnica.deve.0PmentSleadingtotheformationoftheNewDiamond ForumseeY・Goto/DiamondoGoseiGijutsunoGenjotoShorai:andM.Kamo/Mukizaishitsu KenkyujoniokeruDaiyamondonoKisoGoseドin世型迦也Vol.1,No.1,1985. 一84- Si3N4,OrA1203intodiamondsatthehighestpressuresachieval)leatthattimeinthe WOrld・TheinstitutealsodevelopedmicrowaveplasmaCVDtechniquesfbrproducing diamondnlmsfbrICpackaging,highoutputtransistors,1ightemittingdiodes,andlaser lightemission・Thefbrumbeganwith85corporatemembers,andafternveyearshaS increaseditsmembershiptoll30rganiZations.Ithasdevelopedareputationfbr identifyingqualityinfbrmationfbranominalsubscriptionfbeandwashigh1yevaluatedby itsparticipants. ThediscoveryofHTSthusoccurredjustasbureaucratsinSTAwereplanningto Organizeafbrumfbrsuperconductivity.TheexcitementoverthediscoveryofHTSgave theideaabigpushasalowvisibilityideawastransfbrmedintothenagshipofSTA’sentry intothearena. Speedinorganizingtosupportthedevelopmentorthisnewareawasimportantfbr technologiCalaswellasfbrpoliticalreasons.Forthescienceandteclm0logy,reSearChers aroundtheworldwerepursuingthisnewphenomena,Oftenwithshiftsworkingaroundthe ClockonnewcompositiorlSandprocessingtechniques.Tobeabletocontributeatthe 丘ontierofthisnewneld,STAwouldsimilarlyhavetoactsoon. AnevenmorepresslngPreSSure,however,WaStheneedtoestablishlegitimacyfbr itsroleasaprimaryplayerinthepromotionorthisneld.BothMOEandMITIhad OngOingprogramsinsuperconductivityandastronginterestinclaimingapositionaSthe leadorganizationinthegovernment.IrSTA,Wantedaplaceinpromotingthistechnology, ithadtomoveswinlytodevelopabaseofsupportandtodevelopaprogramthatwould reinfbrceitsjurisdictionandbuildupitsstrengths.Otherwise,thefundingwouldgoto MITIandMOE:timeandstrategywereimportant. STAestablishedastrongpoliticalfbotingthroughthequickrecruitmentofDr. ShinrokuSaito,fbrmerPresidentoftheTokyoInstituteofTechnology.Dr.Saito possessedaverystrongreputationasaprogramheadinboththeacademicandindustrial Circles,arldhispresenceasheadof-theSTAactivitywasseentoprovidecriticallegitimacy fbrtheagency’sadvanceintothisarea.AsDirectoroftheNewDiamondForum,hewa5 alsofhmiliarwithSTA’sstrategy.InearlyJanuary,STAenlistedDr.Saitotoserveasthe principaladvisorandchairmanoftheforum.hter,MITIalsoapproachedDr.Saito abouttakingaleadingroleintheirprogram,butthecommitmenthadalreadybeenmade andthebureaucraciesdonotlikehavingtheirleadersworkingonbothsidesofthefbnce. WithDr.SaitoagreeingtobeChairmanofsuchasForum,STAhadwonanimportantfirst Step. Althoughthecreationofaninfbrmationfbrumwasafhstandproductiveroutefbr STAtoclaimitsroleinthisarea,itwasstillnotresearch.AsSTAischargedwith 一85- promotingfundamentalresearchandasitslaboratorieshadalonghistoryinthis technology,itseemednaturalthatithavearoleinanygovemmentpresenceinthisnew neld. DuringJanuarySTAconvenedadvisorymeetingstodiscussoptionsfbr approachingthisopportunity.SomeinSTAfbltthatthiswassuchasignincantdiscovery thatitwarrantedaseparatecenterfbrresearch.Itwasalsoknown,however,thatMITI WaSpurSuingsuchanideawiththeprivatesector,andthatMITI’swellintegrated relationshipwiththeindustrywouldlikelyyieldthemmoresuccessthanSTA,ShouldSTA attemptedasimilarstrategy. Dr.SaitorecognizedSTA’srelativeweaknessiritadoptedthisstrategyandalso pointedoutthattheestablishmentofsuchacenterwouldsurelytaketime・STA’s advantagewouldlieinspeedandintheexistingresearchcapabilitiesofitslaboratories.He thussuggestedthatexistingfhcilitiesbeexploitedandenhanced,witheachfbrming SPeCialtycenterswithuniquecapabilitiesthatwouldconductresearchincollaborationwith theindustryanduniversities.Thisideabecamethecenterpieceoftheresearchprogramthat STAwasabouttocreate. Dr.Saito’sideawaswelcomedbytheSTAlaboIatOriesasitmeantthatresources WOuldnotbefunnelledtoanewfhcility,Whichmightfurtherdepriveexistingactivitiesof fhnds.Insteadofreducingresources,theprqjectwouldprovideasignincantinnowof newcapitalfbrtheseexistingresearchgroups.Politically,itwasthusaneaSyideatosell Withintheagency.Duringthesediscussionsoverprogramstrategy,thelocationsand technicalthemesofthecenterswerealsodecidedandthenameMulti-CoreResearchPrqject wasfbrmalizedinthemiddleofJune. ThefbrmalstartoftheMulti-CorePrQject,however,WaSmOrethanayearaway. Anewallocation丘omtheMOFcouldnotbeexpecteduntilthefbllowingnscalyear,Which WOuldstartinAprilof1988.Thisleftabundanttimefbrtheplarmingcommitteetodraw upaproposalfbrinclusioninthebudgetcyclethatwouldbegininAugust,butresearch WaStakingofrelsewhereinJapanandabroad.EvenasJapan’sprincipalbureaucracy Chargedwithsupporting丘ontierareasofscienceandtechnology,theagencyhadvirtual1y nomechanismtoobtainnewfundstosupportthediscovery.Meansofprovidingfbr excitingnewdiscoveriesinsciencearenotpartoftheMinistryofFinance’smenu,and SymPatheticearswerenottobefbund. Withouttheabilitytoobtainnewfunds,STAwasleftwiththeoptionof reallocatingfundsfiomotherprqjectsundertheirjurisdiction.Butwithintheagency,eaCh budgetitemhasitsownagencyconstituency,Withitsownrationaleofimportance,andits -86- ownfielingofbeingunderfunded.AspointedoutbyTanakaandHiraLSaWa,75unlike decision-makingincompamblebureaucraciesintheUnitedStates,decisionsinJapanese bureaucraciesaremadeinnegotiationsbetweensectioIIChiefi.Decisionsareseldom dictatedfk)mabove.AlthoughtheGeneralCoordinationOmceofSTAischargedwith OVerSight,itsjobismuchmorecoordinationthanpolicydecision.Intheabsenceofa decision-makingauth0rity,however,Cha喝eSSuChasbudgetreallocationcanbe Stalemated,andthisiswhatseemedtohappeninthecaseofHTS.Nosignincantfunds WerereallocatedbytheSTA. WithoutnewfundsfiomeithertheMinistryofFinanceorfi・Omthemotheragency, itwaslefttothelaboratoriestonndwaysofsupportingnewresearchinthisarea.The OnlyoneofSTA’slaboratoriestodosotoasignincantdegreewaStheNationalResearch InstitutefbrMetalS(NRIM).Herefundswerereallocatedratherquickly丘omthe Director’sdiscretionaryresearchbudgetand丘ommoneyreceived丘omSTA’sSpecial CoordinationFundsfbrPromotingScienceandTeclm010gyfbrasoontobeterminated PrQjectinsuperCOnductivity.FromtheDirector’sbudget,aPprOXimatelylOmillionyen WaSallocated,andanotherlOmi11ionyenwasshifted丘omtheongoingprQjectin COnVentionalsuperconductivitytopurchasesomeofthematerialsandequipmentnecessary togetstartedonHTSresearch.76AttheNationalResearchInstitutefbrInorganicMetals (NIRIM),WhichlatercooperatedwithNRIMinthediscoveryandidentincationofthe Bismuthbasedsuperconductors,nOfundswerefbrmallyreallocated. Throughthenrsthalfofcalendaryearl987,thelaboratoriessubmittedand resubmittedresearchandbudgetproposalstotheadvisorycommitteeandtoSTA.The advisorycommittee’primaryrolewastoprovideateclmicalreviewtoconnrmthepri0rity Oftheareasidentined,andtojudgethentoftheresearchwithactivityatotherlaboratories. STAprovidedtheadministrativecoordinativeroleforthevariouscoreandplayedthe importantbutveiledroleof-communicatingwithMITItoguardagainstobviousredundancy intheirprqjects.ThisprecautionislessbecauseMITIandSTAwishfbrharmonybetween theirprograms,theywouldbehappytousurptheothefsposition,butbecausetheyknow thattheyfhcethebudgetaryknivesofMOF.AlthoughMOFbureaucratsdonothavethe technicaldepthtounderstandtheresearchprogramindetail,theymaystillbesmartenough tospotobviousduplication,anddbviousduplicationisanathematoMOF’saccountants. 75Y・Tanaka,T.一magawa,andR・Hirasawa,・Decision-makinginJapan・sScienceandTechn0logy PoJicy:draft.1990. 76ThesebudgetfigureswerereportedinNSFReportMemorandum#122,New ’’SuperconductingMateriaJsResearchattheNationaIResearchlnstituteforMetaJs(NRIM)in Tsukuba:May18,1987.andwereconfirmedinconversationwithDr.MaedaofNRIM. -87- 〟月7 Belyingitsreputationasaleaderoftheindustry,MITIwastheslowesttomoveand hadtobepressedintoactionbyinterestedparties.Once,prOdded,however,MITIshowed thestrengthofitsinvisibleadministrativehand,aSiteventuallyconvincedalargenumber Of-nrmstomakeasubstantialinvestmenttosupportitsentryintoHTS・ AtthetimeoftheconnrmationofhightemperaturesuperconductivityMITIhada numberofprQjectsthatwereunderwayorplannedtodevelopandapplyLTSteclm0logy・ Howeverthisworkwasdeviceandsystemsoriented,relyinglargelyonexistingLTC materials.Exzmplesincludethesuperconductingelectricgeneratorprqjects,theJosephson junctionelementofthesuperCOmPuterprqject,andthediscussionoverdeveloping SuPerCOnductingmagneticenergystorageprototypeSyStemS・Althougheachofthese PrqjectscouldincorporateHTS,nOneWereaPPrOPriatefbrabroad-baseddevelopmentof thetechology. BytheendofDecemberl986,therewasstilllittlesignthatMITIwasintendingto doanythingaboutthepromotionofthisdiscovery,perhapsthinkingthatitstillbelongedin theuniversitiesandnationalldboratories. TheperiodbetweentheendofDecemberandthebegirmingofJanuaryisJaparl’s largestnationalholidayseaS0n,’’S/10gatSu,”thecelebrationoftheNewYear.Citypeople traditionallyusethistimetoretumtotheir’’pLruSatO,’’theirparents’orgrandparents’home townstotakepartintheNewYear’sfbast,’′osechiryOri,”payrespectsatthelocalshrine, ′′hatsumode,”andconducttheobligatoryrelativevisits.It’soneofthefbwtimesofthe yearswhenthetrainsinTokyoarenotcrowdedandwhenthemajorityofcompaniesand StOreSClosesimultaneously.It’saholiday. ButresearchonhightemperaturesuperconductivitywaSaCCeleratingaroundthe WOrld,includinginmanyofJapan’suniversitiesandprivatelaboratories.Convincedof’ theseminalsignincanceofthisdiscoveryandconvincedoftheneedfbrmoresubstantial, COOrdinatedsupport,Pro[ShqjiTanakabegantheprocessof’’nemawashi”toprodMITI intoaction.Prof.TanakahadbeeninvoIvedasanadvisorwithseveralMITIR&D PrOgramSbefbreincludingthefhmedVLSIprograLmandtheOptoelectonicTechnology Program.HewasfhmiliarwithbothMITI’swayorthinkingandwithmanyofthe ministry’sbureaucrats. DuringtheNewYear’sHoliday,Prof二TanakacalledoneofhisMITIacquaintances andsaidthathehadanurgentmattertodiscuss.TheMITImanvisitedProf.Tanakaathis homeandthereProf二TanakaimpressedupontheneedfbrMITItotakeactionsoon 一88- becausel)thiswasafieldinwhichJapanwasalreadyattheintemationalstate-Oflthe-art, 2)alackofactioncouldcauseJapantobl1furtherbehind,Znd3)ifthetemperatures COntinuedtorise,thiswasabreakthroughwiththepotentialofhavingarevolutionary impactacrossallindustriesanduponsocietyinternationally・ThisMshogatsuMmeetingwas thenrststepinsettingtheMITImachineinmotion. TowardtheendofJanuary,MITIorganizeditsnrstadvisorycommitteemeetingon thisphenomenontodiscusswhetheritshouldtakeanyaction.I)uringthelunchbreak,Dr. TsuneoNakal1ara,VicePresidentfbrR&DatSumitomoElectricCorporationaskedProf二 Tanakatoaccompanyhimfbraquietconversation.Dr.Nakaharahadfbrmanyyearsbeen anardentproponentofsuperCOnductingteclm0logywithinthecorporation.Althoughtheir researchhadbeenunderwayfbrmanyyearswithonlymarginalcommercialretum,Dr. Nakaharaftltthatonlythroughcommitmentinthelong-termWOuldtheinvestmentsyield thecompanybenents・TheHTSdiscovery,hefilt,addedtremendous1ytothepotential impactofthismaterial・ Dr・NakaharaagreedwithPro[Tanakathatthiswasindeedanepochal breakthroughandrecognizedthatsustainedresearchsupportneededtobeachieved.He askedProf.Tanakahowhemighthelp.ProflTanakarespondedthatbecausehisresearch WaSdemarldingalotofhistime,hecouldnotdevoteasmuchtimeaShewantedtobuilding SuPPOrtfbrpolicyaction.Dr.NakaharaonbredhisservicestoletMITIknowthatthe privatesectorwasalsoseriousaboutthepotentialofthisteclm0logy,andafterthismeeting hadhisjuniorstaffcontacttheirclassmatesandfhendsatMITI,impressingtheimportanCe Ortakingpositivepolicyaction.MITIwasthusgraduallynudgedintoaction.The impetustogetMITImovingwasextemal,nOtintemal. Therewasstilltheproblemofaconstrainedgovemmentbudgetandatleastayear’s timebefbreanynewmoneyatallcouldbeappropriated.ThusevenifMITIweretotake quickaction,itwasn’tclearwhattheyshoulddo. AwarethatSTAwouldleverageitsfbrmalroleasthegovemmentorganization responsiblefbradvancedresearch,MITIcarefu11yemphasizeditsauthorityoverindustrial activitiesandthepotentialimportanceorHTStofhtureindustrialdevelopment.Speedin establi血ingafbotholdwasanissue,butmoreimportantwasthelackoffundsinthenear fhture.MITIrealizedthatatimelyresponsewouldrequireprivatesectornnancing.Ifable toweigh-inexhibitingsignincantindustrialinterest,pushingSTAasidewouldbealess dimcultproblcm. Thisiswhentheideaofacooperativeresearchcenterthatwouldbeinitially endowedandstaf托dentirelybytheprivatesectorbegantonoattothetopoftheagenda. InallofMITI’sResearchFoundationsandResearchAssociations,thepracticeofhaving -89- theparticipatingnrmssupplytheendowmenthadbeenestablishedaswellasthepracticeof thenrmsprovidingthestafrfortheseorgani2adons・MITIwouldnormal1yprovidethe fhndstoconductallorpartoftheR&I).Thusitwassuggestedthatasimilarcoursebe taken,Withthelaboratoryimitial1yestablishedwithprivatemoney,andwithMITI PrOmisingfhndsfbrresearchinthefbllowingnscalyear.Lo腿ting,equipping,and Organizinga】aboratorywouldtakesometimeinanyCaSe,SOthatthiswouldbea PrOductivewayofdealingwiththetimelagbeforeMITIfundingcouldbecomeavailable. However,inthecaseofvirtual1yallpastassociations,theendowmentaskedof firmswasonlyenoughfbromceope王ation,andthestafrhgrequestedwassmalIinnumber andlimitedtoofncewofk.Inthecaseofthisresearchcenter,theywouldneedmuchmore thanthat.Theywouldneedalaboratory,ratherexpensiveresearchequipment,and researchstafffiomeachoftheparticipatingnrms.Inaddition,unliketheresearch associations,Whichhadalimitednumberofparticipantsfbcusingondennedtechnology goals,itwasnotclearhowmanywouldbeparticipatinginthiscenterandwhatthegoalsor theproductswouldbe.Forasignincanteffbrt,itwasclearthatsignincantparticipation WOuldbenecessary.Althoughsomeoptimistswerearguingfbrastaffof200,amOre achievablesizeoflOOresearchersbecamethegeneraltarget. Firmsthatwouldbeparticipatingasfu11mernberswouldbeaskedtocontributelOO millionyeTltOtheendowmentofthelaboratory,tOPayanannualfbeof12millioIlyen,and tocontributetworesearchers.Thisisalargeinvestmentfbranunknownandlargely unappropriableactivity,SOnrmSWerehesitantandtheapprovalofuppermanagementtook time. ButthisisonereasonthatMITIexists,tOCqjoleandtorecruitcommitment. 〟1〃’∫∫けdJgg)7げRgCr通れどれrdndAあーん南汀のveGのdd′lCe AsakeystepindevelopingtheresearchcenterfbrISTEC,OneOfMITI’sprimary Challengeswasinrecruitingacriticalmassofnrms.Acriticalmasswasnecessarynotjust toachievedesiredteclmicalprogressortoshowalevelofpoliticalsupport,butalsoto allowfbrfbrmationofthelaboratory. Recallthatinconsideringthedecisiontoparticipate,aSimplerationalactor assu汀】Ptionholdsthatthef3mlWOuldcomparetheprobabilityofsuccessmultipliedbythe magnitudeofsuccesswiththeprobabilityoffhiluremultipliedbythemagnitudeoffhilure. InacasesuchasHTSresearch,thecalculationwasveryvaguebecauseofmajor uncertaintiesaboutthephenomenonandthespeedofprogress.However,theadditionof - 90- WhyisaCriticaiMassisNeededfortheConsorlia? Numbe「ofPaH:叩a柚gOrG己nlZations Threshdd Number OfO「;己mZat】〇nS Figure21・ CosゼBenefitCurveShowingtheRoleofaCriticalMassofParticipantSin aCommonResearchFacility COntributorswi11morelikelyafTbctthepotentialpositiveoutcomesmorethanthecosts,aS thecostsaremorenxedbytheindividualinvestment.Thiscanberepresentedonthecurve ShowninFigure22. Thiscurve,Showsthemarginalbenenttothenrm,themarginalcosttothefirmand thetotalbenentoftheprqject,dlasafunctionoftheoverallscaleoftheeffbrt.Thetotal benentisassumedtobeabovethebenenttothenrm,elsethenrmswouldhaveno incentivetoparticipate.Participationisattractivetothenrmwhenthelevelofoperationis totherightoftheintersectionofthemarginalnrmbenentandmarginalcosttofims,POint A・However,aSthisisresearchwithasignincantlevelofuncertainty,theperceptionof Wherethatintersectionismayvarysubstantial1y.Thusthefurthertotherightthatthe COllectivecanplaceitsoperation,themorecertainthenrmcanbethatthecosも屯enent approximationwillbegreaterthanone. ToservetheroleofpushingthispointtotherightfbrISTEC,MITIrecruitedalllO Ofthenation’sutilitiesandtwoutilityresearchorganizations.Theutilities,however,are 一91- 0nlyprospectiveusersoffITSsystems,withlikelyuseinthedistant,nOtnear,term・They arenotmaterialsdevelopersordirectusersofthematerial.Sowhydidtheyjoin? Tounderstandthis,thediscussionwillretumtoadescriptionoftheprocessof fbrmation. WiththeprocesssetinmotionbytheadvocacyofProf.Tanakaandthelobbyingof interestednrms,thewheelsbegantoturninMITItobegintheprocessofestablishinga Center.Buttheinitialmovewasnotmadebythearminchargeofpromotingadvanced research,theAgencyofIndustrialScienceandTechnology(AIST),butbytheAgencyfbr EnergyandNaturalResources(ANRES). TheDeputyDirectorofANRESandheadofenergytechnologyprqjects,Kunikazu Aisaka,hadbeentryingtopromoteiIICreaSedresearchintheutilities・HefbltthattheO・6% OfsaleswhichutilitieswerecontributingtoR&DwaStOOlowaratioandthatthetypeofresearchperfbrmedneededtoincludedmorebasicworktohelpoffketcriticismsofthe utilities(andJapan)alwaysbeing丘eeriders.ThediscoveryofHTSprovidedan OPPOrtunitytopromotehismoregeneralgoals. ThusANRESmovedtorecruitorganizationstoparticipateintheresearchcenter thatProf.Tanakawasseeking.Theagencyusedargumentsaboutthelong-termimpactof thetechnology,aSWellasitsinfbrmalinnuence,COmmOnlyknownasadministrative guidance,tOreCruitalllOoftheutilities,2utilityresearchorganiZntions,3gascompanies, and5cableandwireandsystemsmanufhcturers. ImportantleversfbradministrativeguidancewhichANR王Spossessedwere twofbld.Firstisthe”KoekiJigyo,”whichprovidedANRESwiththeauthoritytosetrates fbrtheutilities,muChasapublicutilitycommissionwouldintheUnitedStates.Thus ANR王Shasthepowertostronglyaffbcttheprontsoftheutilitiesaswellasregulatetheir investmentsandsitings.Thesecondtoolisthespecialfundsfbrresearchwhichcome 丘omaO.2percenttaxontheutilitysales.Thereareactuallytwosuchfundsthatare relevant,the’7)engenKaihatsuSokushin7bisaku7bkubetsuKaikei(SpecialPromotion FundsfbrtheDevelopmentofElectricityGeneration)”andthe’等ekitanNarabi/liSekiytL のObiSekiyuDaitaiEnerugiTbisakuTokubetsuKaikei(SpeCialPromotionFundsfbrthe DevelopmentofCoal,Petroleum,andNon-PetroleumEnergySources).”Thismoneyis distributedbacktotheutilitiesandtomanufhcturersfbrelectricpowerresearch.When ANRESftelsstronglyaboutapolicymeasurewhich,inthiscase,WOuldnotsignincantly burdentheutilities,theutilitiesarenotinapositiontotumadeafear. Ofteninnegotiationstogatheracriticalmassofparticipantsonecanobservethe Phenomenaoftipping,SketchedinFigure23.Tippingoccurswhenonenndsthatthereis apointintherecmitmentprocessaflerwhichonenndsthatadditionalnrmsjoinreadily. ー92- TipplngandUtilityParticipation C甲ate lll lll e ic甲ate :  NumberOfO「sanlZaいOnS l Th「esholdPa「てにpation Figure22. TippingandtheRecmitmentofUtilitiestoISTEC Befbrethispoint,thenrmsaremorehesitznttoagreetoparticipatebecauseoftheburden thatwouldbebomeiftheyweretheonly匹rticipants.Butonceanapparentcriticalmass haSbeenachieved,reCruitmentis’’tipped’’andothernrmsjoinreadily.Notjoiningbrings thesigmaofbeingperceivedasa丘eeriderandidentinedaSanOutSiderbyboththeother utilitiesandthegovemmentregulator. Inthiscaseitappearsthatalthoughtherewasnotsignincanthesitanceh・OmanyOftheutilities, tippingoccurreda丘erthebigthreeutilities,TokyoElectriC,KansaiElectriC, andChubuElectricdecidedtojoin.Withthesethreeonboard,theotherutilitiesreadily COnCededtoparticipation. Hereonemightwonderwhytheutilitieswouldnotbemoreresistantgiventhatthey areusersofthetechnologyratherthanusers.InterviewsindicatedthattheR&Dmanagers intheutilitieswelcomedtheinterventionbyMITI.Thereasonappearstobeintheir regulatedstatus.Unlikemanufhcturers,theutilitiesdonothaveastrongincentiveto aggressivelypromoteresearchtoremaincompetitive・Someresearchisneededtokeepup Withcompetitionfiomalternativesupplies,butthepressureisrelativelylow.However,all Oftheutilitieshaveresearchcentersortechnicaldevelopmentgroupsandtheseindividuais -93- areeagertodostate-Of・the-artreSearCh・Thustheywelcometheleverageprovidedbythe interventionofMITItoleveragefbrmoreR&Dfundsintemally・Ratherthancomplain,it wascommentedthatanumberofR&DmanagersthankedMITIfbrtheintervention. ThusthroughANRES,MITIwasd)letoconvincethemtoeffbctivelyactasabank fbrtheprqject.Althoughthefundsarenotatrivialamountfbrtheutilities,thesizeofthis investmentinISTECpales,fbrexample,Whencomparedwiththe$30billioninnew CaPitalequipmentpurchasedin1989. AdministrativeGuidancealsoprovedhelpfu1infindingalocationfbrtheactivityaS theANRESomcialsemphasizedthattheywerenotjustinterestedinmoneybutneededa locationfbrtheresearch.Severalutilitiesandorgani2ationsoffbredsitesfbrleaSe.These includedtheTokyoGassite,anunuSedpowerplantsiteinShinagawaownedbyTokyo EiectriC,aSiteownedbyKansaiElectriC,andtheFineCeramicCenter(FCC)inthedistrict OfChubuElectriC.ThesitesoutofTokyowerenotconsideredasattractivebythenrms Whichindicatedaninterestinjoiningbecausemanywouldhavetorelocatetheirresearchers 丘omtheirTokyobasedlaboratories.Inaddition,theKansaiareawasthesiteoftheSuper GMprogramsotherewasafbelingthattheyhadenoughSalienceinthisteclmology. ChubuElectricanditsareapoliticianspressedfbrsomepresenceasitfiltthatitshistoryin ceramicsandtheavailal)ilityoftheFineCeraLmicsCentermadeitalogicalcandidate.But Nagoyawasfhr丘omTokyo.SoacompromisewasmadewithabranChfhcilityassigned totheFCCandwiththeagreementthatthenrstintemationalconftrencehostedbyISTEC WOuldbeheldintheNagoyaarea. AlthoughtheadministrativeguidanceprovidedbyANRESwasthestrongest,they WerenOtaloneasAISTbegantotakeastrongerinterestintheprQjectandeventuallytook OVerWiththepromisetoincreasethefundingandthesizeofparticipation. Thedetailsoftheremainderoftheconsortiabuildingprocesshaveyettobeopened fbrpublicanalysissoit’sdimculttoknowwhichcarrotsandstickswereoffbredinthe PrOCeSS.TheJapanesepresshasnotedthatthereluctancyofnrmstocommittherather Signincantinvestmentrequestedwasaprincipalreasonfbrthedelayinbeginning COnStruCtionofthelaboratory.770theranecdotaleVidenceexiststhatnotallnrmswere eagerparticipantsinitial1y.KentBowenhascommentedthatmanyoftheelectroflicsnrms WerereSistanttothisideaastheyfbltthattheirinhousesuperCOnductivityR&Dactivity WaSadequatetoaddressthisnewopportunity.78 77”ChodendoKogakuKenkyujoniMukeruKigyonoNetsuド地March1988,Special Edition(Bessatsu),P.11. 78KentBowen,・AssessmentofJapaneseResearchonHighTcCeramicSuperconductors,” WorkingPaper,1987. -94- ItmaybejustaSlikelyhowever,thatelectronicsnmlSSaWlittleimmediatebenent 丘omslightlyhighertemperaturematerialsintheirongoingdeviceresearch.The PerfbmlanCeOfJosephsonJunctionsincomputersisadesignandmaterialschallengethat isnotverysensitivetotemperature・Thustheimportanceofcommittingfundstogeneral HTSmaterialsdevelopmentmaynothavebeenseenassuchhighpri0rity.79 Torecruitadditionalnrmsfbrtheactivitya’’consensus”wasfbrmedwithother SeCtionsofMITIthatthiswaSanaCtivitywhichtheministryasawholeshouldsupport, andsovariousarmsofMITIwerebroughttobear.Thisisanimportantpointbecausethe AgencyfbrIndustrialScienceandTechnologyisatechnologypromotionarmof’MITIand assuchha51ittledirectcoercivepowerovertheindustrygeneraIly.Howeverotherpartsof MITIhaveregulatoryandlicensingfunctionswhichtheindustryneedsfbritscurrent businessanditwasthroughthesearmsthatpressureswereapplied.Inadditiontothe AgencyfbrNaturalResources,describedabove,thereistheIndustrialMachinery】〕ivision, Whichcalleduponsomeofthenation’sm亘iorshipbuildersandindustrialmachinery manufhcturers,theAutomotive Divisionputtingthecal1intoautomakers,eVenthrough, again,theyarenotmaterials’developers.TheElectricalMachineryandConsumer ElectronicsDivisionwascalledontoputpressureontheelectronicsandcommunications nrms,andtheFineCeramicsOmcetocontacttheceIamicsandglassnrms.These relationshipsareshowninFigure23. Theorganizersofthisactivityalsowellrealizedthatdevelopingpoliticalandpublic SuPPOrtfbrtheactivitywouldbeimportantfbrlongevityaswellasfbrmation.HTS researchwasnotlikelytoyieldcommercialimpactinthenearfuture,SOabroadbaSeOf Visibleinterestwouldhavetosubstitutefbrvisiblemarketretum. Thusthrough1987100kedfbrotherorganiZationsfiomwhichitcoulddraw SuPPOrtandresources.OnecategorywasorganizationsnotinvoIvedinthe SuPerCOnductivityindustryWhichwerenonethelesswillingtoinvesttobothsupportand monitoranindustrythatcouldyieldlargefutureretums.TheseincludedsixofJapan’s majorbanks,eightconstructionnrms,tWOtradinghouses,andanadvertisingnrm.There WerealsonrmswhichwereinvoIvedinsuperconductivityonlyonasmallscale,丘omthe Chemicalsindustryandtransportationindustries,andnnallytherewerethenon-MITI governmentorganizationswhichbecauseoftheirseparatebureaucraticamliationscouldnot JOlnaSfu11memberseventhroughtheywereinvoIvedinsimilarresearch.Thereincluded 79lnaddition.firrnsingeneraldownplaythepositiveaspectsofMmprojectstoforelgnVisitorsas anowcommonpoIiticaJstrategytoavoidaccusationsof’unfair”govemmentcollusion.so托’s difflculttoknowhowmuchresistancewasactualIyoffered. -95- GovemmentAm IndustrialSectors 一一一一一一一一一H一一一一一一一一H一一一一一一一一一一..一一一一..一.-.-.・.-..一.一一●.一一.4....●......一一.一一一一一一H一一一.一一一一一一H一一一一一一一一一一一一一一一一一一一.-..一.. AgencyfbrNaturalResources→→→Utilities IndustrialMachineryDivision→→→Shipbuilding,IndustrialMachinery AutomobileDivision →→→→→→ AutomobileManufhcturers ElectricalMachineryand →→→→→Electronics,Communications ConsumerElectronicsDivision FineCeramiCSOmce →→→→→→ GlassandCeramics Figure23. MITIOmcesandTheirhdustrialLinkagestoRecruitISTECMembers NTT,administeredbytheMinistryofPostsandTelecommunications,andtheRailway Researchhstitute,administeredbytheTransportationMinistry. Toaccommodatethesenrms,aSeCOndtypeOfparticipationwascreated-regular membership.TheregularmembersaregiventherighttoreceivepublicationsandsurveyS andtoattendcenterseminars,butareIlOtPartytOtheprefbrentiallicensingagreements giventofullsupportmembersortotheknowhowdevelopedinthelaboratory.Asnotall SuChnrmsarecomparablynushwithcash,MITIalsosetupatwotierfbesystem.For nrmslistedonthenrstsectionof-theTokyoStockExchangeorcomparablesizC,aninitial donationof2millionyenwasrequested,Withannualfbesalsoof2mi11ionyen.Fornrms listedonthesecondsectionoftheTokyoStockExchangeorofcomparablesize,anthe initialdonationwasreducedtolmi11ionyen,andtheannualfbetohalfami11ionyen. MITIalsousedininnuenceinobtainingahomefbrtheresearchcenter.hnd anywherenearametropolitancenterinJapanisatapremiumandthelal)OratOryWaSalso fhcedwiththeneedtoacqulreVeryeXPenSiveexperimentalequipmenttosupportits research.Thusdiscussionswerecamiedoutwithinthegroupofparticipantstosearchfbr anaffbrdableleaslngammgement. Outsideof-thisgroup,pOliticianswerealsoatwotktoinnuencetheplacementof thelaboratory.Thiswas,afteral1,tObealeadingintemationalcenterofresearch,and Shouldbreakthroughsoccurwhichgreatlyexpandedtheuseofthistechnology,industries WOuldcertainlybeattractedtothelocation.Abigeffbrttocapturethelocationofthe 胃96- 1aboratorywasputfbrthbypoliticiansfromtheNagoya-Gifuarea・Thisareapridesitself Onitslonghistoryinceramics,withit’sindustriesproducing60%(check)ofthenation,s Ceramicproducts・Severalyearsearlier・in1986,theprovincialandcitygoverTmentSalong withlocalindustryandMITIhadestablishedaFineCenmicsCenter(FCC)fbrresearch intoadvancedceramicmaterialS.SinceitsfbundingtheFCChadaccumulatedabroad rangeof-state-0手the-artreSearChtooIs,andhalfofthebuildingspacewasstillavailablefbr uSe. TheTsukubaScienceCityareawasalsoconsideredbecauseofthegreater availabilityoflandandtheproximitytothem毎OrgOVernmentlaboratoriesconductingHTS research・HoweverthegeneralfbelingamongtheparticipantsandMITIwasthatTokyo WaSthepreftrredlocationbecauseofitsaccessibility,itsproximitytothebusinessomces Ofmanyoftheparticipantsaswellastothegovemment,andbecauseProf二Tanakawa5 1ivinginTokyo. ThelandsearchwassoIvedafterMITIwaLSabletosuccessfu11ypressureanother OneOfitsregulatedutilitiestoleaSeSOmeOfitslandatanominalchargetoISTEC.MITI PerSuadedTokyoGastoleaSethesiteofitsoldmanagers’dormitoryintheKotoWardat thenortheastendofTokyo.Thiswouldbetheciteofthemainlaboratory.Asa COmPrOmisewiththeNagoyacontingent,itwasagreedthatabranchofthelaboratory WOuldbeestablishedattheFineCeramicCenter.Anditwasagreedthatthenrst InternationalSuperconductingSympOSiumtobesponsoredbytheconsortiumwouldbe heldinNagoyaattheendofAugust1988. ItisalsotruethattimingactedinMITrsfhvor.Atthetimeofthesediscussions, theintemational’’fbver”inHTCwasverymuchontherise.ChuandWuhadmadetheir discoveryofl-2-3superconductorswithacriticaltemperatureofover90C,Withinayear laterresearchersatJapan’sNationalInstituteofMetalsfbundBismuthcompounds SuperCOnductingatlO8KandProf.Herrman’steamattheUniversityofArkansas PrOVideddataonthaliumcompoundswithacriticaltemperatureof120C.Therewasno indicationthatthetemperatureswouldnotcontinuetorise,Zmdtheeventualgoalofroom temperaturesuperconductivitywasverymuchalive.Asmentionedeadier,Nomura ResearchInstitutebaseditsmafketprQjectionsontheassumptionoffindingaroom temperaturesuperconductingmaterialwithin50rlOyears.Manyobserversfbelthat Subsidenceoftheftversoonanerwouldhavemadethisconsortiaimpossibleayearlater. Inaddition,Pro[TanakawasretiringfiomtheUniversityofTokyo・Mandatory retirementoccursattheageof60inJapan’spublicuniversities,andProf二Tanakawas SCheduledtoretireinMarchofl988・Perfbcttimingfbrtheopeningofthenewcenter・ 肩97- ThusMITIhadthewaveofoptimisticprqjectionstorideuponaswellasthenameofthe nation’spreeminentresearcherinthisnewtechnology・ Thuswithacombinationof44fu11-SuPpOrtand44regularmembersthe IntemationalSuperconductivityTeclm0logyCenter(ISTEC)wasfbundedagreatdealof fhnfhreonJanuary21,1988.Approximately600peopleattendedtheopeningpartywhich WaSbilledat12millionyen,includingtheViceChairmanofKeidanren,HiraiwaGaishi, thePresidentofHitachiLtd.,MitaKatsuhiro,andthePresidentofSumitomoElectriC, KawakamiTetsuro.TheadministrativeomcewasopenedindowntownTokyoanda groundbreakingceremonywasconductedontheKotoWard,Shinonomesitetobegin COnStruCtionoftheldboratory. AstheNagoyabranchwasabletouseexistingspaceintheFCC,itwaSableto beginoperationratherquickly,OnJuly8,1988,1essthanamonthafterthebranchheadwa5 recmited.ConstructionofthemainlaboratoryatShinonomemeanwhilecontinuedthrough thesummer,throughthe’bbon”holidays,andwasnnallycompletedinthefhll,Withthe OpeningoftheSuperconductivityResearchhboratory(SRL)heldonOctober25,1988. Bythetimeoftheopening,anadditional17regularmembershadjoined,bringingthetotal to60.Thusoneawakened,MITIshowedthatitcouldstillnexitsmusclewithindustry. 77は.VfJl雨/丁可J・、f′?′バピ Astheabovediscussiondescribes,importantfhctorwhichdrovetheprogram StrategiestakenbySTAandMITIwasthe16monthwaitingperiodbefbresignincant PublicfundscouldbedirectedtoHTSresearchinApri11988.Withthepartialexceptionof theMinistryofEducation,nOneOftheMinistriesorAgenciesintheJapanesegovemment hasasystemfbrthelarge-SCaleemergencyfundingofnewscientincdiscoveries. Therefbretheymustappealfbradditionalfunds丘omtheMinistryofFinanceandthe MillistryofFinancehashadlittlesympathyfbrpleasofunanticipatedbudgetexpansion. Since1982theMinistryofFinance’stoppri0rityhaSbeentoreducethespending dencittozero,andthentoreducethenationaldebt,Whichat53%ofGNPinl989isis aboutthesz汀nerelativesizeasthatoftheUnitedStates.Thispri0rityhasputasharpedge Ontheirbudgetscalpels,withscienceandtechnologynobetterprotectedthananyother areaofgovemmentservice. MOFdeterminesanoverallspendingceilingforeachofthebureaucraciesanditis uptothebureaucraciestostaywithinitsallocation.Howthefundsareallocatedare usuallyleftlargelytothediscretionofthebureaucracies.MOFisnotstafftdwithscience ー98- Orengineeringgraduateswhowouldbeabletochallengetheteclmicalsubstznceofa PrOgram,andseldomdoes. InterviewswithindividualswhowereresponsiblefbrbudgetingintheMinistIyOf Financeatthetime,indicatedthattherewaslittleexcitementinMOFoverhightemperature SuPerCOnductivity.Tbegenerallyunifbrmresponseamongtheseindividualswasthatthere aremanyitemsonthebudgetlistaboutwhichtheymustbeconcemed,with SuPerCOnductivitybeingonlyone.TheMOFismoreconcemedaboutcontrollingthe OVerallsizeofthebudgetandcheckingfbrwasteorredundancy,andlessinterestedinor dbletoevaluatetheteclmicalpotentialofprqiectsinsdenceandteclm0logy.Thetechnical decisionsarelefttotheministriesandagenciestoworkoutwithinandbetweenthemselves. However,thisalsomeansMOFbureaucratsarenotparticularlyinclinedtofhvor developmentsinscienceandtechnologybecauseOfaninherentappreciationofthe enterprise.IfMITIorSTAwantedtofundaHTSprograminFY1987,theywouldhave tocutotherprograms,PrOgramSWhosebudgetswereseta5areSultoftheirintra-agenCy historyofyear-1ongnegotiations.Change,WOuldbeverydimcult. TheFunding Process SothemostpracticaloptionfbrMITIandSTAwaStOabidebythenormalbudget PrOCeSS.TheconnrmationofHTSthusoccurredataveryuntimelypointinthebudget CyCle. BetweenJanuaryandJune,thebureaucraciesengagedintheplanningoftheir researchprograms.Althoughthedetailsarediffとrentbetweentheministries,theprocessis fundamentallythesame.Thesectionwhichwouldliketopromotesuperconductivity drawsupaplanandwhiledoingsonegotiateswiththeappropriatetechnologyplanning SeCtiontodennethelevelofpossiblecommitment.Sincegrowthintheoverallbudgetis minimal,trade-Offkhavetobemadeandfundstakenh・OmOtheractivities.The negotiationsarelong,Whichexplainsthedimcultyinstartingnewprogramsquickly. BetweenJuneandtheendofAugust,COTltaCtwithMOFincreaSeSaSthe bureaucraciesthennttheirhopestothebudgetguidanceprovided.Thebudgetand PrOgIamplanproposedhasthusatleastinfbrmallypassedallmajordecisior1-making hurdles.The’’nemawashi”resultsinaproposalthatwi11closelyresembletheapproved plan. ItisinthisstageofnemawashithattheinnuenceoftheDietmembers,ifthereisto beone,ismostlikelytobehelpfu1.SincetherearenoformalhearingswhichallowDiet memberstopresstheiropinions,theydosoininfbrmalvisitstoMOF.ManagingDirector -99- OftheSuperCOnductivityRenmei,TakashiTawara,nOtedthathevisitedtheMinistryof Financeseveraldmesduringthespringof1987toencouragetheirnnancialsupportof SuperCOnductivity・Veryimportanttohisinnuence,henoted,isthepoliticalstandingofthe membersoftheRenmei.Thegreaterthestanding,themored)idingMOFwillbe,atleaSt OStenSiblybecausetheDiethasthennalworkontheuseofthebudgetoverall,andcan CreateheadachesfbrMOFiftheyhaveareasontodoso. ItisalsowellknownthatDietmembersareinnuentialintheamakudaripostsof descendingMOFomcialS,SOthemoreinnuentialtheDietmember,thelessthatsenior MOFbureaucratsarelikelytowanttorufnehisfur. InadditiontoKqjiyamaandTawara,membersoftheRenmeiaresummarizedin Table3.9alongwithsomeof-thepoststhattheyhaveheld. InadditiontotheindividualslistedintheTal)le,therewereeightChiefSecretaries. Amongthese,nVeWerePadiamentaryViceMinistersofMITI.80 Evidence,however,OfdirectinnuenceonthesuperCOnductivitybudgetfbrming PrOCeSSisunclear.IniTlterViewswithindividualsatMOFwhowereatthetimeincharge OftheMITIbudgetsection,theSTAbudgetsectionandtheMOEbudgetsection,itwas StrOnglyassertedthatpoliticalpressurefbrabudgetincreaSeWaSnOtimportantinthecぉe OfHTS.Inal1casestheseindividualshadonlyvaguerecollectionofDietmembervisitsto talkaboutthisandotherscienceandteclm0logyissues.Al1assertedthatnospecial allocationsweremadetoaccommodateHTS.Infhct,eaChoftheseMOFindividualshad Onlyvaguerecollectionthatsuperconductivitywasanimportanteventatthattime(twoand ahalfyearshadelapsedbetweenthisbudgetperiodandthetimeoftheinterviews.)Instead theyemphasizedtheirneedtoexaminethousandsorbudgetitemsforthebureaucracywith Whichtheyarecharged,andthepri0rityinkeepingtheoverallngurewithintheMOF budgetceilings. Soapictureemergeswiththeresearchsupportingorganizationssettingtheir agendasthroughinhousebargaining,OfaMOFwhichmaintainsatightnstonthetotal amountofmoneyused,andofaDietwhichlufksinthebackgroundbutisoflittledirect COnSequenCe・ 80TheseChiefSecretariesincludeHideoWatanabe,MichihikoShikano,ShozoHarada,Moto Shina,KaoruYosano,ShinjiSato,lsaoMaeda,andKanzoTanigawa. -100- Table3.9 Chairman Advisor Vice Chairmen SuperCOnductivityFederationMemtKrShipList SeirokuK毎iyama MichioWatanabe MikioOkuda HikosaburoOkonogi YoshiroHayashi HiroyukiMasuoka K輔iroMun血 KozoWatanabe ShigeruKasuya TakeshiNoda ChairmanoftheLowerHouseCommitteeon CommerceandIndustry,HomeMinister,and Deputy-SecretaryGeneral,LDP. MinisterofFinance,MinisterofMITI, MinisterofMAFF DirectoroftheCommitteeonCommerceand Industry MinisterofMITIandDeputySecretary- GeneraloftheLDP MinisterofHealthandWelfhre, PadiamentaryViceMinisterofFinance DeputySecretary-General,LDP,Minister OfHealthandWelfhre,ViceMinisterof Tmnspod DeputySecretary-General,LDP,Minister ofMITI ParliamerltaryViceMinisterofPostsand Telecommunications,Chairmanofthe LowerHouseCommitteeon Communications DeputySecretary-General,LDP,Chaiman oftheLowerHouseCommitteeon Commerceandhdustry DeputyChairrnan,I.DPPolicyResearch Council,ParliamentaryViceMinisterofMITI ー101- Coordination Finallythereistheissueofcoordination・Withseveralbureaucraciesmoving fbrwardtopromoteresearchinHTSandwitheachpetitioningMOFfbrfundstosupport itsplans,Onemightanticipatearolefbrscient沌candnnancialcoordinatingbodies. AlthoughSTAhasaIlOminalcoordinatingfunctioninthearenaofscienfi丘cactivity,there isinpracticelittlesuchrolefbrittoplay. Formal1y,thebehaviorofthefundingorganiZationswouldseemtoconnrm ObservationsofgeneralJapanesebureaucraticbehaviormadebyanumberofscholars,With eachappeanngtoactlargelyindependentlyoftheotherindrawingupitsplans,WOrkingto maximizeitsrelativepositiorl.However,thiscompetitionitselfbringsacertainamountof coordination,andtheroutesofinter-bureaucraticCommunication,Whilenotfbrmal,did allowfbrahighdegreeofinfbrmationnow. Althoughthebureaucratsfhceorganizationalbarrierstofbrmalinter-agenCy exchanges,prOfbssorsdonot.InthecaseofascientinctopicsuchasHTS,eaChministry fbrmsascientinccommitteeofproftssorsfbrscientincguidanceaswellasfbrlegitimacy indealingwiththeMinistryofFinanceandwiththeprivatesector.Toheadtheirrespective advisorycommittees,eaChclaimedadiffbrentprofbssor.Prof.Nak毎ima,retiredfiom TokyoUniversityandnowatTokaiUniversity,COntinuedtochairtheactivitiesofthe MOE;Prof.ShinrokuSaito,PreviouslyPresidentofTokyoInstituteofTechnologywas recruitedbySTA;andProf.ShqjiTanakabecameMITrspnncipaladvisor.However,the COmmunityofprofbssorsidentinesmorewiththesciencethanwithbureaucraticpolitics andcorrmunicatesindependentlyofthebureaucraticpositioning.Thusthroughthe minglingoftheacademics,eaChofthebureauczacieswaswellinfbmledoftheplansand activitiesoftheother,andcoulddevelopstrategiestoemphasizediffbrentstrengthsand avoidconnictinginareasinwhichtheywerelikelytoIose. ThuswhenSTAleamedthatMITIwasplarmingtofbrmaresearchconsortiathat WOuldbelocatedatasinglefhcilitytheyabandonedtheirinitialplantocreateasimilar activity・WithMITrsfhrgreaterのilitytorecmitprivatesectorparticipation,STAknewits POSitionwouldbeweakintryingtocompete.SoSTAtumedtotheMulti-Corestrategy. Ovedapisguardedagainstthroughcompetitionratherthanpurposefu1planning. Atagenera?evel,eaChministryleverageditsostensiblemissionanddejbcto Strengths.ForMITI,themissionemphasizedwasitsroleinaidingindustry.Itsstrength WaSinitsabilitytoworkwithindustryaJldinleveragingtheresourcesoftheindustry. ForSTA,themissionemphasizedwasitsroleinpromotingareasoffrontierR&Dandits historyinbigscienceandteclm0logyprqiects.Asitdoesnothavethestrongindustrialties -102- thatMITIertioys,itemphasizeditsstrengthinitshboratories.OneSTAomcial COmmentedthatwhileMITIsupportsitsprqjectstoadvanceindustry,inMulti-Core,STA WaStakingastrategylnWhichtheindustrySupPOrtSthegovemmentlaboratoriesandthe sclenCe.81 However,thelackofafbrmalcoordinatingbodymeansthateachbureaucracy approachesMOFindependentlyforresearchfundsinthesamearea.Withahighpri0rity Onbudgetcontrolonemightsuspectthatbudgetcoordinationwouldbeanimportantissue. Withthfeebureaucraciespetitioningtodoresearchoncloselyrelatedifnotclearly OVerlappingthemes,OneWOuldexpectcoordinatedscrutinytooccur. Butthereisnofbrmalcoordination.Eachbudgetsectionismatchedtoaspecinc ministryoragency,reSultinginaninsulatedbudgetstructure.Nofbrmaldiscussionsor COmmitteesestablishedtoprovideacomprehensivereviewoftheresearchtheywere funding・Instead,eaChbureaucracyisaskedhowitsprogramdifTbrsfromtheothers’, withlittlechal1engetoareasonal)lerationalC.Regardirlgthetechnicalcontent,thetednical bureaucraciesareseldomchallenged・MOFsetstheceilingfbrtheagencyorministryand eachisexpectedtolivewithinitsmeans. Conclusions Thediscussioninthissectionrevealsthatfhr丘om”movirlgatthespeedoflight”in takingtheleadinHTSresearch,thegovemmentbureaucracies,mOStnOtablyMITI,1agged theresponseoftheprivatesectorinorganizingresearchprograms.Partofthereasonwas becauseasgovemmentagencies,theyareboundbythefundingproceduressetbyMOF, Whicharenotdesignedtoaccommodatenewdiscoveriesinscience.ForMITI,the Slownesswasenhancedbythefhctthattheyhadtobeproddedintoactionbyinterestsin theprivateandacademicsectors. Onceinplace,however,thegovernmentprogramsfbrresearcharedesignedwith theintentionofsustaininginvestmentinthisareafbranumberofyears,andaswewi11see inthefbllowingsections,SuStainedinvestmentmaybefhrmoreimportantthanquick action. TheDietwasseentohavereactedratherpromptlytothediscoveryofHTS,by fbrminganassociationfbrsupport,aRenmei.Howevertheinnuenceonpolicy-makirlg, atleastinthiscase,aPPearSminor.Instead,theinterestmostservedmaybetheirownas thesupportofacausethatindustryisinterestedinisclearlyhelpfulingainingpoliticaland 81lnterviewwithShizuoHoshiba,DirectoroftheOfficeofMateria.ScienceandTechnoIogy. -103- 丘nancialsupport・Additionally,ShouldHTSrisetoroomtemperaturesinthenearfuture, asmanythoughtlikelythen,itwouldhavehadam毎orimpactonnewcommercial OPpOrtunitiesandonindustrialgrowth・Beinghbletosaythattheyweresupportersfiom theuncerminoutsetwouldonlyenhancethelevelof坤PreCiationthattheycouldexhact 丘omindustry Findly,WeSaWthatneithertheDietnorthescient捕cburcaucraciesplayedanyrole incoordination.Theactualtechnicalcontentandlevelofcorrlmitmentwasle食tointraagencynegotiations, Withintheoveral1capssetbyMOF. 胃104胃 VI・芸慧I呈RG豊㌫鑑鑑H篭君E吾禁崇聖 HavingreviewedthefbrmationofR&DprqjectstopromoteHTS,WenOWmOVetO thequestionsofhowtheseprogramsareorgamizedandwhatcontributiontheyhaveto innovation.Intheanalysisoftheorganization,thequestionofprincipalinterestishowthe interestsofthecollectiveaccommOdatetheinterestsoftheindividualparticipants.Are COnnictsslgnincantintheseconsortia?Howaretheorganizationsaffbctedintheareasof- Stamng,administration,andpatternsofparticipation?TheanalysisoftheorganiZationwill thenbefbllowedbyananalysisof’thecontributiontoinnovation.Sincetheteclmical outcomeoftheresearchisstilltoodistanttobeunderstoodthediscussionwillfbcusona numberofprocesscharacteristics.Thesecharacteristicsincludethecontributiontothecore SCience,diversincation,dimlSion,COmPlementaryassets,andtraining. IwillbeginwithanintroductiontothetechnicalorganizationoftheISTECand Multi-CorePrograms,discusssomeofthetensionsthatexistandtheresultingshapeof’the Organization,andthenexamineoftheircontributionstoinnovation. TheOrganizationofISTECandMulti-Core ISTEC ISTEC’Stechnicalgoalsareverygeneral:tOunderstand,advance,andtosome extentdevelopteclm010giesinhightemperaturesuperCOnductivity.Therearenospecinc technicaltargetsandnooverridingresearchtimetables,eXCePtfbrtheinitiallO-yearPeriod fbrthecenter’splannedoperation.ThusitisratherunlikeotherMITIpromoted COOPerativecenters,SuChastheVLSIlaboratory,ICOT,andtheKeyTeclm0logyCenters, Whichhaveallhadtechnicalgoalsandschedulesagainstwhichprogresswasmeasured. Asdescribedearlierinthischapter,unCertaintyaboutadvanceisthesalient ChaTaCteristicofthisneld.Thereisuncertaintyaboutthefundamentalprocesseswhich allowthisphenomena,unCertaintyaboutwhatpropertieswillleadtohighertemperatures, anduncertaintyd)Outhoweasilythesematerialscanbeprocessedintousablefbrmsand devices.ItistheseveryuncertaintiesthatenabledISTECtofbrmasnmlSWerebeing recruitedtojoinwhentheonlythingthatseemedtobecertainwasthattheneldwas advancingswinly.UnderstandingISTEC’sorganiZationandpossiblecontributionto innovationthusbeginswithsomeunderstandingoftheteclmicalissuesitistryingto address.Wetherefbrebeginwithatechnicalintroductiontotheprogram. ー105胃 ISTECsSRLisdividedinto7rescarchdivisionsfocussingupondiffbrentresearch themesasshowninTablelO.DivisionIischargedwithunderstandingthefundamental physicsofsuperconductivityinnewmaterials・Heretheresearchersaretryingto understandthebasicphenomenawhichprovidesfbrsuperCOnductivityinoxides,andto searchfornewtooIstoenhancetheirpowersofcharacterization.Thefundamentalstudies ofphysicalpropertiesemphasizefburthemes:1)crystal1inechemicalproperties,2) electronicproperties,3)fluxoidproperties,and4)opticalandsurfhceelectronicproperties・ InpursuingnewcharacterizationtedlniquesresearchersareexaminingtheuseOfhigh pressurephysics,pulseandspecincheatmeasurementtechniquesfordeterminingcritical Currentandmagneticneld,magnet0-0Pticaltechniquesofobservingthenuxoid,and Surfhcetunnelingspectroscopy. TheDirectorofthisDivision,Dr.Koshizuka,COmmentedthatdevelopingnew characterizationtechniquessuchasthoseaboveisahighpri0rityfbrhisgroup.82Hehas noted,fbrexample,thatitisstillverydimculttomeasurethecriticalcurrentdensityofbulk materials.Ingeneralthesearemeasuredmagnetical1yandindirectlycharacterized,nOt measuredelectriCally.HealsonotedthatathighCriticalcurrents,meaSurementbecomes extremelydimcultbecauseOftheheatthatisgenerated・ TablelO OrganizationofISTEC’sI.aboratories SuperconductivityResearchbboratory DivisionI DivisionII DivisionⅡI DivisionIV DivisionV DivisionVI FundamentalProperties HighTemperatureSuperCOnductingOxides OrganicSuperconductors ChemicalProcessing PhysicalProcessing(ThinFilms) DabBases NagoyaDivision High-CurrentSuperCOnductingOxides 82”LookingBackandLookjngForwardatSRL,一I⊆廷辿,VoL.2,No.4,1989.pp.8-9. ー106- DivisionIIfbcuseSOnthesearchfbrnewceramicsuperconductors.The improvementsincriticaltemperaturemadeduring1986and1987weredramatic,butthere isstillalongdistancetobecrossedinthequestfortheultimategoal:tO丘ndaworkd)le materialapproachingroomtemperaturesuperCOnductivity・SoDivisionIIischargedwith thetaskofsearchingfbrnewsuperconductingceramics,developmgnewHTSoxides,and analyzing,CharacterizingandmodellingthematerialS.Thesearchfornewceramics includescopperoxides,OXidesnotcontainingcopper,aSWellasotherceramicmaterialS. Inanalyzingandcharacterizingthematerialstheresearchersarelookingatelectrical resistivityandmagneticsusceptivityvs.temperature,HallandthemlOelectriceffbcts,and, thecompositionandcrystallographicstructure. DivisionⅡIwascreatedtoaddressanentirelydifTとrenttypeOfmaterialhas exhibitedsuperconductivityatlowtemperatures:OrganicsuperCOnductors.Thesematerials areevenlesswellunderstoodthanceramicsastheirmolecularstructuretendstobefhr morecomplexthaneithermetalorceramicmaterials.Insomewaystheyrepresentaneld Ordreamsfbrsuperconductivityresearchersbecauseorasensethattheirpotentialhasonly beenscratchedtodate.83Prof.Tanakahasrenectedthisbeliefinthiscommentthatの... hightemperaturesuperconductivityinorganicmaterialspresentsaveryunique Phenomenon.IbelievethataunlquePhenomenonoccursonlyinaunlquematerial.”84 Researchinthisdivisionisaddressingthedevelopmentoforganicsuperconductors andcharacteri2ationofthephysicalandchemicalpropertiesofthesematerialS,includin theircrystalstructure,tranSPOrtPrOperties,magneticproperties,Opticalproperties,isotope effbcts,andchemicalproperties. DivisionIVfbcusesonthethemeofchemicalprocessingwiththeworkdividedinto roughlyfburgroups,dependinguponthestartingphaseof-thematerial:gaSeOuS,melting Orliquid,Chemicalsolution,andsolid.TheheadofthisI)ivision,YuhShioharahas COmmentedthattheirnrstthreeyearswouldbespentapplyingexistingchemicaland materialfhbricationprocessestooxidestoseewhicharemostsuitable.Asthebest methodsdependontheproduct,ShioharanotesthatavarietyofsuchtooIswillbe necessary.Forexample,Withthinorthicknlms,CVDorsol-gelprocessingmaybe appropriate,Whereasmeltprocessingorsolidphaseprocessingwouldbeusedwithbulk Shapes. 83Earlyin1991,SuPerCOnductivitywasdiscoveredinapurecarbonmateriaI,Carbon60,Which hastheshapeofaBuckminsterFuIIerGeodesicDome.AgroupatBeIILaboratoriesinitially announcedachievingsuperconductivitywiththismaterialinApriTof1991,Withacr輔cal temperatureof18K.inJuly,agrOUPatNECinJapanannouncedincreaslngthistemperatureto 33K. 84”LookingBackandLookingForwardatSRL:lE廷迦l,Vol.2.No.4,1989,P.11. -107- Bytheautumnof1989Shioharanotedthatallofhisgroupshadsucceededin producingsuperconductorsintheas-grOWnState・Thisgroupshavemodinedthe BridgmanMethodtoproduceBi-SyStemSpeCimenswithaTcof68K,theFloatingZone processtoproduceaspecimenwithzeroresistanceat80K,MOVCDtoproduceYandBisystemswithaTcover80K, andtheyhaveexperimentedwith02HⅣpowderprocessing andsol-gelprocessing. DivisionVisnominal1ycharteredwiththethemeofphysicalprocessing,butthe primaryissueofconcemisthinnlmresearch・Theresearchisdividedintotwooverall subthemes,thedevelopmentoffhbricationprocessesandtheprocessingof superconductingoxidenlmsintousefu1forms・Thefhbricationprocessesfbcusonthin nlmsandonadaptingsemiconductorprocessingtechnologyanddecreasingtheprocessing temperature・Theprocessingofthenlmsintousefu1fbrmsincludesfundamentalstudieson thephysicalpropertiesoftheinterfhcesbetweensuperCOnductingoxidesandother materialS,forpossiblemultilayercapability,andexploitinglithographictechnlquesto optimizetheconditionsfbrmillingofoxidenlmS・Theresearchersemployequipmentthat includesalaserdepositionapparatus,amulti-SPutteringdevice,andareactiveevapo工ation apparatusfbrmolecularbeamepitaxy(MBE). However,becauseofequipmentdelays,reSearChhasreallyonlybeenunderway sinceJuneof1989.TheDivisionDirector,TadatakaMorishita,nOtedthatinadditionto thefhcilitydelays,theyhavealsodevotedtimetoredesigningsomeoftheequiprnent orderedtosuitanticipatedexperiments.85Forexample,mud10fthisequipmentwasnrst developedfbrthesemiconductorindustry,inwhichanoxygen-freeerrvironmentwas essential.However,hightemperaturesuperconductorsareoxides,andprocessingunder higheroxygenenvironmentsappearstoleadtobetterperfbrmance・Sotheequipmenthad toberevisedtooperateunderhighpressureoxygenenvironmentsratherthanoxygen一丘ee VaCuumS. DivisionVIhasbeenchargedwithdevelopingadatabasesystem,butasoflate 1990nofu11-timestaffhadbeenassignedandlittleprogresshadbeenmade. Finally,theNagoyaDivisionwasgivenastheirmainthemehighcurrent SuperCOnductors.Althoughthethemeallowsfbrabroadrangeofreseard,thenumberof researcherswasinitiallylessthanhalfthatoftheothersections,6,SOtheDivisionDirector, hmiHiIabayashinotedthattheydecideditwouldbemoreeffbctivetolimitthenumberof topicsaddressed.86Themainthemeaddressedintheinitialmonthswasthestudyofbulk 85nLookingBackandLookingForwardatSRL”p.14. 86”AOne-yearPerspectiveontheNagoyaResearchDivision,SRL:1亘[亘⊆_迦也VoI.2,N0. 3,1989. ー108胃 Sinteredmaterials・87InJanuaryof1989threemoreresearchersjoinedthedivisionandthe WOrkexpandedtoincludethestudyofhigh-SpeednlmfhbricationviaMOCVD.Thiswork isbeingconductedincooperationwithsimilarresearchbeingcarriedoutinDivision4. 0thertopicsaddedtothescopeofworkatNagoyaincludelaserheatedzonemelting PrOCeSSeS,thickfilmfhbrication,andfundamentalstudiesofthemechanismslimitingthe Criticalcurrentsinoxidesuperconductors.Thevariablesthattheresearchershavefbcussed Onincludethecharacterizationofrawmaterials,Sinteringbehavior,COntrOlofdirectional Ordering,COntrOlofthegTainboundaries,introductionofpinningcenters,andtheuseof COmpOSitematerials. TheMulti-CoreProject ForSTA,theMulti-CorePrqjectrepresentsaneworganizationalfbrmandnew Organizationalchallenge.AlthoughmostofSTA’sR&Dprogramshavebeenfbcussedon directlysupportingresearchatitslaboratoriesorthroughitspublicfbundations,theagency Showedin1981throughtheERATOprogram,thatitiscapableoforganizational innovationstomeettheevolvingneedsofitsscienceandtechnologypolicypri0rities. Multi-Corerepresentsasecondm互iororganiZationalinnovationasSTAisattemptingto COmbinetheresourcesofitslaboratoriesandthoseofindustryonalargescaletoaddressa newareaofscience. LikeISTEC,theMulti-CoreP両ecthastheverygeneraloverallgoalofpromoting baSicresearchinnewsuperconductingmaterialswhichwill”pavetheway”fbrtheir PraCticalapplication.88Theprogramisplannedfbr5years,nSCalyearsl988-1992,with STAprovidingthelaboratoryfhcilitieSwhichserveastheresearchcentersor”cores,”and PrOVidingfundstoenhanceexistingequiprnentwiththeintentionofenablingthecoresto COnductfiontierresearch.ThesecoresaretheheartoftheMulti-Coreprqiectwitheach COrefbcussingaroundadiffbrentteclmicaltheme.Thecorearestaffbdwithresearchers 丘omthehostfhcility,Withthesefhcilitiesalsomadeavailabletoresearchers丘omother PublicandprivatesectororganiZationswhosubmitproposalsfbrcollaborativeresearch. TheoverallarrangementisshowngraphicallyinFigure24. 87  ThefirstpatentappJiedforbythisDivision,forexampfe,invo-vedtheadditionofsilver duringtheprocesslngOfal-2-3La-SyStemSuPerCOnductor.ThesiIverwasfoundtoaccelerate JiquidphasesinterJngandtherebyimproveboththec而icaItemperatureandcurrentofthe SUPerCOnductor. 88scienceandTechnologyAgency∵Mul廿coreResearchProjectonSuperconductivity:, Tokyo‥ScienceandTechnologyAgency,1988・ l‥109 --- MULTトCORE PROGRAMPROGRAM ORGANtZATlON Figure24  SchematicoftheOrganizationoftheMulti-CoreProgram Theprimaryincentiveso恥redbytheprogramarel)theexpertiseavailableateach coreand2)theld)OratOryfhcilit主esforcooperativeresearch.UnlikeISTECwhereoneof theimportantinitialstepswasthedevelopmentofanexpertiseinthisareaamongstafr dispatchedbythemembernrms,theSTAlaboratoriesadvertiseanexpertisethatalready exists.FornmlSWithamoredennedtechnicalinterestandwithagoodmatchwithoneof STA’scores,theMulti-CorePrqiectcanbeamoredirectwayofnllingtheirneeds. Inadditiontoitsexpertise,eaChcoreadvertisesitsfhcilitiesasbeingavailableto researchcooperatOrS.IfthefhcilitiesareparticularlyuniqueorexpenSivetoacquire,their avaihbilityatthecorelaboratorycanprovideamqjorincentivefbrcollaboration.Thiscarl beparticularlyattractivefbruniversityprofbssorsandsmal1nrms.Evenifanrmhasmade theinvestmentinanadvancedpieceofequipment,itmaystillwanttOimprovetheskillsof itsstaffinanalyzingmaterialssuchassuperconductors.ThecorescanthusPrOVidea usefu1trainingandresearchresource.Inbothinstancesofaccessingexpertiseand accessingfhcilities,thepotentialbenemtotheparticipatingorganiZationcanbemoreclearly dennedthaninthec鮎eOfmultilaterallycooperativeprogrzunssuchasISTEC. BySTA’sdennition,thesethemesaredividedintothreegeneralareas:1) PrOCeSSing,2)characterization,and3)theoryanddatabase.Sevenofthecentersare CategOrizedasprocessirlg,nVeaSCharacterization,andoneastheory.Theprocessing CategOryincludesthethemesNewSuperconductors,ComponentPurincation,ThinFilm, SingieCrystal,Lithography,BasicConductor,andSpaceEnvironment.The ー110- CharacteriZationcategorycomprisesthethemesHigh-FieldProperties,CrystalStructures, ChemicalCompositions,RadiationEfficts,andPhysicalandChemicalAnalysis・Finally, theTheoryandDataBa光aCtivitieseachhavetheirowncore・hterwewillanalyzehow thesecorethemes,theirfhcilities,andcooperativeresearchactividesntintoinnovationin thisneld. ThetechnicalthemesfbreachofthesecorearesummarizedinTablell. Thementionofpracticalapplicationinthemissionstatementoftheprqjectalong withthelargerrumberofprocessingcoresandthelackofacategorymoreclearlyindicating fhndamentalmaterialsresearchhasledsomeobserverstotheimpressionthattheJapanese areagainplottingtocapturethebenentsofintemationalbasicresearchbytargeting PrOCeSSingandapplications,neglectingtaskscentraltotheneldsuchasthesearchfbrnew materialcompositions.89Howeverexaminationofthecontentofeachofthecoresshows thisnottobethecase.Thenvecenterswhichfhllundertheheading”characterization”are eachdirectedtowardbasicstudiesofthematerialanditsbehaviorinalteredenvironments. AnalysesofcrystalstructuresandchemiCalcompositionsisbeingpursuedthrougha breadthoftooIsfbrbasicresearchsuchashighresolutionelectronmicroscopy,X-ray difThction,ion-SCatteringspectroscopy,andmuonresonancespectroscopy.Underthe headingofBasicConductorisacoredirectedtowardthe”explorationofnew SuPerCOnductors”inwhichresearchersareusingbothsolidstateandliqui的a5reaCtionStO SynthesizenewmaterialS.Dr.Maedahasnotedthatalthoughhisactivitiesareostensibly directedtowardprocessingteclmiques,theyhavealsoexperimentedwithnewmaterial COmPOSitionsashavemanyoftheotherprocessingcores.Hisfbelingwasthatthe distinctionbetweenprocesslngandfundamentalstudiesisnotadistinctoneatthisstagein thedevelopmerltOfthismaterial.90 TheIncentives TheorganizationoftheSRIJandtheMulti-CoreProgramarethusbasedongeneral researchthemes,andhavebeencreatedwiththeintentionofbeingoperatedascommon researchfhcilities.Howevertheparticipantscomewithavarietyofinterestswhichare 89MichaeZCrovv,・Techn0-ogydeve-opmentinJapanandtheUnitedStates=.eSSOnSfromthe high-temPeratureSUPerCOnductivityrace,”塾;垣幽艶必也_塵蟄旦壁,Vol.16,No.6,December lg89;OrB.R.lnrTlanandDanieJF.Burton.TechnologyandCompetitiveness:TheNewPolicy Frontier:長軸飽垣,Spring1990;JapanTechnologyEvaluationCenter,逆EL巳旦郎釦 旦山]j虫ユ旦幽旦j辿匹些!坦虫虚麺吐出」星担凸,Washington:NTlS,November198g,P.Xi. 90JnterviewwithDr.Maeda,NationalResearchlnstituteforMetals -111- Tablell Multi-CorePrQjectResearchThemes Category Multi-CoreTheme HostLaboratory TheoryaJldDataBase Processlng CharacteriZation Theory DataBaSe NewSuperconducting Matedds MaterialComposition ThnFilm SingleCrystal Lithography BasicConductor Space HighField CrystalStructure ChemicalComposition Radiation PhysicalandChemical NRm Vadous NIREu A D 舶 N WW脚胴脂 1ikelytoaffbctthefbrmoftheorganizationanditsabilitytoachievecommunicationand COOpCration. Inbrief,themostsignincanttensionintheorganizationofthecollectiveactivityis thetensionbetweenthedesireofthenrmsto…坦匹地盤developmentsandthedesireof thecoHectiveto並垣堕蔓infbfmation. ISTEC’sandMulti-Core’sgoalS,emphasizethecollectiveadvanceofthescience andteclm010gyofsuperconductivityfbrthegeneralbenentofscience,industryand SOCiety.Inanidealsense,then,theactivitiesof-theprogramsarenottoappropriatetheir researchresults,buttodimlSetheirdevelopmentsfbrthegeneralgood.Bycontrast,the goaisoftheparticipantsaremuchmorevaried,aLndtotheextentthattheparticipantsexpeCt tobenentfromcommercialexploitation,thegoalsarefbcussedonappropriationratherthan diffusion.FirmscanbeexpeCtedtoviefbrtheirbestpositionintheconsortia. ー112- Thus,forexample,fbrnrmSSeekingtoadvancetheircoremarkets,theincentive WOuldbetoparticipateinthatpartofthecenterwhichaddressesthemostrelevant teclm010giesortechnicalbarriers・Formaterialssuppliers,WeWOuldexpectabiastoward fundamentalperfbrmanceimprovementsthroughcompositionorprocessing.Fordevice manufhcturerswewouldexpeCtaninterestinpr∝eSSingrelatedcloselytothebarriersto therealizationofthedevice・Forsystemsusers,integrationandprototypetestingmightbe expectedtobeofprimaryinterest. ForISTEC,theorganizationalchallengesaremoresevereasthecenteristryingto gaincooperationamongdiverseandsometimescompetinginterests.Thecenteraimsat truecooperation.Bycontrast,aLSnrmSinMulti-Coreengageinbilateralagreementswith thecoreofinterest,thepotentialfbrconflictbetweentheparticipantsorwiththecollective ismuchreduced.UnlikethecollectivearrangementinISTEC,eaChnrminMulti-Core arrangesabilateralagreementwiththecorelaboratoryaLnddoesnotrelyonthesuccessor evenparticipationofothernrms.Althoughthismeansthatthenrmswi11nothave WhatevercollectiveleamingandbIainstormingbenentsthatmightariseinalargercollective fhcility,thereisagreaterchancethattheadvancesmightbeappropriatedfbrsometimeand thattheresearchwillstayclosertothenrm’sinterests.Thedisincentivesassociatedwith undesiredleakageofadvancesmadebyanrm’sresearcher,Oraboutthetechnicalinterests Orlevelofadvancementofthenrm,arethusreduced. Forexample,Sinceinsulationfromdirectexposuretocompetitiveinterestsreduces thedisincentivestocooperation,WeWOuldexpectlessconflictbetweenresourcerichand resourcepoornrms,Orbetweenexperiencedandinexperiencednrms.Tothecontrary,We WOuldexpecttoseebothgroupsparticipating.Theparticipationoflargerorexperienced nrmswouldconnrmthattrulystate-Oflthe-artWOrkisunderwaywhichisofinterestto 丘ontierresearchteams.Thepresenceofsmallnrmswouldbeexpectedandwouldindicate theprogram’saccessibilityandwouldbeasignoftheprogram’scontributiontothe diffusionofresearchactivityinthisarea.91Wewouldexpectnrmstobemoreinterestedin 91However,aSreSearChersfromthevariousfirrnsare.ikelytornIng,einthesamelaboratory,itmay betruethat asuccessfuJmeasureofactivityfortheco?ectivemayreducetheincentiveof individualfirmstoparticipate・AIargenumberofindustrialparticipantsintheprogramappearsto beoneofthemeasuresofsuccessforSTA,indicatingtheimportanceandrelevanCeOfthe PrOgram’sresearch・MOFlikestoseealargenumberofotherorganizationsareparticipating, Sharingtheburdenofresearch,WithindustrialparticipantsbeingparticuIarlyattractiveasthey indicatecommercialrelevanceintheactivity・AsthenumberinqreaSeS・however,SOdothe OPPOrtunitiesforcontactswithresearchersfromotherIaborator.es・Eventhoughthebenchwork maybeseparate,SOmetranSferofknowfedgeislikelytooccur.Totheextentthattheworkis SharedintheopenliteratureandisstiHviewedapositivesumactivitythroughthesharingofideas, thebenefitswilloutweighthepenaItiesandtheincentivessuppoT・tParticipation・Thiswouldbe expectedtobemorethecaseforfundamentalresearch.Totheextentthattheworkhas -113胃 thecoreswithexpertisethataremorerelevanttocommercialendsthaninthebasicresearch core,andwewouldexpecttheoppositewithuniversityprofbssors. Ananalysisoforganizationalpattemsofparticipationwillillustratediffbrences betweenacollectivesysteminwhichparticipationmoredirectlyrenectstheprimary interestsofthenrms.Areasinwhichtheinteractionbetweentheincentivesofthenrms andtheshapeofthecollectivewillbeex別ninedincludestafnng,administration,industrial Clustering,andsegregationbytechnicalinterest. Starfing Ifcachnrmistryingtomaximizeitsbenentandminimizeitscost,thenonewould expectsometendencyto丘eeride:tOSendlessqualinedresearchers.Thishasbeena mqjorproblemwithconsortiafbrmedinboththeUnitedStatesandEurope.Forthe COllectivethisproblemcanleadtodisaster,fbrifonenrmthinksthisway,theotherare likelytothinkthiswayaswellandadownwardspiralcouldresultinunifbrmmediocrity. WhenorganizingtheMicroelectronicsComputerCorporation(MCC),AdmiralBobby InmaninsistedonscreeningalloftheresearchersnominatedbythesupportingnrmS,and initial1yrdected95%ofthecandidates.92 WhenorganizingtheVLSIresearchlaboratory, SakakibamhasnotedthattheI,aboratoryDirector,YasuoTarui,directlyselectedmanyof theresearchersthatparticipatedratherthanabidebycompanynominations.93Isthere evidencethatISTECwasabletoavoidthisproblem? InthecaseofISTEC,thecompanieshavetherighttodecidewhotheywantto Send.However,Dr.Tanakanotedthatthiswasoftendoneinconsultationtotryto general1ymatchISTECneeds.Mr.Ishiguro,headofthePlanningSectionanddispatched fromMITI,mOrefbrcefu11yassertsthathewascarefulinscreeningeachoftheapplicants toassuretheirquality. Whatdoestheevidenceshowofstaffquality?InJapan,theeducationalsystemis markedbyaIatherclearhierarchyofschooIs.UnliketheUnitedStateswherethereare largeclustersofschooIsconsiderednrst-rate,therankingismorediscreetinJapan.Thus atthetopoftheheaparethenationaluniversitiesledbyTokyoUniversity,Kyoto advantagesinappropriation,however,thegreaternumberofparticipantsmaydiscouragethe moreadvancedfirms†romjOlnIng.ThisrnaybethecaseinthemoreappIiedresearchactiv托ies. 92Bobbylnman,uCo?aborativeResearchandDevelopment:⊆旦墜竺p生血盛運裏迎 =旦!土地StewardNozetteandRobertKuhneds.,NewYork:Praeger,1987,PP.63-67. 93KiyonoriSakakibara,OP・CR. -114肩 ISTEC-1lI三SEARCtTERM^TRICUL∧TION(59/銅) ---切 - SArrAMAUNIV. N∧GAOX^1NST.TIiCl-1. WASED∧UNIV NAGOY^1NST.TECH. TOKY01NST.TECH. I13AR^KIUNIV. KYUSHUUNIV. NAGOY∧UNIV. KYOTOUNIV. TOHOKUUNIV. OS∧K人UNIV. UNIV.OFTOKYO H ヰ十日十十日+十日+ 開l‡ 一汁け-廿川二けけ廿「 l † トH 引有川十H Ii - 汗廿廿廿廿汁廿日?rr 榊廿[寸 I 棚廿≠ I?≠ Ⅲ 廿l甘仕丑二廿廿 l 骨? 十「州1 トト一一日ギ .プ ヽ_I ト.ハ t 日1-1一汁=二廿l+t ト汁一汁一日1 -日1-廿廿廿二廿LH 一寸一一I 1-1-日 .・・1∴ :1′ :・・: ]二廿仕t二≠ -1ニーしし= ヰ旧:トギ[ †- し≠ 1 十1 ・! ・ー・lt・.・L 1111111_1 」rlJJL l●. l  Lj l 1 6          8 NUMl沌ROFRl三SE人RC1-1ERS ロ望reいい  Ma-計ul註OnOコST田C声esearchea University,OsakaUniversity,andinengineering,TohokuUmiversity.Ofsimilarranking isonenationalteclmicalinstitutes,theTokyoInstituteofTechnology,Withothersbeingof lowerprestigebutstillconsideredsolidschooIs,SuChastheKanaawaInstituteof- Teclm010gyandtheNagoyaInstituteofTechnology.Closebehindarethetopprivate SChooIs,ledbyKeioandWasedaUniversities.Minorrepresentationbygraduatesofthese schooIswouldbeanindicationofsomeweaknessinstaffl Figure25showstheschooIswhosegraduatesaremostprominentlyrepresented withintheISTEClhboratory.Theuniversitymostprominentlyrepresentedisthe UniversityofTokyowith14graduates.ThisiscloselyfbllowedbyOsakaUniversitywith 12graduates,andthenbyTohokuUniversity,7graduates,KyotoUniverslty,6graduates, andNagoyaUniversity4graduates.Ofthe81researchersinthelaboratory,50,Or60% areeitherfromtopnationaluniversitiesortopprivateuniversities,SuPPOrtingthe COnClusionthatDr.Tanakahasmanagedtorecruitaresearchstaffofratherhighquality.A long-termVisitingscientisttothelaboratoryfbrmtheLosAlamosNationalLaboratoryin NewMexico,JeffbryWillis,alsomadethecommentthatthestaff,OVerall,WaSfirstrate.94 Howwasthisaccomplished?Thereasonsdistilledfiominterviewsappearseveralfbld. FirstthereistheattractionandreputationofProf.Tanakaasthenation’sleading researchngureinHTS,anunuSualblessingfbraconsortiaprQject.Prof.Tanaka’s retirementfiomtheUniversityjustasthecenterwasopeningwasextremelyfbrtuitous. Second,manyOftheparticipatingnrmsareconsideredthe’rbest”nrmsinthenationandso areabletohiregraduates丘omthebestuniversities.Thedispatchedresearchersarenot likelytobeamongthefbwsuchresearchersinthenms・Third,thereistrainingfunction infundamentalresearchofthisexercise.Unlikedevelopmentorsystemsorientedprqjects, aprincipalgaintothenrmswillbeintheenhancedbasicresearchskillsoftheresearcher, hencereducingtheskillofthedispatchedresearcherdirectlyreducestheretumtothe COmPany・ Finally,thereisthe”shame”efTbctthatcompanieso丘enreftrto.If’0thernrmsare makingasubstantivecommitmenttoacollaborativeendeavor,thesocialstigmaattachedto appearingtobea丘eeriderwasoftenimpliedasapressuretomaintainsomestandard. βrdW dCb Oneofthedrzrwbackstotherelianceondispatchedresearchersisthatatsomepoint, thecompanieswouldliketheirresearchersback.Atypicalrotationtothe 94-nterviewwithJefferyWillis,Ju.y3,1991・ 胃116- SuperconductivityResearchhboratorywouldbebetweentwoandthreeyears.Afterthis pointthecompaniestendtofielthattheirresearchershavereceivedadequatetrainingand theywouldlikethemtocontributetheirtrainingtothenrm,sresearch・ForISTEC, however,itisatthispointthattheresearcherscanbegintomakesignificantindividual COntributionstothescienceand,aSthepursuitof-fundamentalscienceisalong-term PrOCeSS,PerSOnnelrotationseverytwotothreeyearsaredisruptive.Justasthehboratory fhllyrunnmgandthepeopletrained,theperiodfbrrotationswillcomeup,requiringthe directoIStOStartallover. ThisspecteroflossisevenmoresignincantwhenonerecallsthatSRLwaslargely StaffbdoveraperiodofsixmonthS.Inashortperiodoftimethereispotentialfbrm互ior PerSOrmelrotationleavinglittleoverlapofthenrstgenerationstaffwiththesecond. ISTEChasanticipatedthisandisworkingtostaggeranddelayrotationstothe extentpossible,butstrengthinthisnegotiationwillrequirethebackupof’MITI. Leng-termCOntinuationrequiresthattheresearchersdolargelyretumtotheirhome nrms,aSdefbctionswouldmakenrmsincreasinglyapprehensiveaboutsendinggood researcherswhomightmoveon・ThisisastrongdisincentivefhcedbynrmsintheUnited States・Asofthemiddleof1991,afbwsuchdefbctioTIShavebeenreported,with researcherslargelyretumingtothelaboratories丘omwhichtheycame. AdministrativerLeutrality-Administrativestability Ifnrmssuspectothernrmsarevyingtoappropriateormaneuverthemselvesintoa fhvoredposition,thenthequestionofwholeadsbecomesastrategicissue.Doesitgoto thememberwhichisclearlystrongestwiththeassumptionthatthefewi11bemoreto COntributefromtheirin-houseinsights?Doesitrotate?Ordotheyneedtorecruit extemally? Fortheostensiblepurposeofmaintainingneutralityinthemanagementofresearch inISTEC,theDivisiondirectorswereallrecruitedffomneutralorganizations.Managersat ISTECarequicktonotethatthiselementofneutralityisconsiderakeyfhctorfbr SuCCeSSfuloperation.ThedirectorofDivisionl,NaokiKoshizuka,WaSreCmitedffom MITI’sElectrotechnicallaboratory.HisaoYamauchi,OfDivision2,WaSreCruitedback 丘omCanadawherehewasonstafrattheUniversityofWindsor.YuhShiohara,thehead OfDivision4,WaSluredback丘omthispositionasanAssociateProfbssoratMIT. TadatakaMorishita,theheadofDivision5,CameOVerfh3mtheresearchstaffofNHK,s ScienceandTechnicalResearchLAboratory,andYoshihisaIshiguro,theheadofthe -117- Table12. InitialDivisionDirectorsinISTEC Division Name PriorAmliation Divisionl Division2 Division3 Division4 Division5 Division6 Nago3個 NaokiKoshizuka HisaoYamauchi (ShqiiTanaka) YuhShiohara TadatakaMorishita YoshihisaIshiguro hmiHi血判髄hi ETL-MITI UniversityofWindsor,Chnada M.I.T.,U.S.A. NHK Mm MaxPlankResearchInstitute, Germany PlanningSectionandnominalheadorDivision6wasdispatched丘omMITI.Finally, IzumiHirabayashi,theDirectoroftheNagoyaDivision,WaSreCruitedwhileconducting researchattheMaxPlankResearchInstitute.Thesepastamliationsaresummarizedin Td)1e12.WiththeexceptionoftheMITImember,thekeytotheselectionofthese individualswastheirconnectiontoProf二Tanaka. Asthisislargelyafundamentalresearcheffbrt,however,itisnotclearhowcritical aretheneutralorganizationamliationsfbremcientdirectionoftheresearch.Morethanthe ftarofbiasingthedirectionsoftheresearch,Whichinanycasearesetinconsultationswith Othermembersofthelaboratory,theremaybeconcemoverthedangerofcrmtinginternrm antagonismsshouldanydecisionshavetobemade.Ifonememberfbelsdisadvantagedas theresultofanegotiation,itmayworkdirectlyagainstrelationswiththemediatingnrm. Thereverseconsequencewouldbethattoavoidthistypeoffhction,themediatingnrm representativewillavoidmakingdimcultdecisions. MITI’searlierexperiencewiththeVLSIjointresearchlaboratoryinthelate-1970’s highlightedtheimpodanceofthismediatingfunction.I)urirLgthelengthofthisprogram, OneOftheprincipalcontributionsmadebytheManagingDirector,MaSatONebashi,an amakudaribureaucrat丘omMITI,WaStOkeeprelationshipslubricated.Inaninterview WithSakakibara,Nebashinotedthaピ’…AllIdidfbrthisfburyearswastodrinkwith them(theresearchers)as丘equentlyasIcould.Iwantedtounderstandtheircomplaintson thoseoccasionsandtriedtoeliminateproblems:り5ByworkingdailytodifnlSetenSions, 95sakakibara,OP・Cit・,P・23・ ー118- Nebashiwasabletosignincantlymitigatethehighlevelsofmistrustwhichexistedatthe PrOgramSOutSet,enablingtheprogramtofunctionmorelikeacollaborativeeffbrtafiera COupleofyears. AIsoimportantinthismanagementarrangement,however,isthedesirefor COntinuity・Withthestaffrotatinginandouteverytwotothreeyears,theIjboratory neededsomewaytoenhanceanaccumulationofknowledgeandtomitigatethenegative innuencesoftheturn-OVerinitsstafflForexample,althoughlessthanSixmonthsinto actualresearch,Dr.Yamauchi,nOtedhisconcemthatjustastheywillbegintomake PrOgreSSintheirsearchfbrnewmaterialS,theresearcherswillbecalledbacktotheir laboratories・96Someonehastoknowwhathasbeendonethusfhr,Whatapproacheshave SuCCeededandfhiled,andwhatdirectionswereselectedandwhy.IftheI)irectorsarealso dispatched丘omnrms,theywi11alsobesubjecttothispersonnelrotation,makingsuch COntinuitydimcult・Usinglowerlevelresearchstaffasthesourceofmemorymayjust leavetheminconstantbattlewiththeirDirectors.Thus,byrecruitingdirectorsasfu11time Stafrfbrlongerperiods,Pe血apsthedurationoftheprogram,thiscontinuityisplacedinthe individualswhohavethemostauthoritytobeabletousetheknowledge・ IndustrialClustering Whereasthecollectivewouldliketheparticipantstopursueresearchbasedonthe SCientincpri0rityofthequestionswithaneyetothelong-termadvanceoftheneld,the firmSWOuldbeexpectedtobeinterestedintheactivitiesmostcriticaltocommercialiZation, OrtOShoringuptheirscientincweaknesses.Thus,fbrexample,electronicsnrmswould beexpectedtobeclusteredinDivision50fSRL,Whichisthinfllmresearch,OrtheThin FilmorLithographyCoresoftheMulti-CoreProgram.Cd)1emanufhcturerswouldbe expectedtobemoreinterestedinchemicalprocessingofbulkmaterialsandnlms(Division 4)andhighcurrentresearch(NagoyaDivision)ofSRLandMulti-Core’sBasicConductor activity・ObserversintheJapanesepresshadpredictedthattherewouldbearushtothese PrOCeSSingdivisionstotheneglectofmoretheoreticalorfundamentalresearch.97,98 96dLookingBackwardandLookingForwardatSRL:I亘旺旦迦嘘,VoL2,No.4,1987,P.10. 97一‘ChodendoKogakuKenkyujoniMekeruKigyonoNetsui,-op.cit.,P.13. 98 Afthoughingenera,,OneWOuldexpecttoseegreaterinterestintheprocessng-re.ated SeCtionsthaninthemorefundamentaIresearchsections,thismightnotbetrueoffirmsthatfeeE theirworkisalreadysubstantialinsuperconductiv吋.lnthiscase,theoppoTtunityfor SOPhisticatedtheoreticaltrainingintheJaboratorymayproveamoreenticinglure.Thatis,the morewe”staffedfirmsmightbefoundindisproportionatenurnberinthefundamentaJresearch divisions,Divisionsland2atSRLandthetheory→Drientedacth/托icsoftheMulticoreProgram, reflectingthisemphasisontraining.Unfortunatelytheident吋Ofspec汗icfirmswaswithheldso thisanalysISWaSnOtPOSSible. -119一 If;ontheotherhand,thescientincwofkwasreceivingpri0rity,thenonemight expecttoseeadivisionbasedmoreondisciplines. Firstindustrialclusteringwillbeexamined. Figpre26showstherepresentationofindustrialsectorsineachoftheISTEC divisions.ThengurerevealsthattheorganiZationismarkedmorebyindustrialdispersion thanbythemalicclustering.Thecablemanufhcturers,fbrexampleareevenlyrepresented inDivisionsl,2,4and5.Thecombinationofhomeelectronicsnrmsand telecorrmunicationsnrmsisalsoratherevenlyrepresented,withaslightlyhigherweightin thinnlmresearchandresearchofthephysics,butwithnorepresentationinthehighcurrent WOrk.Representatives丘omtheutilitiesarealsodistributedthroughallsections,butagain with1ittleinterestshowninorganicsorfundamentalmatedalS. Somewhatmorepredictablearetheinterestofthechemicalnrmsinproperty researchandprocessing,thepresenceofonlyonenrminDivision4whichischartered Withtheorganicmaterialswofk,andaweakeroverallinterestinthebasicphysics. Thelesspredictableclusteringoccurredintheconcentrationofcerzmicsnrmsinthe Nagoyadivisionandtheproportionatelylargenumberofironandsteelrepresentativesin thefundamentalphysicssection.Inbothcasesthephenomenaseemstobetheresultof givingweighttotheindividualchoicesoftheresearcheIS.Inthelatter,theresearchers dispatcheddesignatedtheoryastheirareaofinterest,andinthefbrmer,theparticipatiIlg researdlerSWhohaveexpressedageognIhicalpreftrencetobeinNagoya.Sixofthenine OrganizationsthatdispatchedresearcherstotheNagoyaarefromtheKinki(Nagoya) region.Theseincludeindividuals丘om NGKSparkPlug,NGKInsulators,Toyota,and ChubuElectriC.Further,anindependentresearcherrecruited丘omtheUniversityof Tokyo,Dr.SetsukoT毎ima,WhoisfbrmallyinDivision3,hasselectedtheNagoyalabas herhusbandisattheneafbyOkazhkiResearchIaboratory,directingthehightemperature SuperCOnductivityresearchunderwaythere. IntheMulti-CoreProgram,bycontrast,flrmsarefieetoselectthecoreinwhich theyaremostinterested,andasaconsequencetheprefbrencefbrcommercialrelevanceis moreclearlyseen. UnlikeMITI’sISTECprQject,itwasnotnecessarytohaveaCriticalmassofnrms toenabletheventure,thecorelaboratoriescanfullyoperateasindependentresearchentities ー120- ISTECDlVISIONALRESE^RCHERP^IulCIP^T10NllYINDUSTRI^LSl三CTOR HlGll CURRENTS PHYSICALPll0CESS ーーN-- CHEMTC^LPROCESS ORG∧NICM^TERl^LS NEWMATERI^LS 0    2   4    6    8   10  12  14  16  18   20 NUMlll三ROFRlてSl三八】lCIIl三】lS 田NON_ENTEllPlllSE mpUl11-ICCO】11} 目oTllERSECl、Oll 田UrlLr1-Y EヨMOTORVl三川CLll 田S川PnUはDmG 田coNSUMEltELECT mTELECOM 日Jlli^VYELECT 回cAl)Ll三&lVlllE mNONFE11110US 虹1110N&S・11三l三L □cER∧MにS 肩C川三M&GIJSS 句i望reNか  IndCbt計-SectOrDist乱butiOn5.IST何CDi且siOnS Figure27  hdustrialSectorDistributioninMulti-CoreProgramCores ChcmicalComp 2    ]    4    5 NunlbcrorFirnlS 6    7     3     9    10 Figure28  ResearchSpecialitybyISTECDivision HJGHCURRENT PrlYSICALPROCESS CHEMICALPROCESS ORGANICMATmAIj NEWMATERIALS 0    2    4    6 8   10   12   14   16   18   20 NUMBEROFRESEARCHERS -122一 E∃pR王CiSiONMACHiNERY 国M工SCELECmCMACHINE 田coNSUMERELECTRIC 匹]HEAVYELECTR工C 団sH汀BUIIJXNG ⅢiNDUSTMALMACHINERY E]NONFERROUS E】spECI^LTY STEEL ⅢC∧DLE3月dlⅥRE E】cEMENT E]GLASSandCERAMIC ■MINiNG ヨoTHER 匝iMECHAmCALENGR T ELECTRICALENGR 酎cHEMISTRY □MATEⅢAlj +pHYSICS Withoutanyparticipationbyindustry・Firms,aSStreSSedbyanSTAomcial,Will participatebecauseoftheattractivenessofthesciencebeingpromoted. Figure27showsparticipationineachofthecoresdividedbyindustrialsector. Twelvediffbrentsectorsarerepresentedinthevariouscorcsoftheprogram・Thelargest numberofthenrms,however,arefiomtheChbleandWiresector,thesectorthathasbeen traditionallymostactiveinsuperconductivity.Allofthem毎OrCのIeandwire manufhcturersthathavebeeninvoIvedinthesuperconductingindustryareparticipatingin thisprogrzmandarefbundinoneofthreeoftheprogramcores:BasicConductor,Thin Film,andHighField.Theselectionofthesecoresindicatesthatthesenrmsaremost interestedinresearchthatisgenerallytheclosestlinkedtocommercialization. Distributionbyacademicspeciality IncontrasttothelackofclearpattemsinnrmparticipationbydivisionsinISTEC,a moredistinctseparationbyspecialitiesoccurswhenoneexaminestheacademic backgroundsoftheresearchers.ThisisshowninFigure28.Theclearestconcentrations inspecialityoccurinthetheoryorienteddivision,Divisionl,andtheNagoyaDivision.In Divisionl,100fthe15researcherscomefromaphysicsbackgroundandan0ther2from materialsscience・IntheNagoyaDivision,70fthe9researcherscome丘omachemistry backgroundandanother丘ommaterialsscience.ISTECrepresentativesinterviewed indicatedthattherewasageneraldesirebydispatchingnrmsintheNagoyaareato emphasizematerialsandceramicsskillsasthatisconsideredoneoftheirunique characteristics. Theonesurprisemightbethelargepresenceofelectricalengineersinthebasic materialsgroup,Division2.Thisappearstorenecttheimportanceofadvance instrumentationinconductingthematerialsanalysesdesired,andthefusionofskills necessarytocontinuepromotionbasicresearchinthisneld. IntheMulti-CoreProgram,diffbrencesappearbetweentheinterestsofindustrial anduniversityparticipants・Itis丘equentlyarguedthatcompanieswillbemuchmore interestedinskillsorcapabilitiesthatcanbeusedtobringproductstomarketsoonerrather thanlater.Whereasuniversityresearchersareo丘enassumedtobeinterestedinmorebasic questionsofthestruCtureandbehaviorof-materialS.Thedataconfirmsthatthisishow Participationisdivided. Figure29showsparticipationinthevariouscoresbyuniversityandindustrial Organizationandshowsthatthereisindeedsomesegregationofinterestsbetweenindustrial -123- INDUSTRYANDUNIVERSITYPARTICIAlyrIONINTHEMULTI-COREPROJECr ーーNA - SpaCeEl1VironJllCl-l NeWSupercol-Cluc10rS Pl汀incation uleOry CllerllicnlCo111匹S吊orl IlligIIFie】dPropCrlies Li山ograpIly CrystalStructurcs SingleCり′Stal PllySICal&CllmIical Tllill Fillll Ra(iiation Processlng DatabnSc 0        2        4       (i       8       10      12 NmllberOrOr針目liZaliol15 国hlm_C。re □universili。S I Fim-S Fi望reNu Uniくe邑宙andInduslをPaユin嘗iOninMu-ti・COIePrOgロmCOICS anduniversityparticipants.Again,theheaviestindustrialparticipationisinDr.Maeda’s BasicConductorcore,WhichispedlaPSthemostcleadydirectedtowardgenerically applicdbleprocessingissues・HeretheindustrialcooperatOrSarepurSuingteclmiquessuch asCVD,SPuttering,lasermelting,Silversheathing,SOlgel,andmultinlimentconstruction. CVI)andsputteringprqjectsarebeingpursuedbyseveralparticipants,Whichmaybea reflectioIlOfthegeneralnotioninJapanthatthesetwotechniquesarethemostsuitedfbr scale-upandmanufhcturing.99 I)r.Maeda’scoreisfbllowedinpopularitybyDr.Ogawa’sThinFilmCorewhich isalsodirectedtowardprocessfbcussedresearch.Researchaddressedincludes nlm layeringtechniquesfbrbismuthcompounds,bismuthnlmprocessinginaleadvapor environment,andnlmgrowthtechniques. InboththeBasicConductorandThinFilmcores,theindustrialpresencenoticeably OutWeighstheuniversitypresence. Themorepopularcoresamonguniversityproftssorsarethephysicalandchemical, Slnglecrystal,CryStalstructure,anddatabasecores.Researchinthenrstthreeofthese coresisdirectedtowardmorebasicstudiesofmaterialstructureandbehavior.Inthe Physicalandchemicalanalysiscore,Subthemesincludesurfhce,microareaandtrace analysisofthematerialS,withtheresearchbeingconductedusingarangeofmaterials analysistooIsincludingXPS/ESCA,XRD,SIMSnMA,AugerspeCtrOSCOPy,SEMand EDX.Thesinglecrystalcoreaddressesthemessuchasnuxfbrmationandpinning,grain boundaryfbrmation,andcrystalgrowthanalysis,al1areaswhicharealsoimportantfbr developingandconnrmingtheoriesof-materialbehavior.Final1y,thecrystalstructurecore aimsattheanalysisoftheatomicandelectronicstructureofHTSmaterialsthroughX-ray andneutronscattering,ESCA,highprecisionelectronspectroscopy,andby1991,through anelectronmicroscopethatwi11havearesolutionontheorderoflangstrom,themost PreCiseintheworld. Theknowledgegainedis,however,mOreremOVed丘omapplicationthanthe researchtargetedtowardprocesSingquestions,andtheinfbrmationismoredimcultto appropriate.Thistypeofresearchisalsocommonlysharedinthescientincliterature, Whichfhrthercomplicatesappropriation.Ineachofthesethreecoreareas,thereisno Privatesectorparticipation. Althoughnotresearch,thedatabaseactivitiesofMulti-Corearebyfhrthemost highlysubscribedbyuniversityparticipants.Assuchadatabasewouldserveasa 99JapanTechn010gyEvaluationCenter,逓亘⊆_巳地珪_旦裏地出ユ班迫旦【召迦堕 塾迫堅匹嘘旦!亜銀地,Washington:NTIS,November1989,P.121. -125一 commonresourcefbrtheresearchcommunityfbrtrackingtheprogressbeingmadebya verylargememberofinstitutionswithinJapanandabroad,maCtivityveryconsistentwith thetraditionalroleofuniversitiesinJapan,andasprofissorsactivelycompeteinthis publicationarena,Participationishigh・Participationfbrtheproftssorsthusfu1nllsarole thattheyarehmiliarandcomfb血blewith,andprovidesthemwithameansofkeeping theirownresearchatthe丘ontieroftheneld.Inthiscase,however,thesuccessofthe activityisnotatallappropriableandweseethattherearenoindustrialparticipants・ Inexecution,then,therearenoticeのlediffbrencesinparticipationbetweenthemore fundamentalresearchcoresandthosethatareprocess-0riented.ThisshowsthatifinterestedorganiZationsare 丘eetobeteclmicallysegregated,SuChsegregationwilloccur:a COnnrmationoftherationalactorassumption. ModesofOperation Thediffbringincentivestoparticipatealsoaffbctstheparticipationoptionsoffbred bybothISTECandtheMulti-CoreProgram.Asmentionedeadier,inISTEC,theprogram offbrs”Regular,’membershipsinadditiontothe’’Full”memberships・TheRegular Membershipallowsthosewithaninterestincloselymonitoringdevelopmentsinthefieldto dosowithlittlennancialcommitment.Alevelmoreelaborateisthesystemoffbredbythe Multi-CorePrograminwhichtheprogramtriestomeetavarietyoflevelsofresearch COmmitments. OutsideorganizationscomewitharaJlgeOfcapabilitiesandlevelsofcommitmentto HTSwhichtosomeexlentmustbeaccommodatedinthecore.Universityprofissorsare limitedintimeandmoneybutcanbringagooddealofexpertisetotheprqiect.Firmswith theabilitytodispatcharesearchtobecomeexpertintheareaofresearchtargetedbyacore maynndfu11immersionintheresearchenvironmentofthecoremostattractive,Whereas firmsthatarejustexploringthepossibilityofenteringtheneldandnrmswithdiscreet experimentalneedsmaybemoreinterestedinusingthecorefhcilitiesfbrtestingthanfbr training,Seekingtoavoidthecostofcommittingaresearcher. Inoperation,therearethreeprincipalmodesofcooperationfbrthecore:user fhcilities,COmmOnreSearChandtrainingfhcility,andparal1eltaskfhcility.Inal1cases,the userorcooperatingorganizationsareresponsiblefbrbearingtheirownexpenSeOf participation. Fortheuniversityproftssorsthatparticipate,thecorehavetendedtoserveasuser fhcilities.TheresearchequipmentinmostuniversitiesinJapanisotteninadequatetoallow -126- theresearchersto conduct丘ontierresearch.Theaccessibilityoffhcilitiesatthe govemmentl血ratoriescantherefbrebeveryattractive・Inaddition,PrOftssorsdonot havethenexibilityoftimetocommitthemselvesfu11timetotheresearch,aSWOuldbe requiredfbrexampleatISTEC,buttheycanusethebcilitiesemcientlythroughamore Part-time,aS-neededschedule. Asecondmodeisasacommonresearchfhcility.Formally,eaChofthecooperating Organizationsentersintoabilateralcontractwiththecorelaboratory,denningthescopeof theresearchaswellasguidelinesfbrthedivisionofintellectualpropertyrights.Thusin fbrm,thetasksofthecooperatingentitiesareinsulated丘omeachother. However,interviewswithresearchershaveindicatedthatthesepaIationismuch moreoneof-fbrmthanofsubstance.AttheNationalResearchInstitutefbrMetalS,fbr example,thenveresearcherscurrentlyonassignment丘omcompaniesaretreatedlargely thesameaStheotherresearchstaffandminglejustaSthenormalstaffdoes.Dr.Maeda, headofthisactivity,nOtedthattheresearchisstillsofhrfiomapplicationthatcommercial COnCemSarelow.Sincetheyaren’treallysure血utwhattheyshouldbehiding,in PraCticetheyhaveacceptedthemorepositivestrategyofprogressingthroughmutual leamingandtheexchangeofideas.Unlessdevelopmentsareunambiguouslytracedtothe SOleworkofadispatchedresearcher,thepatentswilllikelybegiventothenational lのomtory. Thirdly,insomecases,theresearchatthelaboratoryiscoordinatedwithresearchat acooperatingorganiZationwithoutthetransftrof’personnel:theresearchtaskis Partitioned.Atask,fbrexample,isproposedinwhichcompaniessharematerialsanddata Withthecorelal).Theresearchersatthecorelaboratoryworkonthedennitionofthe researchwiththecooperatingresearchers,butthewofkisconductedintheseparate laboratories.hthiswayskillsanddataweremadeavailablewithouttheneedtomove personnel. Becauseofthevariousmodesofcollaborationwitheachofthe”cores,”guidelines Onintellectualpropertyassignmentshavebeenle丘nexible aSmentionedearlier.Asa generalprincipal,Whenadispatchedresearchermakesadiscoverywhilewotkingatoneor thecenters,thepropertyrightsarenominallytobedividedevenlybetweenthedispatching OrganiZationandtheSTA.However,inmanycases,STAomcialsstressed,national laboratorypersonnelwillbeleadingtheresearchorwi11conductthebulkoftheresearch,in WhichcaSemOStOralloftheownershiprightwillbevestedillthegovemment. -127- TheImpactonInnovation ResearchintomaterialsthatshowsuperCOnductivityathighertemperaturesisstillin anascentphase.Thereisnocertaintyaboutwhatotherma土erialswillsuperconduct,What bringsaboutthesuperCOnductivity,WhattemperatureSOrCurrentlimitscanbeachieved,Or whatpr∝eSSinglimitationswillproveunmanageable・NewHTSmaterialscontinueto appear,SuChastheCatbon-60compoundswhichwereshowninearly1991to SuperCOnduct,andprocessingimprovementssucha5SumitomoElectriC’sannouncementor altelsahighneldbismuthoxidemagnetinMarchofl99lortheirannouncementofa bismuthmagnetthatcouldgeneratea2250gaussneldina23telsaenvironmentinMayof 1991,100continuetochallengedoubtersofthematerial’spracticality.AsbothISTECand Multi-Corehaveonlyrecentlybeguntheirresearch,attemPtStOmeaSuretheirscientinc PrOductivityandimpactarecertainlypremature.However,OneCanlookatstructural fbaturesoftheprogramsandexaninequestionssuchaswhethertheprogramsare COmPrehensiveandcomplementaryintheircoverage,howtheyattempttoadvancethecore SCience,andhowtheparticipationpattemsrenectcontributionstodiversincation, dimlSion,developingcomplementaryassets,andtraining. Comprehensiveness ofTechnicalCoverage GiventhatbothISTECandtheMulti-CorePrqjectnominallyaddressthesame COnCem,thefundamentaladvanceofoxidesuperCOnductors,thequestionariseshboutthe extenttowhichtheprogramscomplementeachother.Dotheorganizationsappeartobe moreorlesscomprehensiveinitstechnicalcoverage?Istheirworkcomplementaryor redundant?Aretherenoticのblediffbrencesinparticipationorparticipationpattems? InTable13IhaveattemptedtosummarizeareasofsimilarityanddifTbrencein technicalactivitybetweeIIISTECandSTA.Bothareactiveintheirpursuitofinsights aboutthebasicpropertiesofthematerials,eXPlorationofchemicalprocesslngteChniques, thinnlmprocesslng,andthesearchofnewmaterials.Howeverfbrthelatertwo,thelevel OfactivityatISTECisnotablyhigherthaninthecoreprogrzms. ThereverseistrueofthedatabaseactivitieswhichbothorganiZationsare undertaking.Asmorepurelyacommongoodratherthananappropriableadvantage, 1∞-KyoJibaHasseiniSeiko,BisumasukeiChodendozaド虫塗址塾畦担,March6,1991;and ’’BisumasukeiChodendowoYoite23tesurashitade2250GausuHassei.’NewsRelease, SumitomoElectric,May13,1991. -128- Tal)1e13  AreasofSimi1arityandDifrbrenceintheISTECandMulti-CorePrograms ISTEC MULTI-CORE AreasofSimilarity ThcoⅣ          Theoけ EvaluationofProperties PhysicalandChemicalProperties AnalysisofCrystalStructures ChemicalCompositions PhysicalAnalysIS NewMaterials ChemicalProcessing ThinFilm NewSuperconductors PurincationofComponents SingleCrystalAnalyses ChemicalProcessing ThinFilm Lithography AreasofDiffbrence OrgmicMaterials Space HighFieldResearch High-CurrentMaterials Radiation industrialparticipantsseemminimallyinterestedincommittingstafrtothisactivity・ HowevertheprofbssorsintheMulti-CorePrqjecthavegatheredinthiscoretoafhrgreater degreethananyoftheothercores.InISTEC,bycontrast,therewerestillnostaff membersassignedtothisdivision,Otherthanthehead,byeady1990. Thetablealsopointstoareaswhichtheprogramsarepursuingseparately.Two ISTECdivisionsthathavereceivedlittleatterltioninSTAaddresshighcurrentmaterials andorganicmaterials,Becauseoftherelevancefbrelectricitytransmission,andthe COnSPicuouspresenceofJapan’selectricutilitiesinISTEC,thecenterhasadivision lookingintoprocessingteclmiquestodevelopmaterialscapableofcarryinghighcurrents fbrpowerapplications.STAisabsentsuchacoreasthepnmaryconstituencyfbrsuchan applicationdoesnotcomeundertheadministrativeeyeofSTAandisdbsentfiomthe PrOgram.Attheotherendoftheapplied-basicspeCtrum,ISTECisexploringthe POSSibilitiesofanevenmoreexoticandpoorlyunderstoodsuperCOnductirlgmaterial- OrganicsuperCOnductors.ThisisaneldthatparticularlyintriguesDr.Tanakaasthe molecularstructureofthematerialsarefhrmorecomplexthanOXidesandmetallics,andas -129- thepossibilitiesmaybewithoutlimit・TheSTAprogramisabsentofanorganicmaterial activityastherewasnotasimilarinnuentialvoiceintheMulti-Coreprqjectpressingfbr thisresearchtheme. IntheSTAprogram,theuniquecoreappearCloselyrelatedtouniquefunctionsof theagencyaswellasuniquecapのilitiesthatthelaboratoriesaretryingtodevelop.As describedinanearliersection,Onenear-tempOSSibilityfbrtheuSeOfITrSisits applicationinspace.Sincespacetemperaturesareontheorderof30-40K,manyOfthe CurrentHTSmaterialsbecomecandidates.NASDA,theNationalAeronauticandSpace DevelopmentAgency,aquaSi-gOVemmentalorganizationsupervisedbytheSTA,is ChargedwithJapan’sdevelopmentofspaceactivities,afunctionwhichdoesnotbelongto MITI.STAcanthusexerciseitsjurisdictionalauth0rityoverthisareaofdevelopmentand Claimitasmorenaturallybelongingtotheirprograms. Similady,JAERI,theJapanAtomicEnergyResearchInstitute,aquaSi一 goverTmentalorganizationsuperVisedbytheSTA,isalsochargedwithfunctionsunique fbmMITIthataSSistincarvingaresearchniche.JAERIisresponsiblefbrtheresearch anddevelopmentofnuclearnssionandfusionteclm010giesandexperimentationwith radioactivematerialS.AlthoughMITIisactivelyinvoIvedwiththecommercializationof nssion,itdoesnotplayasignincantroleinR&D.Furthermore,STAhasprincipal auth0rityinfhsionand,aSdescribedeadier,fusionexpe血lentSrequireextremelyhigh magneticneldswhichrequlreSuperCOnductingmagnets.Asaresult,STA’sresearch examiningtheefftctofradioactivematerialsonSCperfbrmanceisalsouniquefromthe workinISTEC. Final1ythereistheHighMagneticFieldcorewhichisprimarilyafhcilities developmentprqjecttogiveSTAthemostPowerfu11aboratorymagnetintheworldwhenit iscompletedin1992.Here,unlikeMITIwhichischargedwithsupportingtheactivitiesoftheindustry, STAcanleverageitsmissionofsupportingadvancedsciencetojustifythe investmentintoaverylargeresearchfhcility.UnlikeMITI,STAhasmuchmoreofa legitimatechargetosupportbigscienceprqjects. Sohowdoesparticipationcomparebetweentheareasofprogramovedapandthe areasofuniqueactivity?ulegreateStparticipationinbothprogramsareintheareasin Whichtheirteclmicalthemesofthetwoprogramsoverlap. TheISTECeffbrtsintheory,Chemicalprocessingandthinnlmprocesslngare ratherevenlyandwellstaffbd,buttheactivityinhighcurrentmaterialsattheNagoya branchhasrough1yhalfthisstafrlevelandtheorganicmaterialsprqiecthaslessthana quarter・IntheMulti-Coreprogram,thespaceactivityhasyettoattractacooperating OrganiZation.TheHighFieldcorehastwoindustrialparticipant5,butthesefimlSare -130- invoIvedinthedesignaLndconstructionofthemagnetratherthaninexperimentation.Of Multi-Core’sactivitiesthatareunique丘omISTEC,0nlytheRadiationcorehasattracted actualresearchcooperators・However,eVeninthismse,COOperationisagainwith Organizationsthathavealreadybeendealingtheinstitutefbritsnssionandfusionactivities. Whythelowparticipation? Spaceisapossiblenear-termaPPlicationbutthemarketislimited.Highcurrent applicationswouldoffbralargemarket,butcommercialiZationisgenerallyconsideredmore distantthanthinnlmandmagnetapplications.Applicationoforganicmaterialsiseven furtheraway.Highneldexperimentsmaybecomepopularwhenthefhcilitiesareavailable, butfbrmostofthedurationofthepr亘iect,thisisaconstruCtionactivity.Theteclmical breadthprovidedthroughtheuniqueaspeCtSboththeMulti-CoreandISTECprqjectsis thusmuchlesscentraltothetechnicalinterestsofthecooperatOrSthantheareasthatthey aresupportingincommon:prOCeSSingandcharacterization.Comprehensivenessisnotas importantfbrcoopefatiollaStargetingcoreissues. Thuswheretheprogramsmightbesaidtobeaddressinggapsoutsideofthecore interestsoftheneld,WeSeemuChlessinterestincoopeIation・Thisisarelevantwaming fbrotherswhodesigncooperativeprogramstoadvanceaneldofscience・Cooperators willbemuchmoreinterestedincorecapabilitiesthanperipheralgaps,SOifgap-nllingora COmPrehensiveprogramisdesired,directcontIaCtreSearChwillbemoreeffbctive. Cooperatorsaimtowardtheirtechnicalinterests,andthoseinterestsareseentobeinthe coreissuesoftheneld. AdvancingtheCoreScience-CooDerationasaPoliticalStrategv Althoughtheseprogramsaredesignedtoleveragecooperationfbrthepromotionof thisneld,Iwouldarguethatoneofthemostimportzultbenentsarethescienceisseparate 丘omthelevelsof’cooperation.ForboththeISTECandMulti-CoreProgramsavaluable benentofthecooperativeschemeisthepoliticalleverageitprovidesintryingtogetanew PrOgramfunded.ForMITI,thecooperativeschemewithbroadindustrialcommitment ShowstheMinistryofFinanceandmembersoftheDietthatthisactivityhassignincant industrialinterest,butwhich,becauseOfitslong-teml,unCertainnaturewarTantS govemmentsupport・IndustrialcooperationlegitimizesMITI’sentryintothisneldof ratherbasicresearch. FortheMulti-CoreProgrzm,COOPerationsimilarpoliticalbenentswhichleadto evengreaterretumstotheprogram.AswithgovemmentlaboratoriesintheUnitedStates, thereisanincreasingdesireamongpolicymakersinJapanaswelltoseetheemcient ー131- transftroftheresearchgeneratedbypublicbodiestotheindustryanduniversities.Itis bothpolitical1ypopularandnecessarytoshowhowthegovernment’sinvestmentin researchwillmakeitswayintotheeconomy.Thecooperativesystemprovidesthis rationalC.Withoutprivatesectorparticipation,thechancesofgettingtheprogramfunded wouldhavebeenmuchlesscertain. Leveragingthesymbolofcooperation,bothprogrmswereestablished・Butthe maincontributiontothesciencewasnotincooperation.Forbothprogramsitisinthe equipmentinvestmentthathasbeenenabledandtheal)ilitytocommitpersonneltothistask OVeralong-term. IfenhancingcollectiveresearchorindustrialTnrticipationwasthegoalinMulti- Core,thenonemightconcludethatthegoalwasonlybeingachievedataslgnincantcost・ Ifthecostofeachcoreisdividedbythenumberofcooperatingorgani皿tions,itisclear thatachievingcooperationisexpensive.In1989,fbrexample,SeVenOfthecorehavean averagecostpercooperatorofbetweenl0-100millionyen,Withtwootherswellabove lOOmillionyenperCOOperatOr.Thus,ifthegovemmentinvestmentinMulti-Coreis judgedasthecostofenticingparticipation,thenitmightseemlikeabaddeal.Howeverif itisjudgedasaninvestmentinnewresearchfhcilitiestoaddressanexcitingnewneldata timeofverytightbudgets,andanopportunitytoconcentratein-houselaboratory PerSOnnel,itmightbejudgedacleverlyexecutedplay. Recallthatstaffhgfbrthenational1aboratoriesispaidfbroutofthegeneral laboratorypersonnelbudget,ThuswhenfundsarereceivedfbrbigprqjectssuchasMulti- Core,almostallofthefundscangotoequipmentandmaterialS. Thethreelargestinvestmentsthatwi11bemadebytheprqjectarethedevelopment Ofa40ThybridsuperCOnductingmagnetanda20Tlarge-aPertureSuPerCOnducting magnetattheNationalResearchInstitutefbrMetalS,andandanultra-highprecision electronmicroscopeattheNationalResearchInstitutefbrInorganicMetals・ Thelargestmagnetinthewoddthatiscurrentlyavailablefbrmaterialsresearch PurPOSeSisa30TmagnetatMIT,Withtheuniversitycurrentlybuildinga35Tsystem Whichisscheduledtobecompletedthisyear,1990.Thus,theplanned40Tmagnetat NRJM,Whencompletedin1992,Willtakeitsplaceasthelargestintheworld・Withthe 40Tmagnetresearchershopetomakemoreprecisemeasurementsofcriticalcurrent densitiesinsuperconductingmaterials,tOeXplorethebasicphenomenathatwouldprovide fbrahighercriticalcurrentdensity,andtoinvestigatemethodsoffhbricatingwiresfiom newsuperconductingmaterials. -132- Tal)1e14. MagnetstobeHousedintheHighFieldMagnetCenterlOl Magnet Cost(Millionyen) -1-----一..-.4..-・-.---...H.4..H-1--1-.t.-.....一.一一一一.1..一-.H...一......-...-JT..一..   ---...-1---H一一.----..-一..--1-----・---.--Jq.4h-1, 80Tlong-pulsemagnet 40Thybridmagnet 20Tlarge-aPertureSCmagnet Super-minutemagneticneldmeasuringsystem Centerbuildin 420 3,200 770 450 4,800 The20Tmagnetisbeingdesignedwitharelativelylarge150mmdiametertesting SPaCeWhichcanbeusedfbrlargerbulkmaterialsspecimens.Testswouldincludehigh PreSSureStreSSteStSandelectromagneticstdbilitytestsunderaltematingcurrents.These twomagnetswillbehousedinthesamefhcility,theHighFieldMagnetCenter,aSWilla recentlyconstructed80Tlong-pulsemagnetanda16Tsystemdesignedfbrhighaccuracy andhighstAbilitytoconductsuper-minuteneldmeasurements.Thesemagnetsandtheir costsaresummarizedonTable14. TheotherlargepieceofexperimentalequipmerlttObedevelopedfbrresearchinthe PrOgramisaveryhighresolutionelectronmicroscopeWhichistobeusedfbrtheanalysis Oftheelectronicandatomicstructuresofcrystals.Atanestimatedcostof900millionyen, thedeviceisdesignedtoprovidefbrresolutiondowntolAngstrom,thehighestresolution availableintheworld. Thereare,inaddition,anarrayOfexperimentaldevicesbeingboughtorupgraded throughthisprogram.AppendixBlistssummarizesthemoresignincantpiecesof equipmentadvertisedbyeachofthecores.CollectedintheCoresisanimpressivearrayof advancedevicesfbrprobingandpokingatthenewmaterialS.Someofthedevicesare discreet,aSintheLithographycore,SOmetailoredtospeCificends,SuChasattheRadiation EfTbctscore,andsomecorehaveacollectionofbroadlyapplicableequipmentasseeninthe PhysicalandChemicalcore.102 101NSFReportMemorandum#162,′・STAtoBuildaHighFiefdMagnetcenterforthe,Multicore Project,”’August10,1988. 102  However,eVenthoughmuchofthebudget†ortheMulti-CoreProjectis†orequlPment investment,itisaJsotruethatthemajOrPJeCeSOfequIPment,WhicheventheJargestcompanies donotpossess,W川notbeavailableuntil1991or1992. 胃133- TheotherbenenttothescienceistheabilitytoconcentrateperSOnnel・Although thereareonlyoneortwoindustrialcooperatorsinmanyofthecores,theaveragenumber ofresearchersassignedbythehostinglaboratorytoacoreactivityis10to15.The prlnCipalbenenciariesoftheMulti-Coreschemearethereforethecorehboratories,and possiblythescience,aSitprovidesfbradvancedresearchwithstate-Of・the-artand intemationallyleadingequipmentbyprovidingthepoliticalkeyfbrpurchasingadvanced fhcilitiesfbrthelaboratories. Core Enhancement vs.Diversifieation Becauseofthevarietyofspecialitiesandresourcesoffbredthroughthecore laboratoriesofthesetwoprograms,Onemightguessthattheprogramwouldhavean industrialimI氾Ctbyenhancingtheskillsofthecoreindustries;Orthattheprogramwilladd totheskillsofnrmsnewtosuperconductivityandencouragediversincation.Isthere evidenceofeithercoreenhancementordiversincation?InthediscussionbelowIwill examinetheextentanddepthofdiversincationbylookingatindicatorsthatincludethe industrialsectorsparticipating,thelengthofexperienceofparticipatingnmlSin SuPerCOnductivityresearch,andthesizeoftheinhouseresearchstaff-investigating SuperCOnductivity. Firstwecanlookattherelativeinnovativeactivityofthenrmsparticipatingin ISTEC.Bycomparingthesenrmswiththelargersetofnrmsgeneral1yactiveinHTS,We CanSeethatparticipantsaccountforasignincanthctionofoverallactivity.Figure29 Showsthenumberofpatentapplicationsinsuperconductivityoffbredbyfhll-SuPPOrt memberscomparedwithindustrytotalsfbral1nrmssubmittingtwoormoreapplications betweenearly-1987andmid-1988. ThenrmsthathavethelongesthistoryofinvoIvementinsuperconductivityresearch arerepresentedinthecableandwire,andtheelectricmachinerysectors.Allofthem亘ior Cd)1eandwirenrmSeXCePtfbrShowaDenkoareparticipatingasfu11members,andallof theelectricmachinerymanufhcturersthathavesubstzmtialhistoriesinsuperconductivity R&DarealsopresentwiththeexceptionofFujiElectriC. Figure30alsoshowssomeeffbctofindustrialdiversincation,aSnrmSWhichhad notconductedsuperconductivityresearchpriortoHTShaveusedISTECasavehicletoget Started.Theseincludenmsthatarelargelyeitherpotentialmaterialssuppliersorlikely materialsuserssuchasthoseintheceramics,ironandsteel,mining,Shipbuilding, electriCalmachinery,electronics,auldcommunicationsindustries.Mostofthepatent ー134胃 1ヽ∧T王NT八mluC^TlONSSUljMHYrED11TrlヽVril三Nj^N87^NDDl三C n8 ーー∽∽ - ELECrlUCUTILITY PRECISION MACHN MOTORVl三日lCLE Slll】)r)UILDING ELEClRlCMACHN CONSUMER ELECT COMMUNIC∧TlON I佗∧VYELECT】引C INDUSTRlALM^CN MACHlNET00LS MET^LPRODUCTS C∧DLESalldWIRE NONFERROUS IRON=lCISTEEL CEMENT GLASSan(lCliR∧MICS PETROLEUMaHdRU11 mHARM∧CELJTIC∧u CHEM】C∧L5 TEXuLES CONSTRUCTlON htINING 0       200      400      (IOO      800     1000     1200 NUMm三110ド1ヽ∧TENTS ロ∧Ll。PATEⅣB l】Sll三CnJLL Fi望reuO PatentApp】in巴iOnSbylSTHCFu苧SuppOユMemg譲COmparedwith IndustqTO邑S applicationsbynrmsinthekeymaterialssupplyandsystemsdevelopmentindustriesare seentobefbmmembersofISTEC・Theexceptionisthechemicalindustry,inwhichonly asmallpercentageisrepresentedinthecenter. IntheMulti-CoreProgram,therearealsoabroadrangeofsectorsrepresentedby theparticipatingfirms.However,inthisprogramconclusions血uttheinnuenceon industrialdiversitymustbesomewhatguardedaseachindustryistypicallyrepresentedby onlyonenrm.Althoughhalfofthefirmsdoappeartobediversifying,thecollectivescale israthersmal1.ThusintheMulti-Corecase,itismoreappropriatetosaythatnrms丘oma varietyofindustrialsectorsshowinterestindiversinCation,butthatthegeneraleffbctorl industriaHeveldiversincationislimited. Anotherindicatorofanml’sattempttodiversifyisatthenewnessof-thenrm’sto thisfield.Forthosenrmswithlong,eStablishedsuperconductivityprograms,Participation mightbeconsideredmoreofaneXtenSionofitsexistingcapd)ilities.Fornrmswhichhave OnlyenteredsincethediscoveryofHTS,Ontheotherhandtheprogramisacleareraidfbr diversincation. Theaveragenumberofyearsinsuperconductivityamongnrmsindiffbrentsectors WaSShownearlierinFigure3.14,alsoconnrmingtherecentmigrationintothenelda負er HTS.ThengureshowsthatonlyfirmsintheCableandWireandHeavyElectric Industrieshavesignincantexperience.IntheMulti-CoreProgram,thecooperatingnrms aredividedbetweenthosethathavealonghistoryinthisneld,greaterthanlOyears,those Withamoderatehistory,between3-10years,andthosethathaveonlyenteredtheneld SincethediscoveryofHTS.Figure31showsthataboutonehalfofthenrmsarewell SeaSOned,withalonginvestmentinthisneld,andaboutonehalfhaveonlystartedsince thehightemperaturediscoveries.Figure32showsthatthedistributionofthesenrmsis aisoratherevenacrossthevariouscores,furthersupportingtheviewthatbothnrms Seekingdiversincationandthoseseekingtoenhancetheirpresenceinsuperconductivityare evenlyrepresentedintheprQject. Thirdly,OneCanalsoaskhowimportantparticipationineachoftheseprogramsis toeachofthesenms.Althoughthenumberofresearcherspernrmsmaybelow,itisthe relativeimpactforthenrmthatisimportant.Togaugetherelativetrueimpactof participation,itisusefu1toexaminethesizeoftheinhousestaffworkingon SuPerCOnductivityR&Dastheprqject’sinnuencemaybemoresignincantfbrnrmsthat haveasmal1effbrt. ー136- Figure31 LengthofExperienceinSuperCOnductivity,Mutli-CoreProgram Mcore.FirmHisto汀.Ple FIRMHISTORYINSUPERCONDUCTIVITYR&DAMONGMULTl_COREPARTICIPANTS ー137- HISTORYIN SUPERCONDUCTIVITY R&D AMONG MULTICORE PARTICIPANTS 1-∽∞ - Pr∝eSSillg TllillFill-1   RnCHaliorl l}しけiric:ltio-1  L?10巳raPlly   川gllドicl(l Cl一cmicnl ProIXrtiCS Coml)05iliorl 臼Long ⊂白血症冊一 T SH。rl Fi望reuN Disl誅uliOnOrFiヨSinMu-ti・COrePrO的召ロ Figure33showsanapproximationofthenumberoftotalresearchersworkingon SuperCOnductivityineachofthefu11supportmembernrmsandtheirratiowiththenumber OfresearchersdispatchedtoISTECatanyonetime:thisisfixedatamaximumof2 researchers・103 ThengureshowsthatISTEC,spresenceismuchmoresignincantfbr nrmswhichareattemptingtoentertheneld.Inthechemicals,glassandceramics,and automotivesectors,theISTECresearchersrepresent40%ormoreofthetotalnrmeffbrtin HTS・ForthesectorsmosttIaditionallyactiveinSC,heavyelectricandcableandwire,the ngureisaround5%・ISTECparticipationalsooccupiesalargeperCentageOftheutility researchinthisarea,butrecallthattheutilitiesarereallyactingmorelikeabankthana technicalcontributor. Figure34summarizesthelevelofinhouseactivityof爪rmSParticipatinginthe Multi-CoreProgram.Firmsaredividedbetweenthosethathavefbwerthan5inhouse researchersworkinginsuperconductivity,thosewithbetween5and20,andthosewith greaterthan20・Thengureshowsthatslightlymorethanhalfofthenrmshaveonlya Smallinhousestaff,Withthesesamenrmsgenerallyhaving enteredsuperconductivity Sincethehightemperaturediscovery・0nlyoneoftheparticipatingnrms,amajor COnSumerelectronicSmanufhcturer,hasashorthistoryyetarelativelyhighlevelofin houseactivity.Thusfbrtheparticipatingnrmsthatarenewtothisneld,Multi-Coreisa Signincantelementoftheirinvestmentinthisactivity.Inaddition,abouthalfofthesenew nrmsare旦QtparticipantsintheISTECprogram,reneCtingthelowercostsandmore nexibletermsofparticipationinresearchinMulti-Core. Figure35providesevidencethatexperiencedandhighlyactivenrmswi11participate inthesamecoreasinexperiencednrmswithsmal1staffiworkingonsuperconductivity. Sincetheagreementsbetweenthenrmsandthecorelal)OratOriesarebilateral1y COOperative,nOtmultilaterallyso,irlter爪rmdependenciesarenotsigninCant.Here, COmmOnParticipationisnotasignincantbarriertoentryortonrmleveldiversincation. Thuswithregardtonrmleveldiversincation,WeCanCOnCludethatbothISTECand theMulti-CoreprQjectcontributetoboththeenhancementofveterannrmsintheindustry arldtoothernrmstryingtodiversify.Bothlarge,Wellestab】ishedactorsandsmall,neW playershavefoundparticipationtobeintheirinterests,andbothparticipate. 1030necanclaimthatlSTECwi.lactuaHytrainuptolOresearchersasmanyresearchersw川be rotatedoutbytheirc?mPaniesafter20r3years,but川useapointintimeargument(some researchersinthemalnJaboratoryw肛aftera”,alsoberotatedinandoutofsuperconductivity.so thisnumberisnotfixedeither.) ー139胃 ^VElt^GEPERCl三NT^GEOlTlTIltM】「rS RESl三人ltCIIEltS TNIS11三C ・l・-)合・・- ?EAVYH-EC’RIC C∧111-1hll(nVIRE CONSUMEREl_ECTRONICS Sl仕PIIUlLDINC COMMUNIC^TlON IRONrIl1ClrllEEIMISCELl 一,ELI三CrRIC.M^C日. CIはMJCALS UTH_rrIES Gl一人SSalldCElと人MICS 人UTOMOmLE :一一一一一一一一:一一一一一::一一工一一一:ー工一一一一:一一一一一一; ;:工::ー:::工::::::::::::::::::::::工:::一、:一一一工:一一一::::::::::::工:ー:一一一一j 二二一二∵二二:二二二二二二二二、‥‥・1’、二二二一] 二二二二二二二一…‥日日…?…?‥…-…?…一、日一一.…‥…-‥‥-‥‥………、‥??‥! 0      5      10     15      20      25      30     ]5      40 Pl三RCENT^GEOF1tl三Sl三人RC?l三RS コ的Creいい・ ㌍ti00rISTMCカbSearChe竺OFHO玩eカbSearChe拐許Pa註cipaliロ的 FiコロS Figure34・ LevelofIn-HouseActivityinHTSofFirmsParticipatingintheMulti-Core Program ≡)、-車 ≡コ竜三口 重〓日 S↑Zく(〓Uこしーく(〓之<ベlU○ぎーグn【OU⊥↑、〓}フ二UZOΣく〔〓コート↑【>〓LU⊃OZOU”-い≡⊃S Z:ン己○↑S〓-1 -141- 〓〇三召(ニ〓OU 二“Uで;l一U 薫菩告-(【 ≡ヱLl一ぎ一 OVERALL LEVEL OF FIRM ACTIVITYIN SUPERCONDUCTIVITY R&D AMONG MULrI-CORE PROGRAM PARTICIPANTS ---N - 00 日 b e r F・1 r n S ProcessH1g lllillFil?l Rn(liハLio-1   PLlrincZl五ml LilllOgr叩hy   川Llhドic】(J Chc=lic=tl l)rol㌍lliCS Co呵)05itioll 広川Cll □MⅨlitll一、 題L。、V 句i望re霊・ Mi迫ureOr何層e計ncedwilhFe眉C且のnCed句ims5.Mu】ti・COrePrOgロm CompIementarity Withdiversesectoralparticipation,Onemightalsoasktowhatextenttheprograms areassistinginthecreationofimportantcomplementaryorsupportingindustriesfbrHTS. SincetheworkistargetedatscienceratherthanteClm0logy,One丘ndsthatitisdimcultto Predictwheretheimportantscientinccomplementaritiesliethatwi11alsoleadto complementaritiesinthemarket.Additional1y,becauseindustrialparticipationinmanyof thecoresisratherthin,with0nlyoneortwoparticipants,Verticalordiagonallinkswith Othernrmsarenotlikelytobesignincant. Itispossible,however,tOgetarOughsenseOfpotentialverticalcomplementarities byselectingtheISTECdivisionsandMulti-Corecoresthathavetwoormoreparticipants anddividiflgtheiramliationsbetweenthosethatarepnmarilymaterialsstlpPliersandthose thatareprimarilysystemsordevicedevelopers.Figure36showstheproportionof SuPPliersversususersintheISTECprogram.Thengureshowsthatthesuppliersand usersarewellmixedineachofthedivisions.Thegreaternurnberofusersparticipatingin theprqjectleadstoadi拝もrenceinnumberofparticipants,butthisgapisnottoodifftrent betweendivisions.Theprincipleexceptionisthetheorydivisionwhichhasmoresuppliers thanusers. Figure37showsthatinthreeoftheMulti-Corecores,thesplitinparticipationis alsoroughlyequalbetweenthesetwogroups:intheprocesslng,thinnlm,andthe radiationcore,SuPPliersanddevelopersshowequalattendance.104 Thepossibilitiesofverticalrelationshipsdevelopingthroughtheseprogramsare thuspresentineachofthesesectionswithtwoormoreindustrialparticipants.Itisworth noting,however,thatthetypesofresearchundertakenbytheseparticipantsarequite Similaranddonotshowacleardistinctionbetweensuppliersanddevelopers.Thestageor developmentofthisneld,again,appearStOOPrematurefbrclearlinkagestoariseinthe divisionofresearch.Anyrelationshipsthatmaydevelopthroughtheinterminglingofthese nrmsareprobablynotadirectresultoftheirworkintheprogram,butwi110nlymore indirectlyarisethroughassociation. 104RecaHthatthehighfie-dcoreprlmarilyLnVO-vesconstructionoftheIargemagnetsforfuture experiments. -143- SYSTIIM^NDSUPPLll三111)∧ltTICll)∧NTS】NTIIEISTECPltOGlt^M --AA - 川gllCurrel115 IJllySlCHll-1・OCCSS Cllemic工l日吉ocess Ol甘IlバchlJltCliHIs NいVM山かinh 臼sl棚liCr 閻sysl川-S 叫i望鴫e宗  POpO註OnOrS層pliOr<e調gU∽OainlSTMCPrOgロm Figure37  ProportionofSuppliersversusUsersintheMulti-CoreProgram S≡ヱ芸S転 J…≡。Sロ LUHHrOパ≡ご?lOUlこ.」⊃三日±〓、Zl CZl↑く≡UーLパフ、ハl S-之一〓」と?コ≡「宗〔】Zく)上巳↑S>S l′1          寸          「’ヽ           rq Z コ ≡JO U L   0 -・  L.・- し …:∽ 胃145- Difrusion Formanyfirms,Pardcdadythosejustenteringthe丘eld,thedispatchingofasingle researdermightmcanthecommitmentofalargeperCentageOftheorganlZation’sactive HTSresearchteam.ThuS,unlessthematchbetweentheinterestofthenrmandthe researchoftheprogrzmisverycomplimentary,theopportunitycostscanbehigh.Forthe mqjorityoftheresearchorganizationsinterestedinsuperconductivitythisisthecase.For theseandotherfirmsthatdonotnndanidealmatchwiththeresearchstrengthsofISTEC OrSTA,themorepressingneedwassimplytokeepupwithdevelopmentsinthefieldaS thenumberoforganizationsconductingworkwoTld-widewasverylargeandthesenseof thespeedoftheadvancefbverishin1987. ThusbothISTECandtheSTAhavecreatedsupplementalactivitiestotheresearch inordertopromotethedifhsionofinformation.InISTEC,isitistheuseoftheless expensiveRegularMembershipswhichprovideaccesstoinfbrmationproducedbythe Center.InSTAitistheNewSuperCOnductingMaterialsForum. Figure38showsfu11andregularmemberparticipationinISTECbysector.The fu11picturerevealsparticipationbyseveraldifTtrenttypesoforganiZations.Inthe CategOrieslargeIycomposedofregularmembers,therearefirstlythennanCialnrms mentionedearlierwhichappearprimarilyinterestedintheinvestment.Asecondtypeof nrm,isthefirminaperipheralindustrythatcouldseesignincantbenents丘omtheprqjects Orte血010giescreatedbyHTS.Theseincludeaconspicuouslylargenumberof COnStruCtionnrmsandacoupleoftradingcompanies.Andnnallythereareaspatteringol nrmswhicharepotentialuserSOrSuPPOrtequipmentdeveloperSinthecategoriesof aerospace,mOtOrVehicles,PreCisionmadlinery,andengineering. TheForum,With148memberorganiZations,reaChesanevenwideraudience. TheForumdisseminatesitsinfbrmationthroughanumberofmemberactivitieswhich includeanewsletterwitharticlesreviewingresearchatvariouslaboratories,WOrkshopson SPeCincthernessuchascurrentresearchoncriticalcurrentsinbulkmaterials,andassists withtheholdingoflargersymPOSia.SinceitsfbundingtheForumhasheldl6 WOrkshops,withatypicalattendanceof80,2uld13SymPOSia,Whichtypicallyattract200 registrants. Figure39showsthedistributionofForummembersbyindustrialsectors.The ngureshowsthatForummembershipisindustriallydiverse,COVering22industrial SeCtOIS,Withthesinglelargestnumberofnrmscoming丘omthechemicalindustry,a SeCtOrSlimilyrepresentedinISTEC. -146- Figure38  SectoralDistributionofFullandSupportMembefSinISTEC 薫≡∃⊃L F ‡㌫〓上↑?一〇三コのロ ー147- ParticipationintheNcwSupcrconductingMaterialsForum ーーーふ∞1 OTHERTR^NSPORT MEmLPRODUCTS SHIPBUILD】NG CEMl三NT PFrROLEUM礼ndRUB TEXTILES PUI)LICFOUND^TION ELECTRICUTILrrY TR^DTNGCOMP MOTORVEHICLl三 GLへSSandCERAMICS CONSUMERELECT COMMUNIC^TlON RESE人RCLILABS HE^VYELl三CTRIC C人BLESandlVIRE ELECmCMACllN PRECISIONMACHN mONandSTEEL NONFERROUS INDUmlALMACN CHEMIC^LS NumberorOrganizntions 望望re山崎  SectO邑DistユbEiOnOrSupercOnductiま屯句02mMembers WithmuchbroaderparticipationintheForumthanintheMulti-CoreProgram,itis notsurprisingthattheForumisperceivedasthemainactivityandcontributiontothe industryoftheScienceandTechnologyAgency.hinterviewswithindustrial representatives,queStionsd)OutthevalueoftheSTAprqjectswereusuallyrespondedto WithanswersregardingtheForumratherthantheMulti-CoreProgTam.General1y, industrialistsgavetheForumahighratingnotingthatithasbeenanefTbctivewayof SOrtingoutprogressinthisneld,Particularlyinthenrsthecticyear. ThecombinationofISTECandNSMFparticipationisshowninFigure40.The ngureshowsthatwhiletherearesomesectorsinwhichnrmparticipationinbothprograms issignincant,SuChasironandsteel,mOtOrVehicles,COmmunication,andcableandwire, therearealsosectorsinwhichparticipationisveryComplementary,SuChaselectric machinery,Zmdmanyotherinwhichoneprogramwasclearlyprefbrredovertheother・ Firmsinthennanceandinsurancesector,COnStruCtion,engineeringandtheelectricutilities aremorehigh1yrepresentedintheMITIprogramandnrmsinthechemical,industrial machinery,PreCisionmachinery,nOnfbrrousmetal,teXtile,PetrOleumandrubber,and CementindustriesaremoreIikelytobefbundintheSTAForum. Finallywecanasktowhatdegreethesenrmsrepresentindustryasawhole・In Figure41thenumberofpatentapplicationsbymembernrmsiscomparedwiththeactivity Ofal1firmssubmittingtwoormorepatentapplicationsinsuperCOnductivitybetween January1987andJunel988.Itisclear丘omthisngurethatparticipantsrepresentthebulk Of-innovativeactivityinthisneld,Whichthu5meanSthattheinfbrmationactivitiesofthe PrOgramSreaChmostoftheorganizationsinthecountrythathavesignincantprogramsin SuPerCOnductivity. BroadandextensiveparticipationintheinfbrmationactivitiesofboththeISTEC andNSMFprogramsindicatethattheyarewellsetuptoserveasemcientvehiclesinthe diffusionofscientincinfbrmation.Itisinthisbuildingofinfbrmationnetwofksthat ISTECandtheSuperconductivityForumalsoprovideafunctionnotreadilyavailableinthe marketandprovidearlimportantcontributiontoinnovation. Training Animportantbenentbeingprovidedbybothprogramsisoneofresearchertraining・ Firmsareusingbothorganizationsasameansofeducatingitsyoungerresearchersina new,fhstmovingneldinwhichtheyalmostunifbrmlyhavelittleexperience. -149- ORGANIZ∧TION^LPARTICIP^TlONINISTEC∧Nl)lNT1-1EST^1:ORUM ーー∽○ - (Jrl虻RUnLnY CEMENT r)r三TROLEUMtulLlllUD TEX「、lLl三S PUr3uCrOUND^TlON OTlIERl、RANSPORT ENGINEERING MCyrORVE?lCLE GL∧SSandCERAMICS CADLESall(lW】RE FINANCEaJldlNSUR Tll∧DINGCOMP CONSUhtER ELECr COMMUNIC^l10N RESE人RCllLAl]S S?lPDUILDING llE∧VY ELECITミIC ELECTRICM^CllN CONSTRUC1、10N NONFElllミOUS Il10NimdS1℃EL PRECISlON M<CllN ELECTuICUHLrrY INDUSTRI^LM^CN C?EhHC∧LS N日日bC?0l Olll=limti()l11 Es・r∧「0-1日-卜Ollly □IS1、1:C&S・1、∧ TIS′l’!三C・0日ly コ望re合  COmbinedISTMCandNSM句Paa且邑iOn l,^Tl三NT∧PPuC^T10NSHYZSl工C∧NDST^rORUhl)}/\!ギHCH一∧NTS^Nl)NON・PAR=Clr,∧NIS-JLl州HHylり椚l=J日日e11相識 --∽-- ELEC.rRlCUTILrrY PはEClSlON MACIIN MOTORVEHlCLE SIIIPl)UILDING ELECTlllCMACIIN CONSUMERELECr COMMUNlCATl0N JIE^VYELECrRIC JNDUSTltZ^LMACN MACl?NE.1’∞LS METALPRODUCl、S CABLESandW】RE NONFERROUS IRONrlnC】STEEL Cl三MI三NT GL人SSこ川dCER∧MICS IIETIl0LI三Uktim(illU】ユ PIl∧RM∧CEL月、IC∧LS CllEh′†ICALS TEXTlLl三S CONSTRUCHON htINING 100 NL=lbcr or PatclltS 句暫re舎 P巴entApp詳巴iOnSOrIS↓河CandNSM苫a註cipanlsinSupercOnducti蔓y COmparedwithIndChtqTO邑S}JanEPq-器ご01une-冨∽ TheagedistributionofresearchersdispatchedtoISTECisshowninFigure42. Theaverageageofthesedispatchedresearchersisjustover30.Similarly,intheMulti- CoreProgram,laboratoriesreportedthatthecommonageofanrm’sresearcherwasjust under30. Thistrainingfunctionofthelaboratoryismoreclearlyrenectedinthedegree backgroundsoftheparticipants,fbrwhichISTEChasprovideddata・105Figure43shows thehighestdegreetakenbytheresearchersdispatchedtothevariousdivisions・Ph・D・’s accountfbrl20fthe77researchersincludedinthissurvey,Or16%oftheresearchstaftl butmaster,slevelandbachelor,slevelresearchersmakeupthebulkoftheresearchtalent, numbering41(53%)and24(31%)respectively.Prof:Tanakahasnotedthatmanyof thesedispatchedresearchersareexpeCtedtousetheirworkinaneffbrttogainaPh・D・ degree.105 Theexchangeisnotjustoneway,however,aSthehboratoriesintheMulti-Core Programefrbctivelygainstafrfbmparticipation.Withthecoreresearcherstypicallymuch Olderandmoreexperiencedthanthedispatchedresearcher,itiscommonthatthecorewill exercisesomesupervisoryroleoverthedispatchedresearchertoassurethattheresearchis directedtowardproblemsofsignincance.Dr.MaedaofNRJMnotedthatallofthe dispatchedresearcherswhoparticipateintheBasicConductorcorearetreatedlikenormal 1aboratorystafL Theymingle,discusstheirwofk,andsubmitthemselvestovirtuallythe SameSuperVisionaspurelySTAstafL Althoughuniversityproftssorsdonotparticipatein thedaytodaygrindofresearchatthecore,theirexpenenCeandadvicecanbeavaluable COntributiontotheworkofthelaboratoryandagoodexchangefbrtheiraccesstothe fhcilities. ConcIudingPoints ThisreviewoftheISTECandMulti-Coreprqjectsprovidesuswiththefbllowing COnClusionsaboutthemodeofpolicyfbrmation,theshapeoftheorganization,andtherole Oftheprqjectsininnovationintheneld. 1) MITIdidnotmove’’atthespeedoflight.”Infhct,itwastheslowestofthe bureaucraciestoinitiateworkonanHTSR&Dprogram.TheleadinthisneldwaSinthe Privatesectorandtheuniversities. 105ThisdatawaspreparedbyMr・NakagawaoftheSRLandisdatedApri.5,1990・ 1C6,.LookingBackwardandLookingForwardatSRL一道口辿,Vol.2,N0.4,1987,P.17. ー152- Figure42  AgeCohortsofResearchersatISTEC ↑”一〇〓OULU< mT{〔己にCIZコ〔-Zく宗 S已?〓U已く山SU己 LO”l?≡之⊃Z -153- U?↑Sl↑くS”一HニーU已<いtS?一丁lO S↑”lO〓OU HHU< MOST^DV^NCj三DDEGREEHELDI)YJSTl三CJIESEARCHE715 1-∽ふ ー NUh′lIIEROF iu三SE∧RCHERS 日用GHCURTIEⅣr E]p?YSIC^Lr)ROCESS 皿cllEMICALPROCESS ロoRG^NICM^TEIU^LS 口NEWMATIiRIALS 廿T?EORY コ望ree UegreeLeくe-○コST吋CR沈βrChea 2) Therigidityofthenationalbudgetsystemwasaprimarycauseoftheshapeofthe governmentresponse・First,thebudgetingsystemisrigidlydennedandadministeredby theMinistryofFinance,andthesystemdoesnotaccommodatenewdiscoveriesinscience. Second,aSareSult,mOneyCOuldnotbeobtainedfbrresearchuntilthespringof1988, almostayearandahalfhence・ThusSTAreactedbydesignlngaprogramaroundexisting fhcilitiesandMrrIreactedbyrecruitingfunds丘omtheprivatesectorinordertogetwork OnareSearChcenterstarted. 3) BothprogramsmanageparticipationbyrespeCtingtheinterestsofthenrms: COOPerationisnotassumed.TheMulti-CoreProgramdoesnotdesignfbrnorimpose COOperationasitsparticipantsallengageinbilateralagreementswiththehostinglaboratory. Inthisprogram,themostpopularcoreamongnrmsrenectthestrongestcommercial relevanceandthestrongestreputation.ISTECdoesexpectcooperation,butachievesthis andreduceSconnictbydisperSingpotentidcompetitorsthroughoutthecenter. 4) Thecooperativeschemeisalsoapoliticalonetogainsupportfbrfunding.For MITI,industrialcooperationlegitimizesitsroleinbasicresearch,andfbrSTAitshows industdalandscientincinterestindeveloplngabroadbasedprogram. 5) Am毎Orbenefittothescienceisintheequipmentpurchaseandconcentrationof PerSOnnel.ThisisparticularlytruefbrtheMulti-CoreProgramwheresomeofthe PurChaseswi11providethelaboratorieswiththebestfhcilitiesintheworld.Althoughthis PrOgrarnisdesignedfbrfiveyears,theequlPmentandopportunitiesfbrcooperationwill COntinue,makingprogramexpirationalesssignincantissue. 6) Bothprogramsareanaidtonrmdiversincation.Becauseofthecosts,ISTI三C tendstoassistlargernrms,WhereassmallernrmsnndtheconditionsofMulti-Coremore accessible. 7) InfbrmationdiffhsionisanimportantpartofboththeMITIandSTAe汀brts.For STAinparticular,theNewSuperconductingMaterialsForumreachesabroadaudience, hasbeenwellreceivedbytheindustry,andcouldbeinitiatedsoonafiertheHTS COnnrmation.It’srolewasseenasparticularlyvaluablyintheearlydaysfollowingthe COnnrmationwhenmanynewactorswereJOlnlngandmanyrumorsofprogresswere anoat. 8) Participationpattemsindicatethatbothprogramsmayleadtothefbrmationofinternrmcomplementarylinkages, butprogressis ooearlytote11. 9) Finally,trainingisaveryimportantfhnctionofbothprograms,andisthemain benentbeingreceivedbythecompanies. ー155- IftheseprogramscZLnPrOVideU.S.policymakerswithonegeneral1esson,itisthat theJapanesesciencepolicymaのineoperateSWithmanyconstraints,andevenin”basicM research,thetensionbetweencooperationandappropriationmustbecarefu11ymanaged. meC力のJg乃ge〆Co肺柁〟の∫岬併用 Finally,althoughbothISTECandtheMulti-CoreprograJnSaredesignedasmultiyearactivities, theymuststillcompetefbrfundingeverynscalyear,andmusttherefbre mustwofkhardtomaintainpublicandpoliticalsupportshouldthe丘equencyof’ breakthroughssubside・Forexample,WiththepassingoftheinitialexcitementoverHTS, bure批CratSfbmotherprogramsinSTAbeganchippingawayattheplannedMulti-Core budget.Otherissues,SuChastheenvironment,mOVedintoreceivehigherpri0rityand fhndsfbrHTSbegantoleakout.Thebudgetfbr1990tumedouttobe34%1essthan initial1yplanned,andfbr1991,24%lessthanplannedin1991・107 Tocontinuetoreceivestrongfundingsupport,thecollectiveactivitiesneedtoshow progress・HoweverprogressiTltheeyesofthegovemmentandthepublicisquitediffbrent fromprogressinthemindsofthenrms・WhereastheparticipantsinISTECandMulti- Coreareinterestedinspeedingtheadvanceofthetechnologyfbrcommercialapplication, thedreamsofthepdblicfbrmaroundamorevagueimageofasocietynoatingonroom temperaturesuperconductingdevices・Thus,Whereasnrmstendtoemphasizethe penetrationofpracticalbamierstonear-termuSe,SuChascurrentlimitations,thesearenot measureswhichthepublicreadilycomprehends・Thepublicisstimulatedbytemperature・ ProflTanakaappearswellawareofthepoliticalimportanceofincre鑑ingthecritical temperatureofthesematerialS.WhenDr.Yamauchi,theDirectorofDivision2,nOtedat theannualreviewmeetingthathewashopingtoachieveacriticaltemperatureof130K throughtheirresearch,Prof.Tanaka’sresponsewas”Awfu11ylow,isn’tit?・・・Youmust exceed150K.”108 IntheabsenceoftemperaturebreakthroughS,theprogramscangainsomernedia attentionwithnashyannouncementsofnewdevelopments,SuChashavinggoldfish 107TheinitialfiveyearplanfortheMulti-CoreProgramca=edforabudgetof4・116biLlionyenin 1990and3.260bHionyenin1991.TheamountsactualIyaIIocatedwere2・733billionyenin 1990and2.480b?ionyenin1991.(DatafromMurti-CoreProgrampIanningoffice,STA. 108Thisisnottoimp.ythattherearenottechnicalhopesinsuchanadvanceaswelL Prof・Tanaka hascommentedthaド...thereisnodoubtthattheessenceofhightemperature SUPerCOnductivitybecomescIearerastemperaturerises.‥L00kingBackwardandLooking ForwardatSRL:op.cit.,P.11. -156- noatingaboveanewlydevelopedmagnet,OrhavingPro[Tanakafloatingaboveanewly developedmagnet,buttheseonlyactastemporaryreprieves.Tomaintainfunding,they willhavetoshowsomeprogress.Despitethecurrentrhetoricaboutwantingtosupport basicresearchinJapaJl,thereiscompetitionfbrfundsandthesystemtriestonllblack holes. -157- VII.SYSTEMS AND柱EyICE_遡A_CRES Whenwemoveaway丘・OmPrqjectsthatarepnmarilybasedinthescience,tOthose invoIvingthedevelopmentoftechnologies,Wemightaskwhetherthefbrmsofcooperative R&Dprqjectsortheirrolesininnovationchange・Inthissectionwewillexplorethis questionthroughtheexampleofnvegovemmentpromotedR&Dprqjectsthatincorporate theuseOfsuperconductingmaterialS.Threeoftheprqjectsaredirectedtowardthe developmentofspecincsuperconductingdevices:Josephsonjunctions,hightemperature superconductingelectrondevices(HTS-ED),andatechnologyhownasaquantumnux ParametrOn(QFP).Theothertwoprq5ectsaretargetedtowardthedevelopmentof PrOtOtypeSyStemteClm0logleS,Of’whichsuperconductorsplayanintegralpart・The SyStemSteChnologleSarethesuperconductingelectricgeneratorandanadvancedversionor ahighsensitivitysuperconductingsensorsystemknownasamagnetoencephalograph. Whyattempttodistinguishbetweensystemsanddevices?Theseareseparated Primari1yfbrtheanalysisofcollaboration.Thedivisionisbasedonahypothesisthatthe diffbrenttechnicalrequirementswillleadtodiffbrentfbrmsofcollaboration,andpedlaPS diffbrentoutcomes.Deviceswilltendtobetechnologiesthatcanbedevelopedand appropriatedwithinanrmandwhichwilleventuallybeproducedlargelybyasinglefim. Firmswouldliketo,andwill,havetheabilitytoappropriatetheiradvancesinthe technology.Theparticipantswilllikelybecompetitors.Systems,bycontra5t,wi11tendto requiretheskillsofanumberofnrmsfi・Omdif托rentsectors.Thustherearemorelikelyto becomplemerltarylinkagesbetweenthesenrms,withftwercompetitivebarriersto COllaborationthaninthedeviceprograms.Thusaquestionthatwillbeconsideredinthis SeCtionishowpolicyandmanagemerltdirectedtowardsystemsanddevicesdi汀ers,and howbothdiffbrfiomthatofscience. Thesenveprogramspresentuswitharangeoftechnologicalandorganizational Variety.TheyrepresenttechnologiesinwhichJapanwaSClearlytryingtocatchuptothe intemationallead,anddevicesinwhichitmaywellbetheleader.Theyrepresentdiscreet devices,Smallsystems,andlargesystems.Andtheyrepresentprojectsdirectedundernve diffbrentpartsoftheJapanesebureaucracy.Howmighttheseandothervariablesafftctthe PerfbrmanceoftheR&D?Thiswillbeexploredinthediscussionbelow. -158- BriefIntroductionofthe Programs Befbrediscusslngtheroleandmanagementofthegovemmentprograms,Iwill giveabriefintroductiontotheprograms,thetechnologies,andreasonsfbrpursuing development. Jo∫甲力∫間J〟れClのJl ThenrstofthedevicecenteredprQjectstobestartedwastheJosephsonJunCtion Prqjectwhichgotunderwayin1981.Thisresearchisonepartofamuchlargerprogramto developafuturegenerationofsupercomputer,theKagakuGUutsuyoKosokukeiKeisan Shisulemu,Whichwas丘IndedthroughMITI’sIjrgeScaleNatiorlalPrqjectsomce.The OVerallgoalofthesupercomputerprogramwastodevelopanintegratedcomputersystem thatwouldmeetthehighspeedcomputationalneedsofscierlCe.Theseneedswould includedataprocessingofsatelliteimages,Plasmasimulationfbrnuclearfusion,numerical Weatheranalysis,aerOdynamicsimulationsfbraircraft,andmolecularsdence. TheprogramwasinitiatedinOctoberof1981andwasscheduledfbr9yearswitha totalbudgetofabout23billionyen.Althoughofncial6guresfbrtheJosephsonjunction POrtionoftheprQjectwerenotreleased,SOurCeSindicatethatitwasontheorderof250- 300miHionyenperyear,OraboutlO%oftheoverallprQjeCtbudget. Primarytechnicalthemesinthisprogmmwerel)thedevelopmentofhighspeed devicesthatcanexceedtheperfbrmanceofcurrentsilicon-basedsemiconductors,2)the developmentofparallelprocessingsystems,arld3)thedevelopmentofparallelprocessing SOftware.TheJosephsonjunctionswereselectedasoneofthreetechnologiesthatmight PrOVidehigherperfbrmancethroughhigherspeeds. InadditiontotheJosephsonjunction,PrOgramreSearChersinvestigatedHigh ElectronMobilityTransistor(IIEMT)devicesandGaliumArsenideFieldEfftctTransistor (GaAsFET)devices.Allofthesedevicesareofinterestbecausetheyprovidethe POSSibilityofprocessinginfbrmationatveryhighspeedswithlowenergylosses.Ofthe three,theJosephsonjunctionappearstooffbrthebeststand-aloneperfbrmanceaSShown inFigure44.Howthisisdoneisbrienyintroducedbelow. AsmostobserverSOftechnologyareaware,COmPuterSPrOCeSSinfbrmation digitally.Theessenceofthisdigitalprocessingisabinarycode,aSeriesofonesand ー159- (spuOUの∽OU畳む∈FP≡UljS 一2 10   1   10 2       4 10 PowerDissipation(MicroWatts) Figure44  PerfbrmanceofVariousComputerSwitchingDevices (Ba5edonFigure2inYasutsuguTakeda,”ProspeCtSforSuperCOnducting Electronics,”FirsthtemationalSymposiumonSuperconductivity,August 28-31,1988,Nagoya,Japan.) ZerOS,Whichthecomputermustgroupandprocessto representtheinfbmationthatwe desire.Thefhsterthecomputercanprocesstheseonesandzeros,thefhstefOur infbrmationcanbemanipulated. Inthecomputer,theseonesandzerosarerepresentedbydiffbrentlevelsof resistanceinasemiconductor.Eachtimeavoltageisapplied,theselevelswi11change. Thusthespeedatwhichthesemiconductorcanswitchbetweenthesetwostatesisan importantfhctordeterminingofthecomputingpowerofthecomputer.Wewouldliketo PrOCeSSaSmanyOf-thesebinarybitsofinfbrmationaSPOSSible. TheJosephsonjunctionisattractiveasatechnologicaloptionbecauseofthe theoreticalpossibilitiesofl)increasingthespeedoftheswitchand2)decreasingthe distancebetweenswitchesthroughwhichasignalmusttravel.Firstlet’sexaminethis CharacteristicofswitchirlgSPeed. ー160- TheJosephsonjunctionworksbytakingadvantageofaneffbctnrstproposedby BrianJosephsonwhenhewasagraduatestudentattheUniversityofCambridgein1962. Josephsontheorizedthatitwaspossibleforacurrentofsuperconductingelectronpairsto tunnelthroughaninsulatinglayerseparatingtwosuperCOnductorswhilemaintainingthe phasecoherenceofthepairs,wavefunctionsonbothSidesoftheinsulator・Forthiswork JosephsonreceivedtheNobelprizein1973. Ineffbct,JosephsonpredictedthatasuperCOnductiIlgCurrentCOuldpassthroughan insulatorwithouttheneedofavoltagetodrivethiscurrent.Thiseffbctis,however,Very sensitivetomagneticneldsandasmallmagneticneldcancausethejunctiontobreak down,Creatingavoltageacrosstheinsulatinglayer.Theswitchbetweenthepresenceor absenceofavoltage,Whichoccursontheorderofafbwpicoseconds(tri11ionthsofa SeCOnd),mnbeusedtorepresentthebinarylandOstatesusedbythecomputer. Theswitchesmustthenbeintegratedintoasystemfbrthephenomenatobeof- PraCticaluseinacomputer,andthisiswhereasecondtheoreticaladvantageofthis technologyarises.Inconventionalcomputer,SOmeWhereontheorderof40%ofthecycle timeisestimatedtobelost丘omwiringdelays.109Butastheelectronicsignalitselfis alreadytraveliIlgnearthespeedoflight,thechallengeisindecreaSingthedistancebetween theswitchingdevices.Today’sfhstestsemiconductorcomputers,fbrexample,OPerateOn thescaleofnanoseconds.Aslightcanonlytravelaboutafbotinananosecond,thismeans thatatremendousamountorsignalmanlPulationmustoccuroveraveryshortspace. Computersthatwouldopefate伝Sterthanananosecorld,WOuldhavetobeonlyafbw Centimetersonaside,Oraboutthesizeofateacup.110 However,reCallthatthesemiconductordevicesachievetheireffbctbyvarying resistances.Thismeansthatwasteheatisgeneratedintheswitchingprocess.Iftoomany OfLtheseswitchesarepackedtoocloselytogether,theemittedheatisenoughtocausethe SWitchestomalfunctionortomelt.BecauseaJosephsoncomputerwouldrelyonentirely difftrentswitchingphenomena,thelevelofwasteheatgenerationwouldbemuchlower. In1980,JuriMatisooestimatedthataJosephsoncomputerwouldhaveoperatingvoltages thatweresmallerbyafhctorofl,000andcurrentssmallerbyafhctoroflOwhen COmparedwithsemiconductingcomputer.1111もusthelevelofwasteheatisfburtimes 109HisaoHayakawa,”JosephsonComputerTechnology:Eb幽型,March1986,PP.46- 62(48). 110RandySimonandAndrewSmith.塾幽⊆1旦[蔓,NewYork:PlenumPress,1988,P.177. 111JuriMatisoo,”TheSuperconductingComputer:塾麺嘘但ら如蜘lMay1980,PP.38-53 (47). -161- lowerthanthatofsemiconductordevices,allowingforamuchdenserpackagingofthe SWitchesandhenceahighersystemspeed. Finally,inadditiontotheseprincipaladvantagesofspeedandlowheatgeneration, JosephsonjunctionsprovideotheradvantageSthatarisefromitssuperconducting PrOPerty.112Striplinesandsuperconductinggroundplanesinthechipallowthe transmissionofhigh丘equencysignalsatminimallossordistortion-areSultthatis dimculttoachieveinsemiconductorcircuits.Secondly,becauseSuperCOnductorsare insensitivetoimpuritiesandcrystalimperfbctions,SumCientunifbrmitycanbeachieved,at leastintheory,tOallowthefhbricationof-Josephsondevicesonthescaleofanentirewafbr orinthreedimensions. G′′J/トロ仙川〃〃Jげ!仕り’バハ川里廿n用 TheQuantumFluxParametronisaswitchingdevicewhichhasthetheoretical POSSibilityofsigni貢cantlyincreasirlgthespeedandpowerofcomputerswellbeyondthe Perfbrmanceofbothsemiconductorteclm010giesandJosephsonjunctions.Thedevice PrOVidesfbrveryfhstswitchingtimes,Ontheorderofapicosecond,andverylowpCWer dissipation,amilliontimeslowerthansiliconsemiconductors,Whichcouldbothcontribute toachievingcomputerswithTeraFlopspeeds.113Acomparisonoftheswitchingtimeand powerdissipationofthisdeviceisalsoshowninFigure44. TheQFPisbasicallyacircuitthatiscomposedoftwinJosephsonjunctionsand twoexcitinginductancesshuntedbyaloadinductance.114ThisisshowninFigure45. ThetrappingofthequantumnuXinoneortheotheroftheseloopsrepresentsthelogical StateSOfthecircuit.Thisdesignallowssignalstobeprocessedwithoutphysicalcontact Withthesurroundingmedium. InadditiontothespeedandpowerdissipationadvantagesovertheJosephson junction,theQFPcanbedesignedasathree-terminaldevicethroughtheuseOfcoupling inductors,andthecircuitcanamplifysignalsthroughalatchingaction.Thismakesthe QFPappropriatefbrbothpipe-1ineandparallelcornputerarchitecturesthatwouldprovidea Veryfhstprocessorsystem. 112日isaoHayakawa,P・47・ 113”ChodendoSu-Pa-konniMichi.”址魅吐旦型旦迫辿,September29,1990. 114EiichiGoto,et、aJ..臼堅虚む垣星型蜃gpぷ堅辿虹ユ旦生地虫迫y,Singapore:WorldScientific, 1988,P.Vii. -162- Figure45  SchematicoftheQuantumFluxParamatron (FromYasutsuguTakeda,”ProspeCtSforSuperCOnducting Electronics,”FirsthtemationalSymposlumOnSuperconductivity,August 28-31,1988,Nagoya,Japan.) ガ7了一gJecけOJlかevice∫ WhenMITIpetitionedtheMinistryofFinancefbrfundstoinitiateR&Dprograms inhightemperatureSuPerCOnductivity,itdidsowithtwoagendas.Thenrstwastoprovide fundstoISTECtosupportitsresearchinthefundamentaldevelopmentofthematerial. Thesecondwastosupportaprqjectwhichwouldimmediatelylookfbrdeviceapplications Ofthesenewmaterials・Itisthissecondprqject,termedtheHigh-Temperature SuperconductingElectronDevice(HTS-ED)Prqject,thatisdescribedhere. TheIiTS-EDprqjectinvoIvessixnrmsandtheETL,andhasaprqiectedbudgetof 25biHionoveritsplannedlO-yearlifb(1988-1997). Theoveral1teclmicalgoalofthisprqiectistosearchfbranddevelopsignal PrOCeSSingdevicesuslngthenewhightemperaturematerials.Thesixprqjectseventually Selectedaretwoproximityeffbctdevices-aneldefftcttypeandachargeeffbcttype;tWO -163胃 SuperCOnductorbasedevices-alow-energyirtiectiontypeandahigh-energyiIづectiontype; andtwo”new-functional”devices-Singleelectrontunnelingandlocalizedstate tunneling.115 Intheproximityefrbctdevices,theelectronpairswhichgiveriseto superconductivityareusedasthecarrier.Thesourceanddrainaremade丘omtheHTS materialswithasemiconductingmaterial1ayeredinbetween.Intheneldefrbctdesign,an electricneldinducedbythegatevoltagecontroIsthecurrentofelectronpairs・Inthecharge iIづectiondesign,quaSi-ParticlesareiIづectedintothegatesemiconductortochangethegap- WidthwhichcontroIstheelectron-PalrCurrent. Inthesuperconductingbasedevices,thequasl-Particlesirdectedbyanemitterare usedasthecarriers.Inthelowenergydesign,theinjectionenergyisapproximatelyequal tothebarrierheightbetweentheemitterandbase,Whichprovidestheadvantageoflow POWerCOnSumption.Inthehighenergydesign,theiIづectionenergyisseveraltimeslarger thanthatofthebarrierheight,mandabal1isticeffbctisexpectedtosubstantiallyimprove gateemciency. Finallytherearethetwonew-functionaldevices.Thesingleelectrontransistor,Or SET,takesadvantageofaverythinsuperconductor-insulator-SuPerCOnductorstructureto createasecondary-quantummaCrOSCOPiceffbctsimilartotheJosephsoneffbct・TwoSETs WOuldbecombinedtomakeathreeterminaldevice.Thelocalizedstatetunnelingdevice reliesonthefbrmationofvari0usenergylevelsintheinsulator.Quasi-Particlesinjected 丘omthesourcewilljumptothelocalizedstatewhenthegatevoltageisappliedandwill jumptothedrainwhenthevoltageisremoved.Asnorelaxationlossexistsinthegate Channel,thisdevicehasahighertheoreticalspeed. ∫岬erCO乃血C血ggJgCJ肺iケG鉗〝融〝 Inalandwhere99.7%ofthepetroleum,95%ofthenaturalgas,and90%ofthe COalisimported,andwherethegovernmentisfhcingincreaSingresistancetothe implementationofitsplantoincreasenuclearpowergenerationby100%in10years,the emcientuseofenergyisanissueofcontinuingpolicypri0rity. Aggravatingthelackofenergyresourcesistheincreasinggrowthinenergy demand,particularlyelectricenergy.Duringthedecadefbllowingthel9730ilcrisis, 115ThedescriptionoftheHTSdevicesdrawsheavilyonaprogramoverviewprovidedinTadashi lkeda,~lntroductionofHigh-TemperatureSuperconductivityElectronDevicesProcess:’ Extendedabstractsofthe8thSymposiumonFutureEIectronDevices,October30-31,1989,PP・ 237-240. -164- energydemandinJaI氾nWaSeSSentiallynat,WithanaverageannualincreaseofO.1%. However,duringthissameperiod,electricityconsumptionincreasedanaverageof2.8% Peryear.Since1983,theincreaseinelectricityconsumptionhascontinuedtoincrease Steadily,reaChing5%peryearatthetimeofthestartoftheSuperGMprqjectin1987.In thisyear,Japan’selectricpowerplantshadacapacityof163GM,PrOducing640TWhor electddty. ThesuperconductinggeneIatOrOfrbmoflepOSSibilityof-improvingtheemciencyor thegenerationofelectricitythroughreducedlossesinthegenerator’selectromagnetic SyStem. TheSuperconductingElectricPowerGeneratorprogram,knownasSuper-GM,is thelatestandlargestofaseriesofgovemmentandutilitysponsoredprqjectstodevelopa SuPerCOnductingelectricpowersystem.Theprimarygoalofthisprqjectistodevelopand demonstrateprototype superconductingelectricgeneratorsystemswhichwouldberatedat apoweroutputof70MVA,Withtheexpectationofcontinueddevelopmentofa200kVA PrOtOtyPetOfbllowtheprQject’scompletion. TheprqjectisbeingfundedbythegovemmentthroughtheNewEnergyand IndustryDevelopmentOrganization(NEDO),fbraneightyearperiodwithaplanned budgetof25billionyen. Howdoesthesuperconductinggeneratorwork? Inconventionalgenerators,thecopperistypicallyusedintheconductorsandiron COreSareemPloyedtogeneratethemagneticnux.Howevercopperhasafiniteresistivity, evenwhencooledtoverylowtemperatures,andthislimitsthecurrentdensityofelectricity transmission(about8A血m2).IntheSuperGMpr亘iect,thesecopperwindingswi11be replacedbysuperconductingNiobiumTitaniumnlamentswhichoffbrtheattractionof highercurrentdensity(Jc=102-103A血m2),highercritica用elds,andwithoutcores, CanprOducemuchhighermagneticnuxdensitiesthanthoseofthesaturationma訂Ietization, Bs,Offtrromagneticmaterials. InuslngSuPerCOnductors,itisestimatedthatthegeneratinglosswillbereducedby 60%asaresultofthedisappearanceoftheneldwindinglossandthereductionof mechanicalandstraylosses. However,theabsolutevalueoftheimprovementisnotlarge.Conventional gerleratOrShaveachievedemciencylevelsor98.7%,SOa60%reductioninlosswould OnlybringaO.78%absoluteincreaseinemciency.GiventhelargesiZeOfutility generators,thissmal1improvementisstillestimatedtosaveabout600millio勅earinal GWplant.Forthenationalsystemasawhole,aOnePerCentSavingsisroughlyequivalent tothepoweroutputofalGWpowerstation. 胃165- Nonetheless,eVenadvocatesofthesystemwi11admitthattheemciencygainsare notinthemselvessumcientreasontodevelopthesuperconductinggenerator.AsK. AiyamaofMITI’sElectrotechnicalLEboratoryhaspointedout,”Eveniftheir(generators) SC-ri2ation(”superconductoriZation”)couldreducetheselossesbyhalf,theincentivesfbr theirSC一ri2ntioncannotbeveryhighonlywiththelossreduction.Thenewfunctionsor theadvanCedperfbrmancesofthesuperconductingapparatusinthesystemare desired….Ml16 Someofthesebenentstothecostperfbrmanceofthegeneratorwillstemfiom greatersystemstability,Smallersize,andreducedweight.Superconductingpower systemswithlongdistancetraJISmissionlinescanprovideincreaLSedstabilitywhichleadsto irlCreaSedtransmisSioncapacity・Forexample,a40%increaseinsystemstabilitycanlead toa40%increaseintransmiSsioncapacity.Thisisbecausethecapacityofthetransmission lineisnotdeterminedbyathermallimit,butbysystemstability.Inpracticeitisestimated thatal0-60%savingsintransmissionfhcilitiescanbeachieved.117 Secondly,thesmallersizemadepossiblebytheuseofsuperconductivitywi11 reducethemanufhcturingcostofthesystembyabout10%,eVengiventhehighercostsof theNbTinlaments.Andthirdly,thegeneratoritselfisexpectedtobe40%1ighterthan conventionalgenerators.Advocatesadmit,however,thatthesavingsmaybeoffbetbythe COmPlexityofthedesigns. Thelong-termgOalofproponentsofthistechnology,however,doesnotendwith gerleratOrdevelopment,butenvisionsacompleteelectricitytransmissionsystemwith SuPerCOnductingcomponents.Thiswouldmeantheuseofsuperconductingmaterialsin thetransmissionline,thetrzmsfbrmers,andthearmatureorthegenerator. Whatutilitieswouldliketodoisbothincreasetheutilizationfhctoroftheir equipmentandtoreducethelossesinoperation.Theaverageutilizationfhctorwas45% (76%nuclear,41%thermal,and24%hydraulic)in1987.Fortheninem毎Orutilities (accountingfbr87%ofthenation’selectricitysupply)Aiyamaestimatesthatthelossrate, (de丘nedas(1-electricitysoldhlectricitygenerated)*100)was9.6%.Heestimatesthatthe absolutevalueofthislosscanbereducedby4%withafu11ysuperconductingsystem.118 116K.Aiyama,”AppIicationforSuperconductivitytoPowerSystems,#presentedatthe2nd lnternationalSymposiumonSuperconductivity(tSS’89),November14-17,1989,Tsukuba, Japan,PP.1035-1040. 117K・Aiyama,OP・Cit. 118K.Aiyama.op・Cit. ー166- However,thesecomponentsoperatewithaltematingcurrentsratherthanthedirect CurrentSWhichTnSSthroughtherotor,andthestateofaltematingcurrentsuperconducting Wireisstillrelativelyprimitive. Throughafu11ysuperconductingsystem,theunitcapacitiesoftheapparatusinthe SyStemareanticipatedtoincrea5ebothaspowercapacitiesareincreasedandasthe mechanicalortransportconstraintsarerelieved.Higherpowerdensitycables,fbr example,WOuldincreasethetransmissioncapacityofthesystem.haddition,themore COmPaCtSizeofthesuperconductingapparatusinthesystemisarguedtobeattractivefbr CrOWdedareas,WheretheroomfbrnewtransfbrmersandcontroIstationsisextremely limited. ∫〟クビrCO乃血C血g5’ど71∫Or TheSuperconductingSensorprQjectisdirectedatthedevelopmentofanadvanced magneticimagingsystem,knownasamagnetoencephalograph,fbrthediagnosisandstudy Ofthehumanbrain・Throughanetworkofextremelysensitivesensors,theplanisto developaprototypesystemthatcanfbllowthepathsofneuralnerveimpulses. UndertheauspicesoftheKeyTeclm0logyCenter,aprQjectwasinitiatedattheend Ofnscalyear1989whichwasaimedatthedevelopmentofsensortechnologythatexploited thepropertiesofsuperconductivity.TheSuperCOnductingSensorhboratory(SSL)was fbrmallyopenedonMarch23,1990,andisplannedfbroperationuntiltheendofMarch 1996・Thetotalbudgetfbrtheprogramis5.7billionyen,70%ofwhichisprovidedbythe KeyTechnologyCenterand30%ofwhichisprovidedbytheparticipatingfirms.Unlike theotherprogramsreviewedhere,theKeyTeclm010gyCenterdoesnotprovideresearch grantstoexistingorgani2ations,butinvestsinanindependentlyincorporatedresearch COrpOration. Themagneticimagingsystemusessensors,knownasSQUIDs(Superconducting QuantumInterfbrenceDevices),thatcanmeasureextremelytinymagneticneldchanges. SQUIDshavebeenusedinarangeofapplicationssuchasingeophysics-in magnetotellurics,rOCkmagnetismtosearch,fbrexample,fbroredeposits,and Paleomagnetism;ingravitywavedetectors;andinbiomagnetism-tOdetecteye movements,neldsgeneratedbytheheartandbrain,eyemOVementS,andnerveimpulses. AlthoughthenrstsinglechannelSQUIDdevicesformagnetoencephalographywere developedin1976byBiomagneticTechnologiesInc.oftheU.S.,itwasnotuntilthemid- 1980’sthatnrmsinJapantookasignincantinterestinitsdevelopment. ー167胃 Howdoesthiswork?SQUIDsareessential1ysuperconductingloopsthattake advantageofnuxquantizationtofunctionasmagneticsensors・FirstconsidertheSQUID asasuperconductingringthatservesasastoragedevicefbrmagneticnux・Weaklinks mostoneninthefbrmofJosephsonjunctions,arebuiltintothisringtoallowthelevelof magneticnuxtochange・Now,Physicstellusthatthismagneticnuxintheringcanonly takeondiscreetnuxqtlanta,SOdiscreetlevelsofcurrentnowintheringtomaintainthe appropriatelevelofnuxwhentheringisplacedinamagneticneld・ Whenamagneticneldisappliedtothering,aCurrentisinducedwhichtriesto opposeanychangeinnuxlevel・However,Whenthiscurrentexceedsthevaluewhichthe JosephsonJunctioncanmanage,theweaklinktemporarilyfhils,allowingadditional magneticnuxintothering.Afterallowingthenuxquantaintothering,thcJosephson junctioncanresumenormaloperation. Tomakethisasensitivemagneticsensor,thecurrenttha用owsthroughtheweak linkismeasuredbyusingaftedbackcurrentthatjustcancelsthecurrentinducedbythe magneticneld.Thismakesitpossibletodeterminethestrengthofthemagneticneldat levelsontheorderorathousandthofanuxquantumsmallerthanthatstoredintheSQUID dng. Inpractice,theSQUIDsareusedbythemagnetoencephalographtotakeimagesof thebodyinspecinclocationsandatspecinctimes.Withtheearlydevicesthiswas accomplishedbytakingmeasurementsserial1yoversmallintervalsoftime・Asaresultthe datagatheringcouldtakehourstocomplete,bywhichtimethemetabolicconditionsofthe patientscouldbequitedifftrent.Currentdevicescommonlyusetwosensorclusterstoget symmetriCalmeasurementsofthetwohalVesofthebrain.hstate-0手the-artdevices,eaCh oftheseclustershasaboutsevenchannelseachwhichtakethemagneticmeasurements・ Toincreasetheaccuracyoftheimagingtheandtoshortentimerequiredtotakeanimage, OneWOuldthusdesireagreaternumberofsensorstopickupthemagneticmovements,and thiswouldrequiremorechannels. Insummary,theoverallpurposeof’thisSuperconductingSensorprQjectisto developamagneticimagingdevicethatwouldbefhrmoreaccuratethancurrentequipment, andwhichwouldeventuallyallowtheimagingoftheprocessesofinformationmanagement withinthebrain. -168- DimensionsofComparison Whomotivatedtheproject Inourearlierdiscussionofscience-basedprqjectsinHTS,WeeXaminedthe questionofprqjectfbrmationandfbundthatthegovernmentispoorlysetupto accommodatethefundingoranunexpectedbreakthroughinscience.MITIwasnotseento jumpintothelead,butwasproddedbytheindustryandthescientinccommunityandits abilitytodirectnewfundstothisactivitywaslargelyrestrictedbytherigidityofthe goverrunentfundingprocess.TheonlyagencyirlWhichitappearsthatthebureaucrats tooktheleadwaSSTA.Buttheirresponseseemedtobeasmuchtoprotecttheirturfasit WaStOPrOmOtethescience.Theinitialpolicyleadwasvaried. However,thiswasanexceptioningovemmentpromotedcooperativeR&DaSit WaSinresponsetoamajor,unanticipatedeventinscience.Thecasesinthissectionare moretypicaloftheprqjectfbrmationprocess.Again,theprincipalquestionsarewhotakes thelead,howarethetechnologiesidentined,andhowaretheprogramsfbrmed. Theprincipalthesisofthissectionisthatrelativeteclm010giCaladvanceisan importantdeterminantofthechanginggovemmentroleinresearchanddevelopmeIlt. AlthoughpartofthechangeinthegoverTment’sroleisbecauseofthegreaterstrengthof thenrms,StrOngnrmSCanStillexistinstagrlantmarkets.Itisthespeed,SCale,COmPlexity anduncertaintyoftechnologiCalchangewhichmorestronglyinnuenceshowthe governmentwillrespond. WhenJapan1aggedthewest,thetargetswereclearandthesettingofaresearch agendarelativelystraightfbrward:targetthewest.However,WhenJapancatchesupthe targetsdisappearandwhentechnologyisadvancingrapidlyonabroadrangeof丘onts, uncertaintygreatlyincreasesaboutwhichoptionarebestorwhichevenexist.AsMITI bureaucratsrotatetheirpositionseverytwoyears,Oflentoverydiffbrentpartsofthe Ministry,aCCumulatingmeaningfu1technicalexpertiseisimpossible. Asaconsequence,MITIhastoincreasinglydrawonabroadernetofoutside expertisefbrnewideasfbrresearch,andconsequentlydistancesitselr丘omsettingthe technologiCalagenda. ThesevariationsingovemmentinvoIvementcanbeseeninthenvecasesreviewed here.InthecasesoftheJosephsonjunctionprqjectandthesuperCOnductinggenerator Prqiect,thetargetsweregeneraIlydennedbyadvancesoverseas.Intheadvancedsen50r Prqjectthetechnologyultimatelychosenwasthesuperconductingsensor,butthiswasonly afleralengthystudyof’alargenumberofsensoroptions,aPrOCeSSinwhichMITIwas -169- principallyanObserver.SimilarlyinthecaseoftheHTSelectrondevicesprQject,MITI solicitedproposalsfbrspecincideastopromotethisgeneraltheme・ AlthoughtheGoto-QFPprqjectfhllsunderSTAratherthanMITI,itsfbrmation alsorenectsthesamedependenceofthebureaucracyonoutsideideaswhentheyare Chasingthe丘ontier. FirsttheformationoftheJosephsonjunctionprqjectandtheSuperGMprqjectwill bedescribed,Withthisbeingfbllowedbythesuperconductingsensor,HTSelectron devices,andtheGoto-QFPprqject・ ノ直り心′川JHJ汀症状 AlthoughtheJosephsonjunctionprq5ectwasfbrmal1ypresentedasonealtemative fbrfhstswitchingtobeinvestigatedalongwithHighElectronMobilityTransistors (HEMT)andGaliumArsenidesemiconductors,thetargetofthistaskwasclear:IBM・The decisiontopursueJosephsonjunctionswasanextensionofanobsessionwithovercoming IBMthathadbeenapartofgovemmentpolicyandcompanystrategyfbroveradecadeand ahalfl119AndthattargetmadethedecisiontopursueJosephsonJunctiontechnoIogiesa morestraightfbrwardonefbrMITI・AsanexampleofthepreoccupationwithIBM,While TakumaYamamotowasPresidentofFujitsu,heannual1ygreetedhiscompany’snew employeesbyencouragingthemtoal1worktogethertoovercomeIBM’sworlddominance・ Since1965,IBMhadbeensupportingasubst皿tialamountofresearchiTltOthe possibilityofasuperconductingcomputerwhichwouldexploitJosephsonjunctions・Over 15years,itisestimatedthatover$100millionwasinvestedinthisprq5ect,andatitspeak someestimatedthatasmanyasl15to140researcherswereinvoIved.120Thenrstdirector oftheIBMprqject,JuriMatisoo,nOtedthattheywereattractedtothistechnologybecause ofl)theabilitytobeswitchedquicklybetweentwostates,2)thelowpowerconsumption, and3)evidenceof”gain,”oramplincationofthesignal.121 AsIBM’sadvancesinthistechnologyweremoreappreciated,interestinJapan begantopickupinnrmsintheearlyl970’S.Befbrethistime,Josephsonjunctionswere COnSideredarelativelyobscurephenomenawithresearchactivitycenteredinthe universities.TheleadingacademicresearchactivitieswerebeingdirectedbyProfbssors 119MarieAncherdochy,OP・Cit・ 120RandySimonandAndrewSm托h,P・179・;ArthurRobirLSOn,-NewSuperconductorsfora Supercomputer,”塾如,Vol.215,January1,1982;andArthurRobinson,〝lBMDrops SuperconductingComputerProject,”旦如VoI.222,November4,1983. 121JuriMatisoo,P・41 一170 - HaraandSuganoattheUniversityofTokyo,ProfbssorsOnoderaandOtsukaatTohoku University,ProfbssorIriyeatKyushuUniversityandProfbssorFujisawaatOsaka University.122 Bytheearlyl970’S,PrOgramSWereStartedatFujitsu,NTTandMITI,s Electroteclmical1d)OratOry,withsmalleractivitiesbegunatNEC,Hitachi,andMitsubishi ElectriC・Thisissomewhatrenectedinpatentdatawhichshowsthefirstappearanceof PatentapPlicationsinatthistime.Patentactivitywasnot,however,VerySignificantfbrthe SubsequentnveyearsasresearcherswereprincipallyinvoIvedineducatingthemselves withtheteclm0logy,rePrOducingworkthathadbeenconductedatIBM. Theninthelate-1970’S,tWOaCtivitiesbeganwhichweretoacttoacceleIate Josephsonjunctionresearchnrms.TheMinistryofEducationhadjustcompletedathree yearprogramwiththeresearchofJosephsonjunctionsbeingoneof-theprincipalthemes. Theteclmologydevelopedastrongadvocateintheprogmm’sChaimlan,Prof.Haraorthe UniversityofTokyo,Whofiltthatthetechnologywasreadyfbrindustrialdevelopment. CitingIBM,splansandadvancesandtheprogressinunderstandingmadeinJapanoverthe PreViousfiveyearsthroughuniversityand爪rmresearch,hearguedthatJosephson junctionswereripefbrdevelopmentasanimportanttechnologyfbrsensingand infbrmationprocessingapplications.ThroughhiscontactsinMITI,hebeganencouraging nationalsupport. In1979,MITIalsofbrmedastudygrouptoidentifywhichR&Dshouldfbllowup itssoontobeconcludinghighspeedcomputerprqject.Forover15years,MITIhad SPOnSOredaseriesofcomputerhardwarearldsoftwareprognmSinthehopeofenabling JapaneseindustrytoovertakeIBMastheinternationalleader.Theseeffbrtshad,however, COntinual1yfhllenshortintermsofthetechnicalsuccessof-theprograms.Nonetheless,this WaSahighpri0ritypolicyandMITIwasnotgivingup. Fromthecombinedinnuencesof-IBM’scontinuingadvancesinJosephson junctions,domesticprogressinunderstandingmadeintheMOEprogram,increa5ednrm interestinpursuingthistechnology,andmostsignincantly,MITI’sstronginterestin IBM’sinterests,itwasdecidedtobeginJosephsonjunctionworkbefbrethebeginningof thenextlarge-SCaleprqjectwiththesupportofaHqiokinloan.Herehalfofthehndsfbr theworkwouldbenominallyprovidedbyMITIandhalfbythenrms.Firmswhichjoined theprogramwereMitsubishiElectriC,Fujitsu,NEC,andHitachi. 122Thesearea-sothesixprofessorschosentoheadthesixtaskareasinthe〃Superconductive QuantumEIectronics”projectinitiatedbytheMinistryofEducationin1977. -171胃 In1980,aMITIstudygroupadvancedaplanforthenextlargescalecomputer R&Dprqjectandin1981the ScientincResearchComputerPrQjectwasbomaspartofthe newlycreatedFutureTeclm010giesfbrNextGenerationIndustriesprogram. InpreviousMITIprQjects,Fltjitsu,Hitachi,andNモChadbeenselectedasthe PrincipaldeveloperSOfthemainfiamecomputerprototypes,thusthematchwiththese nrmSWaSeaSytOmake.MitsubishiElectrichadinthepastbeenassignedthetaskof developingperipheralS,henceitsexpenenCeinmainhmeteclm010giesandintegration WaSjudgedtobenotablyweaker.Asaresult,MitsubishiElectricwasnotinvitedtojoin theprogramanditsgovemmentSuPPOrteXpiredwiththeendoftheHqiokinloan・ ∫岬erCO乃血C血ggJeCldの秒GどれemlOr ThedecisiontoproceedwiththeSuperGMprqject,eVOIved丘omaneadierhistory Ofdomesticprototypedevelopmentscoupledwithadvancesoverseas.Asinthecaseofthe Josephsonjunctionthetargetoftheactivitywasrathercleadydennedffomahistoryof domesticprototypedevelopments,andahistoryspafkedandperpetuatedbydevelopments OVerSeaS.Asdescribedinaneadiersection,MITI,CRIEPI,Orthecompaniesthemselves hadbeensponsorlngSmallprototypeeffbrtssincethemid-1970’S.Thustheideahadbeen aroundandevoIvingformanyyeaIS. ThesepreviousMITIandCRIEPIpfqjectshadshownthatthetechnologycouldbe developedintoaprototypeonsmallerscale,butitwasclearthatthenextgenerationof PrOtOtype,Whichwouldbeneededfbrrelevantutility-SCaletesting,WOuldbeexpensive. Withoutgovemmentsupportandwithoutcloseutilityparticipationfirmswerehesitantto movedIead. Withoneexception.In1985Hitachicompletedits50MVAprototype SuPerCOnductinggenerator,ageneratOrbuiltoninhousesupport.Althoughtherewereno admittedfbmdpromises丘omMITI,MITIandCRIEPIbothcloselymonitoredthiswork aswellasprogressoverseas.AlthoughdevelopmentintheUnitedStateshadbeen SuSpendedfbrseveralyears,GermanywaspressingaheadaswastheSovietUnion.The prototypeadvancesshownbyHitachiaswellastheoverseasadvancesconvincedMITIto COmmittothenextstepinthegenerator’sdevelopment. In1985,NEDOcommissionedanengineeringconsultingnrm,Technova,tO COnductaftasibilitystudyofthedevelopmentoflarge-SCaleprototypeSOfthe SuPerCOnductinggenerator.Teclmovaassembledanadvisorycommitteeofindividualsin highpositions丘omtheindustry,universities,andgovemmentlaboratoriestoidentifythe targetstobepursued,andtogathersupportfbrtheprqject.TheprQjectwaspresidedover 胃172- bytheDirectorofCRIEPI,Pro[EmeritusS.Yamamura,andincluded12industrial representatives,8proftssors,8govemmentresearchers,and7丘omtheutilities. PreciselywhichpiecesofteClmicalinsight丘omtheHitachidevelopmentfbund theirwayintotheultimateprogramplanareunknown,butHitachibenentedfromits anticipatorydevelopmentofthisprototypebybeingawardeda70MVAprototypedesignin theSuperGMprqjectthatisprincipallyascaled-uPVerSionofitsearlierprototype.123 InMard11987,theadvisorycommitteecompleteditsreportwhichwasessentiallya technicalplanfbrthedevelopmentofthenextgenerationprototype.Therecommendations OfthereportwerefbrmallyacceptedbyMITIandfundswereapprovedfbrthenscalyear beginninginthefbllowingmonth,Apri11987. HerewecanseethefatenlaeOfthepolicy-makingprocess・Forfundstobe availableinthenscalyearbeginninginApri1,theymustbeapprovedbytheMinistryof FinanceinDecemberofthepreviousyear,andmusthavebeensubmittedbyAugust.This meansthatthedecisiontoproceedwiththisprqjectwasactuallyincorporatedintoMITI Plansbythespringof1986,0neyearbefbrethereleaseoftheadvisorycommitteereport. ThepresentationinMarchof1987waslargelyafbrmality,Whichhadtobemadebefbre thestartofnscalyearfunding,andwhichprovidedarecordoftheprocessratherthana markerofthedecision. TheEngineeringResearchAssociationfbrSuperCOnductingGenerationEquipment andMaterialswasfbrmallyapprovedbyMITIonSeptember17,1987. ∫〟PerC()乃血cri〃g∫どれ∫Or ThesuperconductingsensorprqjecttakesMITIastepfurtherawayfiomthe technologyselectionprocessastheoptionsweremorevariedandtheinternationaltargets lessclear. Theideatoinitiatesuperconductingsensorresearchprogramgerminatedinaseries OfdiscussionsheldwithintheElectronicsIndustryPromotionAssociation.In thecaseof thesuperconductingsensor,themotivatingorganizationwastheindustrialassociationin SenSOrteChnology.Theassociation,Withamembershipof2060rganizations,aCtSaSa Clearinghouseofinfbrmationandindustrialstatistics,aSPOnSOrOfsurveySandoverview Studies,andafbrumfbrinfbrmaldiscussionsofteclm0logicalneeds. In1985,theSensorBoardoftheAssociationbegandiscussionswiththeElectronic MachinerySectionofMITIaboutthepossibilityofinitiatingalarge-SCaleR&DprQjectto 123commentbyengineersatHねchiResearchLaboratory・ ー173- advancesensorteclm0logy.TheBoardwaschairedbythenUniversityofTokyo ProftssorShqjiTanakaaLndithadasitsmembers,repreSentatives,Primarilyatthe DepartmentHead(Bucho)1evel,丘om120fthecountry’sm毎Orelectronicandelectric systemmanufhcturers・124ItwasagreedthatMITIwouldassistbyprovidingfhndsfbr surveyresearchtoidentifythevariousopportunitiesinsensortechnology・Asensor workinggroupwasfbrmedfbrthispurposeandthesurveyaCtivitiescontinuedfbr2years・ Thegroupreportedonthenngeofareasofsensorapplications,developedaschemefbr analyzingtheimpactofsuccessivegenerationsofsensordevelopment,andproposedfbur areasfbrR&D:1)intelligentpatternrecognitionsensors,2)asystemtostudythe占ensing functionsofhumansandanimalS,3)ICsensorsfbrelectriCalmachinery,and4)a comprehensivesensordatabase・125 Thenrsttwoofthesecandidatesweresubsequentlyselectedasthemostpromising andtwonewworkinggroupswerefbrmed,Onefbreachoption,tOStudytheteclmical fbasibilityofeachresearchprqjectinmoredetai1.Althoughtheintelligentsensoroption wasratedashavinganextremelyhightechnicalpotential,italsoinvoIvedaverybroad rangeoftechnologiesandapplications-tOObroadtoallowreadyagreementonwhich technologiestoproposefbrprototypedevelopmentbyasingleresearchprqject・The magneticmeasuringsystemfbrfhnctionsofthebodyalsoinvoIvedsophisticated technologybutwasamoreclearlydennedprqject.Thusthisoptionwasselectedbythe overseeingSensorBoardandrecommendedtoMITIastheprqjecttopromote.126 In1988,thehighprecisionmagneticmeasuringsystemwasproposedtotheKey Teclm01ogyCenterfbrfunding.Thetechnologyofthemulti-ChannelSQUII)whichlayat theheartofthissensorwashighlyratedbytheKTCevaluationpanel,buttherewas COnCernOVerrelativestateofintemationaladvanceandhowfhrfbrwardaleaptheprqject WOuldprovide. ThusthedecisionwasdefbrredwiththeKeyTechnologyCenterevaluationboard askingtheassociationtomorethorough1yinvestigatetheintemationalfrontier.Because MITIwascooptedintotheprqject丘omthestart,therewaslittiedoub?hatitwouldget funded.However,theKeyTechnologyCenterusesananonymOuSeValuationpanelwhich 124TheseelectronicandelectricsystemfirmswereFujiElectric,MitsubishiElectric,Hitachiud., Matsushita,NEC,OkiElectric,Shimadzu,Sharp,SumitomoElectric,Toshiba,TDK.and YokogawaElectric. 125NihonDenshiKougyouShinkouKyoukai,塾咄蓮垣蜃旦塵卓垣建旦LTokyo:NihonDenshi KougyouShinkouKyoukai,March1987. 126NihonDenshiKougyouShinkouKyoukai,塾堕曇り建地担塾建迫迦建吐ⅡTokyo:NihonDenshi KougyouShinkou Kyoukai.March1988. ー174- islesstiedtoMITI’sandwhosefunctionistoassuretechnicalquality.Perfbrmanceofits functionputaslightimpedanceinthetimingoftheprqiect,buttheprqjectwasalwayssafi. WithguidancefromMITI,theMachineSystemPromotionAsS∝iationprovided fundsfbrareviewoftheintemationalstate-Of二the-artandexperimentationtoconnrmsome ofthemoreimportantdataonexistingsystemperfbrmance.127withthisadditional SuPpOrtinginfbrmation,theproposalwasresubmittedandwasapprovedtobeginsometime innscalyear1989.BecausetheKTCitselfisshortoffundstoinitiatenewprqjects, however,Onlyasmallamountwasallocatedtoallowtheadministrativefunctionstoget Organizedandbeginoperation. Eightcompanieswereinthefbundinggroup,Hitachi,YokogawaElectriC, SumitomoElectriC,ShimadZu,Daikin,SeikoElectrorlics,TakenakaKomuten,andNihon ShinkuGijutsu.ThethreeprincipalparticipantsareHitachi,YokogawaElectriC,and SumitomoElectriC,Whichaccountfbr66%ofthecapitalizationcontributedbythefirrns・ Toshiba,Whichhadparticipatedintheintelligentsensorworkinggroup,Petitionedlaterto beincludedintheprqject,andwasgrantedadmissionbeginningJuneofl990・128 Forthenrstyearoftheprqiect,thelaboIatOrySPaCeWaSbeingpreparedin Tsukuba.Intheinterim,aSmal1amountofspacewasrented丘omMITI’sElectrotechnical IJaboratoryfbrcomputermodellingandnnalizingthedetailsoftheirresearchapproach. 〟7了-gJgC′/U月かどγたど∫ TheITrS-ElectronDevicesprqiectom汀edanevengreatertechnicaluncertaintyand againshowsMITIfurtherremovedfiomthedetailsofprogramfbrmation.One Characteristicwhichseparatedthisprqject丘omtheotherscoveredthereisthatattheoutset Ortheelectrondeviceprqiect,thetechnologiesthatshouldbepromotedwerenotyet defined. WhileMITIwasturningitsattentiontothefbrmationofISTECduring1987, anothergroupofscientist丘omETLandtheuniversitiesheldinfbrmaldiscussionswiththe ElectronicsSectionofMITId)OutCreatingaprogramtosupportthedevelopmentofHTS devices.WhereastheISTEClaboratorywouldbechargedwithfundamentalresearchand 127NihonDenshiKogyouShinkouKyoukai,KoudouSeitaiJibaKeisokuShisutemuniKansurリ 旦垣辿望止造出迎燕」虫地軸Tokyo:KikaiShisutemuShinkouKyoukai,March1990. 128BecausetheseareR&DinvestmentprolectsratherthancontractR&Dpro]ects,thereisa StrOngdesireamongparticipatingfirrnsforeq血yincostsandbenefits.FirmsjoiningJateareina POSitiontoabsorbaIHhatoccurredbetoreat冊Iecost,thatis,tO†reerideonpreviouswork,SOlate admissionisratherrareamongKTCprograms.lnthisCaSehowever,冊Jeresearchhadbeen initiatedsothereJeaseofinformationwasconsideredaminimaJcostwhencomparedagainstthe advantageofhavinganothermajOrindustrialorganizationparticipateinthisprojeCt. -175- materialsdevelopment,theyenvisionedasecondactivitythatwouldexploreapplications. MITIrealizedthattheywouldneedideastofbllowthenrstgenerationofNextGeneration Teclm0logyprqjects,andwasthuseagerfbrpromlSlngSuggeStions.Thethreethemesthat receivedthemostattentionwereHTSJosephsonjunctions,HTSdevices,andnew devices.MITIpressedtheviewthattobeuniquethethemesshouldbebothnewanduse HTSmaterials,andthegeneralthrustOftheprogramwasthusgeneral1ydenned.Areview of-theinternationalstate-Oflthe-artShowedthattherewerealargenumberofpotential options,andbyearlysummerageneralprogramoutlinewasincludedwithMITI,sbudget PrOPOSalfbrthefbllowingyear・ FundshadbeenrequestedfromtheMOFattheeadiestpoiIltOfthebudgetarycycle, andsobecameavailableinAprilof1988,alongwiththefundsfbrgeneralHTSresearch goingtoISTEC.ButtheformationofISTEChadreceivedtoppri0rityamongtheMITI staffanditstillwasnotyetclearinl987whatkindsofnTSdevicesweremostpromising. Asaresult,Whenthefundingfbrtheprqjectwasappropriatedbeginninginnscalyear 1988,theplansfbrtheprqjecthadyettobedrawn・ Inthenrstyearofprqiect,muChofthefundingwenttotheETLtobegingeneral HTSdeviceR&D.Sincethetechnologicalterrainwaslargelyunknown,MITIdecidedto letthenrmsgeneratetheideas.AcallfbrproposalswasissuedinSeptemberof1988,and 16nrmsresponded.ResearchersatETLevaluatedthetechnicalpotentialoftheideasand MITIstaffevaluatedtheexperienceofthefirmsinthisindustry,i・e・,theirgeneral commercialandteclmicalcapdbility,andthequalityoftheresearchersthattheywere ofrtring.Sincethiswasresearchthatwouldrequirecreativethinking,thequalityof-the individualsbecameparticularlyimportant.hAprilof1989,Sixprqiectsandnrmswere OmciallyannOunCed. Allsixofthenrmswerefromamongthosethathadbeenparticipatinginthe ongoingFutureElectronDevices(FED)prqiect,andallwereveteransofMITInational R&DprqjectsincomputeHelatedtechnologies.ThenrrnsselectedandtheirFED responsibilitieswereNECandToshibawhichproposedstackedhighdensity3-DICs,Oki ElectricwhichproposedstackedGaAsICtechnology,SanyoElectricwhichproposed StaCkedlarge-CaPaCity,multi一functionalICtechnology,Fltiitsuwhichproposedaresonant tunnelinghotelectrontransistor,andHitachiwhichproposedapermeablebasetransistor. G()J0-9〟。乃山間FJ〟JPdr。間がrO乃 ThisprqjectisanoutlierasitfhllsunderthejurisdictionoftheSTAandis SPOnSOredbyasystemspecincallydesignedtopromotecreativeresearch.Giventhis 一176- setting,itfurtherillustratesthedistZLnCingoftheburcaucracywhenfrontierscienceisa goal. ThequantumnuxparametronwasanideanrstconceivedbyProflGotoinl954, usingcapacitors,fbrritecorecoilsandresistorsasthebasicelements.Giventhelevelor technologyatthattime,itwaSClearthatitwouldnotbecompetitivewiththetransistors beingdeveloped,andthoughseveralJapanesenrmsdevelopedprototypes,theteclm010gy WaSgenerallydroppedbytheendofthel950’S. SeveraldecadespasseduntilDr.Gotodevelopedarenewedinterestinthisidea, thistimecouplingthepaIametrOnwithrapidlydevelopmentJosephsonjunction technology.Betweenl983and1985Pro[GotoandhisgraduatestudentKinFockLoe developedthetheorybehindthedevicewiththeintegratior10fJosephsonjunctionsinl984. HitachitookaninterestinDr.Goto’sworkandbetween1984and1986contractedwith Dr.Gotofbrthejointdevelopmentoftheidea.Prof.GotonotedthattheHitachilaboratory COuldprovideverysophisticatedfhbricationandtestingequlPmentWhichwouldbetoo expensivefbrhislabatRikentopurchase. Atabouthistime,ERATOapproachedDr.Gotoaboutleadingoneoftheirprqiects. Initially,however,ERATOdidnotapproachProf二Gotoabouttheparametronbut aboutdirectingaprQjectinJosephsonjunctionteclm010gieSgenerally.Henoted,atthat time,thathehadneverconductedresearchdirectlyinJosephsonjunctionsandhadnever Publishedinthisneld,SOherepliedthatthismightnotbesuchagoodidea. ERATO,however,WaSnOttObeshakenoffsoeasily.ForERATO,OneOfthe mostimportantorganizingprinciplesisthattheprqjectsaretobeledbywell-knowrl SCientincngures.TheERATOprogramhasaSitsprqiectleadersmanyofthescientinc eliteofthecountry,includingindividualSrumOredaSJapan’stopcandidatesfbrthenext NobelPrize.Theirreputationandleadershiptosomeextentreplacesfbrmaltechnical reviewsoftheprqjectsasthestandardsofevaluationarelessclearincreativescienceand Challengetotheirleadershipundesirhble.Theimportanceofindustryasaleaderis relativelylessprominent. Inthisway,ERATOhopestoattracttalentedyoungpeoplewhowanttodo researchunderthesescientists,gaintheconndenceoftheindustry,Whichisskepticalof theunusualcharacteroftheprogram,andgainpublicvisibilitytosupporttheprogramin general.AndtheywantedProf二Goto.SoERATOaskedwhatideahewouldliketo PurSueundertheprogram,andheresponded,”theparametron.” WhenERATObeganitssupportoftheparametron,thein-houseworkatHitachi WaSSuSpendedandHitachibecameoneofthethreecentersfbrtheresearchwith responsibilityfbrmanufhcturingprototypedevices.TheothercenterswereatUI,VAC, -177- locatedinChigasaki,andMitsuiZosenSystemsResearch,locatedintheTsu埼iareaof Tokyo. ダomの0′l∫〟椚mdワ Whenplacedwithintheperspectiveofgeneraltheoriesaboutstatebehavior,these nvetechnologyandsystemscasesaswellastheprevioussciencecasesshowpattems Whichlessre且ecta”plan-rational”statethanadynamicof”reciprocalconsent.”Butthe balanceoftheconsentshi鮎asthetechnologytargetschange.Asthetechnologymore Clearlypressesthe丘ontier,aSitscomplexityanduncertaintyincreases,theinfluenceofthe networkoutsideofthegovernmentgainsinimporbnce.Asthebalanceshiftstothe 丘ontier,thestateisevenlessthegeneratorofideaS,nOrisittypical1ytheleaderininitiating theprqject.NeitherthecasesofHTSnorLTSwasittnlethatfirmslaggedtheinitiativeof MITI.129Butthestatestillmakestheprqjectshappen. Thedetai1softheprqjectsrenecttheoverallpri0ritiesofthestateinstitutions,and thestateaSSistsinfbrgingthedesiredparticipationand,Ofcourse,ingatheringresources 丘omtheMinistryofFinanCe.Althoughthesizeanddiversityofthegroupsvarieswiththe teclm0logy,animportantPOintherefbrtheiIlternationalaudienceisthatMITIisnotseento beinstrumentalineithergeneratingtheideasorscreenlngtheoptionsunlesstheoptionsare narrow-theydonothavetheexpertise.Insomecasesthepushisfromtheindustryand itsassociations,insomecases丘omthenationallaboratories,andinsomecasesprofbssors Playarole.ButMITIisnotanimportantideagenerator. Astechnologiesbecomeincreasinglyuncertain,thegovemment’sinvoIvementwill likelybecomeincreasinglydistaJlt,relyingmoreonextemalnetworksfbfideasarldonthe nrmsfbrspecincproposals・ThistrendwasseenintheestablishmentoftheKey TechnologyCenterandcanalsobeseenintheestablishmentoftheHTSElectronDevices Prqject・MITIwillstilllooktowardthecollectivegoodandthelongterm,butthedetails Willincreasinglybedrawn丘omtheoutside. Fromtheperspectiveofmoreoperationalprogramfbrmation,thereareseveral COmmOnpOintsinthefbrmationofthefburMITI-relatedprqjectswhichpointtoavery thoroughapproadltOPlanning.First,thereistypicallyareviewoftheinternationalstateof 129ThisiscontrarytotheconclusionsgIVenbysomeotherswhohavestudiesthisissuesuchas JohnAlicandRobertMilJer.uCommercialtechnologystrategJeSinhightemperature SUPerCOnductivity,theU・S・A・andJaparド也鉗垣gl坦型旦且受皿受払Vol. 4,No・6,1989;andJapanTechnoIogyEvaluationCenter.避堅;j蟄堕し蜃迫建遡_上也山 王堅幽_旦迎星型迫由出血山越辿弧Washington:NTIS,November1989. -178一 theart・Asalloftheseprogramsareintendedtocatchuptoorleap丘ogtheintemational state・Of二the-art,athoroughunderstandingofwherethatstate-0手the-artisbecomesacritical issue.Theprocessofdoingthebackgroundresearchbecomesanimportanteducational exercisetobringtheknowledgeofthenrmsuptotheinternationalfbntier. Second,WeCanSeethattheprocesstakesafhiramountoftime,uSuallytwoyears, duringwhichthefbasibilitystudyisusuallyconductedandmoldedintotheprqject proposal. Thirdly,teClmicalguidanceisalwaysprovidedfbrbyanadvisorycommitteeIather thanMITI.Thesecommitteesaretypicallychairedbyawellknownprofbssor,Whocan leveragehisexpertiseandelevatedstatustohelpsettledisputes,andistypicallyattendedby individualsfromthenationallaboratoriesand,mOStimportantly,fromthenrmsthatwill eventuallybedoingtheR&D.Planningisthroughacommitteeof-theinterestedteclmical Organizations. Timingoftheprojectinitsinnovationtimepath肩Whatkindofaleap is this? Aswediscussedinanearlierchapterreviewingthehistoryofcoopemtive programs,thetargetingofprototypedevicesandsystemswaspartofaclearstrategyto CatChupwiththewest.Inthecaseof-teclm010gydevelopment,itisnowcommonlyargued inbothJapanandtheUnltedStatesthattheseprogramscanbecooperativebecausethey target”precompetitive”stagesofthedevelopmentoftechnologieswhichthemselvesare Substantial1ymoreadvancedthanresearchcurrentlyunderwayinthenrms.Theresearch, itisargued,isthusnotappropriateandwouldservetechnologybaseneedsofallnrms.Is thistrue?Ifnot,Whattypeofinnovationisbeingtargeted?Aretheystillinthecatch-uP mode?Aretheyattemptingtoleapfiog?Aretheylegitimatecontributorstopublic technologyandtosciencegenerally? Thekeyvariableinnuencingobservationsonthisissueisthestateorthetechnology relativetotheintemationalstandardattheoutsetoftheprqiect.WhentheindustryinJapan Clearlylaggedthewest,thetargetwasprimari1ycatch-up.Theclosertheindustriallevelto thewest,thegreatertheincrementofadvanceuntilweseeacaseinwhichJapanese industrylSenhanclngitsplOneenngPOSition,nOtjustcatching-uP.Theargumentthatthe prqjectstargetprecompetitivetechnologiesiS,however,Oflennotcorrect. Inexaminingthenvecaseswenndthatthreearedirectedarevari0usdegreesof leap丘ogging,OneatneWdevices,andoneatanewdeviceconcept.Noneoftheseprqjects ー179胃 isaprecompetitive,generictedmologybaseactivitywhichsupportstheindustryasa whole. 、Jf)∫ゼ/)力、ヾ聞J〟′汀症状 TheeadiestoftheseprogramsistheJosephsonjunctionprqjectanditsgoalwas Cleadyoneofcatch-uP.UntilthisJosephsonjunctionprqjectwasinitiatedbyMITI,there WaSOnlyaverylowlevelofresearch,reflectedinalowlevelofpatentapplicationsbefbre 1980,aSShowninFigure46. Atthetime,IBMwasfbcusingitseffbrtsonlead-alloyortin-alloybasedjunctions andthisalsobecamethefbcusoftheinitialworkinJapan.Thesematerialswerebeing usedbecausetheywererelativelyeasytoprocess.Thesematerialsmeltattemperatures P^TENT^PPuC^rrlONSREL^T[L)TO10SEl,lJSONjUNCTZONS.1971to1989 ハU O O O d.      2       バリ       8 N U m b C r O r ∧ p p l - C 3..1・一i O n S 0       0 ′O d? ・一十年一・十±〒と干. 71 72 73  74  75  76  77  78  79  80  81 82 8j Ymr 9 00 °0 00 ′n- 8 8 AT ne Figure46  PatentApplicationsRelatedtoJosephsonJunctions (YearAnnounced-Oneandahalfyearsanerapplication) -180一 nsuMITOMOELE 閻SEiKOEPS0N 団M∧TUS仕汀A mNEC BMITUUl引?ELエ ロ?汀∧C川 臼∧lST E]FUJITSU □NTT 1-TOT八L below350Candarethuseasytoevaporateintonrms.However,thesematerialswerenot durableandthestressofbeingcycledbetweennearzeroandroomtemperaturescausedthe junctionstowarp,Crinkle,Orinsomeotherwayfhllapart.130 IBMscientistsdiscoveredthattheperfbrmanceofthesejunctionscouldbe improvedbyuslngalloysofleadcontainingindiumandgold,andbyuslnganeVenmOre durablesuperconductorasthebottomelectrode,niobium.Niobiumwas,however, difnculttofbrmiIltOhighqualitynrmsasitsmeltingpointisveryhigh,2400C,andasit quicklyabsorbsoxygen,fbrmingoxideswhichinhibitsuperconductivity・Aonepercent increaseinoxygenleadStOaOnedegreereductioninthesuperconductingtransition temperature・ItwasinthisperiodofleamingtomoreeffbctivelyprocessNiobiumthat IBMdiscontinueditsprogram. Althoughthequalitativegoalswassimplytocatch-uPwithandperhapssurpass IBMinthisteclm0logy,nOminalperfbrmancegoalswerealsoset・Thesearesummarized inTablel5. Althoughthesegoalswerebeyondthestate-OfLthe-artattheoutsetoftheprqject, theywerenotsignincantlyso.Forexample,althoughitwasknownthatideallyJosephson junctionscouldprovideswitchingnearthelpslevel,itwouldrequiresubmicron technologynotavailableatthetime.PerfbrmanceatlOps庖atedidnotrequiresuch technology.Atthetime,lBMhadannouncedthatithadachievedswitchingtimesof6 PICOSeCOnds,withswitchingdelaysfbrtheJJinterfbrometersinthelOto15picosecond range.131ThiswasaboutlOtimesthespeedofsemiconductordevicesatthetime.IBM WaSalsowellintoitsresearchona4Kcachememoryalthoughithadnotyetbeen SuCCeSSfhllyconstnlCted. BothofthesystemsprQjectsalsooffbrexamplesoftechnologicalleap丘ogging morethanoftechnology-base,PreCOmPetitiveR&D. ∫岬erCOn血C血ggJeCfの妙Gどれgmわr IftheSuperGMprqjectandtheintendedfbllow-uPareCOmPleted,the SuperCOnductinggeneratortobedevelopedbytheMITIprqjectswouldbeoneofthelarger OPeratingprototypesintheworldtodate.Butitsnoveltyandnoteworthinesswere Primari1yinitsscale,developmentcostandsuccessfu1demonstrationratherthaninits targetingofnewtechnology. 130MuchofthethisdiscussionontheproblemsIBMhadwiththeleadandtinjunctionsisfrom SimonandSmith,PP.118-119. 131JuriMatisoo,P・亜・ 胃181- Tdble15.PerfbrmanceTargetsfbrtheThreeHighSpeedDevices JJDevice HEMTDevice GaAsFET Operating Liquidhelium Liquidnitrogen Room temperature temperature temperature temPerature LogicDevices htegmtion Above3Kgateガとhip Delaytime BelowlOps庖ate Below30 ps庖融e MemoryDevices Integmtion Accesstime Above16Kbitskhip BelowlOns Theprototypedevelopmentisdividedintotwostages・Theinitialtargetsofthe prqjectarethree70MVAprototypegenerators・Oneprototypeisafhst-reaCtiongenerator, andtheothertwoareslow-reaCtiondesigns.Experiencegainedinthedevelopmentof thesedesignsisthenplannedtobeincorporatedintoasingle200MVAfhstandslow reactiongeneratorwhichwouldbedevelopedinstagetwo,afler1996・ Thedevelopmentofthe70MVAand200MVAgeneratorswillplacetheJapanese developersamongtheintemationalleadersinthisteclm0logy・Forexampleinratedsize, theywi110nlybeexceededbytheSovietprqjectandalargeprototypebeingdevelopedin GermanybyKWU-Siemens,aSShownearlierinFigure3・3・Moreimportantly,byprQject completiontheseJapanesenrmswillbemuchclosertocommercialcapabilityinthis teclm0logythantheyaretoday. However,intermsoftheteclm0logy,theprogramisnottargetingm可Oradvances. LetuseXaminethesuperconductingrotorsasaneXamPle.Inalloftheprototypes,the SuperCOnductingwiresplannedfbruseareNbTialloysratherthanNbSn3・NiTihasbeen theailoyofchoiceforallprevioussuperconductinggeneratorprototypesandhasprovena reliableoptioninthemagneticneldrangeanticipated.NbSn3,however,iscapableof ー182- Operatinginevenhighermagneticnelds,Whichwouldallowformorecompactgenerator designs・However,NbSn3hasprovenadimcultmaterialtoconstructintomagnetssothe Certaintyoftheirsuccessfuluseifmuchlower・Thusintheprogram,NbSn3isbein researchedseparatelyfiomtheprototypedevelopmentwithoutanticiIntionofitsnearterm use.Asnotedinthereportoftheadvisorycommittee:”WehavedecidedtouseNbTialloy asthesuperconductormaterialsinceitiseasilyftasibleatthepresentstateofthe technology.”132AppendixCshowsmoregraphicallytheperfbrmanceimprovements targetedfr0thesuperconductors. Asecondmajorcomponentchallengeisindevelopingareliablere餌gerationsystem Ofthescaleneeded・Theprqjectwilltargettheuseof’aliquidheliumpool-COOliIlgmethod Withthefieldwindingscooledbythethermosiphoningofliquidheliumin丘eeconvection・ ThiswasalsothedesignusedbyHitachiinthedevelopmentoftheirin-house50MVA PrOtOtyPe・ Athirdchallengeisintheactualproductionofelectricitywiththeprototypes.Al1 SyStemSdevelopedinJapn,andal1m毎OrSyStemSdevelopedintemational1yhaveoperated usingreactivepower.ElectricityisfbdintothegeneIatOrtOaChieverotation.Witheachof’ the70MVAprototypes,thephasewi11beadjustedsothatactivepowerwi11begenerated, muchasitwouldbeincommercialoperation. Overall,however,theadvancesrequiredofthesystemareincremental・ ComponentswhichneedtobeimprovedareshowninAppendixB.Thisincremental Characteroftheoveralladvanceisrenectedinastatementoftheadvisoryreportwhich notesthatthecurrentprototypeswerechosenのtobeatechrl010gythatisfbasiblewithinthe rangeofthescaleofthesystemspresentlyinexistence.”133 Afutureadvancewhichwouldbeamajorstepfbrwardfbrthesystemwouldbethe useofsuperconductingmaterialsnotonlyintherotorbutalsointhestatorandinthe POWertranSmissioncomponents.Asdescribedearlier,Whereastherotorisstationaryarld OPerateSwithaDCcurrent,thestatorspinsatveryhighspeedsandoperateswithanAC Current.ThedevelopmentofsuperCOnductingmaterialsthancanoperateWithhighfieldsin anACcurrentisstillinastageofbenchscaleexperimentsandfhr丘omreadyfbrlarge scaledemonstration. Thusthetechnologynecessaryfbra”fu11y’’superconductinggenerator,Onewith bothasuperconductingrotorandstator,andthetechnologiesneededfbrsuperCOnducting 132S・YamamuTa,〃FeasibilityStudyonSuperconductingMachineryandMaterialsTechnology RelatedtoElectricaIPowerGeneration(Summary):Tokyo:NewEnergyDeveIopment Organization,March1987,P.5. 133S.Yamamura,P・13. -183- transfbrmersandtransmissionsystemarebeingresearchedassecondarytasksattachedto theprogram.The鑓meistrueofhightemperatureSuperCOnductingmaterials.Asthe plansforSuperGMwereinrealityconcludedbefbretheconnrmationofthehigh temperaturephenoInena,thesematerialswerenotconsideredindrawinguptheprogram. Giventhehighlevelofinterestinthepossibilitiesofthisnewdiscovery,however,both MITIandthemanufhcturerswerelookingfbrwaystocharLnelmoneytotheirdevelopment. Theprqjectprovidedaconvenientvdlicleasallofthenationsm毎OrCableandwire manufhcturersanddevelopersofsuperconductingwireswerealreadyoncontract・ SuperconductingACtraJISfbrmersdevelopedtodatearestillmuchsmallerthan WOuldbeneededfbrcommerCialoperation.Thelargestisa500kVAlaboratorymodel developedin1987byToshibawiththesupportoftheCentralResearchInstituteofthe ElectricPowerIndustry(CRIEPI).ThesecondlargesttransfbrmerdevelopedisalOO kVAdesigndevelopedbyamanufhcturerinFrance. UnliketheapplicationofDCwirestomagnets,ACsuperconductordevelopment hashadamuchshorterhistory.ThenrstexpedmeTltSWererePOrtedinFmnce,andtodate mostofthedevelopmenthascenteredthereandinJapan.ExperimentsintheUnitedStates general1y丘乙Zledoutinthe1970’swhenalackofnewgeneratorplantordersdampened enthusiasmfbrworkonnewtransmissiontechnology. TheproblemwithACwires,isthatunlikesuperconductingDCwires,lossesdo OCCur.Thesinusoidalsignalcreatesahysterisislossinthewirewhichgenerateswaste heat.ThisheatcanraisethetemperatureofthewireaboveitssuperCOnductingcritical temperature,CauSlngittoloseitssuperconductingcapibility. Tominimizethisloss,thediameterofthewiresmustbekeptextremelysmal1. Currentdesignsusewirewithsubmicrondiameter,Whichcompareswith10-100micron whichwouldbeusedfbrDCcables. Forpowertransmission,DCtransmissionisalsopossible,butthecostsarestill Veryhighwithcurrenttechnology.Unlikegeneratorswhichhaveasmallsurfhceto VOlumeratio,tranSmissioncablehavealargesurfhcetovolumeratio,Whichmakescooling muchmoreexpensive.Aiyamaestimatesthatthesecablesonlyappeartobeeconomical1y attractiveatcapacitiesofseveralGVA,Whichisfhrbeyondthesizeofcurrentsystems. Evenwiththereducedrefhgerationrequirementofrecentlydevelopedhightemperature SuPerCOnductingmaterials,thebreakevenpointisnear3GVA.134 Giventheimportanceofovercomingthisbarriertoestablishingafully SuPerCOnductingsystem,itisabitofamysterythatthistopicdoesnotreceivegreater 134K・Aiyama・OP・CR. -184- fundingpriority・Butthiscanbepartlyunderstoodbyrealizingthataprincipalgoalofthe PrOgramisnottechnical. Technologically,theSuperGMprQjectmayseemtolacklusterbecauseofthe absenceofam痴Ortargetedtechnicalleaporintentionstoovercomem毎OrteChnical obstacles.Howeveritislikelythatitwastheabsenceofmajortargetedadvancesthat enabledtheactivity. ThisisnotatechnologybaSeaCtivitybutonedirectedatdemonstratingaprototype ofanewtechnologytoaconservativeindustry-theelectricutilities.Electricitygenerators fbrlargepowerplantsareextremelycapitalintensiveinvestments,Withcostsontheorder ofhundredsofmillionsofdollars. Becauseofthesehighcosts,itisimportantthatthegeneratorsrunaSClosetofu11 CaPaCityaspossible.Anyfhiluresinthegeneratingsystemwouldresultinadirectlossof POWerreVenue,increasedcostsbecauseoftheneedtoactivatelessemcientsupplemental POWerequipment,andcustomercomplaintsstemmingfiomanydisruptionsthatmight OCCur.Theindustryboaststhatinl0years,With6,000generatorsoperating,therehave Onlybeenfburgeneratoraccidentsthathavecausedtheunanticipatedshut-downofa generatingsystem. Thuselectricpowernrmsheavilyweighthedownsiderisksagainstany perfbrmanceincreases,andinthiscasesomearguedthattheincreaseswereonly incremental.ThernaingoaloftheSuperGMprqjectistoassuagetheseconcernSby displayingthereliabilityofasystemopeIatingnearcommercialconditions.Aprimarygoal isco-OPtationoftheuser. ∫岬ど・CO′l血C血ggen∫Or TheSuperconductingSensorprQjectisaimedatleapfiogglngthecurrentlevelof technologyinthewestemcountries.Currently,7channelsisthelargestnumberemployed byasinglesensorsystemonacommercialmagnetoenphalograph.Thisisamachirle developedbyBiomagneticTechnologiesInc.,BTi,(Mode1607)whichhasbeenavailable Onthemarketsince1984.InJuneofl989,Seimensannouncedthedevelopmentofa31 ChannelSQUIDsystem(KRENICON),andinAugust,BTiannouncedthedevelopmentof a37channelprototype.InJapan,however,manufhcturersarestillonlyoffbringsingle -185- Channeldevicesandatthestartofthisprqiect,theproposingcommitteeassertedthatno firmhadstartedsignincantdevelopmentofamultichannelsystem.135 TheSuperconductingSensorprQjectistargetedtoleap丘ogtheseoverseas developmentsbydevelopingaprototype200Channeldevice.Whereascurrentdevicesare Verytimeconsumingtouse,SOmetimesrequlnnghoursfbrafullscan,duringwhichtime metabolicconditionscanchaけge,the200channeldeviceisexpeCtedtoproviderealtime imagingoftheoperationofthebrain.Throughanoperatingversionorthissystemitis hopedthatresearcherswillbeabletofbllowthecomplexpathsofelectromagneticsignals withinthebrainandbrainstem,withtheultimatedesireofunderstandinghowthebrain PrOCeSSeSinfbrmation. Inaddition,PrOgramPrOmOterSnOtethatultimatelythistypeofultrasensitive imagingtechnologycanbeextendedtoarangeofotherapplicationsthatincludematerials research,theanalysisofhighspeedelectronicprocessessuchaSthosethatoccurin SuPerCOmPuterS,andthesearchfbrnaturalresources.Further,knowledgegainedabout thewaythemindprocessesinfbrmationisexpectedtohaveasignincantimpacton infbrmationnetworkdesignsandcomputerarchitectures.Thespin-Ofreffbct,inother WOrds,isarguedtobebroad. Whilethisleap丘ogmayallowanlndamentalbreakthroughinsciencethroughits eventualapplication,thesystemitself-primarilyinvoIvesasetof-moreincrementaltechnical Challengesandachallengeinintegratingalloftheimprovementsthatneedtobemade-a Chal1engetosystemsdevelopmentandintegration.136 Principaltechnicalchal1engesthathavebeerlidentinedbytheprogramplannersare summarizedonTable16. SomeoftheprincipalchallengesamorlgthesehavebeensummarizedbyprogIam directorMitsuoAiasthefbllowing:137 1) Systemteclm0logy-IntegratingalloftheneededcomponentdevelopmentSSOthat thesignalsreceivedcanbetranslatedintousefhlinfbrmation.Thiswouldincludethe abilitytoprobefbrsourcesofelectromagneticsignaliTlagiverlneldaTldthedevelopment Ofimagemanagementalgorithms.ThiswouldalsoinvoIvethedevelopmentofasystem 135 NihonDenshiKogyouShinkouKyoukai,拉幽旦軸捻逗但む垣垣虚坦旦h迦塑型旦旦迅迦些些 ⊆h些Sa KenkHUU Houkoト、生地. 136Thjspointisemphasizedheavi,ylntheproposa.oftheeva,uatingcommittee・Seefor exampletheaboveNihonDenshiKygyouShinkouKyoukaireport. 137MitsuoAi,’’ChodendoSensaKenkyujotoKenkyuGaiyo:DenshiKogyoGeppo,∨0l.32, No.6,1990,PP.12-16. ー186一 Table16. MagnetoencephalographSystemElementalTeclm010gies138 Teclm010gicalElements ResearchTopics HARDWAR五 SQUIDnuxmeasurement Inputcoil NoisesuppressionequlPment CⅣOStat Heliumrefhgeration Magneticshield Multi-ChaLnnel;Highintegration; Highreliability Highabilitytosuppressnoise;nlm Lowtemperatureconstruction Reducedconsumptionofhelium; Adaptedfbrthehumanbody Compact;highreliability; highemciency;lownoise Increasedshieldeffbctiveness; Hightemperaturesuperconductor COnStruCtion SOFrWARE Electronicmodelof orthcbrain MagneticsourceanalysIS algodthm Imagemanagement dgorithm Imagedisplayalgorithm Higherprecision Multiplemagneticsources; highlyemcientalgorithms Threeサdimensionalimage ′nlree-dimensionalmovement display thatcouldautomaticallycalibratetheSQUIDs,autOmaticallya亘justthecircuitsfbrthe Particularcomputation,andsensephantomimages・ 138NihonDenshiKogyouShinkouKyoukai, ⊆垣旦蔓旦_麺型如上些』旦上地P.5. Koudou SeitaiJiba Keisoku Shisutemu niKansuru 胃187- 2) SQUIDtechnology-ImprovingthereliabilityandsensitivityoftheSQUIDelement andtheunifbrmity,aSWellastheabilitytotestfbrthesecharacteristics. 3) ShieldingandRefhgerationtechnology-Reducingthelevelofmagneticnoise丘om l/1,000commonintoday’smachinestol/100,000,Prefbrablywiththeuseofashield WhichemployshightempeIatureSuPerCOnductingmaterialS.Here,magnetOmeterSare beinglnVeStigatedtoreplacethegradiometersusedcurrently.Althoughthereareanumber oflaboratoriesinJapanworkingonthisteclm0logy,reSearChmuststillovercomeproblems suchasthatarisingbecausethevibrationsoftrappedfluxwithinthematerialcreatesalevel Ofnoiseofthesameorderofmagnitudeasthattryingtobeachievedbytheshield. Inaddition,thereisaneedtodevelopasmall,highemciency,lownoisemethodof SupPlyingliquidheliumrefhgerationtotheelements. Asonecangather丘omthetableandthepri0rities,theprqjectwillrequire incrementaladvancesonanumberoftechnologicalfionts,amdtheintegrationofthese advancesintoasystem.Howeverthesystembutisnotrevolutionaryinanyofits COmpOnentdevelopments. ガ73gJeC什0花かgVice∫ TheHTSElectronDevicesPrQjectcanalsobeviewedasastate-Of二the-artaCtivity thatwillgivethedevelopersasubstantialleadinthetechnology.Noneof-theseconceptsis entirelynewaseadlWaSbeingexploredwithtraditionalLTSmaterialsbefbre1987.The ChargeiI肩ectionproximityeffbctdevicebeingdevelopedbyToshibawasinitiallydeveloped atIBM,thesingleelectrontunnelingdeviceatNECwasdevelopedatBellLaboratories, andthelow-energyinjection-typeSuPerCOnductorbasedeviceatSanyowasinitially developedbyIBMandatFujitsu. EvenasLTSdevices,however,theseconceptswereatthestate-Of・the-artOf electronicsresearch,SOthenoveltyofapplyiIlgHTSmaterialswasinseeingwhether OXidematerialscouldalsobemanipulatedtoprovidethesamephenomena.Thetargetsare legitimateleapfiogbeyondexistingtechnologiesandrenectstheleadingintemational positionoftheindustryinJapan. Goわ一¢〟dnJ〟〝げJJはPdr。机の花的 TheQFPisaleapbeyondtheJosephsonjunctioninbothitsperfbrmance Characteristicsandthephysicalphenomenauponwhichitrelies.Asdescribedearlier,both theswitchingspeedsandheatlosscharacteristicsoftheQFPcouldsignincantlyoutperfbrm ー188- bothexistingtechnologyandtheJosephsonjunction・Inaddition,theuseofmagneticflux quantaaStheswitchingmediumisamajordeparture丘omcurrentpractice. Astherewasverylittleworkinthistechnologyoccurringelsewhereintheworld, theworkofthisprqjectispioneering.Althoughnotrevolutionaryinitscontributiontoa generic,teClm0logybase,OrtOafhndamentallynewtheoryofaphysicalphenomena,the QFPisanovelideawhichataminimumwarrzmtsbeinglabelledasignincanttechnological l飽p. rlピ!雨用=諒甘バ壷刷刷ー FromtheabovediscussionoftheR&Dgoalswecouldseethatthecasesofthe Josephsonjunctionandthesuperconductinggeneratorrenectonlyincrementaladvancesin technologyperfbrmance,WiththesuperconductingsensorandHTS-SCcasestargetinga greaterleap丘og.Innoneofthesecases,includingtheparametron,doweseeresearch OPPOrtunitiesthataretruly”technologybase’’and”precompetitive.” Organizationoftheproject Howdonrmscooperate?Dofirmscooperate? Inthissectionournveprogramswillbeanaiyzedtoprovidesomeinsightintothese questiorlS.IfitiscoilaborativeR&DthatpolicyistryingtomimicintheUnitedStates, thenweshouldnrstbeconndent,thatcollaborationisindeedoccurringandsecond,have SOmeunderstandingofthecircumstancesunderwhichcollaborationismostproductive. ToconductthisanalysISWeWillrelyuponfburtypesofinfbrmation:the OrganiZationoftheprqjects,PatentaPPlications,Publications,andinfbrmationprovidedin interviews.Byexaminingtheorganizationoftheprograms,WeCanaddressquestions SuChasthefbllowing.Istheprogramorganizedtoencourageortorelyuponcooperation? Aretheresearchers丘omdi鮪rentnrmsgroupedtogethertoconductresearch?Aretheir researchtasksinterdependent?ArethereentiCementsfbrcooperationororganizational PrOCedureswhichpromotecollaborationorcommunication? Inadditiontotheorganizationalstructure,WeCanalsolookatindicatorssuchas jointpatentapplicationsandcoauthorshipstoseeifthereisconnrmingevidenceof COllaborationintheoutputoftheprograms. Inallofthesecases,afnrmativeevidenceofcolld)Orationamongcompetitorswas generallylacking.Thereisonlylimitedevidenceofprogramsorganizedinwaysthat WOuldinvoIvethemlXlngOfpersonnel丘omdiffbrentnrms.Wherecooperationdoesseem -189- toexist,itisplaJlnedbetweenparticipantswithcomplementaryinterests,inverticalor diagonallinkages・Eveninthesecaseshowever,theworkonbothsidesofthislinkageis largelyautonomous.Betweennrmsinthesamesector,Wenndstrongtendenciestoward insulationbetweennrmsandastructurewhichemphasizescompetitionratherthan COOPeration.Cooperationbetweencompetitors,Wewi11see,isverydimcult. Iwi11beginwiththethreedevicecasesandthenproceedtothesystemscaseS. J…’り血潮ノ〃/!ピバ聞 TheHighSpeedComputingSystemprqiectfbllowstheorganizationalstructureof alloftheprqjectsunderMITI’sFutureTechologiesfbrNextGenerationIndustries PrOgram.ThenmlSarenOminal1ycollectedintoaresearchassociationcreatedfbrthe Prqject,theScientincComputerResearchAssociation.Asinthecaseofallofthese aSSOCiationstheDirector,Mr.Miyazawa,hascomefiomMITIthroughanamakLLのri. Theomceisresponsiblefbrtheadministrative丘nctionsoftheprQjectandisstaffbdwith PerSOnneldispatched丘omeachofthecompanies. Withtheparticipantsadministrativelyhousedunderoneroof,doesthismeanthe nrmsarecollaboratingintheirR&D?TheomcialpositionoftheAssociationisthatthey are,andtheassociationprefbrsnottodiscussthedivisionofresponsibilitiesandlabor.In theirannualtechnicalreports,fbrexample,theworkofthefimlSislumpedtogetherina SynthesizeddescriptionofprogressinJosephsonjunctions.”Weencouragecooperation,” isthefbrmalresponse. Asalloftheparticipantswerecleadylaggingtheintemationalstandard,therewere emcierlCiestobegainedincollectiflgandsharirlgPublicinfbrmationtoimprovethisstatus. Interviewswithresearchersineachofthelaboratoriesindicatesthattherewassome exchangeoftechnicalinfbrmationabouttheirdevicedevelopmentearlyintheprogram,but theexchangebecamemoreformalizedandlessopenastheprogramadvanced.Eachnrm WaSCaPal)le,ultimately,Ofdevelopingandmarketingthedeviceonitsown,andeach COmPanyWOuldbeacompetitofinthematketplace.Thustheultimateorganizationneeded toconsiderthesesomewhatconnictingincentivestoshareandcompete. Sodespitetheomcialresponse,thisprqjectseemstobeaclassicexampleofa ”cooperative’’programinwhichtherewasfhrmoreinsulationbetweenthenrmsthan COOPeration・Thethreemanufhcturers,Hitachi,Fujitsu,andNECwereeachgivenseparate tasks・NECwasprimari1yresponsiblefordevelopingthememorydeviceandHitachiand Fujitsuwereasslgnedlogicdevices・Eachworkedinitsownlaboratorywithitsownstaff. -190- E氾minationofpublicationandpatentdatasupportsthisconclusion・Accessingthe JOISdatabaseofpublicationsfbrarticlesonJosephsonjunctionresearchpublishedby eachofthesefirmsinJapanese,WeCanSeeaSteadyincreasefiom1985to1989inFigure 47.Noneofthesepublications,however,WereWrittenjointlybetweenanyofthesethree firms,Orbetweenthesenrmsandothernrms・Theonlycasesofcooperativepublication werebetweenanrmanditsamliate,FujitsuandFujitsuCommunicationS(2cases),and betweenanrmandaprograminwhichitisparticipating,HitachiandtheGotoParametron Prqject(lcase). Patentapplicationdatarevealsasimi1arpattemofresearchinsulation.Figure48. showsthedatesorpatentapplicationsbythethreenrms,AlSTandMitsubishiElectriC. WeseeasigninmntincreaseinapplicationstwoyearsafterthestartoftheMITIprogram amongal1participants.Thereare,however,nOCaSeSOfjointapplicationSbetweenthe threenrms,andor11yonecasebetweenoneofthenrms,Hitachi,arldtheElectrotechnical labomtory. Until1986,allofthepatentsdevelopedbypr亘iectfundswerenominal1ylOO% OWnedbythegovernment.Asaresult,allofthepatentswereassignedtoAISTsoitis dimcultonthesurfhcetoknowwhetherthepre-1986paterltSWeredevelopedcooperatively betweennrms.Anexaminationofthesepatentapplicationsandtheirauthorship,however, revealsthatallcanbeattributedtoresearchersatMITI’sElectrotechnica11aboratory,nOttO thenrms.Patentapplicationssince1986wouldshowjointiI融itutionalownershipif-this OCCurred,andthedatadonotprovideevidenceofasinglecase. Thengureshows,however,thatthenrms,Ontheirown,becamequiteactivein Submittingapplicationsindependentlyoftheprogram・Whythisheavypatentactivity OutSideorbutnotwithintheprogram?Thereasonseemstostemffomanoperational ’’gentlemen’sagreement”whichallowsthenrmstoevadethegovemmentownershipissue byfbrmallysubmittingpatentsindependently,eVenifonecould,OnCloseinspection,make acasethatthepaterltCameOutOfthegovemmentprqject.Thiswouldpreservethe irlCentivetodevelopandapplyfbrpatentsamongthenmlSthatwoulddisappeariftheyhad togiveownershipentirelytothegovernment. Thuswherethereislittleneedtocooperate,nrmSWillnotdosojustbecausethey areina”cooperative’R&Dprogram.Eachofthenrmshadtheequipmentthatitneeded andenoughin-houseexpertise.Theincentivestocooperateastheygainedgreaterin-house Capabilitywerefbw. -191- JりubllCのl加工jnrlnTCOl J05[PHSONJL:TiC’TICNR[LへTCOPU!luC′\T:OT(5(.TIムpaTle父川YTll[TllREE「lRitS 36          37           SS S9          90 YCV Figure47 JoumalArticlesRelatedtoJosephsonJunctions J中仙仰山瓶用 lOSEP?50NJUNCTIONP.\TENTJ\PPuCATlONS8Y rOURSEL[CTED「ZRHS′\ND^lST 0     ∞ N u m LU ′,r 72 7] 74 75  75 77 73 79 30 31 3コ の 餌 35 Yca′ …醐冊拙腿裏罰闘鳳凰門ドl ?由田薗-= 留り蘭 ロトl汀SUB【5川こし上 題NEC 田Il汀′\C川 口FUJ汀SU ■′\ほ丁 Figure48  PatentApplicationsRelatedtoJosephsonJunctionsbyMmProgram Pa正id匹mb -192一 Finally,inadditiontothesenrmstherewasthegovemmentlaboratory.ETLhad thelongesthistoryinthisteclm0logyinJapan・Wasitasignincantnurturingfbrcefbrthe firms?AlthoughETLprovidedthetestingandevaluationexpertisefbrtheprogrzm,inthe WayOfresearch,ETLalsofblloweditsownpath.ResearchersatETLwerefieetoaddress al1elementsofaJosephsonjunctioncomputeranddidso・Theresultsoftheseseparate researchactivitiesarereI氾rtedseI氾rately丘omtheworkofthenrmsintheprogram’sfinal teclmicalreport,139withthesynthesisofthesedevelopmentscomingtogetherinETL’s developmentofafburchip”Josephsoncomputer”in1989.Thiswasdeveloped iIldependently丘omtheactivitiesofthenrms. TheoneimportantcontributionthatETLdidmaketotheactivitiesofthenrmswa5 itstestingofnewmaterialsfbrtheJosephsonjunction,Niobiumbasedalloysratherthan lead,Whichsomefbelwasthemostimpo血ttechnicaladvanceintheprqject.Thiswillbe describedinmoredetailwhendiscussingtheoutcomeoftheprogram. Outsideoftheprogram,PatentaPplicationsreveallittle additionalevidenceofffee COOPerationbetweenCompetingnrms.Insteadtheapplicationsntoneoftwopatterns. Eitherthejointapplicationwassubmittedbyakeiretsuafnliatednrm,Oritwassubmitted jointlywithanindividualoutsideofthenrm,typicalIyauniversityprofbssor,Orwitha govemmentlaboratory.Hitachi,Ltd.,Whichhadthegreatestnumberandvarietyofjoint applications,COOPeratedwitheithergoverrmentresearchorganiZations,12cases,Orwith oneofitsamliates:HitachiEngineering(3cases),HitachiMicroelectronics(3cases),and HitachiCable(lmse).Theotherfirmswithjointapplications,Whichtotaledll, COOPeratedwithindividualS,100fthe11,0ragOVernmentlaboratory,OneCaSe.Themost activeherewas?NipponKokanwhichhad27patentapplicationswithTokaiUniversityand Pror.Tachikawa.SharpandToshibafbllowedinrankwithtwojointapplicationseach. Gof0-9〟β乃山間F山JPdrd〝lerr()乃 FollowingastructureverytypicalofprqjectsintheERATOprogram,theQFP prqiectisorganizedaroundthreeprimaryresearchthemes,Withresearchinthreediffbrent locations.Thethreethemesarefundamentalproperties,magneticshielding,andcomputer architecture.ThenrstthemeisbeingresearchedinspacerentedfiomtheHitachiCentml ResearchhboratoryinKunitachi,OntheoutskirtsofwestemTokyo.Someoftheir PrincipaltasksaredevelopingtheQFPasalogicalandmemoryelementandasamagnetic 139DenshiGijutsuSogoKenkyuj0.0ataKo ′OGilutsuKenl uKaihatsu.Ka akuGiiutsu9 KosokuKeisanShisutemun建地虹旦上如上旦!互生_堕I垣_出し臼⊇避建aiRonbunshul,Tsukuba:Denshi Gi]utsuSogoKenkyujo,JunelggO. ー193一 nuxsensor,anddesigningtheQFPfbrthree-dimensionalintegrationasacomputer element・ThesecondthemeisbeingpursuedinspaceatthelaboratoryofULVAC,Japan inChigasaki,Withthegroupfocussingontheremovaloftrappednuxoidsinthemagnetic Shieldsandthedevelopmentofanemcientandreliの1eheliumliquiner.Thethirdgroup WaSinitiallylocatedatMitsuiZosenSystemsResearchinTokyo,Withtheirresearch targetingnewcomputerarchitecturebasedontheQFPandwritingthesoftware. TheQFPprQjectwouldatnrstseemlikeadifrirentfbrmofprqjectwhichwouldbe moreamenabletocooperation.RecallthatthefbrmalgoaloftheERATOprogramisto raisecreativemindsbyallowingthemtoconductresearchinadvancedneldsofscience. Formal1yresearchersthatparticipatemustleavetheirpositionsintheirhomeinstitutions andthenhavetheirsalariespaidfbrbyERATO.Theindependenceoftheindividualis furtheremphasizedinintellectualpropertypolicywithhalfoftheownershiporpatents goingtotheindividual,nOttheirhomenrm,andhalftoERATO’sparentorganization,the ResearchandDevelopmentCorporationofJapan(JRDC).Furthermore,inanominal attempttopreventasingle丘mfi・Omdominatingtheprogrzm,amaXimumoftwo researchersarepermittedtoparticipateintheprogram丘omthesameorganization.And nnally,inanattempttoreducetheinnuenceofinternalpeerpressure,theresearchmustbe COnductedinatleastthreedifTbrentlocations,withapreftrenceearlyintheprogramthat theselocationsbegeographicallydistributedIatherthanconcentrated.Withthisempha5is Ontheindividualandsafbguardsagainstcompanypressure,OnemightexpeCtthatifnot tnleCOllaboration,atleasta丘eemixingofresearcherswouldbeobserved,withtheir PurSuitofcreativesciencebeingtheprimaryinnuenceonbehavior. Inspiteofalloftheseadministrativesafbgtnrdsandthenear-basicstateofthe researchinthisarea,Wefindthatthecompetitiveinterestsofthenrmsagainbecomevery innuentialintheactualoperationoftheprogram. FromHitachi’SperSPeCtive,itwouldliketoexplorethefbasibilityofthepractical useofthisdevicefbreventualcommercialapplication.FromERATO’sperspective, althoughtheadvanceofthecreativescienceistheprincipalstatedgoal,theywouldliketo Showthattheirresearchisalsoofpracticalsignincance,Whichmeansthattheywouldlike nrmstotakeaninterestinfurtherdevelopingthetechnology.AndfbrProf.Goto’s PerSPeCtive,hewouldliketobothseethedevelopmentofhisideabeasuccessandseeits eventualapplication.Thustherewereincentivesamongal1threepartiestogivepri0rityto thepracticaldevelopmentofthistechnology,withthenominalgoalsoffbstering independentandcreativemindstakingalowerpositioninactualpri0rity. Midwaythroughtheprogram,thethreefhcilitieswereconsolidatedintoeffbctively twosites,withthecomputerarchitecturetaskatMitsuiZosenSystemsResearchmovingto -194一 Hitachi’sCentralResearchIJaboratory・Itwasstillaseparatehboratory,butmuchcloser inproximity・Prof二GotoechoedacommentaIsomadebyotherERATOleaders,Which WaSthatitismuchmorepracticalfbrtheadvzmceandmanagementoftheprogramtohave、 thefhcilitycloselylocatedratherthandispersedastheERATOomceinitiallydesired. Secondly,amOngthenveresearchstaffdrawnfromthenrms,allremainedwiththe hboratoryassociatedwiththeirhomeinstitutions.Thenrmsarenatural1ymoreinterested inkeepingtheirownstaffattheirresearchfhcilitywhichisperhapsonereasonwhythis PrOgram,1ikemanyERATOprograms,hastoreachouttoffeshuniversitygraduatesand fbreignresearcherstocompletetheresearchteam.Fiveoftheresearchersare丘om universitiesinJapanash・eShgraduatesor丘omresearchposts,andnvewereffom OVerSeaSinstitutions,Primarilyacademic. Thirdly,althoughthelimitoftwodispatchedresearchersisenfbrcedinthis PrOgramandgeneral1yobeyedinERATO,therearewaysofaddingapresenceifdesired. Thegroupleaderisnotcountedasresearchstaffandthisleaderistypical1yassignedbythe hostinglaboratory・SotheHitachisitegroupleaderwasfromHitachi,theULVACgroup leaderwas丘omULVACandtheMitsuisitegroupleaderwasfromMitsui.Inaddition, thejobofteclmicaladvisorisalsonotaresearchstafrposition,andthisindividualhasalso beendispatchedfiomHitachi.Andnnally,althoughnotapparentinthisprqject,anrmCan dispatchresearcherstoERATOatitsownexpenSe,arldtheseresearchersarenotcounted asERATOsbft Theneteffbctisthatthesepracticalincentivesandresponsesinorganizationcome todetermineactualoperation.Thetasksarecoordinatedbetweenthethreeresearchthemes, butthereseemslittlerelianceoninter-COreCOOPeration.Thenrmsparticipatefbrthe perceivedvalueofthetechnologyandorganizetotrytoexploitthattednology,Withthe morefbrmalgoalsofencouragingcreativityandenlightenmenttertiaryintheirpri0rities. Althoughdiffbrentinfbrm,ERATObecomesavehiclefbrthedevelopmentofanadvanced ideawithcommercialpromise,andtheopportunitytoappropriatethatpromise,hasa StrOnginnuenceontheparticipationofnrmsandtheoperationoftheprqject. 月73-£Jecrr(フJlかeVice∫ Perhapsanevengreatertestortheprecompetitivecooperationargumentisthe OrganizationoftheHTSElectronDevicesprqject.Herethefbrmalorganizationisagain COllectiveandthedistance丘omthemarketofthetechnologiesbeingdevelopedprobably quitebr. -195胃 Administrationoftheprq3cctwasplacedintheexistingResearchandDevelopment AssociationfbrFutureElectronDeviceswhichwasestablishedin1981toadministertwo PrqjectsinMITI’snewBasicTechnologiesfbrNextGenerationIndustriesProgram.Two committeeswerefbrmedtoguidetheprqject,OneaSteeringcommittee,theOverall InvestigationandSurveyCommittee,COnSistingof2ETLresearchers,4profbssors,and researchers丘omthe6companleS.AsecondwastheTechnologyPredictionCommitteefbr SuperconductingI)evices,COmPOSedofanETLresearcher,4profbssors,andlOcompany researchers.Thepurposeofthislattercommitteewastoassurethattheprqjectincorporates infbrmationd)OutneWdevelopmentsinHTSdevicesabroad. Theresearchtasks,however,Werelargelyinsulated.Aseachofthedevicesis discreet,eaChcaIlbeentirelydevelopedandappropriatedwithinthescaleofasinglenrms. Asaresult,eVenthoughtheseteclm010giesarefhr丘omcommercialiZation,theyarenot beingdevelopedcollaboratively.Thenrmsandtheirassignedresponsibilitiesareshownin Table17. Fortheresearchersinthenrms,thefundsagaiflPrOVidefbrthepurcha5eOf additionalrescarchequipmentandprovidelegitimacytopursuethisgeneralthemewithin thenrm.Althoughthenrmsareassignedonetheme丘omtheprqject,eaChnrmisonits OWnPurSuingparallelandrelatedthemeswithentirelyin-housesupport.Thegovernment Prqiectisthusleveragedfbrthesupportofabroaderrangeofresearch,andthisresearch moregenerallyleadsthe爪rmstoactascompetitorsratherthancooperators. Sincetheactualpromiseofthesedeviceswasgeneral1yunclear,theprogramwa5 designedtoaccommodatechangesattheendofeachofthetwointerimevaluationperiods. Goalscouldberedenned,teChnologiescouldbechanged,andfirmscouldbedroppedor added.Anerthenrstgeneralreviewoftheinlate-1990,thesixnrmskeptthesame thematicthrusts,buttwoadditionalnmlSWhichproposedintriguingideaswereadded. SumitomoElectricjoinedtheprogramtopursueasuperconductingchannel-type3-terminal device,andMitsubishiElectricjoinedtodevelopamicro-VaCuumtubewitha SuPerCOnductingemitter.Asintheoriginalsixnrms,thesetwonrmshadalsobeen P3LrticipatinginthefirstgeneIationelectrondeviceprqjects.SumitomoElectrichadbeen WOrkingonasuperlatticeMODFET,andMitsubishionanimagesignalprocessorusing StaCkedlarge-CapaCity,multi-functionalICteclm0logy. 胃196- Table17・ TechnicalresponsibilitiesofnrmsparticipatingintheHTS-EDprQject Ultra-HighSpeedDeviceTechnologies Pro恵mityE仔bctDcvices a) Fieldefrとctdesign b) Chargeipjectiondesign SuperconductorBaseDevices C) Low-energyirtjectiondesign d) High-energyiIづectiondesign New-FunctionalDeviceTeclm0logy SingleElectronTunIleling LocalizedStateTunneling も麗宣Ⅱ迫里血踵 Hitachi,Ltd. Toshiba SanyO OkiElectriC NEC f可itsu Thecasesofthesystemsprqjectswouldseemtopresentadditionalopportunities fbrcooperationbecauseofthevarietyofskillsneededfbrdevelopment.Butisthiswhat weobserve? InboththecasesoftheSuperGMprqjectandthesuperconductingsensorprQject, theorganizatior10ftheactivityshowsaclearcomplementarityofintereststhatarisesfiom thevarietyofskillsneededtodevelopsystemprototypes.Theorganizationalsoshowsthat nrmsinthesamesectorarenotexpeCtedtocooperate,andthatthetendencytoappropriate Stillstronglyinnuencestheshapeoftheorganization. ∫〃ハ・′’ピ′ノ′油′高明Jf!バーけ五亘、、G川ドHJ′)r AllofthenrmsparticipatingintheSuperGMprqjectareadministeredbythe EngineeringResearchAssociationfbrSuperconductiveGenerationEquipmentand MaterialS.TheDirector,Mr.Ageta,isonceagainanamakuTtZd丘omMITIandthestaff fbrtheassociationisprovidedbytheparticipatingnrms. -197- TheoverallorganizationoftheSuperGMprqjectrenectsthemaincomponent developmenttasksofthesystem.Theparticipantscanbecategorizedintofburmain developmentgroups‥SuperCOnductingcableandwiresuppliers,refhgerationdevelopers, OVerallgeneratorsystemdevelopers,andsystemsusers. However,Withineachofthegroupsshown,thereareseveralnrms.Therearesix firmSSuPplyingthesuperconductingcablesandwires,tWOnrmSreSpOnSiblefbrthe refhgerationsystem,threenrmschargedwithdevelopingthegenerator,andthreeutility Organizations.Sotwoquestionsariseregardingcooperation・Dothesenrmscooperate Wellwithinthegroups?Dothesenrmscooperatefreelybetweenthegroups? Anexaminationoftheresearchorgzmizationwithineachofthesegroupsreveals aboutthesamelevelofcooperationbetweerlCOmPetitorsthatwefbundintheJosephson junctioncase:1ittle.Theorganizationshowsthatthetasksofthenrmsinthesamegroup arealldiscreet,andthattheorganizatiorlaldesigndoesnotrelyonanycooperation OCCurring.Competitorsarenotexpectedtocoopemte. Table18showsthetechnologicalassignmentsfbreachnrm・Eachofthethree generatormanufhcturerswereassignedresponsibilityfbrthreediffbrent70MVA PrOtOtyPeS.Hitachiwasassignedtheslowexcitationresponsedesignwhichwould employahighstibilitysuperconductordesign.Toshibawasgivenadiffbrentslow excitationresponsegeneratorwhichemployedahighstabilitydesign,andMitsubishiwaS givenresponsibilityfordevelopingaquickexcitationresponsemachinewithahighcurrent density.Maekawaisgivenresponsibilityfbrproducingtherefhgerationequipmentfbrthe 70MVAunitanddividesresponsibilitywithIHlfordif托rentaspectsoftheeventual200 MVArefhgerationsystem. Whereitmightseemthatcooperationmightoccurbecauseoforganizational Placementisbetweenthevariouscablemanufhcturers.FurukawaElectriC,Sumitomo ElectricandHitachiCableareal1assignedtotheslowresponsemachinesandboth FurukawaElectricandSumitomoElectricareassignedtothefhstresponsemachine.But investigationoftheiractivitiesrevealsthatthereisminimalcooperationoccurringbetween thesenrms. Asinthecaseorthegeneratorandre餌gefationmanufhcturers,reSearChinthecabie andwirenrmsisdoneatthehomelaboratoryandthereisnoexchangeofresearchers betweennrms.Communicationoccursthroughmorefbrmaltechnicalgatherings,Which OCCuratSOmelevelonabimonthlybasis,andnoneofthetasksdefinedfbranyofthe membersreliesoncooperatiorlbetweennrmsinthesamebox.Accordingtosources invoIvedintheprqject,thecompetitionbetweenthecd)1eandwirenrmsisthegreatest -198- Table18 TechnicalAssignmentsofParticipantsinSuperGM Equiprnent Firm GenemtOrS 70MVA slow re5I氾nSe,山かlStab山け 70MVA slowresponse,highcurTeIlt 70MVA fastresponSe.lowlosS Rehgemtion High reliability system for70MVA prototype Refrigeradonfor the200MVA system, Oil-free screw Refrigeration forthe200MVA system. Oiトturbine NbTiwire Slow respon5e generatOrS Fa5t reSPOnSe generatOr Manufacturing methods NbSn3wire Slow response model Manufactunng methods Hitachi,Ltd. MitsubiShi Electric Toshiba Maekawa Maekawa lHl Furukawa,Sumitomo, Hitachi Cable Furukawa,Sumitomo Furukawa,Sumitomo, Ⅱ血chi Cable Furukawa.Fl】jikura Furukawa,Sumitomo,FujihTa. Hitachi Cable,Showa,Kobe Stl becausethematerialthattheyareprovidingtotheprqjectiscasescommerciallyavailable, andthusrelevanttotheirmarketactivities.M毎OradvancesinNbTicablearenotrequired fbrtheprototypes,andNbSn3development,Whichwi11notbeusedintheprototypes,is developmentthatthesenrmswereconductingpriortothestartoftheprqject.Because thesematerialstouchdirectlyupontheircommercialinterests,thereislittledesireto COOperateandtheprogramanticipateslittle. -199- Toadlievesomeoftheeconomiesofscalewhileatthesimetimeaccommodating thesecompetitiveincentives,ateStingcenterhasbeenestablishedforconductingsomeof thehighneldexperiments.UsingspaceinCRIEPI’sresearchlaboratoryintheKomae areaofTokyo,thefhcilitywi11havealargetestingapparatuswhichcangeneratea7telsa magneticneldandlOtonsofmechanicalpressure.Tbisdeviceisintendedtotestthe Stabilityofthesuperconductingwiresthatwi11beusedintherotorunderabnormal, tranSientenvironmentswhichmightoccurintheeventofasystemerror. Whataboutcooperationbetweentheboxes?DoesthisappeartObesomething Whichhappensfreely?Whilethereisofcoursesomelevelofcooperation,therelationships betweenthecableandwirefirmsandthegeneratorprototypedevelopersintheprqject Showsacoordinationofcomplemerltaryinterestsbutcompetitiollbetweentheprincipal developers. Recal1fromourearlierdiscussionthatmanyofthecableandwirenrmsinJapan Wereengagedinlong-termandoftenexclusivearrangementswithsystemsmanufhcturers. ThemostexclusiveamngementswerebetweenHitachiCableandHitachi,andShowa CableandToshiba.FurukawaElectricandSumitomoElectricarethelargestintegrated manufhcturers,Withtheabilitytogo丘omrawmaterialtomagneticproductareare general1ylessboundbythesesupplier-developerties. Table19summarizesthelinkagesbetweenthematerialssuppliersandsystems developers・Mostnotably,HitachiCableisseentosolelysupplyHitachi,Ltd.andnotthe Otherprototypedevelopers.Thetwointegmtedcdblemanufhcturers,FurukawaElectric andSumitomoElectricnndthemselvesintheadvantageOuSPOSitionof’notbeinglimitedby exclusiverelationshipsandcanserveal1threedevelopers.Showa(hbleisgeneral1ykept totheside,alongwiththemoreminorcabledevelopers,KobeSteelandFqjikuraCable. ThesenrmsaregiventhetaskofdevelopingthemoreadvancedNbSn3tyPeOf SuPerCOnductingwirematerialwhichisnotplannedfbruseduringthecurrentprqject. Thesenrmsarethusnotteamedwithoneofthesystemsmakers・ Thusthetwomoreintegratednrmswithoutkeiretsurelationshipsarecooperating Withallofthemanufhcturers,Whereasthenrmwiththeprimarykeiretsurelationshipsticks Withitspartner・Amongthesematchednrmsthen,Wherethekeiretsuexisted,itpersisted・ Insum,COOperationbetweencompetitorsisnotdesignedintotheorganization. ∫坤erCO乃血C血g∫どれ∫Or - 200胃 Table19  RelationshipsBetweenMaterialsSuppliersandSystemsUsers Furukawa Sumitomo Hitachi Fujikura Showa Kok Electric Electric Cable Cable Steel Hitachi,Ltd. Toshiba Mlt5ubishi Electric 1     1     イ 1     1 1     1 Primcipally(NbSr13W止e)               1_____1___ノ_…__ Inthecaseofthesuperconductingsensorprqject,however,Wemightexpectthatan exampleofcooperationamongcompetitorscannnallybefbund.TherulesoftheKey TechnologyCenterrequirethattheseconsortiaestablishthemselvesatjointcenters,with theconsortiahavingownershipoveranypatentsandknow-howdeveloped.Thusthereis acentralfhcilityinTsukubawithindividualsdispatchedfromtheirhomeinstitutionsfbr twotothreeyearrotations.LikeERATO,theKeyTechnologyCenterdesiresanarmsdistancepolicywiththehomeinstitutions. LikemostR&DorientedKTCinvestmentprQjects,eValuationsareconductedat bothstrategicandresearchplanninglevels.Atthestrategiclevel,aSteeringcommitteewi11 begatheredtwiceayeartodiscussthegeneraldirectionandthrustofthecenter.These COmmitteemembersincludeuniversityproftssors,Seniorresearchers丘omthegovemment laboratory(ETL),andupperlevelmanagementfiomtheparticipatingcompanies.Atthe researchlevel,departmentandsectionheads丘omtheparticipatingnrmswi11gather togetherwithETLresearchersaboutfburtimesayeartoreviewresearchprogressandto makeincrementalchangesinresearchstrategy. Thusonthesurfhce,thisseemslikeaplausiblearrangementbecausetheteclm010gy isasubstantialadvancebeyondthecurrentstate-0手the-art,andasubstantialleapbeyond thecurrentresearchactivitiesadmittedtobytheparticipatingnmlS.Thefbrmalargument POSedbyparticipantsisthatdevelopmentofthistypeofmultichanneldeviceistoogreata riskfbranysinglenrm.140 Whetherornotthisistrue,thenrmsstillseemtogalninanumberofareas.One SuChareacouldbethedevelopmentofthecontrolandanalysISalgorithms.Software 140 NihonDenshiKogyoShinkoKyokai, ⊆旦長生立地型』旦辿地P.5. KodoSeitaiJibaKeisoku Shisutemu niKansuru 胃201- developmentisaskillatwhichJapanesearestillrelativelyweakatrelativetotheiroverseas competitors,SOthepoolingofresourcestoaddressthisweaknessandthecommontraining providedcanbeseenasacollective,tranSferableoutcomeoftheactivity・Asecondarea wouldbethesystemsintegrationknowledgegainedthroughthedevelopmentprocess・As advancesneedtobemadeonanumberofteclmical丘onts,andtheseadvancescombined, 銭mlSeXPeriencedinbotharelikelytohaveanadvantageintheeventualdevelopmentof c。mmerCialdevices.Beingoutoftheprqiectmeansbeinghandicappedshouldsuch knowledgebeeffbctivelydeveloped・ Atnrstglanceitthusseemsasthoughtheadministrativerequirementsofthe programandthepotentialcollectivegainsoftheteclm010gywouldprovidefbrthatelusive cooperationamongcOmpetitorsonadvancedprototypeteclm010gies・ Actualpractice,however,Showsanorganizationalfbrmwhichmuststillbe responsivetothecompetitiveinterestsofthemainparticipants・ Theparticipantsinthisresearchcorporationbringexpertiseinthreeareas:SQUID basedtechnologiesandsensors,refhgeration,medicaldiagnosticsoflware,andmagnetic shielding・Table201iststhenrmsandtheprincipalrelevantSkillwhichtheybringtothe Table20  ParticipatingFirmsandTheirExpertise Hitachi YokogawaElectric SumitomoElectric SeikoEpson ULVAC Toshiba Daikin TakerLakaConstruction JosephsonJunCtions,MedicalequlPment, ParallelprocesslngSO鉦waTe SQUIDs,Medicalequipment SQUⅡお,Medicalequipment, Magneticshielding SQUⅡ)S,hecisionsensors S(〕UIDs MedicalequlPment RehgeralionequlPment Conventionalmagneticshielding -202- Figure49  RelationshipBetweenFirmsinthePrq5ect SupportingequlPment →→→→ Systems ←←←←← Sensors Da血 (Rehg訂癒on) TakenakaConstruCtion (Ma伊leticshie】di乃g) ↓ ↓ ↓ 」 ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ ↓ Hitachi YokogawaElectdc ShimadzuMfg ToShiba ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ ↑ SumitomoElectric SeikoEpson ULVAC program,andFigure49showstherelationshipsbetweentheirprlnCipalteclmical resporlSibilitiesfbrtheprqiect. HitachihasdoneratherextensiveresearchonJosephsonjunctionsfbrcomputers andistheonlysuchnrmintheconsortia.YokogawaElectricandSumitomoElectrichave beenconductingresearchonSQUIDdevices,aStOalesserextenthaveSeikoEpsonand ULVAC.SumitomoElectricisalsotheprimarysupplierofhightemperature SuPerCOnductingmaterialsfbrthisprqject.I)aikinisamajormanufhcturerofrefrigeration equipment,includingliquidheliumrefhgeration,andTakanakaConstructionbringsskills inmagneticshielding.ForTakanaka,advancesinHTSarethoughttoholdsignincant promisefbrmagneticshieldingconstructioninlargebuildings. Toencouragesomesenseofequaltreatmentandcooperation,theconsortiawillbe rotatingitsdirectorshipamongthethreemaininvestors,andwillselectaresearchleader 丘omanationallaboratoryratherthanoneofthenrms.Administrativeleadershipofthe COnSOrtiaisscheduledtorotateeverytwoyearswithHitachisendingthenrstadministrative head,Dr.MitsuoAi,YokogawaElectricfbllowingwiththenexttwoyearposting,and SumitomoElectricassigningthennalhead.Thesethreenrmsaccountfbr75%ofthetotal nrminvestment.Todirecttheresearch,thememberssoughtanindividual丘omamore neutralorganization,WhichleadtotherecmitmentofDr.Kato,areSearCher丘omthe ElectroteclmicalI.hboratory. 一203- Inthebeginningyearoftheprqject,itisanticipatedthat20researcherswi11be activatedtoconductsimulations,Paperanalyses,andtohelppreparethelaboratory・Once fhllyoperating,thisnumberisexpectedtogrowto30. Whatisalsoclear,however,isthattheseSSLnrmsbringcompetitiveintereststo theendcavor.HitachiandYokogawaElectriC,tWOOfthethfeePrOgramleaders,Shimadzu Manufhcturing,andthenewadditiontotheprqject,Toshiba,areJapan’sleading manufhcturersofsophisticatedmedicalequipment.Thesenrmsare,fbrexample,Japan’s topfburfirmsinsalesofMRIdevices. Thusinprogramoperation,COOperationisonlypartial1yachieved,Withthe COmpetitiveinterestsofthenrmsplayinganinnuentialroleintheexecutionoftheresearch. Althoughthereisacentralresearchfhcility,muChofthehardwafereSearChwi11conducted bytheparticipantsintheirhomelaboratories.Atthetimeofthiswritingtheso什ware developmentatthecentralfhcilityisunderway,butthereiSStillnegotiationoverhowthe hardwareresearchwillbecoordinated.Whiletheso什warewritingismoresuitedtobeing aco11ectiveactivitybecauseot.thecriticalmassneededfbrtimelydevelopmerlt,the hardwarecomponentscanbelargelydevelopedbythenrmsintheirownlal)OratOries,and thisiswhattheywouldliketodo.SoinactualoperatioIl,COmPetitiveinterestsagainlead toadividedresearchstruCture. Asecondareaofconnictwithconsortiagoalsisintheassignmentofresearch PerSOnnel.141Theconsortiaandthenrmsnegotiateoverthenecessaryskillsfbradvancing theresearch,butthenrmsgenerallydecideontheparticularindividuals.Moreimpottantly, 丘omtheperspectiveoftheconsortia,itisgenerallydesiredthattheresearchersremainas longaspossiblesothattheleamingthatisacquiredduringthenrstfbwyearsisnotlost duetoapersonnelchange.142However,丘omtheperspectiveofthenrm,itisdesiredthat usefu1know-howdevelopedbytheresearchersbeintegratedintothecomparly’sown researchinatimelymanner.Andnnally,丘omtheperSPeCtiveoftheresearcher,an extendedd)SenCe丘omthenrmcanbeahandicaptoone’scareerasoneisremovedfiom WOrkthatisconsideredclosertothekeyinterestsofthenrmoritsprontibility.Thusan absenceoflongerthantwotothreeyearsislessdesirablefbrone’scareerdevelopment.In 141First.ythereisthepractica-problemofcostreimbursement・TheKeyTechnoJogyCenteronly reirnbursesthefirmsforthedirectsaJaryofthedispatchedemployee,SOthefirmisJefttheburden Ofatloverheadcostssuchashousingandbene甫ts・Tothefirn唱then.dispatchingworkersmeans addingtoitscosts. 142Dr・Aiandothershavecommentedthattwotothreeyearsisoftentheminimumneededto becomewe”versedinresearchinthetechnotogy. 胃204- thecaseoftheplanningfbrthisprQject,aSWellasinmostoftheKeyTechnologyCenter Prqjects,143thecooperativeyieldstothemorecompetitiveinterestsoftheparticipants. 仕早川h高′順バ∫間=′MJT Inallcasesweseethatsomecommunicationbetweennrmsdidoccur,butwas centeredaroundtheformationoftheprqject.Theplanningandleamingprocessappearsto haveprovidedthegreatestopportunityfbrcooperation.Atthisphaseofidentifyingwhat rleedstobedone,thereisalevelofuncertaintyandignorancewhichencouragesmutual 1eaming,againlargelywithpublicinfbmlation.Astheresearchprogressed,andthefirms becamemoreconndentaboutwhattheyweredoing,thenowofinfbrmationbetween COmPetitorsdiminished. WhentherlationallaboratoriesareinvoIved,WeSeethatalthoughtheyareprimari1y interestedintheirownresearchtheyserveimportantrolesinprogramguidanceand teclm0logytransfbr.Itisclearthatthenational1d)OratOriesaremostinterestedintheuseOf thefundsfromthenationalprqjectstopromotetheirownresearchinthearea.Theyhave generalautonomyinsettingtheiTreSearChpanandonlyIleedto’’consider”thewotkthat thenrmshavebeenassigned. Therefbretheprqjectbudgetreceivedisamajorboon fbrthenational1aboratory researchers.RecallalsothattheirstafrcostsaresupI氾rtedbytheregularlaboratory budget,andthatequipmentfundsarenormal1yverytightintheusualoperatingbudget. Thusfundsreceivedfbrparticipatinginanationalprqjectcanbeusedalmostsolelyfbrthe PurChaseofnewldboratoryequipment,Whidmakesthemveryhappyastheycanbetter PurSuetheneldastheyfbelbest. InthecaseoftheJosephsonjunctionpr亘iect,WeSaWthatETLmadeanimportant technicalcontributiontothewofkofthenrrnswithitsdevelopmentofmoreworkable NiobiumalloyJunCtions.Howeverthistypeofcontributionseemsrare.hsteadthe laboratoriesservetheprogramsbyprovidinganeutralposition丘omwhichtheprogressof thenrmscanbeevaluated,tOalevelatwhichtheMITIheadquartersstaffcouldnotcome Closetoachieving,andbyactingasanagentofinfbrmationtransfbrbetweenthenrms. Thislatterrolehasparticularpotentialwhentheresearchofthelabomtoriesisevaluated highlybythenrms,aSETL’sworkwasregardingJosephsonJunctions.Thenrmsthen 143GeraldHane,昼型型塑型吐凸型堕垣裏道I垣盛運_塾竺型匹丸型迫旦旦堕垣旦皿旦吐j上し也迫虹 生地吐並旦_旦[!担也空也氾ユ虹辿虚廷迦墜旦辿麺塾PNL-7315,RichIand:PacificNorthwest Laboratory,June1990. 胃205- Seekthelaboratoriesadvice,andthisbecomesaneffbctivemeansofkeepinginfbrmed abouttheprogressofthenrms・ Themostimportantpointhereisthatinthesystemsprqjects,insteadofcooperation betweencompetitors,Wewitnesscoordinationbetweennrmswithcomplimentaryinterests. ThelackofsharinginsupposedlyprecompetitiveresearchhasalsobeenobservedbyLuke GeorghiouinhisstudyoftheAIveyprogram.Henotedthat’’InAlvey,70%ofthe ParticipantsworkednotwiththeirriValsbutwithcompaniesthathadcomplementary skills.叩144 CompetitorsinthemarketlaTgelyremaincompetitorsintheprQject・Butbecause thenationalhboratoryresearchersanduniversityprofbssorsadvisingtheprqjecthave accesstoinfbmational)Outfirmadvances,theyactasinfbrmationcentersthroughwhich nrmscanmonitoreachother’sprogress.Competitionthushasthepositiveeffbctof acceleratingthepaceofdevelopmentasthenrmstrytokeepupwitheachother.Insteadof Organizingfbr”precompetitivecooperation,’’wewitness’’procompetitivecoordinatioバ’ Measuresofprojectimpact-thebenefitstothefirmandindustry Intheend,WhatisimportantabouttheprQjectistheextenttowhichitaffbcts innovation.Companieswi11arguethatthesegovemmentpromotedR&Dprogramshave becomeincreaslnglyperipheralasthenrmshavebecomemuchstrongerandcan individuallysupportthereseardthattheyareinterestedinpursuing.Theyarguethat Participationissimplytokeepthegovernmentappeased.Bycontrast,OVerSeaSWeStill 丘equentlyhearthecommentthatthesegovemmentpromotedprogramshavebeencentral COmPOnentOftheadvanceofindustriesinJapan,enablingthecountrytoleap丘ogindustrial levelsintheUnitedStatesandEurope.Whatwewillnndinthefbllowinganalysisisthat bothofthesestatementsseemlargelyincorrectwhenappliedtothecasesstudieshere.To understandthisandtogetaviewoftheraJlgeOfpossibleimpactsofthepr亘iectonthe teclm010gyandtheindustryIwillapproachthediscusSionintwolevels. Atonelevelthereistheimpactoftheprqiectontherelativedevelopmentofthe SpeCinctedmology.Thisisanarrowlydennedviewoftheimpactoftheprqject, fbcussingonthelevelofdevelopmentofthetechnologyandthelevelofnrmeffbrtcredited tothegovernmentprogram. AtasecondlevelistheimpactoftheR&Dprqiectontheindustrymoregenerally andthemarkets.Thisisintendedtobeamuchmoremacrolevelanalysiswhichconsiders 144JaneBird,OP.Cit. -206肩 thesizeoftheprQjectrelativetotheactivityintheindustryingeneral,theim匹Cttheprqject SeemStOhaveinspurringsimilarR&Dactivityatothernrms,thedevelopmentofinternrmsrelationships, thedevelopmentofinter-firmnetworksandtheim関CtOnindustrial diffusion,thedevelopmentofcomplementaryassets,andtheimpactofthetechnologyin themafketplace.Itisincreasinglyarguedthatitistheseindustry-Wideeffとctsthatarethe realbenentofthenationalprograms,withtheactudR&DprQjectssimplybeingtooIsto achieveagenerallevelingupoftheindustry. Alloftheseprqjectsareveryrecentlycompletedorstillunderway,SOtheevaluation Oftheirultimateimpactiscertainlypremature.Howeversomeusefhlcommentscanbe madegiventhecurrentrelativelevelofadvanceoftheindustry. Impacton thefirmarLd targetedtechnol0gy Havetheseprogramshadasignincantefrbctonthenrmsandthedevelopmentof thetechnology?Byexaminingthecontributionoftheprogramtothelevelofresearchin thenrmsandtherelativelevelofadvanceinthetechnologyachieved,SOmePerSPeCtivecan begainedintothisquestion. Whatweleamisthatinalloftheseprograms,theleveloftechnologyisraised丘om OneinwhidlthestateoftheartinJapancleadylaggedtheintemationalfrontier,tOOnein Whichitonparwithorperhapsastepmoreadvancedthaninternationalperfbrmanceof COmParhbleresearchprototypes.Howeveradvancesareincrementalratherthan revolutionary. Thisdoesnotmeanthatallofthetechnologicalchallengeswhichneedtobemetfbr marketapplicationhavebeenovercome.Insomecases,ratherlargebarriersremainwhich needtobesoIvedbefbrethereisanyimpactontheindustry.ThuswhiletheprQjectscan general1ybearguedtobeinnuentialinlevelingupthestateofthetechnologytheymaybe Oflittlesuccessinovercomingbarrierstocommercialpenetrationthathavestifled researchersabroad. 上目ーピ/可.1ピバl小〃バIJ高でJrり′ト/J‘址、’ピ〃(UJ Forallofthecasesinvestigatedhere,aSWellasfbrthecasesinsuperconductivity describedinthehistoricalreview,SuPPOrt丘omthegovemmentprogmmrepresentsa SigninCantlevelofthenrmsoverallparticipationinthisarea.nereis,however,SOme SeParationinthelevelofparal1elactivitydependingontheuncertaintyoftheteclm0logy andtheultimatecommercialpotential.Asonewouldexpect,thegreaterthepotential 胃207- marketsandmoremoderatetheuncertainty,themoremoderatethegovernmentsupport. Wheremarketsaremorenarroworuncertaintieshigh,thegoverrmentplaysamoremajor role.ThelevelsofstafrcommittedtothegovemmentprqjectasaperCentageOfthestafr doingparallelworkareshowninTable21・TheJosephsonjunctionprqject,HTS-ED,and QFPareal1aimedatthesameprincipalmarket,COmPuterSignalprocessing,andrankin extentofgovernmentsupportaccordingtouncertainty. Althoughthecompaniesparticipatingineachoftheseprqjectsbecameincreasingly wealthyoverthe1980,S,thelevelofgovemmentsupportstillrepresentedasigninmnt shareofthenrm’sactivitiesinthesetechnologies. InthecaseoftheJosephsonjunction,thegovemmentprogramaccountedfbr40to 60%ofeachnrmsJosephsonjunctionactivity.Itwasciosert040%befbreIBMdropped outinl983,butdidfbrashorttimecomecloseto80%fbrsomenrmsjustafterIBM droppedout.TheexitofIBMcausedsomenrmStOlargelyabandontheirin-house Josephsonjunctionresearch,SOMITIsupportwasparticularlyimportantfbrcertainactors inthisperiod.Thuswhenmeasuredbythelevelofin-houseversusMITIprqテect SuPPOrtedR&D,theMITIprqjectisclearlyinfluential. Forthenrms,thecontinuingaccesstofundsoverthelengthoftheprqiectandthe Pri0rityplacedonthisprqjectaspartofanationalR&Dactivitygaveresearchmanagers leverageintemallytoincreasesta珂andallcompaniesdid.Inthisarea,allofthenrms Wererelativelynewcomersandallhadrelativelysmal1stafhinthebeginning.Fujitsuwas consideredthestrongestoftheindustryatthetime,butstillonlyhadontheorderof5 researchers.Prqjectparticipationwouldallownrmstomorethandoublethissize.For nrms,ParticipationwasameanSOfmoreaggressivelyaddressingaweakactivity・ IntheJosephsonjunctionprqiect,itwasalsotruethatitwasonepartofamuch largerhighspeedcomputerprqiectwhichoffbredsubstantialhndsfbrtheindustry ParticipantS.Thisprqjectwasanotherinaseriesofcomputerprqjects,andthough COmPanyeXeCutiveshaveincreasinglydiscountedtheimportancethisfbrmofgovemment aidasthetheyhavebecomericher,theovemllprqjectstillmeanttheavailabilityof23 billionyenthatcouldlargelygotoresearchmaterialsandequipment. InthecasesoftheHTS-EDandtheQFPprqiects,thelevelofin-houseresearchis estimatedtobesomewhatsmaller,reneCtingtheincreasedriskoftheprqiects.HTS electrondevicesarepoorlyunderstoodtechnologies,withthecompatibilityofthematerials andthedevicedesignsveryuncertain.HerethelO-40%isthepercentageofallfirmstaff COnductingworkthatisverysimilar.TheQFPisasirlgledeviceofunclearpotentialsowe nnditwiththegreatestlevelofsupport.Firmsasserttobedoingnegligibleindependent 一208- Td)1e21  PercentofFirmReseardlerSConductingIn-HouseParallelResearchinthis Areal45 Teclm010gy PercentofParallelIn-HouseWork Josephsonjunction HTSElectronicDevice QuantumElectronicFlux MagnetoencephalogTaPh 40-60% 10-40% 0% 30-50% SuperconductingGenerator    0-10% in-houseresearchonthisdevicebecauseitshighuncertaintyonlywarraJltSalimited COmmitmentofstafr,Whetheritisthenrmorthegoverrmentthatpays. ThetwosystemsprqjectsalsoinvoIveasubstantialfiactionofgovemmentsupport. Thisislargelybecauseofthescaleoftheinvestmentandthenarrownessofthemarket. IntheSuperGMcaseinparticular,thegoalisatleastinparttoachieveasocial O句ectivewheresemi-PublicorganiZationsarethecustomers,SOthegovemmentbearsmore OftheburdenoftheR&D.Mostoftheresearchatthesenrmsnowrelatingtoa SuPerCOnductinggeneratorisandhashistoriCallybeensupportedbythegovemment.h themethisissimilartothethelinearmotorcarprogramdescribedinaneadiersection.In thelinearmotorcarcase,thecustomerissolelythegovemmentwiththegovemmentin turnsupportingvirtuallyallofthedevelopmentcosts. Inallcasescoveredinthissetofcasestudies,itseemsthatthefundingprovidedby thegovemmentprogramisasignincanthctionofthatprovidedbythenrms.Asone WOuldexpectthegreaterthepotentialcommercialmarketfortheteclm0logy,Orthemore activethecompetitioninitsdevelopment,thegreaterthelevelofmatchingin-house research.Inal1cases,fimsindicatedthatthelengthandstabilityofgovefrmentSuppOrt helpsthemmaintainin-housesupportfbrsimi1arresearch. 145RecallthatthisisdifferentfrompercentagecostsasthecompaniesarenotfuTIyreimbursed forthefuJJcostsoftheiremployees・ -209- Displacement? Onemightwonder,however,Whetherornotthegovemmentworkissimply displacingprivatesectorworkthatwouldhaveoccurredinanycase.Inallcasestherewas SOmeprivatesectorR&Dthatprecededgoverrmentalparticipation,butitappearsthatinall CaSeSthegovernmentworkacceleratedprivatesectorinvoIvementfhsterthanwouldhave occurredinthed)SenCeOfaprogram:enhancementratherthandisplacement・ InthecaseoftheJosephsonjunctionprqject,WeCanSeeaSignincantincreasein patentapplicationsanertheinitiationofthegovemmentprograminl980・IBM’s invoIvementwasknownwellbefbrethisandtherewerenosignincanttechnicaladvanCeS announcedintheperiodprecedirlgthisrisetoexplaintheeffbctasbeing丘omsomethirlg otherthanthegovemmentprogram.ThisisfurtherconnrmedwhenIBMlefttheneldin l983.Somemakersreducedtheirsta鮪toapointthatthein-houseworkwaslargely SuppOrtedbygovemmentfunds・ThecontinulnggOVemmentPrOgramSuStainedin-house work. Intheca5eOftheHTS-ED,thegovemmentprqjectappearstocomplementin-house WOrkandwillsustaincompanyactivityfbrataminimum,thetermoftheprQject.This lattercommentisalsotrueofthesystemsprqjectswhichwouldnotlikelybetakenup becauseoftheirscaleandnarrowmarkets. Theonecasewherethereisevidenceof’displacementistheERATOparametron Prqject.TheprincipalnrminvoIved,Hitachi,WaSCOOperatingwithProf.Gotoonthe developmentoftheparametronbeforethestartoftheERATOprQject.WhentheprQject began,Hitachi’sin-housefundingofthestafrwassimplyreplacedbyERATOfundingof thestafr Howeverthesizeoftheeffbrtincreased4to5fbldanditnowtookahigherlevel Ofvisibilityandadministrativesupportinthenrm. 上件gJqfreCわれOJo幻7月eJのveroJ乃rer71の0乃dJ∫rC乃ddrd Seeingthattheseprogramsareinnuentialinacceleratingthelevelofeffbrtdirected tothedevelopmentofthesetargetedteclm010gies,WeCOmetOthenextquestionofwhether thishasasignincantteclmicaloutcome.I)otheprogramsleadtosignincantadvancesin thetechnologieswhencomparedagainsttheintemationalstate-Of-the-art? Unfbrtunatelyfbrmostoftheprqjectsselectedforthissystemsanddevices discussion,WeCanOIllytalkabouttheexpectedplaceofthetechrl0logyasthefeSearChis Stillunderway.TheJosephsonjunctionprqjectistheonlyonefbrwhichwehavedataon Prqjectcompletion,SOIwillfbcusonitfbrthisdiscussion.TheJosephsonjunctioncase ー210- PrOvidesaninterestingexampleofaprqjectwhichmetmostofitsprototypedevicegoals, butwhichwi11probablyhavelittleimpactonitsintendeduseincomputingsystems.The Japanesenrmsthatparticipatedemergedasinternationalleadersinthetechnology,butwith 1ittleprospectofapplyingtheteclm0logyinsuperCOmPuterS:thefirmsgaineda technologiCalstrengthbutlittleindustrialadvantage. Asmentionedearlier,theJapaneseprograminitiallymimickedthatofIBM, fbcusingonleadalloybasedJosephsonjunctions.However,1eadjunctionshadcertain Weaknesses.146Theirelectrontunnelingcharacteristicscouldchangeovertimewhen StOredatroomtemperature.ElementssuchasIn,AuandBi,fbrexample,Candiffuse fromotherelectroniccomponentsintotheleadmatrix,CanCellingtheJosephsoneffbct・In addition,becauseleadismechanicallyso丘,thejunctionsfhiledeasilywhenintegratedinto devices. OnSeptember23,1983,tWOyearSintotheMITIprqject,theneldworldwidewas glVenaSurPrisewhenIBMannouncedataworkshoponJosephsonjunctiontechnologyln LakeTahoe,Califbmia,thatitwassuspendingitslargeR&DpTOgraminJosephson technology.147IBMfiltthatrapidadvancesinsemiconductortechnologywerereducin thecomparativespeedadvantagesoftheJosephsonjunctionsandIBMfdtthatitwouldbe extremelydimculttodesignacachememoryfbraJosephsoncomputer.148 IntheindustryinJapaningeneral,PatentaPPlicationactivityrenectsthisevent, withanoticeabledropinsubmissionsduringthe1983-1984period.Thiswasseenearlier inFigure3.46. FortheprqiectparticipantsthiswasamqjorunexpeCtedeventastheelectronicgiant thattheyweretargetingtoovercomedroppedoutoftherace.Duringthisperiodof-Crisis, itwasunclearwhetherthispartoftheoveral1supercomputerprqjectwouldcontinue.One makerreduceditsin-housestafrby50%renectingaloweredpri0rity,andonlyHitachi Claimstohavemaintainedastablelevelofactivity. Thequestionremainedaboutwhetheritwaswisetocontinuethecurrenttrqjectory aimedatthetechnologyoftheindustry’sleader,Whentheleaderitselfabandonedthe OPtion.Fortheprogramtocontinueitwasgenerallyagreedthatarevisedapproachwas needed. ThisiswhensometimelyadvisewasprovidedbyMITI’sElectrotechnical LaboTatOry.ETLpressedfbrash沌intechnologiCalemphasis丘omthelead-basedIBM 146日isaoHayakawa,P・嶋. 147ArthurRobinson,一旧MDropsSuperconductingComputerProject:Science,VoI.222, November4,1983,PP.492-494. 148日isaoHayakawa.p.46;andArthurRobinson・ ー211- pri0ritytotherehctorymaterials・Incontmstwithlead-basedjunctions,reflaCtOry superCOnductors,SuChascompoundsofniobiumaremechanicallyhard,andthusexhibit higherstdbilityandreliability.Theproblemtothattimehadbeenthatattemptsto manufhcturejunCtionshadbeenplaguedbythefhctthatNiobiumischemicallyactiveand reactseasilywiththeinsulatingmaterialsusedinthejunCtionbarrier・ ResearchersatBellLaboratorieshadsuccessfu11yproducedrefiactorybased junctions,andETLfurtheradvancedthiswofk,nOtinganddemonstratingthatsomeofthis problemwithreactivenesscouldbeovercomethroughtheuseofbarrierssuchas amorphousSilicon,aluminum-aluminumoxide,OrmagneSiumoxide,ratherthanthe niobiumoxidebarrierswhichnaturallyfbrm. ResearchersinJapanmadethetransition丘omadifncultelectronbeamgunfilm depositionteclmiquetothemoresuccessfu1useofsputterdeposition.Herethehigh meltingtemperaturecharacteristicofniobiumisovercomebytheuseofaphysical PrOCeSSingteclmique.Ionsofanonreactivegassuchasargonstrikethesurfhceof niobiumsplittingofratomswhichthencrzuhintothesurfhcethatisbeingcoated.The accumulationoftheseatomsonthesubstrateleadstothecreationofathinnlm. Theproblemwiththeoxygenamnitywasalsoreducedthroughcontinuedworkin Japan.Theproblemwasovercomethroughthedevelopmentofveryhighlyemcient VaCuumSyStemSandvacuumpumps. lnaddition,Niobium-basedmaterialsaresuperCOnductingathighertemperatures Whidmeansgreaterstabilityandlesssensitivitytotemperaturenuctuations,andthese materialshavelargergapvoltageswhichmeans払sterintrinsicswitching.TheNiobium junctionswerealsodemonstratedtowithstandtherequiredprocesstemperaturesofseveral hundreddegreesCelsius,Whereasthelead-alloyjunctionshadtobekeptbelowlOOC. AnimportBLntpOinthereisthattheintemalinertia丘omtheinitia19yearplanmade COntinuirlgtheprqjectmucheasierthanwouldhavebeenotherwisepossibleifthenrms Werefundingresearchontheirown.BecausetheMinistryofFinancehaslittleinterestin thecontentoftheR&Dprogramsoncetheyhavebeenlaunched,andlittleabilityto understandprogresseveniftheyhadaninterest,therewerenostrongbudgetarypressures toterminate.Theexistenceofthelargescaleprqjectanditsfundingthusplayedan impo血ltrOleinallowingthecontinuationofresearchwhichmayotherwisehavedied. Withtheintemationalleaderoutoftheneldandthem互iorprogramsnowexisting becauseofthisprqject,internationalattentionaltumedtoJapan.Andprogresswasmade. F可itsusucceededindevelopinga8bitMPUbasedonJosephsonjunctions,Hitachi -212- demonstrateda4bitMPU,andNECdevelopeda4Kmemorywithanaccesstimeof580 ps・149 By1987,Fujitsuhaddevelopeda4-bitmicroprocessorbasedonJosephson junctionwhichitclaimedwaSthenrstsuchdeviceconstructedintheworld.150It,sdesign WaSbasedonAdvancedMicroDevices’Am2901microprocessorandoperatedwithatotal Of1841gates.Theclock丘equerlCyinthecdticalpathwasoperatedataspeedoneorderor magnitudefhsterthanaGaAsmicroprocessor,770MHz,andconsumedthreeordersof magnitudelesspower,5mW.i51 Thiswasfbllowedin1989bythedevelopmentofa8-bitdataprocessingsystem, essentiallyamicroprocessor,Whichwasconstructedwith6,300gatesand23,000 JosephsoIljunctions.Thisdevicewastestedwithanaveragecriticalpathspeedof5.3ps andaspeedof7.Opspergateinthearithmeticlogicunit.Powerconsumptionwas measuredat12mW. ThelatterFujitsudevelopmentattractedparticularintemationalattentionasitwaS themostadvancedinthewoddwhenannouncedinFebruaryofl990.Theheadofthe JosephsonactivityirlFqjitsu,Dr.Hasuo,reCOuntStheextremelyhighinterestintheir developmentwhenheattendedtheInternationalSolidStateCircuitConftrenceinthe UnitedStatesinthemiddleofFebruary.HewaSaPPrOaChedby3firmstogiveamore detai1edpresentationtoagatheringoftheirstaffi.Abadlydelayednight,however,CauSed himtobeclosetonvehourslateforthemeeting.Butwhenhearrivedhefbundthatal120 Oftheinvitedattendeeswerestillwaiting,andpressedhimwithquestionSfbrhoursbefbre theynnal1ybrokefbrdinneratlO:00.152 Hitachi’S4-bitmicroprocessor,alsobasedontheAm2901desigIl,WaSCOnStruCted Withl,800gatesand5011Josephsonjunctions.Aclockspeedof770MHzwasalso achievedalongthecriticalpathofthechip,alongwithapowerconsumptionof5mWanda gatespeedof9ps. Inaddition,in1989researchersatMITrsETLdevelopedwhattheyhaveasserted istheworld’S6rstJosephsorljunctioflCOmPuter,withtheJosephsonlogicandmemory 149programresuItsaresummarizedintheprogram,sfinaHechnicalreports,塾担迫坦迎位旦辿塾 長旦ロ.虹迅速塑型l旦星g旦辿_Giiu辿建SOkuKeisanShisute[処し地上生垣塑型⊥上迫垣 捷迫駐車旦L8g虫岨旦皿Tsukuba:DenshiGijutsuSogoKenkyujo,June1990,andbrieflyinK. Tamura,”OgataKogyoGijutsuKenkyuKaihatsu,KagakuGijutsuyoKosokuKeisanShisutemuno KenkyuKaihatsu,SeikaGaiyo:Tsukuba:DenshiGijutsUSogoKenkyujo,June1990. 150S.Hasuo,-JosephsonDigitalandAna[ogDeviceswithNiobiumJunctions:1stlnternational SymposiumonSuperconductivity.August28-31,1988,Nagoya,Japan. 151S・Hasuo.・JosephsonDigitaJandAnalogDeviceswithNiobiumJunctions. 152AkiraNak叫ima,〃-HinoMaru:JyosefusonDerYSanki-KaigaideTakaiHoukaEru,〃拉堕車 塾弧呈出型塾担,March8,1990,P.5. ー213- devicessuccessfu11yintegrated・153 Thecomputer,knownastheETL-JCl,uSedfbur Josephsonjunctionbasedchips,WaSCOnStruCtedwithatotalof22,000Josephson junctions,andcombinedtodeliveralkilobitRAMandl280bitROM.Itoperatedata SPeedoflKIPSwithapowerconsumptionof6.2mW. Whencomparedwiththetechnicalgoalsposedattheoutsetoftheprogram, PrOgramSuppOrterSCanadvertisetechnicalsuccess.However,memOryremainsan unsoIvedchallengeforlargescalecomputerapplicationsofthetechnology.Fujitsuwas initiallyassignedthetaskofdevelopingacachememoryandNECamassmemory,butin themiddleoftheprQjectFttiitsulargely血ndonedthisactivity.ThenNECswitched emphasis丘ommassmemorytocachememory,realizingthatthelatterwouldbeneededfbr actualcomputeroperation.Whenthisagainprovedtobedimcult,theyswitchedthefbcus backtomassmemory,allowingtheachievementoftheprogramgoals,butstillleavingthe ChallengeofthemostdimculttechnologyunsoIved. Thus,theprogramseemstohaveleadtothedreadedtechnologicaldeadend-at leastfbrthefbreseedblefuture.FortheJJprqiecttohavebeenconsideredanoveral1 SuCCeSSitwouldhavetohavebeenthetechnologyofchoiceindevelopingthehighspeed COmPuterPrOtOtype.Butitstillisn’t. HoweveramoreimportantreasonisthatotheradvancesiIICOmputerPrOCeSSing appeartohavemadetheJosephsonJunCtionafhrlessattractiveoptionthanitmighthave beenattheoutsetoftheprqiect.Thiswillbedescribedhrtherinthefbllowingsection discussingtheimpactoftheprqjectsontheindustrymoregenerally. AsecondprqiectjustcompletedistheGotoQFPprqject. By1990,reSearChersinthemagneticshieldingteamhadsucceededinatleast Partiallyovercomingthegreatestchallengeinthedevelopmentofthistechnology-mOving thetrappednuxthroughlocallaserheating.ThisisastepthathadevadedProf.Goto丘om theoutsetandproves,heasserts,thepracticalfhsibilityofeventuallyeliminatirlgthenux andachievingaperftctmagneticshield.By1990theyhadalsoachievedaswitchingspeed Of8GIh,aPprOaChingthelOGHztheyhopedtoachievethroughtheircomputer simulations. AftertheprqjectiscompletedattheendofSeptember1991,thewofkatHitachi WillcontinueunderanequipmentuseagreementwithJRI)C.JRDCwillnotprovidefunds toHitachi,butwillallowthenrmtousetheequipmentboughtbytheERATOprqiectfbr anadditionaltwoyears. 153〃AgencyJabdeveJopsprototypefornextgenerationcomputer:由良皇n塑型迫盟建地1 December12,1989. 胃214- Tocontinuetheresearch,theretumingHitachireseardlerSwillbejoinedbythreeof theprqjectresearchwhocamefbmuniversities.Allthreewi11havereceivedtheirPh.D.s asaresultoftheresearchtheypursued・ThusfbrHitachi,theprqjectfunctionedasavery effbctivetrainingandrecruitmentvehicle. FinallyinMayof1992,JRDCwillreinitiatesupportintheformOfaHigh TechnologyConsortia,withHitachiandULVACjoinedbyseveralothernrmStOCOntinue thedevelopmentoftheQFP. Inthecaseoftheparametron,althoughsomeresearchbyIBM,fIewlettPackard, andtheUniversityofCalifbmiaatBerkeleyisurlderwaytoexplorethisteclm0logy,there hasnotbeenanyindicationintheliteraturethattheyhaveadvancedbeyondthe accomplishmentsofthisprqject、SoarelativecomparisonhaslittlesignincanceaSthe Prqjectwasfbrmthestartthemostadvancedinthistechnology. InthecaseoftheSuperGMprqject,theprimaryiflCentivefbrparticipationappears nottobethetechnologydevelopmentitself,butthemafketpossibilitiesthatsuccessful PrOtOtypedemonstrationwouldcreate.Shouldtheelectricutilitieseveradopt SuperCOnductinggeneratorteclm0logies,itwillonlybea氏erthesuccessfu1demonstration OfaprototypeWhichisofascalerelevanttocommercialuse.T71isistheopportunity PrOVidedbySuperGM.ThusparticipationinSuperGMbecomesakeytoparticipationin theeventualcommercialmarketirlgOfthistechnology,andthenrmsthatparticipatewill Createfbrthemselves,tOSOmeeXtent,abarriertotheentrytoothernrmSWhowilllackthe experienceandsaliencegainedthroughtheprQject. Here,teChnologicaldemonstrationaloneisnotsumcienttodescribethevalueofthe OutCOme.Forexample,Hitachi’sintemallydeveloped50MVAsuperconductinggenerator isfundamentallythesameasthe70MVAquick-reSPOnSegeneratOrthatitisassignedinthe PrOgram.Clearly,Hitachicoulddevelopa70MVAprototypeifthatiswhatwouldbe necessarytomarketthetechnology.Butitisnotsufficient.Theutilitieshavetowantto buy,andoneoftherolesofMITIparticipationistoprovideencouragementtoviewthis technologyfhvorably.Althoughalloftheutilitiesarenominallyprivate,reCal1thattheyare allcloselyadministeredbyMITI’sAgencyofNaturalResources,andtheagencyhas Substantialregulatoryandlicensingpowers.Henceiftheutilitiesarefurtherencouraged throughaMITIprogramtoconsideranewtechnology,thedepthoftheconsideration deepens. -215- Impactontheindustry Althoughtheteclmicalgoalsrepresentthenominaltargetsfbrprqiects,therearea rangeofotherpossibleeffbctswhichmightimportantlyinnuencethedevelopmentofthis areaintheteclm0logyintheindustrygenerally.Thereareanumberofcollectivebenents thatcanarise丘omtheseprogrzms,andinthissectionthefbllowiTlgPOSSibilitieswillbe discussed:1)marketeffbcts-theimpactofthetechnologyinthemarketplace;2)diffhsion efTbcts-thedevelopmentofinter-nrmnetWOfks;3)complementaryasseteffとcts一the developmentofneededsupportingskillsorindustries;4)allianceeffbcts-thedevelopment ofinter-nrmSrelationships;5)signalingeffbcts-Othernrmsenteringtheneldbecauseof thenationalprqiect;6)spin-Ofrefrbcts-thebene餌sofunanticipatedusesofthe technologiesdeveloped,and7)competitiveeffbcts-theenhancementofindustry COmpetition. Themostimportantoftheseisthecompetitiveefftct.Itisthestrengthening,Or ”1evelingup’’ofm毎OrCOmpetitorstointemational1evelswhichisthegreatestbenent COmpetitorsoftheprograms.Theprogramsnotonlyhelptolaunchthenrms,butdoso withtheintentionofpositioningthenrmstocontinuetoacceleratedevelopmentintothe market. Marketefrbcts OneimportzLntmeaSureOftheultimatesuccessofadevelopmentprqjectistheextent towhichtheknowledgeortechnologiesdevelopedareused.Asalloftheseprqjectsare Stillunderwayoronlyrecentlycompleted,theconclusionsandinfbrencescanonlybe tentative.Nonetheless,COmparisonwiththestate-0手the-artduringtheprqject’sexecution Oratitsendcanstillgivesomeinsighttoitscontributiontoultimateenduses. RetumingtoourdiscussionoftheJosephsonjunction,WeCanSeethatwhatseems tohaveultimatelyledtothedemiseofthisoptionasanimportaJltteChnologyfbrthe SuPerCOmPuterisrelatedmoretoadvancesincompetingtechnologies. Eventhoughthedevicesthemselveshaveseennotabledeveloprnentoverthedecade theysuffbredfiomthreeproblemsthat丘equentlyariseinR&D:l)morecomplexitythan anticipated,2)rapidparalleldevelopmentofcompetinghardware,and3)developmentof OthertechnologieswhichobviatetheadvantagesoftheJosephsonjunction.Allthree reasonswerecitedbyIBMin1983,atthetimeofitsdecisiontostoptheirJosephson JunCtionprogTam. ー216- Theproblemoftechnicalcomplexityrefbrstotheintrinsicdimcultyofmakinga CaChememorywithJosephsonjunctions・InLSImemory,Cellsaretypical1ylinedupin COlumnsandrowswiththesignalsdrivenbythevoltagesoftheswitchingdevices. However,Josephsonjunctionsarenotcapal)leofgeneratinglargevoltagesbecauseoftheir nature,SOtheyareinherentlyhandicappedindrivinglargememories.The4KBmass memorydevelopedbyNECmeetstheprqjectgoals,butisstillalongdistancefromthe4 MBsiliconmemorychipsthatitiscurrentlyselling.154 ThesecondproblemfbrJosephsonjunctionswastherapidimprovementinsilicon andgaliumarsenidesemiconductordevices.Inthelate1970’stheswitchingspeedsof- SiliconsemiconductorswereontheorderoflOOto200picoseconds.Howeverbythelate- 1980’S,SemiconductorswererecordingspeedsinthefbwpICOSeCOndrange,nOtmuCh diffbrent丘omJosephsonjunctions.Fromthebeginningortheprqjectitwasrealizedthat galiumarsenidesemiconductorshadthepossibilityofperfbrmingnearthespeedsof’ Josephsonjunctions,anddevelopmentsthoughthedecadebothwithintheprogramand externallyprovedthistobepossible. Finally,therewasthesuccessfu1developmentof-higherspeedparallelprocessing SyStemSfbrthehighspeedcomputer.InAmerica,fbrexample,N-Cubedhaddevelopeda Parallelprocessingsystembasedonconventionalsilicontechnologythathadacomputing SPeedof25Giga-FLOPs.In1990,aCOnSOrtiumledbyhtelCorporationandthe CalifbmiaInstituteofTeclm010gyannouncedthatithaddevelopedasupercomputerusing Paral1elprocessingandnovel”mesh-rOuting’’chipswhichcouldperfbrmanaverageof5to 15Giga-FLOPS,withatopspeedof32Giga-FLOPs.155Bothexceedtheprogram’s nominalgoalofdevelopingalOGiga-FLOPmachine. Thesethreeproblemsfbrlong-termPlanningcanalsobeusedtohelpplace PerSpeCtiveonthepotentialoftheotherprograms.TheGotoQFPteclm010gystillseemsto fhceallthreeofthebarriersfhcedbytheJosephsonjunction.Thephysicaldevicehasyet tobefu11ydemonstrated,advancesinswitchingdevicesarereducingthediffbrencein Speed,andadvancesincomputersystemarchitectureandreducingtheoverallcomputing advantage. Thesystemsprqjectsappeartofhcesmal1ertechnologiCalbarriers,butstillfhcethe Challengeofbeingsupersededbyparalleldevelopmentsinrelatedtechnologies.Forthe SuPerCOnductinggeneratorthisthreatwouldcomeinthefbrmofevengreaterreliabilityin alreadyemcientconventionaltechnology.Withreliabilityweighedheavilybytheutilities, 154AkiraNakajima,のHinoMaru:JyosefusonDensanki-OgatakeikinoShuyakunoSekiToku, 坦上地由旦星口旦y旦_∈坦也蝕坦lMay9,1990,P.4. 155〝World,sFastestComputer,~塾垣些蔓,November30,1990,P.1203. -217- penetrationifitoccurs,maybeveryslow・Inthecaseofthesensors,nOOther technologiescurrentlyknowntobeunderdevelopmenthavethepotentialofproducingthe SamereSOlution.However,Withanincreasingnumberofnrmsinvestinginthisand relatedteclm010gies,itmaynotendupoffbringsubstantialadvantageSfbrpatientdiagnosis toparallelsystemsbeingdevelopedoutsideoftheprqject.Nonetheless,althoughthe actualsizeofthemarketwilldependtosomeextentonthecostanddiagnosticcapabilities Ofthesystem,thetechnologyseemssuretohavesignincantimpactonthescienceofthe uSer. Diffusionefrbcts Weobservedintheanalysisofthehightemperaturesuperconductivityresearch PrOgramS,ParticuladyinISTEC,thatR&DconsortiacanprovideafbrumfbrthediffilSion Ofinfbrmationandknowhow.Recallthatsomeobservershaveproposedthatthisis ParticularlyimportantinthecaseofJapan,Whererigidlabormarketspreventtheexchange OfinfbrmationthatattendspersonnelmovementsinmorenexiblemarketS.156 Inthesesystemanddevicecasestudiesthedifhsionofinfbrmation,Particularly betweencompetitors,isnotaregularorsmoothprocess,Zmdtotheextentitdoesoccur duringtheprqiectappeaIStObeduetotheinterdictionofathirdparty,thenational laboratories.InthecasesoftheJosephsonjunctionandHTS-EDprqject,CaSeSinvoIving theparticipationsolelyofcompetitors,WeSaWthattheresearchwasconductedinseparate fhcilitieswithindependentgoalS.Inanattempttopromotecommunicationbetweenthese firms,theconsortiaorganizedteclmicalgroupmeetingsontheorderofeverytwoweeksto OnCeeVeryOneOrtWOmOnthS,dependingonthesizeandextentofcoverage.Morethan discussions,however,thesesessionstendtowardfbrmalpresentations,Withthefirms lettingoutwhattheyfbelthattheyarerequiredtobecauseoftheirparticipation. Achannelthattheycannotcontrolastightly,however,isthatofthenational laboratories.Researchersinthelaboratorieshavethefbrmaltaskofevaluatingtheworkof thenrms,Withfbrmalevaluationsatmid-PrQjectanditstermination.Moreimportantfbr fhcilitatingitsroleindifhsingimportzmtinfbrmationisthelaboratorysroleasanevaluator andadvisor.Ifthehboratoryisstronginthetechnology,aSETLwasinthecaseofthe Josephsonjunction,nrmSWillseekitsadviceandthelaboratorywillleamofnrm 156GarySaxonhouse,JapaneseCooperativeR&DVenturesaMarketEva.uation,Seminar DiscussionPaperNo.156,ResearchSeminarinhternationalEconomics,AnnArbor:University OfMichigan,August1985. -218- PrOblemsandadvancesasitadvises・Thelaboratorythusbecomesacenterpointfbrthe transftrofinfbrmation,Creatingdiffhsionwhereiswouldnototherwiseoccur. Thissamegeneralargumentseemstoapplytocompetingnrmsthatfnrticipatein thesystemsprqiect. VVherethereisevidenceofasubs也Iltialamountorinteractionbetweenthe COmPetitors,however,isintheplarmingprocess.AtthisstagethenrmSareStillinthe PrOCeSSOfleamingaboutthestateofthetechnology,Withtheplanningtakinganaverageof twoyears.Thusthemostactivephaseinthediffusionofinfbrmationseemstobebefbre theprqjectbeginsratherthanafler.Itisinthisplanningst喝ethatthediffhsionargument amongcompetitorsismostrelevant. C型旦pJCnl亡Iltこl汀a虫ミetCrkcts Asoneoftheprincipalintentionsofthesystemsprqjectsistoestablishlinks betweenavarietyoftechnicalskills,theyaretosomeextendinherentlyexercisesin buildingcomplementaryassets.InthecaseoftheSuperGMprqject,fbrexample,the PrOgramisdesignedtolinkthematerialsandcomponentmanufhcturerswitheachother, andjustasimportantlywithutilitieswhichwouldeventual1yadoptthetechnologyif SuCCeSSfu1.Theparticipationandco-OPtationofutilitiesis,aSmentionedearlier,OneOfthe Principalpurposesofthisprogram,Sincetheabsenceoftheircommitmentwouldbea SeVerehandicaptocommercialiZation. Inproducingtheprototypesthesupplier爪rmsalsoupgradetheirowntechnologies tobettermatcheventualcommercialrequirements.Forexampleinthesuperconducting generator,thecdbleandwiremanufhctureswantedtoincreasethetwistpitchofthe SuPerCOnductingwirestoaccommodatethehighneldsrequiredoftheprototypes. Twistingaconductoraboutitsaxiscausesthevoltagebetweenanypairofnlamentsto reverseperiodically,greatlylimitingfluxjurnping,alsoknownascross-matrixcurrent.So theywotkedwithawireequipmentmanufhcturertoextendthecapabilityorcurrent equlpment. InthecasesoftheJosephsonjunctionandtheHTS-ED,evidenceof COmPlementaryassetsbeingarticulatedthroughtheprogramsislessclear.Oneoutside advancewhichdidproveveryhelpfulwasinsputteringtechnologyinthelate-1970’sand early-1980’S.Surfhcesciencetechniquesingeneraladvancedrapidlyinthisperiodandthe advancesmadeinsputteringerLd)1edthedimcultmanipulationofniobium-alloysinto WOfkablejunctions. 胃219- Generally,however,inthesecasesthedevicesarediscreetanddonotrequirethe SuPpOrtingskillsofthesystemstechnologies・Foruseintheirintendedapplications, integrationwith1arge-SCalecomputerdesignsisofcourseessential,buttheseskillsarealso heldbythesesamenrrns,aStheyarealHargeintegratedmanufhcturers・Thusastheskills fbrdevelopment,fbrintegrationintofinalproducts,andfbrsalesareal1containedwithin eachoftheparticipants,theneedfbrdevelopingimportzLntCOmPlementaryassetswasnot criticalanddidnotevidenceitself. Allianceefrbcts StudiesoftheEuropeanCommunityprogramsincooperativeresearchsuchas EUREKAandBRITEbyresearcherssuchasGeorgioandSiprianohavenotedthatan importantbene茄tsfirmsreceive丘omparticipationisfromtheopportunitytofbrminterfirmalliancesfbrthedevelopment, PrOduction,distributionorsalesofproductswhichmay OrmaynOtbefelatedtothetopicofresearch.Onemightexpecttoseejointventures betweenverticalordiagonalinterestsorcartelsfbrmedbynrmsinthesameindustry・ Becausetheseprogramstendtobelimitedtolargecompaniesthatalreadyhavea strongpresenceintheeconomy,however,thechancescreatedfbrtrulynewopportunities donotappearsignincant.hverticalandhorizontalrelationShips,manyOfthelargerfirms arealreadyinvoIvedkeiretsu,WhichlimitstheirfieedomtofbrmnewalliancesinJapan・ Thiswouldbeparticularlydimcultwithamernberofanotherkeiretsunml・ ThecaseofSuperGMshowedthatthepowerofkeirelsuamliationnndsitsway intotheorganizationoftheprogram,withHitachiCableonlysupplyingHitachi,Ltd・,and Withtheprimarycableandwiremanufhcturersinthisprqjectintentional1yselectedasthose notamliatedwithanindustrialgrouplng.However,OneCanarguethattheprqjectallows fbrasmoothercoordinationbetweenanumberofcomponentdeveiopersandanumberof SyStemSdeveloperswhichshouldaccelerateactualsystemdevelopment,andthatnrmsnot inkeiretsucanfirmtheirpenetrationintovariousKeiretsu.Theseclaimscanalsobemade fbrthesuperconductingsensorprqiect. ThecasesoftheJosephsonjunctionandHTS-EDprqjectsshowedlittleevidenceof desiretocollaboratebytheparticipatingnrms,withlittleevidencethattheprqiectsare fbedingthegrowthorcartelsmorethancompetitors. Thusstrategicalliances,atleastthroughthesystemsanddeviceprQjectsstudied here,arenOtaSignincantbenentbecauseofthesmallscaleofthemarketandparticipants. Theprqjectsdo,however,dlowfbrsomenon-keiretsupenetrationintothekeiretsu SyStCm. ー 220- Si nalinTe独 Signalingefftctswereseentobepresentinourearlierhistoricaldiscussionofthe developmentofthesuperconductingmagnetsfbrtheMHI)generatorandintheearlyyears Ofthesuperconductingelectricgenerator・Wesawnrmswhichwerenotparticipatingin thegovemmentprograms,SuChasFujiElectricaIidFujikurainthecaseoftheMHD prqject,andHitachiandToshibainthecaseofthesuperconductinggenerator,initiate technologydevelopmentprogramsinresponsetothegovemmentsponsoredprqjects, eitherwiththeintentionofjoiningtheprqiectlaterorofbeingpreparedshouldamarket begintoappear.Butthiswasintheearlyyearsofsuperconductivitywhenitwasnotclear Whatusescarriedthemostpotential. Inthecaseoftheprqjectsinvestigatedhere,however,Clearevidenceofsignalingis notclear・hmostofthesecasesthenrmswhocametobeinvoIvedinthetechnologywere invoIvedbefbrethestartofthegovemmentprogram,andthereisnoevidenceofpurely Privatesectorprogmmschallengingthegovemmentprogramsinscaleof-investment. PatentandpublicationdatafiomtheJosephsonjunctionprqjectshowsthattheprimary industrialactorswerethosesponsoredbythegovernmentprqiect. InthecaseofthemagnetoeIICePhalograph,theprincipalnrmsinthesmal1Japanese industryarethosewhichhelpedtocreatetheprqject.Thetechnologywascertainly generallyknownbythemedicalequlPmentindustrygenerally.However,duringtheperiod Ofprqjectfbrmationandexecution,anumberofothernrmshavebegundevelopment PrOgramS,includillgFUjitsu,FurukawaElectriC,MitsuiMetals,SumitomoHeavy Industries,andNGKInsulators.Theexistenceofamulti-yeargOVemmentPrOgramtO PrOpelthisteclm010gywascitedbyseveralofthesenrmsasanimpo血tfhctorin COmmittingresourcestoitsin-housedevelopment. ItseemsthatastheiIldustryhasmatured,itbecamemuchmorecapableof evaluatingpromisingapplicationsofsuperconductingmaterialsandwouldmovetothese areasmorequickly,befbretherewereanygovemmentprogmns.Anexampleofa technologyareathathasgrownveryrapidlywithoutagovernmentprogramisthatof- MagneticResonanceImaging(MRI),Whichissuperconductivity’slargestinternational market. Thegovernmenthasincreasirlglycomeinaftertheindustryhasconducted preliminarydevelopmentandclarinedtheinternationalma正etsandcompetition.Soif thereissignal1ingnow,itseemstobe丘omtheindustrytothegovemment. - 221胃l SilトOrrerkcts An0therargumentwhichhasgainedwidecirculationisthattheprototypeSWhich embodytheformalg脱1softheprogramsarereal1yjustvehiclesfbrthenrmstoincrease theirskillsinthisteclm0logy.Theultimatebenentscomeswhenthenrmsapplythis experiencetomoreadvanCed,COmmerCial1ytailoredversionsofthetechnology,OrtOOther technologyareas.Spin-0町itisarguedisanimportantbenentoftheseprogramsasthey aregeneral1yintendedtobe”tedmologybase”ratherthanproductspecinc. Inthecasesstudiestheredoesseemtohavebeenanimportantspin-Offeffbct,but fbrotherreasons.Spin-Offbenentsfromtheprogramsstemfroml)themarketfbr SuPerCOnductingtechnologieswhichtheprqiectscreate,2)themaintenanceofacompetitive CaPabilityinsuperCOnductivitywhichcanbedirectedtoentirelydiffbrentend-uSe teclm010gies,and3)theexistenceofaresearchfundthatcanbedrawnfromtosupport unanticipatedeventsinrelatedareassuchasthediscoveryofHTS. IntheearlysuperCOnductivityprqjectswesawtha?hemarketthatwa5Createdby govemmentprocurementswastheprincipalonecompaniesaddressedindeveloping SuPerCOnductingmagnets.WhenRichardBrandtvisitedJapaninl971fbrtheOmceof NavalResearch,heconcludedthatthenationalprograminMHDhadprovidedacritical marketfbrthedevelopmentofthesuperCOnductingmagnetindustry.”Intheabsenceof thesenationalprqjects,’’heobserved,’’thereisnotenoughdemandtosustainthemany COmpaniesinvoIved.”157 Thedevelopmentof’thelinearmotorcar,OfAISiontestfhcilities,andofthevarious electricgeneratorprototypeS,andthehighneldtestfhcilitiesbeingcreatedaspartofthe Multi-CoreProgram,al1contributedtothesupportofthismarketfbrmagnetsinthe ensuingyears.I_Argelytothecreditofthispullffomdemand,anumberofcableandwire manufhcturerswereabletosustaindevelopmentactivitiesinsuperconductivityandhave todayemergedasstrongintemationalcompetitors. Secondly,thereisthemaintenanceofageneralcompetitivecapabilityirL SuperCOnductivity.Asaresultofthisgeneraleapal)ility,theindustrywaswellpositioned toadvanceintotheunexpecteduseoftechnologiessuchasMRI.Theexperienceof JapanesenrmsinsuperconductingmagnetswaSClearlyabenentinassistingtheirquick entryintothisneld. 157RichardBrandt,・SuperconductingTechno-ogylnJapan,・ONR-28,Arlington,VA:Officeof NavaIResearch,June1971,P.2. ー222- Thirdlythereisthereseardbudgetthatwasmadequicklyavailableafterthe discoveryofHTS・Recallfiomourearlierdiscussionthattherigidgovemmentfunding SyStemPreSentednewprogramsinHTSresearchfiombeingstarteduntilayearandahalfaftertheconnrmation ・MITIdid,however,haveotherLTSprqjectsunderwayandwas abletodivertsomeofthesefundstosupportHTSwork・InboththeJosephsonjunction PrQjectandtheSuperGMprqject,fundswerereallocatedtosupporttasksinHTS.Inthe CaSeOfSuperGM,fbrexample,SeVenreSearChtasksweredennedandassignedtoseven diffbrentnrms:Furukawa,HitachiLtd.,Toshiba,FldikuIa,MitsubishiElectriC,Sumitomo ElectriC,andtheJapanFineCeramicCenter(JFCC).ThetasksaresummarizedinTable 22.JFCCwasaddedtotheprogramsolelytoconductresearchontheseoxidematerialS. TotalfundingfbrtheHTStaskswasontheorderof3-5%ofthetotalprqjectbudget,and al1researchwaSCOnductedseparatelybyeachofthelaboratories,nOtCOOPeratively・ However,mOredirectspin-Ofr丘omtheprqjecttechnoIogiesseemsamoredubious Claim.Thepromotersofthesuperconductingsensorprqject,fbrexample,areleveraging thespin-Ofrargumenttojustifysupport,nOtingthatthetechnologiesdevelopmentfbrultramagneticsensingmaynfldimportantusesinfunctionssuchasnon- intrusiveinspectionof StruCtureS,materialsresearch,Ortheanalysisofsignalsincomputers. AclearerexampleisseenintheJosephsonjunctionprqject.Herethespin-Off argumentisbeingpresentedbysupportersasevidenceofthebreadthofbenentsstemming Table22  HTSResearchTasksAssignedtoParticipantsintheSuperGM Pr可ect TeclmicalTask Fim Wirefbrmingtechniques Largeareaconstruction Non-unifbrmresponsetechnology Machineapplications CVDprocessing Meltprocessing Ultranneparticleceramicwires Funlkawa HitachiLtd. Toshiba F叫ibn MitsubishiElectdc SumitomoElectric JapanFineCeramicCenter ー223胃 丘omthistechnology・Buttheseargumentsappeartobemoreapost-hocjustincation ratherthanaconvincingassessmentofserendipity. TheNikkeiSangyoShimbunreportsthatwhenaskedaboutnear-termaPPlications OfJosephsonjunctions,reSearChersnowfbcusonusesotherthantheoriginallyintended supercomputerswitchingsuchasl)computeracceleratorstoupgradeconventionalsilicon computerstospeedsnearingthatofasuperCOmPuter,2)usesfbrwhichpardlelprocessing cannotmanagesuchassensingfhstserialsignalsemittedbythebirthofstars,Zmd3) SQUIDsensorsfbrmedicaluse・158Inthenear-term,thebiggestmarketfbrJosephson junctionsappearstobeinI)ataSignalProcessorsusedbythemilitary・Thisisfhr丘omthe initialvisionsoftheprogramatitsoutset,andappearstorenectanattempttosalvagevalue oncetheprimarytargetappearsunattainable. Spin-Ofrthusseemstohavebeenimportantfbrthetechnologymarketscreatedby theprqiects,fbrsustainingageTleralcapabi】itythatcouldbetumedtocommercial OPpOrtunities,andfbrprovidingasourcesoffundstoquicklyinitiatesomeHTSresearch. Importantspin-Ofrdirectlyth)mtheprqiecttechnologieshasyettobewitIleSSed,andinthe OneCaSeWhereitwasasserted,itappearstoberetrospectivejustincationmorethana descriptionoftruebenent. TlleConl elitiVCentCtS Fosteringcompetitionduringtheconductoftheprogram,andthenfbsteringthe developmentofcommerdalcompetitoISintheteclm010gyareaisamongthemostimportant benentsoftheseprograms.Wesawearlierthatbyhavinganumberofnrmspursuing Similarstrategies,theconsortiabenented丘・Omthesenseofcompetitionbetweendevelopers Whichactedtoenhancedthespeedofthedevelopmentprocess.AscommercialiZation drawsnear,theinnuenceofcompetitioncanbecomefhrmorepronouncedasnrmsraceto Obtainretum丘omtheirresearchinvestment.Itisinthecreationofthesecompetitors Wheretheresearchprqjectsseemtohaveasignincantinnuence. NotethatirIalloftheprqjects,anaVerageOfatleastthreenrmswereselectedto developtheprincipaltechnologyaswellasmanyofthecomponentteclm010gies;andnote furtherthatthesenrmsareamongthemostcommerciallysuccessfu1intheirindustrial SeCtOrS.Wecanrecall丘omourreviewofthelinearmotorcarthatthreecableandwire manufhcturerswereselectedtodevelopthemagnetsandelectriCalinhstructure,andthree 158AkiraNakajima,’lHinoMaru:JyosefusonDensanki-OgatakeikinoShuyakunoSekiToku, 捏ikkeiSan oShimbun’Mayg.1990.p.4. -224肩 SyStemSmanufhcturerswereselectedtodevelopthesuperconductingsystemsandthetest Vehicle・InSuperGMweseethreegeneratormanufhcturersdevelopingseparatesystems, withthesuperconductingwiresbeingdevelopedbyfburcの1eandwiremanufhcturers.In thesuperconductingsensorprqjectthereare6vedeveloperSOfadvancedmedicalimaging equipmentwithexperienceinsuperconductingequipmentandsensors.Andinthe JosephsonjunctionandtheHTS-EDprograms,WeSaWthreeandsonrmsworkingin Paral1el,COmpeting,tOeVentuallyenterthesameproductmafkets. InthecaseoftheJosephsonjunctionprqject,attheoutsetoftheprqjectthethree Principalnrmshadverylittleexperiencewiththistechnology-theyhadveryfbwpatents andwerefhrbehindIBM.Butbytheendortheprqject,thethree,Whichareamongthe WOrld’sleadingelectronicsnrms,arenOWamOngtheleadersinJosephsonjunction devices.RecallingthatthesenrmswereselectedbecauseOftheirnnancial,mafketingand technologicalstrengths,theresultoftheprogramisthateachofthesenrmsisequipped withacapabilitythatwouldlikelynotexistwithoutthegovernmentprQject.Ithascreateda SmallresourceofJosephsonjunctionspecialistsinnrmswhichisestimatedtototal between50andlOO.159 Inbothofthesystemsprqiectsweseeasimilarbuildingofcompetitiveexpertise. Theprqjectwillcreatethreegeneratormanufhcturerswiththecapabilitytodevelop COmmerCialscalegeneratorsontheirowninitiative,Placingeachofthesenrmsinavery goodpositionshouldutilitiesinJapanandinothercountriesdecidetoembracethe technol喝y. InthecaseorthesensorprQject,theprQjectwi11givefburofthenation’sleading rnedicaldevicemanufhcturersexperienceindevelopingatechnologywithgreater PerfbrmancecapabilitiesthananyOfitsintemationalcompetitors.Itwilltakethesenrms 丘omapositioninwhichtheyarestilltechnologicallytrailingnrmsintheUnitedStatesand Europeintermsofperfbrmance,andplacetheminthelead.Eachofthesenrmscanthen, again,COmmerCiallypromotetheteclm010gyonitsownintheintemationalmarket. ThusthroughtheR&Dprogram,theindustrywillnnditselfwithatleastthree PrOminentnrmswithskillsinateclm01ogyareathatwillbenearorbeyondtheintemational 丘ontier.Withthreenrms,COmpetitionisencouragedandamonopolyisavoided.With threecommerciallyprominerltfirms,thelikelihoodthatgoodideaswi1lrunintoadeadend withtheendoftheresearchprogramisreduced. 159AkiraNakajima,,HinoMaru:JyosefusonDensanki-J恕uyokaniFutatsunoKabe:’世麺j 旦旦嘘迫垣塾払May10,1990,P.5;andfrommyinterviewswithfirmrepresentatives. 胃225- TheparalleHirmStrategyalsoavoidsoneoftheproblemsthatLukeGeorghiou notedregardingtheAIveyprogTaminBritain・Heobservedthat”EAChpartnertendedtobe PrOVidinganessentialcomponent,Withtheconsequencethatifonepartnerwentoutof businesstherewasastrongchanceoflosinganessentialpartofthework.”160 Here,Japaneseorganizationmarksasignincantdeparture丘omthatofgovernment researchprogramsintheUIlitedStates・IntypicalU・S・gOVemmentPrOgramS,COntIaCtS areletouttoindividualcontractorswithanemphasisonthetechnicalcapabilityofthe COntraCtOrandlittleemphasisonthecontractorscommercialstrengths.Theassumption drivingthisstyleofcontractinghasbeenthatiftheideaisgood,andisinthepublic domain,SOmeOnewillpickitup.Thusonecannndmanycontractresearchorganizations invoIvedingovemmentresearchprograms;OrganizationswithstroIlgteChnicalexpertise butnocommercializingcapability.However,historyhasshownthatmudmoreoften thannotnoothernrmswillpickupthetechnologyandtheresearchwillbeshelvedasnnal reportsoncethecontractiscompleted. InJapanthisassumptionisnotmade.Commercialstrengthisconsideredakey ingredientfbrsuccessfulcommercialization,SOallofthenrmsthatarekeytoanyofthe Prqjectsreviewedhereareverystrongcommercialcompetitors.Technologystrength, Whileofcourseimportant,isconsideredpartoftherecipewhichhasallowedthesenrmsto becomesuccessfu1,andisinanycaseinsufficient.Technologydevelopmentisnot assumedtobeasimplepackagewhichcanpasshandsbetweenorganizationsatappropriate StageS,butaprocessthatincludesproduction,andfbrwhichproductionknowledgeis inte群山. Thisagainrevealsthe”procompetitive’’strategytakenbytheprogramsinJapan. Duringprqjectdevelopment,mutuallybenencia?iflksare”coordinated”betweeflSyStem developersandtheirsupplierstodeveloptheneededcomplementaryassets.Butthe PnmarySyStemSdevelopersarecompetitiveamongthemselves,andthiscompetition acceleratesdevelopment.Ifsuccessfullyadvanced,theprqiectspositionseveralstrong nrmsandtheirsuppliersforcompetitiveentryintothemarket.”procompetitive COOrdination”isthem毎OrValueoftheseprograms,r10t”precompetitivecooperation.” 160JaneBird,”BritainPicksWrongWayToBeattheJapanese,一地,Vol.252,May31, 1991,P.1248. ー226- yHI.旦yid鐙旦⊆箪_旦葦」呈鎚蝮ぢ止_地道皇j也ロ_inlheIndustrY Whatal)OutCOOPerationoccurnngoutsideofthegovernmentprogram?Inthe PreVioustwosections,Iexaminedtheroleofgovemmentprogramsinpromoting COOPerationandinnovationinhightemperatureandlowtemperaturesuperconductivity. Butthisisonlyaportionofthecollaborationthatisoccurringintheindustryasitalso OCCurSwithoutgovernmentguidance. InthissectionIwillexaminethisautonomouscollaborationtoseewhetherthese patternsrenecttheinfluenceofgovemmentprogramsorofstruCtureSOftheindustry・The Principalquestionsinvestigatedarethefbllowing. ・  Doesevidencereflecttheuseofcollaborationfbrcorporatediversincationorthe enhancementofanrm’spositionintheindustry?Whoarethecollaborativepartners? ・  Doesitreflecttheinnuenceofindustrialstructureorpriorindustrialrelationships? Intradekeiretsuhavebeenshowntohaveadistortingeffbctonthemarket,161isthisalso trueofinnovationinthisneld?Datawhichexistsfbrindustriesgenerallysaysthatthiswill notbethecase.162 ・  DouniversitiesplayasignincantroleincooperativeR&D?Conventionalwisdom aboutJapaneseuniversitiesisthattheydonotproducestate-Oflthe-artWOrkandare removedffomtheneedS0ftheindustry. ・  DoescollaborationrenectpriorparticipationingovernmentPrqjects?Studiesofthe COOperativeR&DprqiectsintheEuropeanCommunityhaveindicatedthatanimportant COntributionoftheprqjectsistoactasacatalystfbrfbrmingrelationshipsandnetworks. Asmentionedearlier,followingtheconnrmationofHTStherewasadramatic increaseinthenumberofpatentapplicationssubmittedinsuperconductivity.Thetotal numberofapplicationsincreasedfiom835in1986to6,237in1987and3,305in1988. Cooperativelyauthoredpatentapplicationsalsoincreasedfrom35in1986,tO237in1987, and160in1988.1630fthesecollaborationsinl987and1988,PrQjectsinHTS represented60%ofthetotalinbothyears. 161EdwaTdLincoIn,虫旦旦垣迅月旦弘也迦也Washington,D.C:BTOOkingslnstitution,1990. 162KikaiShinkoKyokaiKeizaiKenkyujo,主軸望む三池虚型g旦nSと嘘密_迦嘘退塾蚕些脛建逝虹」垣堕 亜璽KikaiKo oniokeruGHutsuKaihatsuKatsudonoBunseki,Tokyo:KikaiShinkoKyokai.May 1984. 163SurveydatawastakenbutlhernemoryoffirmsishighlyvariabIeandnotnecessariIyreliable, tothedatahasnotbeenincludedhere.ThegeneralmagnitudeandgeneraHrendtoward diversitydonotcontradictthepattemssuggestedhere. -227- Diversification Oneuseofcooperationisaspartofastrategytoenteranewneld.Byexamining thepatentapplicationswecanseewhethernrmsthatusecooperationareindeed diversifyingintotheneldorwhethertheyarefirmswhicharealreadystronginthisneld andareenhancingtheirstrengthS.Wecanalsoexaminewhetherthesenrmstumtoother firms,tOuniversitiesortootherpublicinstitutionssuchasgovemmentlaboratoriesor utilities. Signsofdiversincationthroughcooperationappearwhenweexaminethegeneral Changeinactivitybeforeanda食ertheconflrmationofHTS・Ifwecalculatetheratioof COOperativetoindependentpatentsfbrindividualorganizations,Wenndtwogroupsatthe topofthelist:l)publicorganizationsand2)nrmsnewtosuperconductivity.Public OrganizationSCOnSistentlyhadthehighestratioofcoopefativetoindependentpatents,with SeVenutilitiessubmittingsolelycooperativepatents.Atthetopofthelistwere OrganizationsincludingRiken,DengenKaihatsu,JRDC,andtheJapanAtomicEnergy ResearchInstitute,Withcooperativetoindependentpatentratiosof7.0,6・5,6・2,and2・7・ Moreinterestingfbrtheissueofdivers捕cation,however,isthesecondgroupof’ firms,thenrmsnewtosuperconductivity.Thirteenofthe14nrmswiththehighest COOperativepatentapplicationratioswerenewtothefield,withnvesubmittingsolely COOperativeapplicationsandtheotherswithcooperativepatentratiosrangingfiomO.25to 3.25.ThesenrmsincludeShowaAluminum,SeisanKaihatsuKagaku,Neosu,theFine CeramicsCenter,NipponKokan,NihonSoda,ShowaDenko,ToaNenryo,andToshiba Ceramics.Allofthesenrmshaverelativelysmal1HTSprogramsandaretryiIlgtO maximizetheirresourcesonentry.Noneofthem可OrnrmS丘omthetraditional SuPerCOnductivityindustryfhllintothisgroupofhighpatentcollaborators. Forthenext360rganiZations,COOPerativepatentsubmissionswereasmal1er perCentageOftheiroveral1submissions,butnonethelessincreasedsignincantlywiththe arrivalofHTS.Collaborativepatentsubmissionsinthisgrouphadincreasesthatranged 丘om30%to98%,Withallofthem可OrLTSfirmsincluded.Thesetraditionalindustry firmsshowedrathersubstantialincreasesintheirsubmissionsofcooperativepatent applications,Withthecd)leandwiremakersconsistentlyshowinghigherratiosthanthe SyStemSmanufhcturers.ShowaCableandFurukawahad90%and85%increasesintheir COOPerativeoutput,andSumitomoElectricandFlカikurahad65%and60%increases.The SyStemSmanufhcturers,Toshiba,Hitachi,andMitsubishiElectricincreasedcooperative PatentOutPutS42%,40%and30%respectively.Therelativelygreateruseofcooperation bycab】eandwirenmsalsoappearsintherelativeratioofcooperativetoindependent ー 228- PatentS,Withthemaincableandwirenrmsgenerallyshowingratiosof8-12%whereasthe SyStemSmanufhcturersgenerallyhadradosofaround1-2%. WiththeseindicationsthatcollaborationlSPlayingsomeroleinthestrategiesnrms aretakingtocomeintosuperconductivity,Inextexplorethetypeofcooperationoccurring, andlookfbrevidenceofdifTbrencesintheuseofthisstrategy. FirstIwillexaminewhichtypesofpartnersarecommonlyselectedbynms,and WhetherthechoiceofcollaborativepartnersdiffbrsbetweenthetraditionalLTSindustry andHTSentrants.Figure50showsthedistributionofpatentapplicationsamongseveral CategOriesofnrmpartners:0thernrms,gOVemmentinstitutions,universitiesandutilities. Thengurealsoseparatesthecollaborationsonlowtemperaturemetal1icITlaterialsandthose OnhightemperatureOXidematerials.Thesetwopiechartsshowverydiffbrentpattemsof PartnerSelectionasgovemmentalandnrmpartnerswerethemostcommonfbrLTS PrqiectswhereasuniversitieswerebyfhrthemostpopularchoicefbrHTSprqjects.For LTScollaborations,50%ofthecaseswerewithgovemmentinstitutionsand32%With Othernrms.Universitiesonlyrepresented14%andutilitiesonly4%.ForHTS COllaborations,bycontrast,universitiesrepresented58%ofthecases,withutilities fbllowingatl8%andnrmsandthegovernmentdownto12%each. ThisdivisionbetweencategoriesofLTSandHTSpartnersbecomesevenmore VividwhenthecomparisonismadebetweeneachcategoryofpartnerasshowninTable 23・LTScasesaccountedfbr83.2%ofnrm・nrmand89.2%ofnrm一gOVemment COllaborations,WhereasHTScasesrepresented69.4%ofnrm-universityand72.9%of nrm-utilitycollaborations. Thelargepercentageofnrm-gOVemmentCOllaborationsinLTSisduetothelong historyofdevelopmentofLTSmagnetsfbrgovemmentprogramsandgovemment experimentalfhcilities.WesawearlierthatgovemmentpTOgmmShavebeenmain SuPPOrterSandcustomersinLTSoverthepast25years,PrOmOtingthedevelopmentof largemagnetsfbrnewenergysystemssuchaSMIⅡ),fusion,andsuperconducting generators,andthepurchasingofmagnetsfbrexperimentsranginginsize丘ombenchscale laboratoryusetoparticleacceleration. Firm一nrmcollaborationsalsorenectthehistoryofLTSdevelopmentsinJapan,Of-a Stablebutsmallmarketfbrsuppliers,aSWellasinter-nrmrelationshipswhichwillbe exploredlaterinthissection. ThelargeuniversitypresenceinHTScoilaborationsrenectstheironen underestimatedroleassourcesoffi・Ontierreseardl丘omwhichtheindustrycanleam.Here nrmswerebenentingfromthechangeinMinistryofEducationsregulationsintheearly- ー229- Figure50. FimPartnersinCollaborativePatentApplications-Metal1icandOxide SuperCOnductors FirmPartnerSinCollaborativePatentApplications-Metallic Superconductors Ulilily FirmPartnersinC011aborativePatentApplications一〇xide Superconductors 一230- Table23. PatentApplicationsSeparatedbyC如egoryofFirm ResearchPartnerandbyTypeOfSuperCOnductor Metal1icSC OxideSC Pct.Metallic Pct.0Ⅹide fim GovenⅡnent University Utilities 1442246016 ′h) 0ノ 7 3 3 2 2 1 4 83.2     16.8 89.2     10.8 30.6     69.4 27.1     72.9 1980’swhichhasmadesuchcollaborationsmucheasierthaninthepast.Thecooperative activitiesoftheumiveISitieswi11alsobeexploredinmoredetaillaterinthissection. Lastly,therelativelylargeremphasisonHTScolhborationsbyutilitiesismorea reflectionoftheirrecententryintotheactivepromotionofsuperconductivitygeneral1ytharl Ofanylong-temlVisionwhidlOnemightinfbrtheyheld.Thehigh1evelofutility COllaborationsinHTSisunexpected,andappearstobeaninstanceinwhich,rather ironically,theconservatismoftheindustryisaprincipalcauseofitstiltedpresenceinHTS PatentapPlications.AlthoughprototypeSuPerCOnductingelectricitygeneratorshavebeen developedoverthepastdecadeinJapan,therehasbeenonlylukewarmreceptionbythe utilityindustrybecauseoftheirconcemovertherelid)ilityofthedeviceandtheimpacton thesystemofintroducinganewtechnology.Becauseofthesizeoftheinvestmentandthe POtentialscaleofanydisnlPtions,theutilitieshavebeenverycautiousinadoptingnew techolo由es. Itwasjustasthegovemmentandgeneratormanufhcturershadbeguntoconvince utilitiesof’thevalueofsuperCOnductivity,WitnessedforexampleintheSuperGMprqject, thatHTSwasdiscovered.ThusjustastheutilitiesarebegiJmingtofhvorhblyrecognize researchinatheneld,theywerestruckbyanunexpectedeventinwhichthepri0ritiesin theneldareshiftedto丘ontierresearch,aJldwhicha5aCOnSequenCehasthemsupporting theadvancedHTSworkmorethantheysupportedthedevelopmentalLTSwork. Thedegreeofdiversincationcanbefurtheranalyzedbyaddingonemorevariable: thenewnessofthenrmtotheindustry.Becausethesuperconductingindustryhaslargely beencartelizedbyasmal1setofnrms,itiseasytoidentifythemainparticipants.By 胃231- Table24. I)egreeofDiversincationThroughVariousModesof Cooperation,RepresentedbyaDiversincationFactor(DF) AllSuperconductivity OxideSuperCOnductivity fim活ldv O.61            0.72 firII痺0V’t O・18           1.00 Fiml〟inn O.23             0.66 CalculatingthepercentageofthecolbboratiorlSthatwereconductedwithfirmsnot establishedintheindustry,aneStimateoftheextentofdiversi丘cationoccurringcanbe achieved.ThispercentageisrepresentedbytheDiversincationFactor(DF)inTable24. TheDiversincationFactorisonascaleofOtol,WithOindicatingtheinallofthecasesthe Principalnrmsarefromtheestablishedindustry-aSignofcoreenhancement.Attheother endofthescale,angureOflindicatesthatallofthenrmsinvoIvedare丘omoutsideofthe establishedindustry-nrmSdiversifyingintosuperconductivity. Thetablerevealsstrikingdiffbrencesinrolesofcolldboratorsfbrall SuperCOnductivityandfbrHTScases.AlthoughwesawinTable23thatnrm-gOVemment COlhborationwasweightedtowardinLTSresearch,inthecasesofHTS,…由ofthenrmgovemmentcollaborationsinvoIvednrmsdiversifyingintotheindustry, nOtCOreenhancingnrms. Asimilarbutlessdramaticdiffbrenceisseeninthecaseofnrm-nrm COliaborationsaswell:Whenal1superconductoractivityisconsidered,thetraditionalnrms dominate・HoweverwhenthecasesarelimitedtoHTS,thegreaterpresenceofthe diversifyingnrmsemerges. IIlthecaseofnrm-universityco11aborations,WeSeethattheuniversitiestendto helpthediversifying爪rmsmoreinbothLTSandI汀Sresearch,withasIightlygreater influenceinthelattercase・Universitycooperationgeneral1yisthemostlikelymadetobe usedfbrdiversifyingnrms. Finally,inallcategoriesofHTScollaboIations,WeSeethatdiversifyingnrmsare morehigh1yrepresented. -232- Industrial Structure Bylookingatinter-nrmCOllaborationsmoreclosely,WeCanunderstandmoreabout thestructureoftheindustry.Thediscussionabovehasdividednrmsbetweenthosefiom thetraditionalsuperCOnductorindustryandthosediversifyingintothefieldthroughHTS. Inadditionto”newness,’’thereareotherdimensionswhichmighthelptoclarifypattemsof COOPeration.Thedimensionofgreatestinteresthereistheinnuenceofkeiretsuorsome fbrmsofindustrialgrouping. Firstwemightaskwhethermembershipinakeiretsuorakeiretsu-1ikeorganization (nrmswithequityholdinginothernmlS)obviatestheneedfbrcooperationoutsideofthe group・Orstatedconversely,doesexclusionfromakeiretsurenectinagreaterneedfbr collaboration? InTd)le25thepresenceofkeiretsunrmsineachofthefbrmsofcollaborationis ShowninangurewhichistermedtheKeiretsuPresenceFactor(KPF).AhighKPFngure general1y,andfbrnrm-nrmCOllのorationsinparticular,reneCtSaStrOngPreSenCebynrms Whicharemembersofindustrialgroups. WiththediscoveryofHTSwecanseethatthepresenceof-non-keiretsumembers hasincreasedslightlyinuniversities,WiththeKPFfhlling丘omO.94toO.70,andremains thesamefornrm-nrmCOllaborationsandgovemmentinstitutions.Fornrm-nm COllaborations,atleastonekeiT・etSunrmisinvoIvedinabout90%ofthecollaborations.In nrm-gOVemmentandnrm-universitycollaborations,keiretsunrmsarestillinvoIvedin about70%ofthejointpatentapplications.Thuskeiretsudonotseemtosubstitutefbrthe needtocooperate,atleastwithuniversityandgoverrmentlaboratories. However,innrm-nrmCOllaborations,thequestionarisesastowhethertheyare COOPeratingonlywithintheirgroup,diagonallyacrosstonrmsinothergroups,Orbetween groupsinthesamesector. Ofthe173nrm-nrmCOllaborations,153(87%)invoIvekeiretslimembers.Among thesekeiretsucaseswecanthenaskhowmanyinvoIvecollaborationswithinthekeiretsu andhowmanyoutsideofthegroup.Thepatentapplicationdatashowthatll80rthecases (78%)areinthesamekeiretsuorgroupingand350fthecases(22%)areoutsideofthe grouping.Thetendencytostaywithinthegroupfbrpatentableactivitiesisthusseentobc ratherstrong. Lookingatthe23%ofcasesoutsideofthekeiretsu,WeCanneXtaSkwhatkindor collaborationstheseinvoIve. -233- Table25 PresenceofKeiretsuFirmsinVariousCategoriesof Collaboration(KeiretsuPresenceFactor,KPF) AllSuperconductivity OxideSuperCOnductivity Fimゾfim O.87             0.93 Fim庵0V’t O.70           0.67 Fim琉Iniv O.94              0.70 Ofthese35CaSeS,al1except3invoIvediagonalcollaborations.Eightarewithnrms inotheridentinal)1ekeiretsu,24arewithindependents.Thusdiagonalrelationshipsare SeentOeXPlainalmostallcasesofcollaborationwithnrmsoutsideofakeiretsu.Tokeep themagnitudeinperSpeCtive,however,itshouldbebomeinmindthatofthetotalof173 firm-nrmPatentapplications,Only18.5%representcross-grOuPdiagonalalliances. Nextisthequestionofintra-SeCtOralcollaborations,betweencompetitors.Anong the173nml-nrmCaSeS,Only20invoIvedintra-SeCtOrCOllaborations.Ofthese20intra- SeCtOrCOlldborations,tWOWerePrqjectsmanagedorsponsoredbyutilitiesandonewas Closelytiedtoagovemmentprqject.Inallothercasesofintra-SeCtOrCOOPerationinvoIving akeiretsunrm,theparticipatingnrmswereinthe輿望蝮keireLfLt(fburcasesdidnotinvoIve 如ire打〟nnnS.) ThestrengthofindustrialgroupingsfbrpatentgenerationcanbefurtheremphaSized byexaminingthenmlSindividual1y.ThemostsalientcaseisthatofHitachi.Hitachiha5 thegreatestnumberofcolhborationsinsuperconductivityofanyorganizationandthe greatestnumberofcollaborators.However,ifpublicorseml-Publiccooperatorsare excluded,thenvirtual1yal1,97%,Oftheinter-nrmaPplicationsarewithdirectlyafTiliated nrms.ThisisshowninFigure51.ThedetailsarepresentedinAppendixD,Whichshows thatsimilarpattemsareseentoexistwithToshiba,MitsubishiElectriC,andFurukawa ElectriC.Cooperativepatentapplicationsareeitherwithpublicorganizations,Or,When theyarewithothernrms,arelargelyintra-grOup.Keiretsurelationsarequitestrongin COOperativeinnovationinsuperconductivity. Fortheothercableandwiresuppliers,thepattemsaresomewhatdifftrent,witha greaterrelianceonpublicorganizationsaspartners.TheexamplesofSumitomoElectric andFl卓kuraCableareAIsogiveninAppendixD.Thesedatarenecttheimportanceofthe Publiclal)OratOriesasfundersandusersofthisteclm0logy. 胃234胃 Figure51・ PatentApplicationCollaboratorswithHitachi,Ltd・inSuperconductivity PublicOrganizati ○止er Fjrm 5 U niver5itieS   ド. 一一 ′ ブ + ・汰 ∵ 「 On5 -235- Hi[achiGrouDFirmS Table26  LTSandHTSCollのorativePatentApplicationsofPrincipal SuperconductivityFirmsin1987,1988and1989 LTS HTS F叫ikum Funlkawa SumitomoElectric Hitachi,Ltd. MitsubishiElectric Toshiba 1 2 2 3 4 2 1 1 4 1 1 2 0ノ     3 3 2 4 1 2 5 Earlier,eVidencewaspresentedthatthelevelofuseofcollaborationdiffbred betweenthecableandwiremanuthcturersandthesystemsmanufhcturers.Welearnon CloserexaminationthatthedifTbrenceisnotjustoneoftherangeofpartners,butalso reflectsaverydifftrentlevelofuseofcollaborationtoenterHTS. Table26showsthatthethreesystemsmanufhcturersandSumitomoElectric COntinuedtopursuemostoftheircollaborativeworkinLTStechnologiesratherthanHTS. Bycontmst,theothertwom可OrCableandwiremanufhcturersFttjikuraandFurukawa increasedthelevelofcollaborativeactivitysubstantiallyinenteringHTS.Collaborationfbr theproductdeveloperscontinuedtofbcusonactivitiesthatwereclosetotheexisting mafket,WhichwereLTSactivities.Bycontrast,thenrmsthatwouldberesponsiblefbr PrOducingthenrstHTSproducts,thecableandwirenrms,turnedmuchmoreto COilaborationtom1gapsintheirscientincexpertise. Final1y,ifwetumtothequestionofwhothesenrmscollal)OratedwithintheirHTS research,theansweracrossalmostalloftheabovefirmsistheuniversities.Twenty-three Ofthe32HTSapplicationsbyF可ikurawerewithuniversities,70fHitachi’S12werewith universities,andallofSumitomo’S,MitsubishiElectriC’S,andToshiba’scollaborative applicationswerewithuniversities.ThesoleexceptionwaSFurukawawhichcollaborated heavilywithautilitiy-relatedresearchorganization(270f-its29cases.)Overal1the universitiesaccountedfbr53%ofthecollaborativeHTSapplicationsamongthesenrms, andtheutilities42%. 一236肩 Forthisnewareaofscience,itappearsthattheJapaneseuniversitieshavehada Significantroletoplay. Cooperation with Universities Inthediscussionabove,itwasnotedthatuniversitypartnerswereusedinthe m亘iorityofcasesofnrmswantingtoentertheHTSneld.Inthissectionthecooperative activitiesoftheuniversitieswillbeexaminedmorecloselytoprovideaddedinsighttotheir COntributiontonrmsandotherresearchinstitutionsbefbreandanertheHTSdiscovery. Formally,therearefburwaysthroughwhichanorganizationcancooperatewitha university.Anorganizationcanenterintoafbrmalcooperativeagreement,requeStSPeCi貞c researchtobeconductedoncontract,donatetocreateachair,Ordispatcharesearcheratthe expenseofthenrm. InthissectionIwillexploreevidenceoruniversitycoopeIationwhichconnrmsthe COntributionthatuniversitiesmaketoindustrialdiversincationaswellaSprOvidesome PerSPeCtiveonthescopeofuniversityactivity. BecausecomprehensivestatisticsarenotavailablefiomtheMinistryof-Education,I willusethedataavai1ableonfbrmalcooperativeresearchagreementswithuniversities, SurVeydatafiomaquestionnairecompletedby30profbssorsconductingresearchon SuPerCOnductivity,andmysulVeyOf60nrmsabouttheirin-houseandcooperative researchactivities. ByexamlnlngreCOrdsofal1fbrmalcooperativeR&Dagreementswithuniversities, WefindadditionalevidenceofthecontributiontodiveISinmtionmadebyuniversities.164 0neofthenrstpointsnoticedaboutthecasesofcooperativeR&Disthatthecases WereWellrepresentedbybothLTSandHTScollaborators・Inthethree-yearperiod between1987and1989therewere410rganizationscooperatingwithuniversitiesinHTS and26inLTS. MostofthecolhboratorsinLTSwere丘omthetraditionalsuperconductivity SeCtOrS,heavyelectricmachinery,mbleandwire,Shipbuilding(heavymachinery),andthe utilities,Withthesesectorsaccountingfbr81%ofthecollaborationsasshowninFigure 52・ThemqiorityofthesecollaborationsfbcussedaroundnewcoilprocesslngteClmiques andhighneldmagnetdesigns. 164”MinkanNadotonoKyodoKenkyu,nO(Showa62Nen,Showa63Nen,HeiseiGanNen)Do noJisshiHokyo,”Monbusho,(1988,1989,1990). ー237- CollaboratorsinHTSrepresentamuchbroaderraJlgeOfindustries,alsoasshown inFigure52・Thereisgreaterparticipationbynrmsinterestedinelectronicsapplications andnrmslookingtodiversify丘omtheirtraditionalchemicals,Cement,andceramics businessbases.AllofthefirmsinvoIvedarelargenrms,1istedontheFirstorSecond SectionoftheTokyoStockExchange.Smallandmedium-Sizednrmshavenotselected thisroutetocollaboration. Ofthefbrmsofcooperationpossible,individualsintheindustryanduniversities citedcooperativeR&Dasthemosttroublesomebecauseoftheneedtodenneboundaries andnegotiatethedivisionofproprietaryrights・CooperativeR&Dalsomeansthatthe industrymustmakeacontribution.AsmanynrmsdiversifyingintoHTSwerenewto superconductivityandhadrelativelysmallprograms,theywerenotinagoodpositionto participatethroughthisfbmofcollaboration・ RatherthanengageinafbrmalcooperativeR&Dagreement,mOStnrmSPrefbrto dispatchresearcheISfbrgeneraltrainlngortosetupacontractresearchagreementwiththe proftssorandhisstudentsfbrspecincresearchtobedone・Thislateroptionwasalsoseen asanimportantschemefbrrecruitinggoodgraduatestothenrms・Bothoftheseroutes WereCOnSideredmorestraightfbrward. Dataonspecinccontractsandresearchersdispatchedwerenotmadeavailableby theMinistryofEducation,SOaqueStionnairewassentouttoproftssorsinvoIvedinthe three-year(1984-1986)MinistryofEducationsuperconductivityresearchprogram・Thirty ofthe60profbssorssurveyedanswered,andallreportedsomefbrmofcollaborationwith anotherorganization.165Takingallofthecasesbetween1982and1990,Figure53shows thatalittleoverhalfofthecbllaboratinginstitutionswerenrmsorprivatelaboratories, aboutaquarterwereuniversities,andtheremainderwerefbundationsandpublic institutions. Collaborationingeneral,however,WaSatalowleveluntill987,Whenthenumber Ofpartnerinstitutionsincreぉed丘omllto37,aS血owninFigure54・Thengurealso Showstheparallelincreaseinthenumberofvisitingresearchersfromnrms・ Thelargestcausefbrthisincreasewasthegrowthinthenumberofnrms,丘om4to 25.Collaboratingnmscame丘omabroadrangeofindustries,againconnrmingthe Observationthatuniversitiesplayedanimportantroleindiversincation.Thesector distributionofthecolld)Oratingnrms,Pnmarilysincel987,areShowninFigure55. 165lnterestingly,On.yOneOfthese60professorsisalsorecordedbytheMinistryofEducationas hostingaformalcooperativeagreement・Thisappearstobebecauseofadifferenceinmotives fortheresearch.TheMOEsuperconductivityprogramfocussedontheoryandnewideas,being Centeredinphysicsandphysics-likedepartments.Thoseintheformalcooperativeprograms WereaHfromenglneerIngPrOgramSandwerethuspresumablyclosertotheneedsoftheindustry. 胃238胃 Figure52. UniversityCollal)OrationinLTSandHTSResearchthroughtheFomal MOECooperativeR&DPrognm UニlYで口.YCol】抑・こ二つnhrSR躊コ・rdおじの止くFmJH〇三垣1こ工Yt又土Dh卯 hdlエr〇1■池叫 UTJYC貢けCのⅠのロム。nh汀r5R亡拇・rChかUの止tFdH〇三C甲mvtR&Dわ夢1爪 TmC J人≡U -239- Figure53. TypesofOrganizalionsCooperatinginR&DwithUniversities-Froma Surveyof30Universities ー240一 Final1y,丘omthedataaboveitbecomesapparentthatthecollaborativeresearchis fbcussedinthenationaluniversitiesandisnotverywelldistributedamongtheprivate universities.Al1butoneofthefbrmalcooperativeagreementswithuniversitieswaswitha Privateuniversity,andallofthe60profbssorsidentinedasparticipatingintheMinistryof Educationprogrzmwere丘omnationalschooIs.Researchsupporttoprivateuniversitiesis notabigpartoftheacademicsuperconductivityworld. NationalProjectSpin-Off Onespin-Offeffbctthatgovemmentprqjectsmighthaveistoprovidean OPPOrtunityfbrnrmstoidentifymutualneeds.Then,independentofthegovemment Prqjects,thesenrmSCOuldcollaborateseparately.Isthereevidenceofsuchcolld)Oration? Theanswer丘omthepatentapplicationdataisno.Eightypercentofthenrmsthat haveparticipatedinthesamenationalprqjectinsuperconductivityarefirmscooperating Withotherkeiretsuorgroupmembers,almostentirelyHitachiCableandHitachi,Ltd. FourothercasesarediagonalcooperationswhichinvoIveanintegratedmanufhcturer, Furukawa,andasystemsmanufhcturer,F可iElectriC.Onlyoneisintra-SeCtOral.But eveninthissinglecase,FujiElectricandMitsubishiElectriC,theresearchwascloselytied totheworkdonebythegovernment. Participationingovernmentprqiectsdidnotleadtoanyevidenceinpatent applicationsofspin-Offcollaborationacrossindustrialgroupings. Summary Asconclusionsaredrawnal)OutCOllaborativepatentactivityinsuperconductivity,it Shouldbebomeinmindthattheyrepresentonlyasmallportionoftheoverallpatent activity,rangingfiom2to8%oftotalpatentsinanyOneyear.Thebulkoftheinnovation asrenectedinpatentapplicationsisconductedindependently. Thepatentapplicationsnonethelessprovideindicatorsofthecharacteristicsof COllal)Oration,SOmeOfwhicharecontrarytopopularopinionandgeneralindustrialtrends. Itwasrevealedthatthehighestrelativeuseofcollaborationwasbyfirmswhicharenewto thefield,Whicharediversifyingintosuperconductivity.Therelativeuseofcollaboration amongtheestablishednrmsintheindustrywasunifbrmlylower,althoughthisalso increasedsignincantlywiththeirowndiversincationintoHTS. -241- Figure54・ NumberofResearchersandUniversitiesParticipatinginCooperativeR&D withFirms-FromaSurveyof30Universities 82  83  84  85  85  87  83  39  90 Year -242胃 □R王SEARCHERS .■-mSTITUTIONS Figure55.IndustrialSectorsCooperatinginR&DwithUniversities-FromFirms IdentinedinaSurveyof30Universities TextileS Utility PreciSionMachjneIγ MotorVehicle ∵. Elect∫icMacldnery ConSumeTElectronics Communicalion Chemica15 Petroleum Gla55&Ceramics Cement Iron&StcCl Nonf.e汀Ou5 Cable&Wi∫e hduSのdMachjneけ HeavyElec山C -243- Contrarytopopularimage,theuniversitiesareseentobeanimportantpartnerfbr bothnewnrmsandestal)1ishednrmsenteringHTS・AlthoughuniversitiesinJapanare 丘equentlycriticizedfbrconductingresearchthatisnotofnrstratequalityandfbrbeing distant丘omtheindustry,thediscoveryofHTSshowsthatthereareexceptions.Itwasa universitywhichmadetheconnrmationofthephenomena,andinasurveybytheNational ScienceFoundationinl987,theyfbundthatuniversitieswererankedamongthetop CenterSOfHTSresearch,withtheUniversityofTokyotoppingallinstitutions,including nrms.Innewneldsofscience,universitieshaveshownthattheyhaveanimportantroleto Playineducatingtheindustry,andwecanexpectthistypeofinteractiontoincreaseasthe numberofuniversity-industrylinkagesincreaseseachyearinJapan. Regardingtheinnuenceofkeire加,theevidenceisthatinsuperconductivitythe tendencytocollaboratewithinakeiretsuisquitestrong.Thisiscontrarytogeneral industrydata,Whichshowsintra-keiretsuactivitytypicallyaccountingfbr25-50%ofal1 jointpatents.166nisdiffbrence,however,reflectsadiffbrentindustrialstructurein SuPerCOnductivity.AstheLTSirldustryisasmalloneandasrelationshipshadbeenwell established,therewasvirtual1ynomlgrationacrosstheindustrialgroupings.Thismay ChangeshouldtheHTSindustrygrowandbroaderl,butintheinitialperiodofHTSgrowth WeSaWthatmostcollaborationswerewithuniversitiesandpublicinstitutions. Final1y,regardingthenotionthatthereisaspin-Ofr丘omgovernmentprograms throughthecreation ofnewrelationshipslninnovation,therewasnoevidenceofthisin thepatentapplicationdata. OveralltheanalysistellsustObecarefulaboutsweepinggeneraliZationsof COlhborationinJapan.Collaborationpattemswillbestronglyinnuencedbythesizeofthe marketsandthestructureoftheindustry.TherlarrOWmarketsandestablished relationshipsinthetraditionalsuperconductivityindustryhaveresultedinthepattems Observedhere.IfthereisanunderlyingprlnCiple,itappearStObeoneofpracticalityin innovation.TheindustryevoIvestopracticalrelationshipswhichstrengthensthemarket POSitionofthenrms,andwhilegivingpri0ritytotheserelationshipsininnovation,Where experienceisinadequate,theindustryturnstouniversitiesandpublicbodiesinsearchof trainingandnewideas. 166KikaiShinkoKyokaiKeizaiKenkyujo,旦越,P.22. ー244- IX. CONCLUSIONS InexaminingthedevelopmentofsuperCOnductivityinJapanandtheroleof researchconsortia,threeissueswereofprimaryconcem:l)Howweretheseprograms fbrmedrwhohasthelead?2)Howaretheseprogramsorganizedandexecuted-What’s theroleofcooperationandofcompetition?3)WhatimpactdotheseprogTamShave-how dotheprogIamSadvancethescienceorthetechnology? Thefbrmationoftheprqiectwasusedtotesttheoriesaboutwheretheleadliesin governmentsupportedresearchprograms.Hereacommonlyheldview,Particularlywith regardtohightemperaturesuperconductivity,167isthatMITIconsciouslytakestheleadby Settingfbrtharesearchagendaaroundwhichtheprivatesectorwi11rally,COnSistentwith thetheorythatthegovemmentactsa5aStrOng”plan-rational”state.168Thisisnotan imagewhichappliestosuperconductivity. Rather,itisthecompanies,thenationallaboratories,anduniversityprofissorsthat taketheleadinconsideringandrecommendingareaS0fgovemrnentsupport.The industrialaSSOCiations,inparticular,areSeentObeimportantcentersofresearchproposals aswellasvehiclestogainlegitimacyirltheprivatesectorfbrthepromotionofthe technologyortechnologyarea. MITIisintegratedintodiscussionsintheearlystagesanditsdirectinnuence dependsontheclarityofthetechnologicalgoais,Whichintumvarywiththedegreeof advanceofthetechnoIogy,therangeoftechnicaloptions,andthetechnicaluncertainty. ThemorerlarrOWtherangeofprornisingteChnicalchoice,themoredirectlyMITIcanexert aninnuenceintheearlystages.AnimportantaspectinfluencingMITI’sinterestisthe extentofadVanceoverseas.lftheworkisofsubstantialinterestatprestigiousinstitutions OVerSeaS,ithasgenerallybeenofinterestatMITI. Asresearchhasincreaslnglypressedthe丘ontierandastheuncertaintyandrangeor OPtionshasconsequentlyincreased,MITIhashadtoincreasinglyrelyonoutsidesources toproposeandevaluateideas.Thistrendofdrawingonanextendednetwofktoinitiate PrqjectsislikelytocontinueinsuperconductivityandotherneldsascapabilitiesinJapan contirluetOadvance. WhereMITIdoescontributemoresubstantivelyisinfbrgingsupportinthe govemmentandindustryneCeSSarytOSuStaintheprqjectfbrthelengthofitsmulti-year 167seeearlierreferencestoR・一nman,JapanTechno一〇gyEvaIuationCenterandM.Crow・ 168The”p-anrationa]・・statereferstoatheoryJnPOliticalsciencedevelopedbyCha一merS Johnsontodescribethestronginfluenceofthebureaucracyoverthedirectionoftheeconomy andthestate. 胃245- Pan.Fororganizationsdirectlyregu】atedbyMITI,SuChastheutilities,thecoercive powersforparticipationaresignificant.EvenfbrnrmSwithoutalottogain丘om Participation,MITI’scallcanstillbepersuasivebecauseofthemanyregulatorypowersthat itstillholds.Inaddition,MITIofncialsspendmuchoftheirtimenegotiatingwithinMITI andwiththeMinistryofFinancefbrannualappropriations.MITImaynotmotivatethe ideas,butMITImakestheideaShappen. WiththediscoveryofHTS,WeSeethesamegeneralconclusionsapplyto fbrmation,aSthistypeofbreakthroughinsciencedoesnotdrawthepoliticalattention neededtocircumventthenormalbudgetprocess.ThediscoveryorHTSwasnota ”political1y”signincanteVentintheeyesofmostmembersofthenationalI)ietsotheHTS programsinMITIandtheSTAhadtoabidebythenormalbudgetaryscheduleandthushad towaitayearandahalfbefbrefhndingwasauth0rized.MITIdidnot,andinabudgetary SenSeCOuldnot,mOVeatthespeedoflight. Inthelanguageofpoliticalscience,themodeofthegovemmentinthecreationof thesenationaltechnologyprq3ectswasoneof”technology-determinedreciprocal COnSent,”169withthereciprocitybeingabsentofanactiverolebytheDiet,andwiththe balancedeterminedbytheclarityofthetechnicaltargets. Inexaminingtheorganizationandmanagementofthegovernmentprograms,the roleof’cooperationwasofprimarilyinterest.Wasitachieved?How?Whatfbrmdidit take?Onehypothesistestedwasthatcooperationwasachievedthroughthetargetingof PreCOmpetitive,teChnology-baseresearch.Asecond hypothesistestedwasthatthereis SOmeuniquefbrmorlevelofcollaborationthatoccursinJapanasaresultofitsculture, tradition,Orinstitutions. Thecasesrevealedthatthenotiorl0fprecompetitivecooperationisanalluringbut deceptiveonewhichdoesnotusefu11ydescribeanyoftheLTScases.Itistheperception OftheqpprqpTiationthatmostinnuencesbehavior,nOtaWillingnesstobecooperativein PreCOmPetition.Thecasesrevealedthatwhencolldborationwasachieved,itwasnotina WayWhichwouldbeunexpectedofnrmsactingrationally,andwasrealizedinaway achievhblebynrmsintheUnitedStates. IntheLTScases,由SuperCOnductivityratherthandevelopingsuperconducting materialswastypicalbefbrethediscoveryofHTS.Thedevelopmentofthe SuPerCOnductirlgmaterialitselfwasneveram毎OrpartOf-anyoftheLTSactivities. WorkingwiththesuperCOnductingwirestoprovidethedesiredmagneticfunctionswas 169〝Reciproca-Consent”referstoatheory-nPOl托ica.sciencedeve-opedbyRichardSamueIs WhichmodelsthepolicymakingprocessinJapanasahighlyinteractiveonebetweenthe]eaders Ofindustryandthegovemment,WiththeJeadvarylngdependingupontheissue. 一246胃 Oftenachal1enge,butmuchmoreanengineeringonethanoneinvolvingscientinc discovery.Thisworkwascertainlynotprecompetitive. Second,WeSaWthatmorethanleapintothefuture,them可0rityoftheprqjectsuntil recentlyweredesignedtoemulateworkinitiatedabroadwithmostfbmlaltechnicalgoals incrementalratherthanrevolutionary.Inmanycases,thegoalswerenotbeyondtheworld Standardatprqiectoutset,butsomethingclosetocurrentworldperfbrmance.Thatis,it WaSlargelyknownthattheperfbrmancegoalscanbeachievedatthestartoftheprqject.If thetechnicalgoalsaremodest,theprognmsarelikelytobe’’teclmica11ysuccessfu1.”This renectsthe”tatemae”oftheprocess,Withthestatedgoalsoflennotbeingthetruefbcusof theactivity. Regardingthebehaviorofthenrms,itwaSSeenthatthenrmsactedinamanner COnSistentwitharationalactoraSSumPtionoforganizationalbehavior.Evidenceofa ”cultural”innuencewhichmanifbstsitselfinunexpectedcollaborationbetweencompeting nrmsisnotevidenced.Insteadthenrmsbehavelargelyaswewouldexpectcompeting nrmstobehave,apPrOPriatingteclm010gywhenpossible.Itisarecognitionofthese interestsinthedesignoftheprogramthatcreatesvalue,COmPetitiveandcooperative,fbr theconsortia.Japan’sresearchconsortiaarenotculture-bound,aSJapanesenrmsgive Pri0ritytotheircompetitiveinterestsjustasAmericannrmsdo. Somelevelofcooperationwasseenwhenknowledgeaboutwhatcanbe appropriated丘omparticipationwaSStilllow,OrWhentherewasateclm010gicalimperative andathirdpartywasactingtocatalyzetheactivity.Thegreatestamountofcooperation betweencompetitorsoccursintheyearsprecedingthestartofatypicalprqject.Thisisa leamingperiodwhennrmsarepoolingresourcestostudywhatthestate-0仁the-artis,and todosomepreliminarytestingoftheteClm010gies.Thecertaintyaboutwhatcanprontably beappropriatedislowandthebenentofleaming丘omthecommonactivityishigh.Here COOperationoccurs. Earlyintheprqjectnrmsstilldescribesomeexchangeofinfbrmationabout evaluationteclmiquesandaboutequipmenttobepurchasedfbrexperiment.Butasthe Prqjectsprogress,thenrmsarebetterabletojudgewhattheywouldliketowithholdand PrOgrammaticcollaborationtumsmoretowardcompetition. Asaresult,indeviceprqjects,aSeaChofthenrmsdevelopstheskillstopursuethe teclm010giesin-house,thetechnologiesareincreasinglydevelopedseparatelyand COmPetitively.Simi1arlyinsystemsprQjects,theprincipalsystemsdevelopersstillexpect tobecompetitorsinthemafketplaceandweresimiladyseentoguardtheirinterests. Inthecaseofscience,WeSeethatcollaborationcanoccurwhentheorganization demandsitandappropriationissumcientlyuncertain,butwi11notoccurspontaneouslyir ー247胃 thenrmsareallowedsomemeasureofinsulation.IntheISTECprogmm,WeSaWthat Prof.TanakaandMITIseemtohaveachievedathoroughmixingofindividuals丘omthe participatingnrmsineachofhissixdivisions・Participationappearstorenecttheskillsof theindividualsandtheirgeographicprefbrencesmorethanrenectsegregationduetothe proprietaryinterestsofthenrms.htheMulti-CoreProgram,bycontrast,thenrmsare allowedtosendresearcherstoresearchcentersoruserfhcilitiestoconductspecinctasks. Whilethenatureoftheworkisfundamental,theworkismorefbrmal1yinsulated. Ithasbeenpostulatedthatalthoughthenrmsconducttheirresearchseparately ratherthanjointly,丘equentfbrcedmeetingscreatea”cultureofexchange”ofinfbrmation betweenmembersofthenrms.170This,however,SeemStOgiveanexaggerated PerCePtion.Ininterviewswithbothparticipantsandadvisors,Whilethereisanadmission theinteractionsareeasierbetweenthesameindividualsasyearspass,mOStPlacelittlevalue Onthebulkoftheinfbrmationexchanged.Overtimethereismorecompetitionthan COOperation. Themeetingsdo,however,PrOVidetheimportantcompetitivefhnctior10fa110wing thecompetingmembersorteamstokeeptrackofthetechnicaladvanceofitsrivalsand POSSibleimprovetheirownposition.Ininterviews,Participantsgenerallydiscountedthe technicalValueoftheinfbmlationexchangebetweenteams,andinsteademphasizedint王ateamexchangeandthesenseofcompetitionthatexistedintheprqjects. Thismutual ratcheting-uPthfOughcompetitionisakeydynamicoftheprqjects. Keytothedesignoftheprogramsisthenurturingofthiscompetition担堅呈_主』些 tryingtoforcecooperation.hvirtuallyallcasesofsystemsordevicedevelopment,mOre thanonenrm,tyPicallythree,areSelectedasprimarydevelopersandworkinparallelon thekeyaspectsoftheprqject.Theplanisnottoselecta”nationalchampion’’whichwill monopolizethedomesticmarket,butasetofstrongnrmswhichwouldbeintemationallv COmpetitive. Competitionisusedduringtheoperationoftheconsortiatoenhancedevelopment. Whenthereisclearcooperationitwasoftenincompetitiveteams,typicallyinsystems Prqjects.Hereorganizationalcooperationoccurredwhentheinterestsofthenrmswere Vertical1ymatchedinsupplier-uSerrelationships.TheywerethuscoordiIlatedinamarmer Whichwasconsistentwiththeircompetitiveinterests. Further,COmPetitionbythesesameplayersisdesireduponcompletionofthe PrQjecttogetthetechnologyintothemarket.ThusCOmpetitionisleveragedtospeed 170NationalResearchCouncil,望迫旦塑型垣_皇嘘上道血⊆由坦塑型址狙j也担且9宣j 地,Washington:NationalAcademyPress,1991,P.20. 胃248- developmentduringtheprq3cctandcompetitioncanbereliedontoacceleratetheadvanceof theteclm010giestowardthemarket. Consortiafbsteringcompetitionismuchmoreimportantthanconsortiafbr COOperation.Itisthisabilitytoexploitcompetitionandcoordinatenon-COmpetitivelinkS, Or’broconpetitivecoordination”whichisatrademarkoftheconsortia. Ifwemodeltherelationshipsbetweennrmsinasimpleinterdependentdecision matrix,We丘ndasituationresemblingthatinFigure56betweeIlthemaJOrSyStemand devicedevelopers.Insteadofseeingsubstantialcooperation,WeSeeSubstantial COmpetition,withISTECandpartof-thelinearmotorcarprogrambeingtheonly exceptions.InthecaseofISTEC,thecharacteristicsofthescience,thepersuasivenessof MITI,andtheinnuenceoftheIJaboratoryDirectorinducedacooperativeoutcome,andin thecaseofthelinearmotorcaritwasthephysicaldemandofonepieceofinfhstructure. FIRM B COMPETE C○○PERATE COMPETE FIRM A C○○PERATE JosephsonJct. HTS Devices Pa「ametron Supe「GM SC Sensor M山tトCore Linea「MotorCar (SystemsDevel.) 】STEC LinearMotorCar (CabJeMfgs.) Figure56 InterdependentDecisionMatdxRepresentationRelationshipsBetween PrincipalFirms 胃249- InthecaSeOfallotherprograms,the窺rmsedlibitedcompetitivesolutions. ThispattemrenectingstronglycompetitiVebehaviorwasalsowitnessedinthe industrygeneral1y.Whencooperativepatentapplicationsinsuperconductivitywere examinedoverthelast20years,WeSaWnOevidenceof’collaborationbetweencompetitors exceptincaseswherethegovernmentOrtheutilitieswerealsoinvoIvedtofbrcethe collaboration.Collaborationsbetweenfirmswerenotonlylargelyvertical,butfbrthe largernrms,WerePnmari1ywithintheirindustrialgrouping・Competitiveappropriation agalnundediesthecooperativebehaviorofthenm・ Althoughbureaucraticrivalriesappeartobeatleastasintenseasnrmrivalries,With littlecrossparticipationbetweenbureaucraciesandtheirnationallaboratories,thereseems tobelittlenegativeefhctonthenrmsandtheuniversities,WiththeseorganizationspedlaPS benentingfiomtheinsulatorybehavior.Eventhoughthebureaucraciesdonotcooperate, theprincipalnrmbenenciariesoftheprqjectsaregenerallythesame.Afterestal)1ishing theiradministrativedomainsintransportation,Orenergy,OrSenSlng,thediffbrent programsinthedifTbrentbureaucraciesendupfundingthesamesetofnrmstodothe WOrk.ThisisparticularlytruefbrLTSprqjects. Universityprofissorsalsoseemtobenent丘omthedivisionofbureaucraciesas theycanmoveacrossborderstogainfromthediffbrentresourcesoffbred.Fromtheirown ministry,theMinistryofEducation,theyreceiverCsearchgrants;丘omtheScienceand TechnologyAgencytheycanget丘eeaccesstostate-0仁the-artreSearChequipment;and 丘omMITItheycandeveloptheirindustryconnectionsandreceivesomelevelof remunerationfbrparticipationonadvisorycommittees.BureaucraticriValriesdonotappear tohavehandicappedsuperconductivityresearchatthebenchlevel. ThethirdgeIleralissueisoneofimpact.Withthefbfmalgoalsa5h7temae,the honneliesinimpactonavarietyofdimensionsofinnovation,withdifftrencesseentoarise betweenprqiectstargetedatdevicesvs.systemsvs.science.Table27summarizedthe difftrencesdiscussedinthischapterandtheirrelativeimportancetothediffbrentcategories Oftechnologies.Theresultsareagaingeneral1yconsistentwiththeoutcomeexpectedof COmPetitive,rationalactorsirlaCOllectiveactivity,Whereuncertaintyandappropriability StrOnglyinnuencethevalueofthevari0usbenents.Someofthemorenotablepoints includethefbllowing: Therelativeimportanceof-thegovemmentprogramtothenrminthespecinc technologyareaistypicallyhigh,Oflenaccountingfbrmorethan50%ofthenrm’seffbrt. TheprogressmadeinthecorescienceandtechnologyinpastLTSprqjectsis typicallyincremental,nOtreVOlutionary,althoughtheleapisincreasing. ー250- Table27  SummaryOfDiffbrencesbetweenSystems,Device,andSciencePrQjects inCollaborativeR&DinSuperconductivity SysteHIS Device Science ’-JPJ.’V-.?-’.L・.・・..-・..-.一一一-一一.一一一一一--T一一一--一一一一--一一-一一-一一一一・一一一一一一一一-・--T-一一一一・一・--一一一一一一・一・一一一一・一・一一一一一一---・一・一・一一・一一・一一・-一一一,-一一一-一一一一一一一一---.-.一一一一一一.-一一一一一-. Examples superGM JosephsonJct ISTEC SuperconductingSensor HTS-ED Multi-Core qFP FormatioII Use〟Association Gov,tLab/hdustryScientists/Gov,tlab OrganizationalMode coordinatedzuld hsulaIedmd Mixed-Varyingon Competitive Competitive AbilitytoAppropriate Bene丘b 加グ0γは〃Ce如Jのvelo J〃一〟0〟∫gFiγ和AcわVウ Coγe∫C肺ced′7d花C力乃0わgy 飢相可如血の β柳肺の Co/叩Je椚どれブロワA∫∫er∫ プ′.J/′刷∫ g〟のJf〃gCo叩融血γ∫ Signi丘∝mt Mder叙e hcrementd hcrementd Eqpt.PurchaSe Eqpt.Purcha5e Small Small Peripherals Users M∝iemfe Signincant SILStainlnga乃chnologlCalBase Significant M∝ie感e Signincant Significant SmalltoLarge IncrementaltoAdvanced Teclm0logyBase- Eqpt.Purcha5e Moderate ModeratetoHigh ResearchEqpt ProcessingEqpt Signincant Significant Significant Amajordirectbenenttobothtothenationallaboratoriesandthenrmsisthe acquisitionofexpensiveR&Dequipment.Asmostofthebudgetsreceivedbythenrms, andallofthebudgetsreceivedbythenationallaboratoriesarespentonequipmentand materials,participationallowsfbrasignificantupgradewithstate-Of-the-artequipment. Alessdirectbutequallyimportantbenentistheacquisitionofmarketsand nurturingfuturemarketsfbrsuperconduCtingproducts.GoverrmentR&Dandlaboratory prqjectshavebeentheprincipalmarketsforsuperconductingwireandmagnetsfbrthe lengthoftheindustry’shistoryinJapan.Inthecaseofthesuperconductinggenerator PrOgram,thelinearmotorcar,andtheMIIDgeneratorprogram,themarketiswelldenned・ 肩251- Participationinthethegovemmentdevelopmentprogramswouldbeanimportantentreeto theeventualmarkets,Withtheaccumulatedexperienceeffbctivelyservingasa barrierofentrytoothernrms・Notethatintheprograms,theprincipalnrmsarealwaysthe Same. Ferretingout”blindalleys.”Theincrementaldesignoftheprogramsandstyleof researcharewellmatchedtothefunctionofexploringavarietyofpathsandfbrretiIlgOut unproductiveapproaches.ThisappearsparticularlytrueortheresearchinHTS. Establishingcommonevaluationtechniques.Forresearchtoadvanceitisimportant fbrthelanguageofprogresstobecommon・Anemphasisonevaluationatthebeginningof theprogramprovidesfbracommonteclmicallangugeandfbrasenseofwhichevaluation techniquesaremostef旋ctiveandreliable. Thescienceprqiectscontributetobothdiversincationanddiffhsionbutthe technologyprq5ectsstronglyfhvorm亘ior,eStablishedactors・ Developingcomplementaryassetsisadesignedbenentinsystemsprqjects,anda moresererldipitousresultofprogressinscience.ForsuperconductiflgSyStemSthismeant developingthesupportingrefhgeration,Shielding,COntrOl,OrSerlSingtechnologiesneeded torealizefhlldevelopment,arlddevelopiIlgrleWreSearChandprocessiIlgequipmenfto enabletheadvanceofanewneld. TraininglSaParticularlyimportantbene6tofthescienceprqiects,althoughitclearly benentsal1prqjectstosomeextent.FortheHTSprojects,trainingappearstobethe Principalanticipatedbenefitofthenrms,abenentmoredimculttoachieveintheUnited Statesbecauseofgreaterjobmobility. Commontoallprqiectsisthebenent丘omincreasingtheteclm010gicallevelof COmPetitivenrmsorteamswhichwilltakethedevelopmentsintothemarket.Apri0rityon thecommercialcapabilityoftheparticipantsandtheleveragingofprocompetitive COOrdinationresultsinalevelofincreasedindustrialcapabilitythatisatleastclosertothe State-Of-the-art,ifnotdenningthe丘ontier. AIsocommontoallprqjectsisthevaluecontributedthroughlong-termSuPPOrtOf theteclm010gies,Whichaidsthemaintenanceoratechnologicalbase.InmanyoftheLTS CaSeSStudied,itisthelengthofcommitmentandthetimeprovidedfbrincremental improvementswherethegovemmentprovidesitsmostimportantcontribution.TheMm Pr亘iectwasinitial1yscheduledtorunfbr5years,butdevelopmentwasfbundtobemore dimcultthanexpected.Astheutilities,aSemi-Publicsetofbodies,WOuldbetheprimary benenciariesofitssuccess,themarketwasnarrowanddevelopmentwouldnotbeexpected tocontinuewithoutpublicsupport.Theprqjectwasthuscontinuedfbranadditional12 yearS. -252- Developmentofthelinearmotorcarbeganinl970andcontinuedimprovementofthesuperconductingmagnetsandprototypetestingiscontinuingtoda ,21yearslater.The nrstsuperconductingelectricitygeneratorprqjectwasinitiatedinl974,thenextinl977 andthenextin1988,WithannalprototypeprQjectanticipatedtobeginin1996.Thus22 yearswillhaveelapsedbetweeninitialgoverrmentsupportandthestartofthedevelopment Ofapracticalprototype. EveninthecaseoftheJosephsonJunCtion,Whichwastargetedfbramoregeneral commercialmarket,thetenyearlengthof-thegovemmentprogramallowedthenrmsto COntinuetheeffbrtfbr7yearsafterlBMdroppedoutandhelpedthemattainaclear international1eadinthistechnology. ThesameistrueoftheHTSprqjects.TheMITIprogramassuresthattherewi11be asustained,10-yeareffbrt,tOadvancetheperfbrmanceofthesematerialswithalaboratory Ofabout90researchers.TheSTAprogramwillallowtheSTAlaboratoriestoacqulre State-Of・the-art,andsometimesintemational1yleadingresearchfhcilitiesfbrHTSandother materialsresearchwhichwillcontinuetobeavailableoncethefbma15-yeartermOfthe programexpires.Theprogramwillataminimumprovidefbramuchenhancedabilityto COnductscienceoveraperiodfhroutlastingtheprogram. Inthishistoryananalogycanbedrawnwiththedevelopmentofthecomputer industryinJapan.Overthe25yearsofgovemmentsupportfbrR&Dconsortiain COmPuter-relatedareas,manyPrQjectsinhardwareandsoftwarewerecreated.When Viewedindividual1y,mOStfhiledtoachievethekindofmarketimpactthatwashoped.But Whenviewedcollectively,WeCanSeealong-term,SuStainedhistoryofsupporttheindustry untiiitistoday,amOngthestrongestintheworld. AsthescientincactivityoftheconsortiaalonehaSbeenseennottobeaprincipal goalofmostofthesuperconductivitycases,POlicymakerselsewhereintheworldshould bearthisinmindwhendevelopingprogramsostensiblymodeledonthe’Tapanese experience.”Simplyestdblishing4to6superconductivityconsortiainvoIvinguniversities, nationallaboratoriesandtheindustry,aSreCOmmendedbyTheCommitteetoAdvisethe PresidentonHighTemperatureSuperconductivity,171mayonlyprovidemarginal SCientincorcommercialretums. Superconductivityhasbeenraisedinanenvironmentof’boundedcompetition”in JapanandhasbeenaninduStryWhichhasrequiredlong-termSuPpOrt.Whetherornotone acceptstheargumentofthe CouncilonSuperconductivityfbrAnericanCompetitiveness 1ー1上1迫虹[旦弧匹望加盟旦些堅堅些辿銀山虹_聖些逆生旦些生型迫旦嬰perationontheRoadto ⊆⊆塑型旦墜直拉感垣皿Washington:TheCommitteetoAdvisethePresidentonHighTemperature Superconductivity,1987. -253- thattheU.S.governmentneedsa5-year,$250mi】1ioTldollarprogram,172policymakers shouldbeawarethatthisisatechnologywhichneedssustainedcommitment. 172DavidStipp,・・superconductorGroupRecommendsJointlndustry-GovernmentProgram AsianWallStreetJogI[嬰l..June18.1991. -254胃 APPENDICIES 一255- APPENDIX A. Ma訂letName SuperconductingMagnets Usedatthe NationaZ LaboratoryforHigh-EnergyPhysics(Superconducting Mangetsand Cr・yOgenicSystemsin KEK,Monbusho, Ko-EnerugiButsurigakuKenkyujo,April1991) Year Fieldstrength Current Stored (B-maX,T)  仏)   Energy Manuhcturer SeptumMagnet Benkei-LargeAperture SD430 TOPAZSolenoid VENUSSolenoid AMYSolenoid lOTeslaDipole 14TSplitSolenoid 5PoleVerticalWiggler PCMAG/BESS ToroidalMagnet Dipole,HadronCollider Dipole,HadronCollider hse山onQuadnlpOle SKSSpectrometer ASTROMAGTest Coil LHCModelDipole 5415142 153, 70.5..9200180,5,‘UO・ 23410411′021⊥7′0′0451 1224′0′050ノ0ノ00000011 0000005008800000ノqノ0ノ0ノ0ノqノ0ノ0ノ 90ノ0ノ999070ノ0ノQノQノQノQノ0ノQノQノ0ノ llll11⊥1⊥lll?lllllll 2240    52kJ 610     3.15MJ 3518    615U 3650   19MJ 4000    11.7MJ 5000    40MJ 6340    728kJ 570    1019kJ 220     220 512     815kJ 1550    2.9MJ 5968    50U 6500    50kJ 3405    336kJ 498    11.2MJ 800    10MJ 12720  670U/paiT ー256- Furukawa王≡lec仕ic MitSubishiElectric FurukawaEIectric FurukawaElectric MitsubishiElectric HitachiLtd. HitachiLtd. MitsubishiElectric IHICo.,Ltd. Toshiba Mit5ubiShiElectric KEK KEK HitachiLtd. Toshiba Toshba ToShiba APPENDIX B・ EquipmentandFacilitiesAdvertisedforCooperative ResearehUseattheMutli-CoreProgramResearch Cores Core EquipmentandFacilities Theory DabBase NewSuperconducting Matedds MaterialComposition Thh Film SingleCげStaユ Litho訂aphy Simulationmanagementequlpment Alloydesi辞lWOrkstation Datausesyste汀lteminalworkstations Solidphasereactionmethods Dryprocessmethod MultistagemoiSturemethod SoIGelprocess Liquidphasereactionmethods Ultra-hstquenchingmethod Vaporphasereactionmethods Surfhcemodincationmethod Solidpressurizationmethcds Highpressuresolidphasereaction Highpressure,multistagepreSSuTization Sealedtutrpressurizalion Vaporpressurizationmethods HighpressuregaSPreSSurization Otherequlpment 30,000tonhighpressurepress Thickfilmultra-fastquenchingequlPrnent HighAowtemperatureX-raydiffractionmeter SIMS SQUIDmagneticneldmeasuringequipment SolidphaseelectrolysisequlPment Lightbeamcrystalgrow也equlPment Lightexcitationreactionequipment Multi-elementlowtemperafureTeaCtOT ControlledstructurefilmlayenngequlPment AugerelectronspeCtraldiffractionanalyzer MossbauereffectmeasurlngequlPment Pick-uPequlPment Condensingfloat-ZOneprOCeSSequlPment TopseedequlPment HightemperatureStage空CrOSCOpe PortTaitmanagementequlPment Realtimeevaporationmulti-taTgetSPutteringequlPment lASereVafX)rationequlPment LightdecompositionCⅥ〕equipment LASerSurfhcealterationequlPment MolecularlineepitaxyequlPment ElectronbeamexposureequlPment Dryetchingequlpment LithographyequlPment BasicConductor Solidphasereactionmethods Sputterprocess VacuumevaI氾総tion -257- HighField CrystalStruCtu∫e ChemicalComposition Radiation PhysicalandChemical mproceSS Liquidphasereactionmethds Electronkmi∫radiationprocess Ultra一缶或meltcoolingprocess Vaporphasereactionmethods Powdercomplexfieldprocess Chemicalreactionmethods SoIGelprocess Applicationprocesses Plasmajetme也の5 80Tlongpulsemagnet 40Thybridmagnet 20Tlargeboremagnet Ultra一minutemagnetfieldmeasurlngequlPment Ultra-highresolutionelectronmicroscope PowderX-raydiffractionmeter ESCA Crystalstructureanalysesprograms HighresolutionelectronmicroscopePOrtraitanalysisprogram PhotoelectronspeCtaCleanalysisprogram Rutherfbrdbackscattering(RBS)equipment CAICISS ScannlngtunnelmiCroscope MuonspeCtraldiffractionequlPment Gamma-rayirrad血ionequlPment ElectronlineradiationequlPment Neutronirradiationequlpment Neutrons洋CtraldiffractionequlPment IonirradiationequlPment XPS/ESCA X-raydiffhction SmS〝MA SqUID AugerelectronspeCtrOSCOpy ScannlTlgelectronmicroscope EDX -258- APPENDIX C. ProgramandPerformanceInformationRegardirlgthe SuperconductingEIectricityGenerator 胃259- Surx2rCOnductor -Enhanccment of current denslty - Reductlon ofloss -Enhancement of stab111ty E山lanCement Multi-Cylindrical rotor Characteristi aSSem ー Vibration 一日anufacturing and ー StructLu・al material -Structuralintegrity ー Nの01- -Hinding Flold融ndlng -Wlndlng manufacturlng methcx1 -Supportlng and flxlng meth∝1 →Cooling methodin translent stato Ⅵ1ndlng 昌芸芸昔岩。3 a賃崇C崇hcd     -Evaluatlon method Evaluation teclm lque 日  日胃  胃 ]             l Warm damF喰r - Shleld charaC l     / ーHanufact思・1ng \、くL \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \ \l\ \ \ -Y′\ 工C                       1声ご一一調? 霊悪霊告票軸。  し ′′′境ら′′′堪′′ ノ ′aluation technique                  フ一一 ′′′′′〝′′ノ′′′′′′渚ろ .、..叫、、隻手、、、豪、、、、、、、、P・..。,. / J 匝ellu皿Tran armatur。Hl。。i。g ll- 7 朝 川 S。PfX,rt m。thcd      / -Ilelium gaS - Vacuum Sea - Penetratlo -Security o -Optimum double trans[氾Sed conductor OI光ratio【-COntrOl -Start/StOP OrXjration method -Turning oFXjration method -^utomatic control methc(l C0011ng system 1nsulat methの teristic technique Sfer coupllng Seal l n heatinhibition f reliability ーEffcctive coolirlg for fleld wlnding -Effectlve coollng for rotor -Cooling for structural matcrlalsln transient state -Coollng andinsulatlon method for currentlead Protectlon&detectlon -Quench detectlng rnethod - Measurement mothod -Dlagnostlc teclmlquo for abnorrnal opcmtlon Halntenance -Malntenanceltems and frequency -Repalring technl甲1e Fig.3 Main R&D subjectsofsuperconducting generator FY1988 - <Element Technique> Characterlstlcs of erconductor for Field Hindin Of Generator (Slow/Quick Response Excitation Type) Fleユd Hindin C01d Dam Radlatlon Shleld 工9三gと堕」連盟 - Nのーー <Partlal Model> Fleld Hlndlng Model Mechanical Structure for Thermal Shrlnka (Double Bearlng.Flexlble Disk) 三圭と三二tL〔工Lユ (Single Layer Type.Squirrel Cage Type.Three Layer Type) Characteristlcs forIfrC Seal Heat Transfer Characterlstlcs Armature Conductor (Double Transposed) Multトcylindrlcal Rotor Modol rIeliuJn Transfer Coupling (I汀C)Model Rotatlng C0011ng Model Armature Wlndlng Model く200榊 class Pilot Machine> Basic Desi n and Elemental Technolo ∧・ <70捕イ class Model Machirle> Rotor (Slow /Qulck ResponsQ Excltatlon Type) Fig・4 R&D step forsuperconducting generator / / ドiIamCrlCl)ialllCCcr / (a)Higll Stability tyl光 (Slow rcsr氾nSe t押C A) FilamenL DiameLCr (b)High currcntCIcnsity typc (Slow response t押CID Fig.7 R&D targetofNbTisuperconductors Filamen[Diamcter m用 (C)bw AClosstypc (Quick response typc) APPENDIX D. PatentApplication CollaboratorswithMajorSystemS and CableandWireFirmsinSuperconductivity -263- CooperativePatentApplicationsinSuperconductivity.HitachiLtd -264- NRIM C00PerativePatentApplicationsinSuperconductivity,Toshiba -265一 JR JAERl CooperativePatentAppHcationsinSuperconductivity,MitsubishiELect「ic -266- C00PerativePatentAppJJCationsinSuperconductivity,FurukawaElec. -267 - NTT JRDC CooperativePatentApplicationsinSuperconductivity,SumitomoEk)Ctric ー 268- C00PerativePatentAppllCationsinSuperconductivity,FujikuraCable ー269- 「-、...1:、、. 一 m 一 l 「∵